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LIXIL Group Corp. (JP:5938)
:5938

LIXIL Group (5938) AI Stock Analysis

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LIXIL Group

(OTC:5938)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,664.00
▲(3.13%Upside)
The overall score is impacted by a combination of stable financial performance with improved cash flow, but offset by a bearish technical outlook and a concerningly high P/E ratio. The attractive dividend yield is a positive, providing some support to the stock's valuation.

LIXIL Group (5938) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

LIXIL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLIXIL Group Corporation is a global leader in the housing and building materials industry. The company operates through several segments, including water technology, housing technology, building technology, and distribution and retail businesses. LIXIL's core products and services include kitchen systems, bathroom fixtures, windows, doors, building materials, and other related products designed to enhance living spaces. The company is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, and is known for its innovation in water and housing technology solutions, aiming to improve the quality of living environments worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyLIXIL Group makes money through the manufacture and sale of housing and building materials, focusing primarily on water technology products such as faucets, toilets, and shower systems. Revenue is generated from its extensive portfolio of brands, including American Standard, GROHE, and INAX, which are well-recognized in the global market. The company's revenue streams are diversified across its segments, with significant contributions from the sale of housing technology products like windows and doors, as well as building technology solutions. LIXIL also benefits from its distribution and retail networks, which facilitate the sale of its products to both residential and commercial customers. Strategic partnerships and collaborations in various regions also play a role in enhancing its market reach and profitability.

LIXIL Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were positive developments like strong free cash flow, increased renovation demand offsetting declines in new housing, and growth in European markets, these were counterbalanced by significant challenges such as the DPI inventory write-downs, sluggish U.S. sales, and overall low new housing starts. The company is optimistic about future recovery with new product launches and improved market strategies, but current conditions remain challenging.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has been generated steadily with free cash flow reaching JPY 14.6 billion for the first quarter, an improvement of JPY 50.2 billion compared to last year.
European Market Recovery
Despite sluggish new housing starts, market share and order intake increased in Europe, with notable demand for showers and product launches.
Renovation Demand Offsets New Housing Decline
In Japan, increased renovation demand successfully offset the decline in new housing starts, which were down by around 10%.
Positive Future Outlook
Signs of recovery in the second half are expected, with new product launches across all categories aimed at capturing demand.
Market Share Growth in Showers
Increased market share for shower products in Europe due to strategic pricing and popular new product launches.
Negative Updates
DPI Inventory Write-down
DPI faced additional inventory write-downs amounting to $6 million, negatively impacting the U.S. business and overall profits.
Challenges in the U.S. Market
The U.S. market faced sluggish sales due to dependency on the retail market and DPI write-downs, with expectations for gradual recovery in future quarters.
Core Earnings Decline
Core earnings slightly above breakeven, with a core earnings ratio deteriorating by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year due to structural reform costs and tax expenses.
Uncertain International Market
The international market, except for India and the Near East, faces difficulties, particularly in China, the U.S., and Europe.
Low New Housing Starts
Both domestic and international new housing starts are sluggish, with Japan seeing a significant reduction and the U.S. market slow to recover.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call for 5938.T, the guidance provided by the executives highlighted several key metrics and market conditions. The company reported that the overall revenue was more or less at the same level as the previous year, with core earnings slightly over breakeven, influenced by structural reform costs and increased tax expenses. Free cash flow was reported at JPY 14.6 billion, an improvement of JPY 50.2 billion compared to the previous year. The domestic market experienced a decline in new housing starts, which was anticipated, but this was offset by increased renovation demand, particularly in window and door renovations. Internationally, the U.S. market was sluggish due to high interest rates, while Europe showed signs of recovery with increased order intake and market share, especially in showers. The company also faced challenges with a DPI inventory write-down, impacting profits, but this issue is expected to be resolved moving forward. Overall, the company anticipates better performance in the second half of the year, with new product launches and continued structural reforms as key strategies.

