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LIXIL Group Corp. (JP:5938)
:5938
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LIXIL Group (5938) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5938

LIXIL Group

(5938)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,701.00
▼(-0.53% Downside)
LIXIL Group's overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance, bearish technical indicators, and a high P/E ratio. The significant revenue decline and low profitability weigh heavily on the score. Technical analysis indicates weak momentum, while the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation despite an attractive dividend yield.

LIXIL Group (5938) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

LIXIL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLIXIL Group Corporation (5938) is a leading global manufacturer of building materials and housing equipment based in Japan. The company operates in several sectors, primarily focusing on housing and bathroom products, kitchen systems, and building materials. LIXIL's core offerings include high-quality sanitary ware, water technology products, and innovative housing solutions, catering to both residential and commercial markets. The company is recognized for its commitment to sustainability and innovation, positioning itself as a key player in the construction and home improvement industries.
How the Company Makes MoneyLIXIL Group generates revenue through multiple key streams, including the sale of its core products such as toilets, faucets, showers, and kitchen systems, which are distributed globally. The company operates through various brands that cater to different market segments, enhancing its ability to reach diverse customer bases. Additionally, LIXIL engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with builders, architects, and real estate developers, which further expands its market reach and boosts sales. The company also benefits from its focus on innovation, introducing new technologies and sustainable products that meet evolving consumer demands and regulatory standards. Furthermore, LIXIL's presence in emerging markets contributes to its revenue growth, as urbanization and rising living standards increase the demand for quality housing and sanitary solutions.

LIXIL Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were positive developments like strong free cash flow, increased renovation demand offsetting declines in new housing, and growth in European markets, these were counterbalanced by significant challenges such as the DPI inventory write-downs, sluggish U.S. sales, and overall low new housing starts. The company is optimistic about future recovery with new product launches and improved market strategies, but current conditions remain challenging.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Steady Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has been generated steadily with free cash flow reaching JPY 14.6 billion for the first quarter, an improvement of JPY 50.2 billion compared to last year.
European Market Recovery
Despite sluggish new housing starts, market share and order intake increased in Europe, with notable demand for showers and product launches.
Renovation Demand Offsets New Housing Decline
In Japan, increased renovation demand successfully offset the decline in new housing starts, which were down by around 10%.
Positive Future Outlook
Signs of recovery in the second half are expected, with new product launches across all categories aimed at capturing demand.
Market Share Growth in Showers
Increased market share for shower products in Europe due to strategic pricing and popular new product launches.
Negative Updates
DPI Inventory Write-down
DPI faced additional inventory write-downs amounting to $6 million, negatively impacting the U.S. business and overall profits.
Challenges in the U.S. Market
The U.S. market faced sluggish sales due to dependency on the retail market and DPI write-downs, with expectations for gradual recovery in future quarters.
Core Earnings Decline
Core earnings slightly above breakeven, with a core earnings ratio deteriorating by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year due to structural reform costs and tax expenses.
Uncertain International Market
The international market, except for India and the Near East, faces difficulties, particularly in China, the U.S., and Europe.
Low New Housing Starts
Both domestic and international new housing starts are sluggish, with Japan seeing a significant reduction and the U.S. market slow to recover.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call for 5938.T, the guidance provided by the executives highlighted several key metrics and market conditions. The company reported that the overall revenue was more or less at the same level as the previous year, with core earnings slightly over breakeven, influenced by structural reform costs and increased tax expenses. Free cash flow was reported at JPY 14.6 billion, an improvement of JPY 50.2 billion compared to the previous year. The domestic market experienced a decline in new housing starts, which was anticipated, but this was offset by increased renovation demand, particularly in window and door renovations. Internationally, the U.S. market was sluggish due to high interest rates, while Europe showed signs of recovery with increased order intake and market share, especially in showers. The company also faced challenges with a DPI inventory write-down, impacting profits, but this issue is expected to be resolved moving forward. Overall, the company anticipates better performance in the second half of the year, with new product launches and continued structural reforms as key strategies.

LIXIL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LIXIL Group's financial performance is mixed, with a significant revenue decline and low profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is improving but needs better conversion from earnings.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
LIXIL Group's income statement shows mixed results. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue decline of 34.1%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of around 33%. The net profit margin is extremely low at 0.13%, indicating minimal profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also relatively low, suggesting limited operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating a balanced but leveraged capital structure. Return on equity is very low at 0.32%, showing limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the overall leverage suggests potential risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some positive trends. The free cash flow has grown significantly in the TTM period, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.17. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.66, indicating that not all earnings are translating into free cash flow, which could be a concern for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.50T1.50T1.48T1.50T1.43T1.38T
Gross Profit505.52B498.11B472.71B468.63B486.87B469.22B
EBITDA120.61B117.20B101.19B107.17B152.43B136.75B
Net Income6.95B2.00B-13.91B15.99B48.60B33.05B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.83T1.83T1.89T1.85T1.78T1.74T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments108.67B130.70B137.51B106.68B100.40B111.06B
Total Debt652.78B657.80B677.19B618.40B524.70B595.50B
Total Liabilities1.21T1.21T1.24T1.23T1.17T1.19T
Stockholders Equity614.70B617.89B642.51B625.43B612.38B552.27B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow66.49B54.83B-7.08B-40.34B69.66B82.55B
Operating Cash Flow100.20B100.00B45.79B15.01B118.30B151.04B
Investing Cash Flow-32.67B-28.13B-29.88B-29.32B-24.80B-54.15B
Financing Cash Flow-80.41B-72.47B-3.67B19.84B-108.09B-93.42B

