Toda Kogyo Corp. (4100) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥7.98B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 15.72K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.08
• Revenue Growth: 12.11%
• EPS Growth: 46.97%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,112
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Chemicals - Specialty
• EPS (TTM): -35.06
• Shares Outstanding: 6,099,192
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 14,410
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 15,720
• PEG Ratio: 3.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.59
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.21
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.28
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 56 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥1,602.00 ▲(39.30% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 01/22/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 01/22/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses, negative margins/ROE, and high leverage), partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation is constrained by a negative P/E, reflecting unprofitable earnings.

Positive Factors

Diversified industrial end-markets

Toda Kogyo supplies core inorganic pigments and functional powders across multiple stable industrial sectors. That broad end-market exposure (coatings, construction, plastics, inks) reduces customer concentration risk and supports steady baseline demand over months, aiding revenue resilience.

Free cash flow improvement

Turning free cash flow positive is a durable improvement in cash generation ability. It strengthens liquidity, helps service debt and fund maintenance capex without external financing, and provides the company flexibility to invest in product development or gradual deleveraging over the medium term.

Solid gross profit economics

A strong gross margin indicates the core pigment and functional powder products have healthy unit economics or pricing power. That foundational margin offers scope to restore operating profitability through tighter SG&A and efficiency measures, supporting sustainable margin recovery if managed over months.

Negative Factors

High financial leverage

Significant leverage raises long-term financial risk: interest servicing constraints limit strategic flexibility, increase vulnerability to demand shocks, and restrict capacity for investment or acquisitions. High debt complicates recovery timelines and increases refinancing risk over the medium term.

Negative operating and net margins

Sustained negative EBIT/net margins and negative EBITDA point to structural profitability issues beyond temporary seasonality. Continued losses depress equity, impede reinvestment and R&D funding, and make it harder to rebuild ROE, requiring meaningful operational fixes to restore durable profitability.

Revenue and cash flow volatility

Recurrent revenue swings and volatile operating cash flows hinder forecasting and capital planning. This volatility weakens the predictability of margins and cash available for debt reduction or capex, increasing the chance that future downturns could reverse recent cash-flow improvements.

Toda Kogyo Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Toda Kogyo Corp. manufactures and sells functional pigments and electronic materials in Japan and internationally. It offers electronic printing materials, including toner materials for printers and copying machines, carriers for color printers and copying machines, and magnetic materials for printers and copying machines, as well as high-chroma pigments for use in cosmetics. The company also provides metal-compatible IC/NFC tags, flexible ferrite sheets, complex noise suppression sheets, multi-functional compounds, noise suppression compound for electric wires and cables, wireless power charger coils for wearable devices, and ultra-thin flexible ferrite sheets; and flexible ferrite sheets for RFID, WPC, digitizers, noise suppression, and NFC antennas. In addition, it offers lithium cobaltate, lithium-nickel oxide, and lithium manganate battery materials for personal computers, mobile phones, hybrid cars, and industrial applications; and electronic materials for inductors and capacitors, magnetic recording materials for magnetic cards, and magnetic materials for general purpose and advanced applications. Further, the company provides environmentally functional and remediation materials comprising raw materials for lead-free vinyl chloride stabilizers; anion catchers for various resins; dioxin reduction and functional compounds for crow-repellent garbage bags, etc.; ligneous biomass hydrogen production systems; and CO2 reduction systems. Additionally, it offers pigments for colored pavements, reflective pigments to combat the heat island phenomenon, non-lead pigments for center lines, and pigments for coatings and resins; magnetic recording materials for digital recording media used with computers and video tapes for broadcasting; and electromagnetic wave shielding materials for displays and catalysts for fuel cells. The company was founded in 1823 and is headquartered in Hiroshima, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Toda Kogyo Corp. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its chemical products to various industries. The company's key revenue streams include the production of coatings and adhesives, which cater to automotive manufacturers and construction companies, as well as specialty chemicals used in electronics manufacturing. The company benefits from long-term contracts and partnerships with major industrial clients, which provide a stable income base. Additionally, Toda Kogyo invests in research and development to create innovative products, thereby enhancing its market position and driving growth. The company's focus on sustainability and eco-friendly products also aligns with current market trends, potentially attracting new customers and increasing sales.

Toda Kogyo Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: revenue has been volatile with a recent decline and only partial recovery; profitability is weak with negative EBIT/net margins and negative EBITDA. Free cash flow improved to positive in the latest year, but leverage is high (elevated debt-to-equity) and ROE is negative due to losses.

Income Statement

Toda Kogyo Corp. has demonstrated fluctuating revenue over the past years, with a recent decline from 2023 to 2024 and a partial recovery in 2025. The company shows negative net and EBIT margins for the latest year, indicating profitability challenges. Despite a strong gross profit margin, the negative EBITDA reflects difficulties in managing operating expenses effectively.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, signaling significant leverage. However, the equity ratio indicates a stable level of stockholder equity relative to total assets. The return on equity is negative due to the net losses, which is a concern for investors seeking returns.

Cash Flow

There is noticeable volatility in operating cash flows, with an improvement in 2025. The company has managed to generate positive free cash flow in the latest year, an improvement from past negative figures. Nonetheless, the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in converting accounting profits to cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	31.66B	31.67B	26.23B	34.93B	35.33B	29.02B
Gross Profit	5.91B	5.58B	5.75B	7.31B	7.83B	4.62B
EBITDA	733.00M	386.00M	1.30B	2.37B	3.31B	1.09B
Net Income	-3.70B	-3.56B	-3.58B	3.27B	3.12B	-4.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	49.15B	50.67B	53.71B	52.02B	51.29B	41.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.34B	8.08B	8.16B	8.48B	7.96B	6.63B
Total Debt	27.18B	27.90B	27.47B	25.85B	24.80B	23.24B
Total Liabilities	38.04B	38.89B	39.19B	35.45B	37.33B	32.41B
Stockholders Equity	10.48B	11.13B	13.96B	15.93B	12.52B	8.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	1.04B	-2.13B	-1.07B	120.00M	-410.00M
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	3.96B	-754.00M	672.00M	839.00M	535.00M
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-2.40B	-1.64B	-479.00M	-1.28B	-1.36B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.76B	1.50B	452.00M	1.12B	1.63B

Toda Kogyo Corp. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1150.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4100, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1150 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1440.90, below the 50-day MA of 1433.56, and below the 200-day MA of 1291.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -13.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4100.

Toda Kogyo Corp. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4623	72 Outperform	¥6.59B	7.93	―	3.50%	-8.27%	-3.23%
4629	70 Outperform	¥7.84B	8.04	―	2.51%	2.26%	51.04%
4119	66 Neutral	¥7.85B	2.66	―	2.84%	37.67%	-117.29%
5695	63 Neutral	¥7.54B	38.30	―	6.58%	4.80%	97.52%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
4406	61 Neutral	¥7.76B	22.69	―	1.35%	-2.76%	-25.24%
4100	56 Neutral	¥7.98B	-8.19	―	―	12.11%	46.97%

Toda Kogyo Corp. Corporate Events

Toda Kogyo Corp. Shows Signs of Recovery Amidst Financial Challenges

Toda Kogyo Corp. reported its consolidated financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, showing a slight decline in net sales compared to the previous year. Despite a challenging market environment, the company managed to improve its operating profit, indicating a potential recovery in its financial performance. However, the company still faces challenges with a negative profit attributable to owners of the parent, reflecting ongoing financial pressures. The company has revised its full-year forecast, indicating cautious optimism about future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4100) stock is a Hold with a Yen1165.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toda Kogyo Corp. stock, see the JP:4100 Stock Forecast page.