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Zeon Corporation (JP:4205)
:4205

Zeon (4205) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4205

Zeon

(4205)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,265.00
▲(24.76% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/28/25
Zeon's strong technical momentum and reasonable valuation are the most significant factors driving its score. While financial performance is solid, recent declines in profitability metrics suggest areas for improvement. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates durable product demand and market penetration across Zeon’s specialty-chemicals end markets. Over a multi-month horizon this supports scale advantages, steadier cash flows, and provides headroom to invest in R&D and capacity to maintain competitive position.
Balance Sheet Strength
Low leverage and a solid equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund capex, withstand cyclicality, and pursue strategic initiatives without stressing liquidity. This structural strength reduces refinancing risk and supports long-term capital allocation resilience.
Gross Margin Quality
A strong gross margin signals pricing power and operational efficiency in specialty products, which are defensible over time. Reliable margin structure helps absorb input cost swings, sustain operating profitability, and fund strategic spending that preserves competitive differentiation.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Margin
A falling net margin suggests rising operating or non-operating costs that are eroding bottom-line conversion. If persistent, this reduces retained earnings and cash available for reinvestment or shareholder returns, increasing sensitivity to revenue slowdowns over months.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Decreasing and volatile free cash flow driven by higher capex weakens the company’s ability to convert earnings into discretionary cash. Over a multi-month horizon this can constrain dividend funding, limit debt paydown, or force external financing for growth projects.
Limited Investor Communications
Absence of public earnings-call detail or notable corporate events reduces investor visibility into management’s outlook and capital allocation choices. Persisting opacity can hinder market confidence and makes monitoring operational execution harder over the medium term.

Zeon (4205) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Zeon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZeon Corporation engages in the elastomers, specialty materials, and other businesses. The company offers synthetic rubbers, such as general-purpose rubbers for use in automobile tire applications; and various specialty rubbers, including NBR and hydrogenated NBR. It also provides synthetic latex comprising styrene-butadiene copolymer latex, polybutadiene, acrylonitrile butadiene copolymer latex, acrylate latex, and soap-free latex for use in processed paper, fiber treatment agents, adhesives, paints, and rubber gloves; and materials for adhesive tapes and hot melt adhesives, binder for traffic paints, and concrete admixtures. In addition, the company offers specialty chemicals, such as synthetic aroma chemicals for flavors and fragrances; cyclopentene, cyclopentanone, and other derivatives for chemical synthesis; intermediates for pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals; and solvents and cleaning agents. Further, it provides electronic materials, rechargeable battery materials, and toners for the production of semiconductors, etching gas, and materials used in rechargeable battery production; and specialty plastics that include cyclo olefin polymers and fine processed products with cyclo olefin polymer for use in optical lenses, medical devices, and various general-purpose engineering plastics. Additionally, the company develops, manufactures, and sells cardiovascular and gastrointestinal medical equipment, as well as nutritional products; and licenses butadiene recovery and butene purification process technologies in approximately 23 countries worldwide. It also offers PENTAM, a resource- and energy-saving molded product. The company was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyZeon generates revenue through the production and sale of its core products across several industries. The primary revenue stream comes from the sale of synthetic rubber, which is widely used in the automotive sector for tires and other components. Additionally, Zeon earns income from its specialty chemicals and advanced materials, which cater to the electronics industry and healthcare applications. Significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and electronics companies enhance its market reach and stability. The company's focus on research and development facilitates the introduction of new products, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Zeon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Zeon displays strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and robust equity management. However, recent declines in net profit margin and free cash flow suggest areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Zeon has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in the most recent year. The gross profit margin is strong, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures impacting net income.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting low financial leverage. The return on equity is solid, implying effective use of shareholders' investments to generate profit. The equity ratio also indicates a stable financial structure with significant equity financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Zeon has experienced fluctuations in free cash flow, with a decline in recent periods due to higher capital expenditures. The operating cash flow remains positive, but the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting potential challenges in converting earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue417.63B420.65B382.28B388.61B361.73B301.96B
Gross Profit121.19B118.23B102.51B109.64B120.36B97.55B
EBITDA51.82B52.51B64.04B34.93B67.83B56.45B
Net Income25.52B26.20B31.10B10.57B33.41B27.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets504.85B533.79B532.25B522.87B484.66B448.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.87B27.37B42.78B30.08B47.27B51.97B
Total Debt34.55B28.28B10.51B29.84B20.52B20.62B
Total Liabilities148.57B175.79B168.53B183.56B162.82B150.57B
Stockholders Equity355.66B357.34B362.47B336.40B318.75B295.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-8.32B13.74B-9.89B9.86B32.69B
Operating Cash Flow0.0020.78B47.41B14.36B33.14B56.08B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-22.03B-5.43B-28.90B-26.44B-30.24B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-17.12B-30.09B-2.82B-11.88B-8.26B

Zeon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1815.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1954.90
Negative
100DMA
1844.36
Negative
200DMA
1708.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-35.84
Positive
RSI
37.52
Neutral
STOCH
15.34
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4205, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1815.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1973.00, below the 50-day MA of 1954.90, and above the 200-day MA of 1708.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -35.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4205.