LIXIL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LIXIL Group shows moderate revenue growth and stable gross margins, though it faces profitability challenges with low net profit and ROE. The balance sheet is solid, with balanced leverage, and cash flow management has improved significantly.
Income Statement
65
Positive
LIXIL Group shows moderate revenue growth, with a 1.45% increase from the previous year. The gross profit margin is stable at roughly 33.1%, though net profit margin is low at 0.13% due to a significant drop in net income. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 2.08% and 7.77% respectively, indicating pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio stands at approximately 1.06, suggesting a balanced leverage. Return on equity is low at 0.32%, reflecting the recent dip in profitability. The equity ratio is 33.75%, indicating a stable capital structure but with room for improvement.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow saw a significant recovery, growing from negative to positive, demonstrating improved cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 50, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net earnings, which is a positive sign.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.50T1.48T1.50T1.43T1.38T
Gross Profit
498.11B431.07B468.63B486.87B469.22B
EBIT
31.34B23.16B25.75B69.47B35.84B
EBITDA
116.88B101.19B107.17B152.43B121.40B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.00B-13.91B15.99B48.60B33.05B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
123.53B124.48B127.65B123.50B124.94B
Total Assets
1.83T1.89T1.85T1.78T1.74T
Total Debt
657.80B677.19B618.40B524.70B595.50B
Net Debt
534.27B552.71B511.72B424.30B484.44B
Total Liabilities
1.21T1.24T1.23T1.17T1.19T
Stockholders Equity
617.89B642.51B625.43B612.38B552.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
65.64B-4.88B-40.34B69.66B82.55B
Operating Cash Flow
100.00B47.99B15.01B118.30B151.04B
Investing Cash Flow
-28.13B-29.88B-29.32B-24.80B-54.15B
Financing Cash Flow
-72.47B-3.67B19.84B-108.09B-93.42B

LIXIL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1613.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1629.03
Positive
100DMA
1669.58
Negative
200DMA
1664.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.48
Negative
RSI
50.46
Neutral
STOCH
60.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5938, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1613.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1622.85, below the 50-day MA of 1629.03, and below the 200-day MA of 1664.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5938.

LIXIL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥148.59B12.2312.17%2.89%3.32%21.23%
76
Outperform
$1.09T18.9118.79%2.36%8.39%34.99%
71
Outperform
¥110.57B38.49
3.77%3.98%-64.82%
66
Neutral
$4.51B12.225.40%3.63%4.14%-12.01%
64
Neutral
$626.88B51.562.34%2.70%3.16%-67.29%
56
Neutral
$469.54B234.500.35%0.04%1.45%
49
Neutral
¥19.16B
4.09%-0.87%-288.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5938
LIXIL Group
1,613.50
37.40
2.37%
JP:5932
Sankyo Tateyama, Inc.
609.00
-148.59
-19.61%
JP:7943
Nichiha Corporation
2,990.00
-270.39
-8.29%
JP:5930
Bunka Shutter Co., Ltd.
2,212.00
598.20
37.07%
JP:5929
Sanwa Holdings
4,999.00
2,209.84
79.23%
JP:5332
TOTO
3,628.00
29.66
0.82%

LIXIL Group Corporate Events

LIXIL Corporation Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Discrepancies
Apr 30, 2025

LIXIL Corporation reported a discrepancy between its forecasted and actual financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025. The profit before tax exceeded expectations due to reduced expenses from structural reforms, but the overall profit attributable to owners fell short due to increased tax burdens from underperforming subsidiaries.

LIXIL Issues New Shares Under Restricted Stock Plan to Align Executive Interests
Apr 30, 2025

LIXIL Corporation announced the issuance of new shares as part of its Restricted Stock Compensation Plan, aimed at aligning the interests of its Executive Officers with those of shareholders and enhancing corporate value over the long term. This initiative involves issuing 149,905 common shares to eligible Executive Officers, with a total issuance amount of JPY265,631,660, under conditions that restrict transfer until retirement, thereby reinforcing commitment to the company’s strategic goals.

LIXIL Corporation Restructures Reporting Segments to Enhance Profitability
Apr 30, 2025

LIXIL Corporation announced a change in its reporting segments, integrating the kitchen and washstand cabinet unit from the Water Technology Business with the wooden interior materials from the Housing Technology Business into a new segment called ‘Living Business’. This strategic move is intended to improve profitability and offer new value to end users, reflecting LIXIL’s commitment to strengthening its business structure and market positioning.

LIXIL Reports Revenue and Profit Growth Amid Structural Reforms
Apr 30, 2025

LIXIL Corporation reported an increase in revenue and profits for the fiscal year ending March 2025, despite challenges in the Japanese housing market and a system outage in the Americas. The company’s international business saw growth in Europe and the Middle East, aided by structural reforms, while ongoing reforms and strategic shifts are expected to continue into the next fiscal year, with a focus on optimizing operations and improving profitability.

LIXIL Corporation Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results
Apr 30, 2025

LIXIL Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2025, showing a slight increase in revenue by 1.4% compared to the previous year. Despite the revenue growth, the company experienced a significant decline in total comprehensive income by 66.3%, highlighting challenges in maintaining profitability amidst market conditions.

LIXIL Announces New Executive and Director Candidates for 2025
Mar 24, 2025

LIXIL Corporation announced the determination of candidates for Executive Officers and Directors, set to be effective from April 1, 2025, and proposed at the upcoming Annual General Meeting in June 2025. The announcement includes the nomination of Hiroshi Ishino as a new independent outside director, highlighting LIXIL’s commitment to strengthening its governance structure and strategic leadership, which may impact its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.