Punch Industry Co., Ltd. (JP:6165)
:6165
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Punch Industry Co., Ltd.
(6165)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
¥510.00
▲(4.08% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is primarily driven by improving fundamentals and a conservative balance sheet, though profitability and cash conversion are still below prior-cycle strength. Valuation is supported by a solid dividend yield and reasonable P/E, while technicals are mixed with weaker short-term trend despite positive momentum signals.
Positive Factors
Earnings recovery & revenue momentum
Return to profitability in 2026 with improving operating margins and sharply re-accelerating revenue indicates demand normalization and a recovering core business. Sustained top-line momentum enhances durable cash generation, supports repeat catalog sales, and strengthens operational stability over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weakened profitability & low returns
Net margins and returns remain structurally below prior-cycle peaks, leaving a thinner earnings buffer to absorb cost inflation or pricing pressure. Persistently low returns constrain reinvestment and limit the company's ability to accelerate margin recovery, reducing long-term competitiveness versus stronger-cycle peers.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Earnings recovery & revenue momentum
Return to profitability in 2026 with improving operating margins and sharply re-accelerating revenue indicates demand normalization and a recovering core business. Sustained top-line momentum enhances durable cash generation, supports repeat catalog sales, and strengthens operational stability over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. (6165) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥12.82B
Dividend Yield3.84%
Average Volume (3M)38.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.2
Beta (1Y)0.95
Revenue Growth3.13%
EPS Growth-7.92%
CountryJP
Employees3,575
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryManufacturing - Tools & Accessories
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)33.00
Shares Outstanding27,622,400
10 Day Avg. Volume54,280
30 Day Avg. Volume38,783
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.88
Price to Book (P/B)0.56
Price to Sales (P/S)0.31
P/FCF Ratio16.15
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of mold and die components in Japan and internationally. It offers components for plastic molds, such as ejector and sleeves; center and core pins; date stamps/stoppers for cavity insert...
How the Company Makes Money
Punch Industry makes money primarily by selling precision components and tooling-related parts used in press dies and molds. Revenue is generated through (1) catalog/standard part sales (repeat, high-frequency orders of standardized components suc...
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 41.33B | 42.10B | 40.82B | 38.34B | 42.80B | 39.36B |
| Gross Profit | 10.93B | 11.31B | 10.81B | 10.08B | 11.63B | 11.44B |
| EBITDA | 2.99B | 3.25B | 2.91B | 2.46B | 3.59B | 4.01B |
| Net Income | 871.00M | 852.00M | 868.00M | -576.00M | 1.39B | 2.04B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 30.75B | 34.30B | 32.98B | 29.66B | 30.49B | 28.83B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 5.30B | 6.64B | 6.50B | 6.03B | 5.21B | 4.82B |
| Total Debt | 2.75B | 3.08B | 3.29B | 3.72B | 2.82B | 3.63B |
| Total Liabilities | 10.04B | 11.22B | 10.94B | 10.91B | 11.44B | 12.53B |
| Stockholders Equity | 20.68B | 23.08B | 22.01B | 18.73B | 19.03B | 16.29B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 801.00M | 1.25B | 410.00M | 1.42B | 1.94B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 1.86B | 2.27B | 1.28B | 2.56B | 2.94B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -1.28B | -2.42B | -680.00M | -1.55B | -1.10B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -696.00M | 181.00M | -2.00M | -756.34M | -1.60B |
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Neutral
490.00
Price Trends
484.15
Negative
491.91
Negative
455.14
Positive
Market Momentum
-5.56
Positive
44.50
Neutral
8.87
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6165, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 490 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 485.15, above the 50-day MA of 484.15, and above the 200-day MA of 455.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.87 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:6165.
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | ¥277.98B | 8.85 | ― | 2.33% | 20.23% | 56.48% | |
80 Outperform | ¥334.98B | 19.71 | ― | 1.17% | 29.22% | 29.50% | |
78 Outperform | ¥101.26B | 9.96 | ― | 3.85% | 19.61% | 25.91% | |
76 Outperform | ¥22.26B | 14.08 | ― | 3.31% | 0.67% | 14.92% | |
74 Outperform | ¥305.94B | 11.92 | 7.86% | 2.55% | 5.68% | 41.20% | |
67 Neutral | ¥12.82B | 15.19 | ― | 3.84% | 3.13% | -7.92% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
JP:6165
Punch Industry Co., Ltd.
472.00
125.91
36.38%
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Punch Industry Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Punch Industry Lifts Sales and Profit Margins, Keeps Dividend Flat as It Targets Earnings Rebound
May 15, 2026
Punch Industry reported a 3.1% rise in net sales to ¥42.1 billion for the year ended March 31, 2026, with operating profit up 20.5% and ordinary profit up 36.4%, even as profit attributable to owners of parent slipped 1.9% to ¥851 millio...
Punch Industry Lifts Nine-Month Profit but Cuts Full-Year Earnings Outlook
Feb 17, 2026
Punch Industry Co., Ltd. reported consolidated net sales of ¥31.46 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 3.9% year on year, with operating profit jumping 38.1% to ¥1.62 billion and ordinary profit rising 49.9% to ¥...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.