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KEIWA Incorporated (JP:4251)
:4251
Japanese Market

KEIWA Incorporated (4251) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4251

KEIWA Incorporated

(4251)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,329.00
▲(6.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying financial quality (especially a conservative, improving balance sheet and healthy margins) and supportive valuation (low P/E and ~3.3% yield). Offsetting these positives are weaker cash-flow consistency and mixed/soft technical momentum with the price below key short- to mid-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
KEIWA’s very low and falling leverage plus materially grown equity create durable financial flexibility. A conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports investment or dividend policy through cycles, and strengthens resilience to demand shocks over months.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
Material FCF volatility undermines the company’s ability to consistently fund dividends, buybacks or incremental investment from operations. Even with positive operating cash flow, unpredictable FCF raises structural risk around capital returns and balance sheet reinvestment planning.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
KEIWA’s very low and falling leverage plus materially grown equity create durable financial flexibility. A conservative capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports investment or dividend policy through cycles, and strengthens resilience to demand shocks over months.
Read all positive factors

KEIWA Incorporated (4251) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

KEIWA Incorporated Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
KEIWA Incorporated manufactures and sells optical sheets and functional products in Japan. The company provides light diffusion sheets used in backlight units of liquid crystal displays of smartphones; components for special optical films, such as...

KEIWA Incorporated Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are supported by a strong balance sheet (low leverage and improving capital base), and profitability remains solid (2025 gross margin ~43%, operating margin ~21%). However, business momentum cooled with revenue down ~4% in 2025 and net margin declining to ~11%. Cash flow is the key weak spot due to sharply lower and historically volatile free cash flow (¥0.6B in 2025 vs ~¥3.7B in 2024, with multiple prior negative-FCF years).
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.40B20.47B21.13B17.57B21.10B18.13B
Gross Profit9.86B8.78B9.88B7.24B10.19B7.21B
EBITDA5.62B6.39B5.69B4.38B8.26B4.67B
Net Income1.91B2.27B2.79B1.98B4.86B2.57B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.97B30.95B32.32B29.59B29.33B28.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.52B9.38B11.44B8.65B10.29B9.03B
Total Debt2.50B2.07B3.33B3.97B4.77B6.19B
Total Liabilities8.12B7.08B9.36B9.23B10.43B14.62B
Stockholders Equity21.84B23.86B22.96B20.36B18.91B14.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00615.72M3.71B-520.21M2.19B-457.81M
Operating Cash Flow0.003.55B5.92B2.45B6.76B2.18B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-3.03B-2.72B-3.91B-4.00B-2.27B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.72B-1.35B-1.55B-1.68B4.95B

KEIWA Incorporated Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1252.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1300.56
Negative
100DMA
1253.46
Negative
200DMA
1183.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-31.51
Positive
RSI
43.18
Neutral
STOCH
35.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4251, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1252 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1246.50, below the 50-day MA of 1300.56, and above the 200-day MA of 1183.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -31.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4251.

KEIWA Incorporated Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥26.54B13.322.89%6.15%2.98%
73
Outperform
¥26.26B7.341.78%4.47%12.28%
72
Outperform
¥29.91B15.641.91%3.14%11.04%
72
Outperform
¥22.33B7.242.84%8.78%16.25%
70
Outperform
¥23.10B7.862.74%6.23%82.47%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
¥27.91B3.470.31%1.75%-14.20%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4251
KEIWA Incorporated
1,198.00
442.45
58.56%
JP:6986
Futaba
658.00
231.50
54.28%
JP:6626
Semitec Corporation
2,309.00
1,020.17
79.15%
JP:6653
Seiko Electric Co., Ltd.
2,228.00
1,275.43
133.89%
JP:6850
Chino Corporation
1,497.00
704.09
88.80%
JP:6874
Kyoritsu Electric Corporation
2,661.00
954.71
55.95%

KEIWA Incorporated Corporate Events

KEIWA Posts Lower 2025 Earnings but Signals Recovery With Higher Dividend and Strong 2026 Outlook
Feb 13, 2026
KEIWA Incorporated reported a decline in full-year 2025 results, with net sales down 3.1% to ¥20.47 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent falling 18.7% to ¥2.27 billion, as margins tightened and both operating and ordin...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026