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CYBERDYNE Inc. (JP:7779)
:7779

CYBERDYNE (7779) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:7779

CYBERDYNE

(7779)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥311.00
▲(43.98% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—ongoing net losses and persistent negative operating/free cash flow—despite a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are a major positive, showing a clear uptrend and strong momentum. Valuation remains unattractive because earnings are negative (negative P/E) and there is no dividend yield data to offset that.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low debt-to-equity (~1–2%) and stable equity give CYBERDYNE durable financial flexibility. This reduces refinancing risk, supports multi-year R&D and commercialization of HAL devices, and allows the company to absorb operating losses while investing in clinical rollouts and distribution expansion without immediate external pressure.
Healthy, stable gross margins
Sustained gross margins in the 53–69% range indicate structural product-level profitability from hardware and services. High margins imply pricing power or efficient manufacturing and support long-term margin recovery once scale and operating leverage materialize, enabling reinvestment in sales, training, and product development.
Improving loss profile and multi-year revenue gains
Multi-year revenue expansion plus materially narrowed losses in the trailing twelve months show improving operational execution and demand traction. That trend, combined with a strong balance sheet, increases the probability management can reach sustainable profitability as adoption of HAL and services scales.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative cash flows and losses
Continuous negative operating and free cash flow means the business is not yet self-funding; ongoing cash burn creates reliance on funding or capital raises. Over months, this constrains discretionary spending, could dilute shareholders if financed externally, and raises execution risk before sustained profitability.
Recent revenue momentum faded (TTM decline)
A decline in trailing-twelve-month revenue versus the prior year signals weakening adoption momentum or market headwinds. For a commercial-stage medical device company, sustained revenue softness can delay breakeven, slow scale benefits, and indicate structural reimbursement, distribution, or adoption barriers that impede growth.
Negative return on equity
Despite a sizeable equity base, consistently negative ROE shows the company is not generating returns on invested capital. This reflects capital inefficiency and means shareholders' capital has not yet translated into profitable operations, posing a structural challenge until margins and cash flow turn positive.

CYBERDYNE (7779) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

CYBERDYNE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCYBERDYNE Inc. researches, develops, produces, sell, leases, and maintains equipment and systems for medical and warfare in Japan. The company offers Hybrid Assistive Limb (HAL) for medical use in lower limb and single joint type; non-medical HAL for lower limb, single joint type, and lumbar type; HAL peripherals; cleaning robots; transportation robots for various transportation tasks in factories, offices, and other indoor environments; and Acoustic X, a high speed light pulse LED array light source that enables real time photoacoustic imaging. It also provides Cybernics Treatment, a treatment that uses HAL to enhance/regenerate the function of the wearer for spinal cord injury, stroke, neuromuscular diseases, etc.; HAL FIT for enhancement of brain-nerve-musculoskeltal system; MTX Neuro HAL Plus to enhance the performance of the athletes' brain-nerve functions; and Neuro HALFIT for enhancement of physical functions. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of rescue supports in disaster sites, and heavy labor supports for factories and plants; and entertainment business. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tsukuba, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyCYBERDYNE primarily generates revenue by commercializing its HAL exoskeleton platform and associated services. Key revenue streams include: (1) sales and/or leasing of HAL units to hospitals, rehabilitation centers, and care providers (the specific mix of sales vs. leasing depends on country, customer type, and contract structure); (2) fees tied to the clinical use of HAL in rehabilitation programs, which may be billed as service or program fees where CYBERDYNE (directly or through distributors) supports deployment, training, and maintenance; and (3) maintenance, support, and other lifecycle services associated with installed HAL systems (e.g., servicing, parts, upgrades, and user training). The company’s earnings are influenced by regulatory/insurance environments for assistive and rehabilitation technologies, the pace of adoption by healthcare providers, and distribution or commercialization partnerships in different geographies. Details such as exact revenue breakdown by segment, named partnerships, and pricing terms are null.

CYBERDYNE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet is strong with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~1–2%) and stable equity, providing flexibility. However, the company remains unprofitable (net losses in every period) and cash generation is weak with consistently negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, despite reduced cash burn in the TTM period.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue has grown materially over the multi-year period (up strongly from FY2021 to FY2025), but momentum softened with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declining versus the prior year. Gross margins remain healthy and fairly stable (~53–69%), yet profitability is the key issue: net income is still negative in every period shown, even though losses narrowed sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) versus FY2024. Overall, the company shows improving loss profile and solid gross profitability, but has not demonstrated consistent operating profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: leverage is very low, with debt-to-equity consistently around ~1–2% and total debt modest versus a large equity base. Assets and equity appear stable over time, which provides financial flexibility. The main weakness is returns: return on equity remains negative across periods (consistent with net losses), indicating the capital base is not yet generating positive earnings.
Cash Flow
29
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is negative in all periods shown, and free cash flow is also consistently negative, indicating the business is not self-funding. There is improvement in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with materially less cash burn than prior years, but cash conversion remains a concern given ongoing negative operating cash flow and negative free cash flow while profitability is still not positive.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.11B4.38B4.35B3.29B2.15B1.88B
Gross Profit2.05B2.07B2.03B1.49B1.25B1.11B
EBITDA-505.00M-904.00M-1.06B-722.00M-565.00M-413.00M
Net Income-3.00M-577.00M-1.48B-298.00M-498.00M-59.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.00B48.55B50.00B50.19B49.47B48.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.20B6.82B5.16B7.80B20.83B6.70B
Total Debt434.00M434.00M632.00M669.00M575.00M421.00M
Total Liabilities9.21B8.95B9.52B8.20B6.02B4.33B
Stockholders Equity39.80B39.58B40.75B42.10B43.41B43.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-222.00M-726.00M-1.07B-594.00M-2.33B-1.84B
Operating Cash Flow-177.00M-430.00M-850.00M-143.00M-564.00M-775.00M
Investing Cash Flow5.56B2.33B-2.08B2.17B-1.79B-2.79B
Financing Cash Flow-226.00M-216.00M160.00M14.00M1.25B617.00M

