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Alpha Systems Inc. (JP:4719)
:4719

Alpha Systems Inc. (4719) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4719

Alpha Systems Inc.

(4719)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,893.00
▼(-5.62% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is led by strong financial quality—especially a very conservative, debt-free balance sheet and stable margins—tempered by uneven cash-flow performance in 2025. Technicals are supportive with an uptrend across key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is reasonable with a mid-teens P/E and a solid dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
A zero-debt, conservatively positioned balance sheet materially reduces financing risk, enabling the company to fund R&D, support dividends, pursue opportunistic M&A, and weather industry cyclicality without relying on external credit, strengthening long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Operating Cash Flow Volatility
A sharp OCF decline signals material volatility in cash generation. Persistent swings—often from working-capital timing—can undermine funding predictability for capex, dividends and M&A, increasing operational and financing risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Debt-free Balance Sheet
A zero-debt, conservatively positioned balance sheet materially reduces financing risk, enabling the company to fund R&D, support dividends, pursue opportunistic M&A, and weather industry cyclicality without relying on external credit, strengthening long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors

Alpha Systems Inc. (4719) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Alpha Systems Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alpha Systems Inc. develops software for backbone communications systems in Japan. The company develops software for backbone communication systems, such as node systems, mobile network systems, and network management systems. It also develops ope...
How the Company Makes Money
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Alpha Systems Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by a debt-free, steadily growing equity base and stable profitability. Revenue growth is steady but modest for the industry, and the main risk is cash-flow volatility highlighted by a sharp operating cash flow drop in 2025 despite generally good free-cash-flow-to-income conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.18B38.48B36.38B35.55B33.87B31.32B
Gross Profit9.19B8.88B8.49B8.47B8.18B7.41B
EBITDA5.00B4.78B4.58B4.44B4.32B3.62B
Net Income3.38B3.21B3.05B2.92B2.79B2.28B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets49.98B52.06B50.84B48.19B46.85B44.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.71B24.30B27.13B24.04B24.20B21.53B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities6.72B8.59B8.98B8.41B8.73B8.12B
Stockholders Equity43.26B43.47B41.86B39.78B38.12B36.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.40B4.59B2.91B2.77B2.13B
Operating Cash Flow0.001.57B4.71B2.95B2.93B2.24B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.09B-1.14B-1.34B-57.84M342.11M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.61B-983.76M-1.26B-703.42M-983.52M

Alpha Systems Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4125.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3545.04
Negative
100DMA
3760.90
Negative
200DMA
3669.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-17.96
Negative
RSI
50.19
Neutral
STOCH
86.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4719, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4125 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3407.79, above the 50-day MA of 3545.04, and above the 200-day MA of 3669.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -17.96 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4719.

Alpha Systems Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥47.94B12.848.02%2.73%8.26%9.09%
77
Outperform
¥71.98B21.0831.71%1.68%16.12%46.57%
74
Outperform
¥95.21B11.452.59%5.22%-6.62%
74
Outperform
¥64.44B13.292.41%13.05%4.42%
70
Outperform
¥90.70B18.511.02%26.47%142.77%
63
Neutral
¥101.29B56.920.72%22.13%254.87%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4719
Alpha Systems Inc.
3,415.00
381.95
12.59%
JP:4828
Business Engineering Corporation
1,200.00
489.16
68.81%
JP:2492
Infomart Corporation
428.00
78.69
22.53%
JP:4432
WingArc1st Inc.
2,639.00
-951.66
-26.50%
JP:4776
Cybozu, Inc.
1,977.00
-771.68
-28.07%
JP:9692
Computer Engineering & Consulting Ltd.
1,979.00
-43.83
-2.17%

Alpha Systems Inc. Corporate Events

Alpha Systems Realigns Senior Management Roles Across Key Divisions
Mar 19, 2026
Alpha Systems Inc. has announced a series of changes to its managing director roles, effective April 1, 2026, following a resolution by its board of directors on March 19. The reshuffle adjusts responsibilities across the administration and busine...
Alpha Systems Posts Higher Nine-Month Profit, Confirms FY2026 Outlook and Dividend Plan
Feb 9, 2026
Alpha Systems Inc. reported steady growth for the nine months ended Dec. 31, 2025, with net sales up 7.5% year on year to ¥29.87 billion and profit rising 12.2% to ¥2.79 billion, lifting basic earnings per share to ¥198.78. The stro...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025