Loadstar Capital KK (3482) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥50.03B
• Dividend Yield: 2.38%
• Average Volume (3M): 145.61K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.17
• Revenue Growth: 33.64%
• EPS Growth: -0.28%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 62
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Services
• EPS (TTM): 44.73
• Shares Outstanding: 21,444,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 121,720
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 145,613
• PEG Ratio: 0.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.60
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.19
• P/FCF Ratio: -2.19
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥3,263.00 ▲(8.23% Upside)

Loadstar Capital KK's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are offset by technical indicators suggesting weak momentum and significant risks from high leverage and negative cash flows. The stock's undervaluation and dividend yield provide some support, but caution is advised due to liquidity concerns.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth Momentum

A 33.6% reported revenue increase signals durable top-line momentum and stronger market traction. Sustained high revenue growth supports operating leverage, funds reinvestment in core services, and enhances the company's ability to scale margins and service higher fixed costs over the next 2–6 months.

Robust Profitability and Margins

Healthy gross, net, EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate efficient cost control and resilient operating performance. Margin strength gives management flexibility to invest in growth or absorb cyclical pressures, supporting sustainable earnings generation beyond short-term revenue swings.

Solid Equity Base and ROE

An increasing equity base and commendable ROE provide financial resilience and credibility with lenders and counterparties. This strengthens capital structure durability, enabling the company to fund strategic initiatives or weather downturns without immediate equity dilution.

Negative Factors

High Leverage

A high debt-to-equity ratio heightens refinancing, interest‑rate and covenant risk. Elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility for investments or acquisitions, increases fixed obligations, and can amplify stress if cash generation weakens over the medium term.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative free cash flow driven by operating outflows signals that reported profits are not translating into cash. Persistent cash deficits constrain organic reinvestment, increase reliance on external financing, and raise liquidity risk if capital markets tighten.

Cash Earnings Shortfall vs. Net Income

A negative operating‑cash‑to‑net‑income ratio indicates earnings quality issues: accruals or non‑cash items are inflating net income vs. cash generation. This structural mismatch undermines sustainable dividend capacity and increases risk around earnings persistence.

Loadstar Capital KK Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Loadstar Capital K.K. engages in real estate investment business in Japan. The company invests in, purchases, manages, and sells office buildings, multipurpose buildings, apartment buildings, etc., as well as provides real estate brokerage and consulting services. It also operates OwnersBook, a real estate investment crowdfunding platform; and provides asset management services. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Loadstar Capital KK generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from management fees and performance fees associated with its asset management services. The company charges management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) for its investment funds, which provides a steady income stream. Additionally, Loadstar earns performance fees when the returns on its investments exceed predetermined benchmarks, incentivizing the firm to achieve high performance for its clients. The company may also generate revenue through advisory fees from its strategic consulting services, particularly in mergers and acquisitions or capital raising activities. Partnerships with other financial institutions and strategic investors enhance Loadstar's investment opportunities and can lead to co-investment arrangements that drive additional earnings.

Loadstar Capital KK Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Loadstar Capital KK shows strong revenue growth and profitability with efficient cost management. However, high leverage and negative cash flows pose significant risks, necessitating improved cash flow management and debt reduction.

Income Statement

Loadstar Capital KK has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin and net profit margin are robust, showing efficient cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating strong operational performance. However, the rapid revenue growth may face sustainability challenges in the long term.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a strong equity base with increasing stockholders' equity, supporting a moderate equity ratio. However, the company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity is commendable, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow due to substantial operating cash outflows, which could be concerning for liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash earnings are not supporting net income adequately. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting potential issues in cash generation from operations.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	40.01B	34.42B	28.73B	23.64B	17.92B	16.98B
Gross Profit	16.25B	13.35B	10.07B	9.36B	6.96B	5.63B
EBITDA	15.26B	12.42B	8.94B	8.13B	6.09B	5.02B
Net Income	8.44B	6.87B	4.88B	4.84B	3.46B	2.70B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	123.20B	107.40B	75.47B	65.70B	56.98B	51.16B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	12.04B	12.65B	11.93B	9.40B	7.93B	7.33B
Total Debt	74.11B	62.76B	41.86B	37.77B	33.34B	31.92B
Total Liabilities	94.04B	81.76B	56.18B	50.94B	46.14B	43.44B
Stockholders Equity	29.16B	25.64B	19.29B	14.77B	10.85B	7.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-18.71B	-790.00M	-1.67B	-450.00M	-4.12B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	-18.66B	-789.00M	-1.52B	-450.00M	-4.12B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-475.00M	-1.00M	-232.00M	12.00M	0.00
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	19.86B	3.31B	3.23B	1.01B	3.69B

Loadstar Capital KK Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3015.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3482, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3015 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3048.65, above the 50-day MA of 2929.98, and above the 200-day MA of 2830.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3482.

Loadstar Capital KK Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8935	77 Outperform	¥55.57B	7.45	―	3.64%	15.82%	22.32%
2986	76 Outperform	¥79.36B	13.29	―	5.71%	8.07%	12.06%
8864	70 Outperform	¥49.94B	17.53	―	2.93%	26.99%	-26.97%
3245	69 Neutral	¥55.26B	9.21	―	5.74%	67.46%	68.52%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
3482	65 Neutral	¥50.03B	7.88	―	2.38%	33.64%	-0.28%
3252	62 Neutral	¥71.50B	16.83	―	2.89%	-3.09%	-35.66%

Loadstar Capital KK Corporate Events

Loadstar Capital to Sell Major Tokyo Office-Retail Property With Significant Profit Impact

Loadstar Capital K.K. has resolved to sell a 12-story steel-framed office and retail property located in Tokyo’s Chiyoda ward, as approved by its board of directors. While the buyer’s identity and the transaction price remain undisclosed due to confidentiality obligations, the company indicated that the sale amount exceeds 10% of its latest annual consolidated net sales and that the profit from the deal will surpass 30% of its operating, ordinary, and net profit, underscoring the transaction’s material scale. The sale contract is scheduled to be signed on December 23, 2025, with settlement expected on February 27, 2026, and Loadstar plans to incorporate the financial impact of the disposal into its consolidated earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3482) stock is a Hold with a Yen3112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loadstar Capital KK stock, see the JP:3482 Stock Forecast page.

Loadstar Capital K.K. Announces Major Real Estate Sale in Tokyo

Loadstar Capital K.K. announced the sale of a significant real estate asset located in Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, which includes office and residential spaces. The transaction, which is valued at over 10% of the company’s consolidated net sales, is expected to impact the company’s financial performance for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3482) stock is a Hold with a Yen3112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Loadstar Capital KK stock, see the JP:3482 Stock Forecast page.