Zeon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥347.42B5.469.34%4.27%-0.48%-35.29%
79
Outperform
¥337.72B14.169.59%3.91%0.87%16.71%
76
Outperform
¥431.17B17.676.52%1.82%3.25%-11.31%
74
Outperform
¥293.05B9.055.47%3.41%2.60%9.50%
68
Neutral
¥1.98T17.0111.98%1.54%1.84%-6.57%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
¥707.87B12.792.01%3.82%-4.63%-65.11%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4205
Zeon
1,768.00
249.48
16.43%
JP:4202
Daicel
1,307.50
7.05
0.54%
JP:4118
Kaneka
4,634.00
905.29
24.28%
JP:4183
Mitsui Chemicals
1,810.50
86.87
5.04%
JP:6988
Nitto Denko
3,073.00
216.88
7.59%
JP:4203
Sumitomo Bakelite Co., Ltd.
4,920.00
1,463.13
42.33%

Zeon Corporate Events

Zeon Revamps Management, Promotes Two New Corporate Officers
Feb 27, 2026

Zeon Corporation has announced changes to its management structure, appointing Toyoaki Kishikawa and Akira Honma as new corporate officers effective April 1, 2026. Kishikawa, currently division manager of the Production Innovation Center, and Honma, currently plant manager of the Tokuyama Plant, will join the corporate officer ranks in a move aimed at strengthening governance and aligning leadership with the company’s operational and innovation priorities.

The appointments signal an internal promotion of operational leaders into higher management roles, suggesting Zeon is leveraging in-house expertise to support its next phase of organizational development. By elevating executives from production innovation and plant management, the company appears focused on reinforcing its manufacturing capabilities and innovation pipeline, with potential implications for efficiency, competitiveness, and long-term strategic execution.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4205) stock is a Buy with a Yen2306.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zeon stock, see the JP:4205 Stock Forecast page.

Zeon Overhauls Governance With New CXO Management Structure
Feb 6, 2026

Zeon Corporation has announced it will abolish its traditional headquarters structure and introduce a CXO-based management system from April 1, 2026, shifting to a framework where a team of chief officers makes medium- to long-term, company-wide decisions. Under the new structure, President Tetsuya Toyoshima will become President & CEO, Kazuyoshi Matsuura will serve as Director, Senior Corporate Officer & CFO, and Yuichiro Konishi will become Director, Senior Corporate Officer & CTO, while other directors’ roles remain unchanged; the company aims to speed up decision-making, delegate more operational authority to divisions, and enable top management to focus on strategic resource allocation and long-term corporate value enhancement.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4205) stock is a Buy with a Yen2106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zeon stock, see the JP:4205 Stock Forecast page.

Zeon Lifts Profits and Dividend Outlook Despite Slight Sales Decline
Jan 30, 2026

Zeon Corporation reported consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, showing a 1.8% decline in net sales to ¥309.7 billion but a 14.2% increase in operating profit to ¥27.6 billion and a 40.7% jump in profit attributable to owners of parent to ¥28.3 billion, reflecting improved profitability despite softer top-line growth. The company’s financial position remained solid with total assets of ¥550.3 billion and an equity ratio of 65.7%, it maintained its annual dividend plan with a slight increase to a projected ¥72 per share for the year to March 2026, and it revised its full-year earnings forecast upward for profit metrics while anticipating slightly lower sales, underscoring a focus on margin improvement and shareholder returns amid changes in consolidation scope and accounting policies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4205) stock is a Buy with a Yen2093.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zeon stock, see the JP:4205 Stock Forecast page.

Zeon Lifts Profit Outlook Despite Lower Sales on Specialty Materials Strength and Weak Yen
Jan 30, 2026

Zeon Corporation has revised its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, slightly lowering expected net sales to ¥407.5 billion but raising projections for operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent. Despite weaker revenue in its Elastomer Business Segment due to lower selling prices driven by falling raw material costs, the company anticipates stronger performance in its Specialty Material Business Segment on the back of steady demand for optical films for large-screen TVs and battery materials, as well as a profit boost from the continued depreciation of the yen, resulting in a higher earnings-per-share outlook compared with the previous forecast and the prior fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4205) stock is a Buy with a Yen2093.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zeon stock, see the JP:4205 Stock Forecast page.

Zeon Cancels 2.79% of Outstanding Shares to Tighten Capital Base
Jan 7, 2026

Zeon Corporation has completed the cancellation of 6,000,600 of its own common shares, representing 2.79% of its issued shares prior to the move, following a resolution by its board of directors in late December 2025. The cancellation, effective January 7, 2026, reduces the company’s total number of issued shares to 209,251,256, a capital measure that typically aims to enhance capital efficiency and could support shareholder value by increasing the relative ownership stake of remaining shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4205) stock is a Buy with a Yen2011.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Zeon stock, see the JP:4205 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025