CYBERDYNE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price216.00
Price Trends
50DMA
302.28
Negative
100DMA
243.15
Positive
200DMA
214.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.14
Positive
RSI
45.42
Neutral
STOCH
32.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7779, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 216 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 341.95, below the 50-day MA of 302.28, and above the 200-day MA of 214.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:7779.

CYBERDYNE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
¥10.32B12.193.52%4.97%-10.07%
67
Neutral
¥9.66B10.321.89%9.47%37.35%
65
Neutral
¥250.33B36.371.92%4.31%96.31%
63
Neutral
¥14.43B14.763.12%3.59%-163.08%
56
Neutral
¥63.76B87.82-0.46%-4.30%82.87%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
¥126.72B28.052.42%3.73%0.04%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7779
CYBERDYNE
302.00
119.00
65.03%
JP:6523
PHC Holdings Corp.
1,000.00
-15.80
-1.56%
JP:5187
Create Medic Co., Ltd.
1,135.00
229.13
25.29%
JP:6849
Nihon Kohden Corporation
1,499.50
-512.90
-25.49%
JP:7600
Japan Medical Dynamic Marketing, Inc.
548.00
-43.93
-7.42%
JP:7963
Koken Ltd.
1,965.00
330.32
20.21%

CYBERDYNE Corporate Events

CYBERDYNE Extends SIP Robotics Contract and Lifts Consignment Budget
Mar 18, 2026

CYBERDYNE Inc. has amended its business consignment agreement under Japan’s Cross-ministerial Strategic Innovation Promotion Program, which supports the development and social implementation of integrated human-collaborative robotics in Human-Cyber-Physical Space. Following a revision of the project’s overall budget, the total scheduled consignment amount has been increased from ¥1,190 million for FY2023–FY2025 to ¥1,348 million for FY2023–FY2027, and the contract period has been extended from March 31, 2026 to March 31, 2028, with ¥385 million in consigned R&D revenue expected to be posted in FY2025.

These changes secure a longer funding horizon and higher overall project value for CYBERDYNE, potentially strengthening its role in Japan’s national robotics innovation agenda and providing more stable support for its human-collaborative robotics research pipeline. The extended timeframe and larger budget may enhance the company’s ability to mature its technologies toward social implementation, which could benefit stakeholders through sustained innovation activity and clearer visibility on near-term revenue from consigned development work.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7779) stock is a Hold with a Yen322.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CYBERDYNE stock, see the JP:7779 Stock Forecast page.

Cyberdyne Narrows Losses and Returns to Profit Despite Revenue Decline
Feb 12, 2026

CYBERDYNE reported consolidated revenue of ¥2.89 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, down 8.7% year-on-year, but significantly improved profitability, moving from an operating loss of ¥708 million to a smaller loss of ¥274 million. The company also swung to a profit before tax of ¥368 million and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥190 million, translating into basic earnings per share of ¥0.90 compared with a loss per share a year earlier.

The balance sheet remained strong, with total assets of ¥49.0 billion and an equity ratio of 81.2%, while the company maintained a no-dividend policy for the current fiscal year. Citing the uncertainty inherent in its innovative, emerging-technology business model, CYBERDYNE refrained from issuing a full-year earnings forecast, underscoring the volatility of its operating environment even as profitability metrics show notable progress for stakeholders to monitor.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7779) stock is a Hold with a Yen277.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CYBERDYNE stock, see the JP:7779 Stock Forecast page.

CYBERDYNE Increases SIP Consignment Budget Under NEDO Robotics Project
Feb 5, 2026

CYBERDYNE Inc. has amended its business consignment agreement with Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) under the government-led Strategic Innovation Promotion Program (SIP) focused on human collaborative robotics and HCPS technologies, increasing the total scheduled consignment amount for fiscal years 2023–2025 from ¥1,143 million to ¥1,190 million while keeping the original R&D period unchanged. The revised budget framework confirms continued national backing for CYBERDYNE’s role in developing social implementation technologies for integrated human-collaborative robotics, with the company expecting to post ¥385 million in revenue from consigned R&D in FY2025, underscoring a stable public-funded revenue stream and reinforcing its position in Japan’s strategic robotics innovation ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:7779) stock is a Hold with a Yen277.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CYBERDYNE stock, see the JP:7779 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026