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AGC Inc. (JP:5201)
:5201
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AGC (5201) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:5201

AGC

(5201)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
¥5,056.00
▼(-4.59% Downside)
AGC's overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenues and profitability. Technical analysis shows moderate strength, while valuation indicates potential overvaluation despite a strong dividend yield. The earnings call reveals both positive developments and significant challenges, with strategic changes aimed at future improvement. These factors collectively result in a moderate stock score.
Positive Factors
Automotive Segment Growth
The growth in the automotive segment highlights AGC's strong market position and ability to capitalize on structural reforms and pricing strategies, which can lead to sustained revenue growth and profitability in this key sector.
Profit Improvement in Life Science
Profit improvements in the Life Science segment, driven by effective cost reductions, indicate AGC's capability to enhance operational efficiency, which can contribute to long-term profitability despite current challenges.
Strategic Organizational Changes
Strategic organizational changes aimed at enhancing profitability and productivity reflect AGC's proactive approach to adapting to market conditions, potentially leading to improved financial performance over the long term.
Negative Factors
Net Sales Decline
The decline in net sales indicates challenges in maintaining revenue growth, which could impact AGC's market position and financial stability if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
Life Science Segment Loss
Losses in the Life Science segment highlight operational challenges and the need for AGC to address production issues and revenue variability to ensure long-term segment viability.
Challenges in Architectural Glass
Decreased profitability in the Architectural Glass segment due to lower shipments and rising costs suggests potential vulnerabilities in AGC's business model that need strategic attention to sustain margins.

AGC (5201) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AGC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAGC Inc. (5201) is a leading global manufacturer of glass, chemicals, and ceramics, with a strong presence in various sectors including automotive, construction, and electronics. The company specializes in producing high-performance glass products, such as automotive and architectural glass, as well as advanced materials for electronics and display applications. AGC is committed to innovation and sustainability, continually developing new technologies to enhance its product offerings and address the evolving needs of its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAGC generates revenue primarily through the sale of its glass products and materials across different industries. Key revenue streams include automotive glass sales, which cater to vehicle manufacturers and aftermarket services, and architectural glass used in commercial and residential buildings. Additionally, the company earns income from its chemicals and ceramics divisions, producing specialty materials for various applications. Significant partnerships with leading automotive companies and construction firms bolster AGC's market presence, while its focus on research and development allows for the introduction of innovative products that meet customer demands, further contributing to its earnings. The company's global operations also enable it to tap into diverse markets, enhancing its overall revenue potential.

AGC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted some positive developments, particularly in the Automotive segment and operational improvements in Life Science, but these were overshadowed by significant challenges in net sales decline, Life Science losses, and ongoing issues in the Architectural Glass and Electronics segments. Organizational changes aim to address some of these issues, reflecting a commitment to future improvement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Automotive Segment Growth
Automotive segment sales increased by JPY 10.6 billion to JPY 385.6 billion, and operating profit increased by JPY 12 billion to JPY 23.4 billion, driven by structural reforms, productivity improvements, and pricing strategies.
Profit Improvement in Life Science
Despite challenges, the Life Science segment saw a profit improvement of JPY 0.5 billion due to effective fixed cost reductions in biopharmaceutical CDMO.
Strategic Organizational Changes
AGC announced organizational changes aimed at improving the profitability of the Chemicals segment and accelerating productivity innovation, reflecting a forward-thinking strategy.
Operating Profit Increase
Operating profit increased by JPY 0.8 billion to JPY 94.8 billion due to profit improvement measures and pricing policies in displays and other segments.
Negative Updates
Net Sales Decline
Net sales for the first 9 months totaled JPY 1,512.1 billion, down JPY 22.1 billion year-on-year, impacted by a PVC price decline and decreased shipments of EUV photo blanks and European architectural glass.
Life Science Segment Loss
Life Science segment reported a net sales decrease to JPY 96.1 billion and operating loss of JPY 16.2 billion, affected by the nonrecurrence of last year's onetime revenue from contract project settlements and production issues at the Boulder site.
Challenges in Architectural Glass
Operating profit in Architectural Glass decreased by JPY 4 billion due to lower shipments, rising raw material and fuel costs, and the transfer of the Russian business.
Electronics Segment Decline
The Electronics Materials segment experienced a JPY 11.1 billion decrease in sales to JPY 122.2 billion due to lower shipments of EUV mask blanks and yen appreciation.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter earnings briefing for AGC Inc., CFO Shinji Miyaji reported net sales of JPY 1,512.1 billion for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of JPY 22.1 billion. Despite challenges such as a decline in PVC prices and decreased shipments in certain segments, operating profit increased slightly by JPY 0.8 billion to JPY 94.8 billion, driven by profit improvement measures in displays and strategic pricing policies. Net income attributable to owners rose significantly by JPY 145.9 billion to JPY 39.5 billion, aided by the absence of last year's losses related to the Russian business transfer. The company's balance sheet showed total assets of JPY 2,874.2 billion, with a D/E ratio of 0.42x. Operating cash flow was JPY 164.7 billion, although investment activities resulted in a negative cash flow of JPY 126.4 billion, leading to a free cash flow of JPY 38.4 billion. CapEx was reported at JPY 174.1 billion, with depreciation and R&D expenses amounting to JPY 132.6 billion and JPY 44.1 billion, respectively. Segment-wise, Automotive saw an increase in sales and profit, while Life Science faced a lower sales but improved profit scenario. The full-year outlook remains consistent with previous forecasts, with strategic changes announced in the Chemicals segment to enhance profitability.

