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Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. (JP:6104)
:6104

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. (6104) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6104

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd.

(6104)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,472.00
▲(4.36% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:08/26/25
Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. scores well due to its strong financial performance and technical indicators. The stock shows bullish momentum and appears undervalued with a low P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events does not detract from the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Diverse product & solutions mix
A broad portfolio across injection molding, die-casting, extruders and factory automation creates multiple durable revenue channels. This diversification reduces reliance on any single end market, supports cross-selling of systems and services, and smooths cyclicality tied to one industry.
Robust balance sheet
A strong equity position and conservative leverage provide financial flexibility to fund R&D, capital expenditures, and service network expansion. Solid balance-sheet metrics make the company better able to withstand capital-spend downcycles and invest counter-cyclically in durable capabilities.
Consistent cash generation
Sustained operating cash flow and recurring free cash flow support reinvestment in aftermarket services, spare parts and integration capabilities that drive high-margin recurring revenue. Reliable cash generation underpins longer-term service expansion and capital allocation choices.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue decline
A sharp year-over-year revenue decline signals weaker demand in end markets or lost orders, which can erode fixed-cost absorption and slow investment in R&D or service infrastructure. If prolonged, it can degrade competitive position and limit ability to scale higher-value engineered systems.
Falling net income and margins
Declining net income and a reduced net margin indicate margin pressure despite healthy gross margins and EBIT/EBITDA. Persistent margin erosion constrains retained earnings, reduces funds for strategic initiatives, and may force cost cutting that harms long-term service or product development.
Decrease in total assets
A shrinking asset base can reflect lower production capacity, asset sales, or reduced working capital that may signal scaling back operations. Over time, reduced assets can limit ability to take large contracts, invest in automation capacity, or support an expanding installed base for recurring service revenue.

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. (6104) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionShibaura Machine Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of various machines in Japan and internationally. Its principal products include injection molding machines, die-casting machines, plastic extrusion machines, nano processing systems, machine tools, FA controllers, servo motors, industrial robots, IOT+m, and additive manufacturing systems. The company also provides machine tools that include double column type machining centers, bridge type machines, boring machines, horizontal machining centers, vertical boring and turning mills, and roll grinding machines. The company was formerly known as Toshiba Machine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. in April 2020. Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company makes money primarily by selling industrial machinery and systems to manufacturers, with revenue recognized from (1) equipment sales and (2) aftermarket/services tied to the installed base. Key revenue streams include: (a) Injection molding machines and plastics-processing systems: income from the sale of injection molding machines and related plastics-processing equipment (e.g., extruders and peripheral/ancillary equipment) used by customers producing plastic parts and products. (b) Die-casting machines: revenue from machines used to produce metal components (commonly for automotive and industrial applications), including related equipment and delivery/installation work. (c) Automation/robots and integrated systems: revenue from industrial robots and factory-automation solutions, including system integration where the company supplies a combination of robots, controls, software, and production-cell engineering. (d) Machine tools/precision & industrial equipment: revenue from machine tools and other industrial/precision machinery supplied to manufacturing customers. In addition to initial equipment sales, the company generates recurring or repeat revenue from (e) spare parts, maintenance, repair, retrofits, inspections, and other customer support services, and (f) engineering services such as installation, commissioning, and process optimization for delivered equipment and production lines. Earnings are influenced by capital-expenditure cycles in end markets (e.g., automotive, electronics, packaging, general industrial), the mix of standard machines versus higher-value integrated/engineered systems, utilization of service capabilities across its installed base, and geographic sales through direct sales and service networks. Specific partnership arrangements: null.

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, solid profit margins, and a stable balance sheet. While there are some short-term declines in net income and cash flow, the company's overall financial position remains strong and well-managed.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The income statement shows strong revenue growth over the years. The gross profit margin is stable, indicating good cost management. However, there is a noticeable decline in net income from 2024 to 2025, leading to a lower net profit margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a strong equity position and a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. The company has been successful in increasing its stockholders' equity over the years, and the equity ratio is solid, indicating financial stability. However, the total assets have decreased from 2024 to 2025.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a consistent generation of free cash flow with a slight decline in 2025. The operating cash flow is positive, although there is a decrease from 2024 to 2025. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash utilization relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.79B168.19B160.65B123.20B107.78B92.64B
Gross Profit49.03B53.55B50.63B38.81B32.52B24.91B
EBITDA16.70B20.88B27.96B8.87B6.15B2.11B
Net Income10.54B12.60B17.92B6.44B3.73B-2.90B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets190.41B199.61B253.17B205.10B166.99B134.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.79B54.39B51.67B50.85B51.71B42.42B
Total Debt10.58B10.13B11.03B14.01B14.22B14.39B
Total Liabilities74.58B82.43B141.47B115.98B83.47B52.15B
Stockholders Equity115.82B117.17B111.70B89.12B83.51B82.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.005.62B6.09B-1.72B9.69B-1.57B
Operating Cash Flow0.008.33B9.31B934.00M11.30B192.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00910.00M-3.81B-563.00M-1.26B-1.54B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-6.53B-6.70B-2.28B-2.11B-4.96B

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4285.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4309.40
Negative
100DMA
4302.05
Negative
200DMA
4008.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-98.79
Positive
RSI
35.86
Neutral
STOCH
11.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6104, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4285 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4324.00, below the 50-day MA of 4309.40, and above the 200-day MA of 4008.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -98.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6104.

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥85.71B136.935.02%3.23%-10.00%-51.92%
78
Outperform
¥128.19B12.403.24%18.70%33.93%
74
Outperform
¥85.57B14.219.39%1.68%9.27%69.52%
74
Outperform
¥61.74B24.262.54%2.00%39.80%
69
Neutral
¥71.52B10.787.00%3.02%15.78%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
46
Neutral
¥16.93B-8.054.21%2.79%-281.15%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6104
Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd.
3,895.00
248.65
6.82%
JP:6258
Hirata
2,683.00
1,164.81
76.72%
JP:6143
Sodick
1,415.00
553.18
64.19%
JP:6118
Aida Engineering,Ltd.
1,139.00
311.17
37.59%
JP:6284
Nissei ASB Machine Co,. Ltd.
8,760.00
3,876.78
79.39%
JP:6293
Nissei Plastic Industrial Co., Ltd.
880.00
22.19
2.59%

Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Shibaura Machine Posts Sharp Profit Decline but Maintains Dividend and Forecasts Recovery
Jan 30, 2026

Shibaura Machine reported a sharp downturn in performance for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales plunging 30.3% year-on-year to ¥92.7 billion and operating profit dropping 85.7% to ¥1.9 billion; profit attributable to owners of the parent fell 84.2% to ¥1.9 billion, reflecting a substantial deterioration from the previous year’s strong results. Despite weaker earnings, the company’s financial position remains relatively solid, with total assets of ¥183.7 billion and an equity-to-asset ratio improved to 65.4%, and it is maintaining a robust shareholder-return stance by keeping its annual dividend forecast unchanged at ¥140 per share for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, while also forecasting a recovery in profitability in the full year with net sales of ¥140 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥3.3 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6104) stock is a Buy with a Yen4884.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Shibaura Machine Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:6104 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025