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LIXIL Group Corp. (JP:5938)
:5938
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LIXIL Group (5938) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5938

LIXIL Group

(OTC:5938)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,969.00
▲(2.63% Upside)
LIXIL Group's stock score is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and high valuation. The positive technical momentum provides some support, but the high P/E ratio and low profitability are significant concerns. The attractive dividend yield partially offsets the valuation risk.

LIXIL Group (5938) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

LIXIL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLIXIL Group Corporation, headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, is a leading global manufacturer and supplier in the housing and building materials industry. The company operates across various sectors, including water technology, housing technology, building technology, and kitchen technology. LIXIL is renowned for its comprehensive product range, including bathroom fixtures, kitchen systems, windows, doors, and exterior building materials, catering to both residential and commercial markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyLIXIL Group generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of housing and building products. The company's primary revenue streams include water technology products like faucets, showers, and toilets, as well as housing technology products such as windows, doors, and exterior building materials. Furthermore, LIXIL benefits from its global presence and brand portfolio, including well-known brands such as INAX, GROHE, and American Standard. Partnerships with construction companies, distributors, and retailers worldwide also play a significant role in reaching a broad customer base, thereby enhancing its sales and market penetration. Additionally, LIXIL invests in innovative technology and sustainable solutions to meet the evolving demands of its customers, which further supports its revenue growth.

LIXIL Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were positive developments like strong free cash flow, increased renovation demand offsetting declines in new housing, and growth in European markets, these were counterbalanced by significant challenges such as the DPI inventory write-downs, sluggish U.S. sales, and overall low new housing starts. The company is optimistic about future recovery with new product launches and improved market strategies, but current conditions remain challenging.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has been generated steadily with free cash flow reaching JPY 14.6 billion for the first quarter, an improvement of JPY 50.2 billion compared to last year.
European Market Recovery
Despite sluggish new housing starts, market share and order intake increased in Europe, with notable demand for showers and product launches.
Renovation Demand Offsets New Housing Decline
In Japan, increased renovation demand successfully offset the decline in new housing starts, which were down by around 10%.
Positive Future Outlook
Signs of recovery in the second half are expected, with new product launches across all categories aimed at capturing demand.
Market Share Growth in Showers
Increased market share for shower products in Europe due to strategic pricing and popular new product launches.
Negative Updates
DPI Inventory Write-down
DPI faced additional inventory write-downs amounting to $6 million, negatively impacting the U.S. business and overall profits.
Challenges in the U.S. Market
The U.S. market faced sluggish sales due to dependency on the retail market and DPI write-downs, with expectations for gradual recovery in future quarters.
Core Earnings Decline
Core earnings slightly above breakeven, with a core earnings ratio deteriorating by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year due to structural reform costs and tax expenses.
Uncertain International Market
The international market, except for India and the Near East, faces difficulties, particularly in China, the U.S., and Europe.
Low New Housing Starts
Both domestic and international new housing starts are sluggish, with Japan seeing a significant reduction and the U.S. market slow to recover.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call for 5938.T, the guidance provided by the executives highlighted several key metrics and market conditions. The company reported that the overall revenue was more or less at the same level as the previous year, with core earnings slightly over breakeven, influenced by structural reform costs and increased tax expenses. Free cash flow was reported at JPY 14.6 billion, an improvement of JPY 50.2 billion compared to the previous year. The domestic market experienced a decline in new housing starts, which was anticipated, but this was offset by increased renovation demand, particularly in window and door renovations. Internationally, the U.S. market was sluggish due to high interest rates, while Europe showed signs of recovery with increased order intake and market share, especially in showers. The company also faced challenges with a DPI inventory write-down, impacting profits, but this issue is expected to be resolved moving forward. Overall, the company anticipates better performance in the second half of the year, with new product launches and continued structural reforms as key strategies.