AGC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AGC's financial performance is challenged by a significant revenue decline and negative net profit margin, indicating losses. Despite stable gross profit margins and a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, the negative return on equity and operational inefficiencies weigh heavily. Cash flow shows improvement, providing some financial flexibility, but overall financial health is impacted by declining revenues and profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
AGC's income statement shows a challenging period with a significant revenue decline of 99.4% in TTM, impacting profitability. The gross profit margin remains stable at around 24%, but the net profit margin is negative, indicating losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates a strong free cash flow growth of 102.6% in TTM, suggesting improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating limited cash available for reinvestment or distribution.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.05T2.07T2.02T2.04T1.70T1.41T
Gross Profit494.73B499.05B481.36B529.38B513.00B359.06B
EBITDA270.91B146.12B315.38B252.23B381.25B209.33B
Net Income34.36B-94.04B65.80B-3.15B123.84B32.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.80T2.89T2.93T2.81T2.67T2.53T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.49B107.99B146.06B209.72B195.83B236.12B
Total Debt650.79B649.74B695.01B650.24B603.19B787.96B
Total Liabilities1.20T1.22T1.28T1.23T1.18T1.29T
Stockholders Equity1.38T1.44T1.45T1.39T1.31T1.12T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.16B42.46B-985.00M-6.78B116.14B33.92B
Operating Cash Flow259.73B284.81B212.55B217.15B326.71B225.39B
Investing Cash Flow-204.69B-195.58B-179.79B-145.31B-123.79B-230.25B
Financing Cash Flow-58.87B-131.95B-108.02B-78.21B-252.26B128.44B

AGC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5299.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4947.08
Positive
100DMA
4731.96
Positive
200DMA
4502.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
102.33
Positive
RSI
65.44
Neutral
STOCH
49.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:5201, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5299 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5134.10, above the 50-day MA of 4947.08, and above the 200-day MA of 4502.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 102.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:5201.

AGC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$352.46B8.379.34%4.53%-0.48%-35.29%
77
Outperform
¥725.76B20.6212.15%1.62%2.62%2.81%
74
Outperform
$265.98B10.085.47%3.55%2.60%9.50%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$693.99B45.902.02%4.21%-4.63%-65.11%
58
Neutral
$1.03T30.033.63%3.99%-1.17%
55
Neutral
$549.88B13.28-1.15%3.46%-6.83%-123.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:5201
AGC
5,299.00
932.31
21.35%
JP:4202
Daicel
1,287.50
20.57
1.62%
JP:4118
Kaneka
4,331.00
1,010.27
30.42%
JP:4182
Mitsubishi Gas Chemical Company
2,580.50
-150.20
-5.50%
JP:4183
Mitsui Chemicals
3,808.00
416.41
12.28%
JP:4403
NOF
3,074.00
911.34
42.14%

AGC Corporate Events

AGC Inc. Announces Executive Leadership Restructuring
Nov 5, 2025

AGC Inc. announced significant changes in its executive leadership, effective January 1, 2026, following a board meeting. These changes involve new assignments for several executive officers and the appointment of new executives, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on strengthening its leadership across key divisions. This restructuring is expected to enhance AGC’s operational efficiency and support its growth objectives in the competitive global market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5201) stock is a Buy with a Yen4800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AGC stock, see the JP:5201 Stock Forecast page.

AGC Inc. Reports Mixed Financial Results for 2025
Nov 5, 2025

AGC Inc. is a diversified global company operating in the glass, electronics, chemicals, and life sciences sectors, known for its innovative solutions and extensive product range. The latest earnings report for AGC Inc. reveals a mixed financial performance for the first nine months of 2025. The company reported a slight decline in net sales to ¥1,512.1 billion, a 1.4% decrease compared to the previous year. However, operating profit saw a marginal increase to ¥94.8 billion, reflecting a 0.9% rise, attributed to profit improvement measures despite challenges such as higher raw material costs. AGC Inc. experienced significant improvements in profitability, with profit before tax reaching ¥73.2 billion, a substantial turnaround from the loss reported in the previous year. This was largely due to the absence of previous losses related to the sale of shares and impairment losses. The profit attributable to owners of the parent also saw a remarkable recovery, reaching ¥39.5 billion. Segment-wise, the Automotive division showed strong growth with a 2.8% increase in net sales, driven by higher shipments in Japan and improved product mix. Conversely, the Architectural Glass and Electronics segments faced declines in net sales due to lower shipments and pricing pressures. The Chemicals segment also reported a decrease in net sales, primarily due to declining PVC prices. Looking ahead, AGC Inc. maintains a cautious yet optimistic outlook, focusing on strategic initiatives to enhance profitability and navigate market challenges, while continuing to leverage its diverse portfolio to drive growth.

AGC Inc. Reports Improved Profitability Despite Sales Decline
Nov 5, 2025

AGC Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, showing a slight decline in net sales by 1.4% compared to the previous year. However, the company achieved a turnaround from a loss to a profit, with a profit before tax of 73,190 million yen, indicating improved operational efficiency. Despite the decrease in total assets and equity, the company maintained its dividend forecast, reflecting confidence in its financial stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:5201) stock is a Buy with a Yen4800.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AGC stock, see the JP:5201 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025