LIXIL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1710.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1838.96
Negative
100DMA
1762.34
Negative
200DMA
1697.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-12.67
Positive
RSI
35.48
Neutral
STOCH
27.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5938, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1710 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1774.93, below the 50-day MA of 1838.96, and above the 200-day MA of 1697.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -12.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:5938.

LIXIL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$911.88B16.3218.61%2.87%2.90%36.52%
€141.87B12.2412.39%3.39%4.00%8.80%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$627.64B68.190.83%2.55%-0.03%-88.91%
¥101.78B53.674.15%1.05%-76.91%
¥19.22B4.15%1.03%-92.80%
$497.46B71.531.45%5.26%0.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5938
LIXIL Group
1,710.00
23.97
1.42%
JP:5929
Sanwa Holdings
4,210.00
8.80
0.21%
JP:5332
TOTO
3,923.00
-352.99
-8.26%
JP:5930
Bunka Shutter Co., Ltd.
2,035.00
197.32
10.74%
JP:5932
Sankyo Tateyama, Inc.
602.00
-119.01
-16.51%
JP:7943
Nichiha Corporation
2,744.00
-590.33
-17.70%

LIXIL Group Corporate Events

LIXIL Corporation Reports Mixed H1 Financial Results Amid Market Changes
Oct 31, 2025

LIXIL Corporation reported a decrease in revenue for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, despite an increase in core earnings and EBITDA. The company experienced slowed sales growth in Q2 due to changes in Japan’s Building Standards Act, but renovation sales remained solid. The international business saw improved profits despite lower revenue, with strong performance in Europe, the Middle East, and India, while the Americas and China faced sluggish housing markets. Tax expenses decreased due to a favorable corporate tax rate change in LIXIL Europe, and the full-year earnings and dividend forecasts remain unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1825.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIXIL Group stock, see the JP:5938 Stock Forecast page.

LIXIL Corporation Reports Stable Financial Performance Amid Revenue Dip
Oct 31, 2025

LIXIL Corporation has reported its consolidated financial results for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 2026, showing a slight decrease in revenue but a significant increase in core earnings and operating profit. The company maintains its dividend forecast and has not revised its performance forecast, indicating stability in its financial strategy despite the slight revenue dip.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1825.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIXIL Group stock, see the JP:5938 Stock Forecast page.

LIXIL Europe Sees Tax Expense Reduction Amid German Tax Reforms
Oct 27, 2025

LIXIL Corporation announced a significant decrease in corporate income tax expenses for its subsidiary, LIXIL Europe, due to the recalculation of future tax liabilities following Germany’s Corporate Growth Opportunities Act. This adjustment, expected to reduce tax expenses by approximately JPY12.0 billion, will not impact LIXIL Europe’s operations or cash flow, but it will be reflected in the company’s financial performance over the fiscal year ending March 2026. Despite this tax adjustment, LIXIL maintains its annual dividend forecast, indicating stable financial expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1825.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIXIL Group stock, see the JP:5938 Stock Forecast page.

LIXIL Secures Loan Agreement with Financial Covenants
Sep 19, 2025

LIXIL Corporation has announced the conclusion of a loan agreement with financial covenants to fund business capital and refinance existing borrowings. The agreement involves a syndicated term loan with city and regional banks, totaling JPY77 billion, with maturity dates ranging from 2029 to 2032. The financial covenants require maintaining a certain equity level and avoiding consecutive business losses, with the overall impact on LIXIL’s financial performance expected to be non-material.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5938) stock is a Hold with a Yen1870.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIXIL Group stock, see the JP:5938 Stock Forecast page.

LIXIL Corporation Confirms Q1 Financial Results with No Changes
Aug 7, 2025

LIXIL Corporation announced that its consolidated financial results for the first quarter ending June 30, 2025, have been reviewed with no changes from the previously disclosed figures. The announcement indicates stability in LIXIL’s financial reporting and suggests a steady operational performance, which may reassure stakeholders and investors about the company’s current market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5938) stock is a Buy with a Yen2300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on LIXIL Group stock, see the JP:5938 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025