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Tokuyama Corporation (JP:4043)
:4043

Tokuyama (4043) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4043

Tokuyama

(4043)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥4,117.00
▼(-1.70% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (improving margins, strong equity base, and rising free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a moderate dividend). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD indicating a soft trend.
Positive Factors
Improving Profitability
Higher gross and net margins reflect sustained cost controls and better product mix, improving durable earnings power. Margin expansion supports reinvestment in specialty materials and cushions against commodity cycles, strengthening long-term competitiveness and free cash generation.
Negative Factors
Input Cost Exposure
Energy- and feedstock-intensive operations leave margins exposed to volatile commodity and power markets. If costs spike and customer pass-through is limited, profitability can be structurally compressed, making earnings sensitive to external commodity cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Profitability
Higher gross and net margins reflect sustained cost controls and better product mix, improving durable earnings power. Margin expansion supports reinvestment in specialty materials and cushions against commodity cycles, strengthening long-term competitiveness and free cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Tokuyama (4043) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokuyama Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokuyama Corporation produces and sells various chemical products in Japan. The company operates through six segments: Chemicals, Cement, Electronics Materials, Life Science, Eco Business, and Others. The Chemicals segment offers caustic soda, sod...
How the Company Makes Money
Tokuyama primarily makes money by manufacturing products in its core business segments and selling them to industrial customers under contracted and spot arrangements, with revenue recognized from product shipments. Key revenue streams include: (1...

Tokuyama Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are solid: improving profitability (gross margin 31.52%, net margin 6.82%) and stable leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.42, equity ratio 54.94%). Cash generation is strong with free cash flow up 22.83%, though operating cash flow showed some variability (OCF-to-net income down to 2.24).
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue342.38B343.07B341.99B351.79B293.83B302.41B
Gross Profit109.27B109.58B100.85B92.09B96.18B95.71B
EBITDA50.13B49.72B43.41B35.39B44.27B47.94B
Net Income20.90B23.39B17.75B9.36B28.00B24.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets474.44B476.21B457.36B478.34B433.21B386.79B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.84B75.54B48.68B68.08B83.12B83.68B
Total Debt111.74B110.69B105.78B142.45B109.22B98.44B
Total Liabilities197.73B202.34B197.41B236.73B200.29B181.53B
Stockholders Equity262.17B261.56B249.26B229.45B224.51B198.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0029.77B24.24B-43.72B-5.90B19.51B
Operating Cash Flow0.0052.37B55.83B-11.80B25.99B43.31B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-23.48B-30.41B-33.76B-33.80B-19.28B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-1.11B-46.51B30.15B5.12B-22.53B

Tokuyama Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4188.00
Price Trends
50DMA
4111.60
Negative
100DMA
4075.07
Negative
200DMA
3708.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-119.23
Positive
RSI
43.93
Neutral
STOCH
41.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4043, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4188 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3940.85, above the 50-day MA of 4111.60, and above the 200-day MA of 3708.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -119.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:4043.

Tokuyama Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥358.31B5.469.34%4.27%-0.48%-35.29%
74
Outperform
¥303.74B9.055.47%3.41%2.60%9.50%
65
Neutral
¥273.99B11.039.45%2.65%-0.04%3.15%
65
Neutral
¥358.27B10.698.14%2.61%-1.45%
65
Neutral
¥245.79B6.131.47%4.29%-7.45%-71.68%
63
Neutral
¥238.90B17.361.00%-3.06%45.21%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4043
Tokuyama
3,808.00
945.19
33.02%
JP:4202
Daicel
1,348.50
15.01
1.13%
JP:4631
DIC
3,785.00
747.40
24.61%
JP:4118
Kaneka
4,803.00
916.11
23.57%
JP:4208
UBE Industries
2,518.00
312.44
14.17%
JP:4046
OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.
1,834.00
108.21
6.27%

Tokuyama Corporate Events

Tokuyama Cuts FY2025 Earnings Forecast on Weak Chemical Pricing
Jan 30, 2026
Tokuyama Corporation has lowered its full-year forecast for fiscal 2025, cutting projected net sales from ¥364.5 billion to ¥351.5 billion and reducing expected operating and ordinary profit from ¥41.5 billion to ¥39.0 billion,...
Tokuyama Lifts Operating Profit but Cuts Forecast on Weak Vinyl Chloride Markets
Jan 30, 2026
Tokuyama reported that while the consolidation of the Tokuyama Life Science Group and solid demand for semiconductor-related products supported revenue, overall net sales declined year on year due to worsening overseas market conditions for vinyl ...
Tokuyama Lifts Profit Outlook and Dividends on Strong Q3, Expands Life-Science Footprint
Jan 30, 2026
Tokuyama reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 consolidated results showing essentially flat net sales at ¥251.5 billion but a strong improvement in profitability, with operating profit up 26.9% to ¥26.7 billion and profit attributable to o...
Tokuyama Reshapes Top Management, Elevates Eco-Business Leader as New President
Jan 23, 2026
Tokuyama Corporation has announced a leadership reshuffle effective April 1, 2026, as part of the introduction of a new management structure. Current President and Executive Officer Hiroshi Yokota will become Representative Director, Chairman and ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026