LIXIL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LIXIL Group's financial performance is mixed, with a significant revenue decline and low profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is improving but needs better conversion from earnings.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
LIXIL Group's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue decline of 34.1%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of around 33%. The net profit margin is extremely low at 0.13%, indicating minimal profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also relatively low, suggesting limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating a balanced but leveraged capital structure. Return on equity is very low at 0.32%, showing limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage suggests potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some positive trends. The free cash flow has grown significantly in the TTM period, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.17. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, indicating that not all earnings are translating into free cash flow, which could be a concern for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.50T1.50T1.48T1.50T1.43T1.38T
Gross Profit505.52B498.11B472.71B468.63B486.87B469.22B
EBITDA120.61B117.20B101.19B107.17B152.43B136.75B
Net Income6.95B2.00B-13.91B15.99B48.60B33.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83T1.83T1.89T1.85T1.78T1.74T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments108.67B130.70B137.51B106.68B100.40B111.06B
Total Debt652.78B657.80B677.19B618.40B524.70B595.50B
Total Liabilities1.21T1.21T1.24T1.23T1.17T1.19T
Stockholders Equity614.70B617.89B642.51B625.43B612.38B552.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.49B54.83B-7.08B-40.34B69.66B82.55B
Operating Cash Flow100.20B100.00B45.79B15.01B118.30B151.04B
Investing Cash Flow-32.67B-28.13B-29.88B-29.32B-24.80B-54.15B
Financing Cash Flow-80.41B-72.47B-3.67B19.84B-108.09B-93.42B

LIXIL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1918.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1855.77
Positive
100DMA
1747.89
Positive
200DMA
1715.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
21.90
Positive
RSI
50.05
Neutral
STOCH
19.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5938, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1918.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1943.73, above the 50-day MA of 1855.77, and above the 200-day MA of 1715.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 21.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:5938.

LIXIL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
946.47B16.9417.85%2.18%6.35%30.39%
72
Outperform
679.60B69.672.33%2.49%2.18%-75.73%
64
Neutral
161.02B13.8911.62%2.67%4.00%8.80%
61
Neutral
105.15B55.952.17%3.97%1.05%-76.91%
56
Neutral
$551.50B79.301.08%4.69%0.38%
52
Neutral
20.63B-8.83-2.56%3.80%1.81%-129.27%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5938
LIXIL Group
1,918.50
250.69
15.03%
SNWAF
Sanwa Holdings
30.47
6.59
27.60%
TOTDF
TOTO
27.90
-5.42
-16.27%
DE:7VK
Bunka Shutter Co., Ltd.
13.30
3.31
33.13%
JP:5932
Sankyo Tateyama, Inc.
658.00
-61.08
-8.49%
JP:7943
Nichiha Corporation
2,872.00
-480.16
-14.32%

LIXIL Group Corporate Events

LIXIL Corporation Confirms Q1 Financial Results with No Changes
Aug 7, 2025

LIXIL Corporation announced that its consolidated financial results for the first quarter ending June 30, 2025, have been reviewed with no changes from the previously disclosed figures. The announcement indicates stability in LIXIL’s financial reporting and suggests a steady operational performance, which may reassure stakeholders and investors about the company’s current market position.

LIXIL Corporation Reports Mixed Q1 Results Amid Structural Reforms
Jul 31, 2025

LIXIL Corporation’s Q1 financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reveal a decrease in revenue but an increase in profits and EBITDA year-on-year. In Japan, higher profits were driven by strong sales growth in water-related renovation products and a surge in demand before a regulatory change. Internationally, the company saw strong performance in Europe and the Middle East, though challenges in the Americas affected revenue. The company is also undergoing structural reforms, including the withdrawal of its ceramic siding business and reorganization in Europe.

LIXIL Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results with Decline in Revenue and Profitability
Jul 31, 2025

LIXIL Corporation reported its consolidated financial results for the first quarter ending June 30, 2025, showing a slight decrease in revenue by 1.4% compared to the previous year. The company experienced a significant decline in core earnings and operating profit, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. Despite these setbacks, LIXIL has not revised its dividend forecast, suggesting a commitment to shareholder returns. The financial results highlight potential operational challenges and may impact LIXIL’s market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

LIXIL Introduces New Restricted Stock Compensation Plan for Directors
Jun 23, 2025

LIXIL Corporation has announced the issuance of new shares as part of a Restricted Stock Compensation Plan for its directors, replacing the previous Phantom Stock Plan. This move aims to align the interests of directors with those of shareholders and enhance corporate value over the long term. The plan involves issuing 24,592 common shares at a price of JPY1,627 each, with a total issuance amount of JPY40,011,184. The shares will be subject to transfer restrictions until the directors retire, ensuring their commitment to the company’s growth and stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025