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Toray Industries (JP:3402)
:3402

Toray Industries (3402) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3402

Toray Industries

(3402)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,224.00
▲(10.72% Upside)
Toray Industries' overall stock score reflects a stable but challenged financial performance, with concerns about growth and cash generation. The technical analysis suggests potential for moderate gains, but the high valuation could limit upside potential. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Diversified product and end-market exposure
Toray’s broad portfolio across fibers, plastics, carbon-fiber composites and water-treatment solutions supplies apparel, automotive, aerospace, electronics and infrastructure. This diversification reduces reliance on any single cycle and anchors demand across structurally different markets over the medium term.
Solid balance sheet and moderate leverage
A 51.23% equity ratio and debt/equity around 0.54 provide financial flexibility to fund R&D and capex for higher-value segments like carbon fiber. Moderate leverage lowers refinancing risk and supports strategic investments and resilience through industry cycles over the coming months.
Sustained gross margin and operational profitability
A near 19.8% gross margin and positive EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate structural cost control and a meaningful share of value-added products. That margin base helps preserve earnings power while shifting sales mix toward specialty materials and higher-margin composite applications over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow and weak cash conversion
FCF down -15.72% TTM with operating cash flow only 0.28x net income and FCF 0.23x net income signals persistent cash generation weakness. This constrains self-funding of capex, dividends, or debt paydown and limits strategic optionality over the next several quarters.
Negative revenue growth trend
Top-line has contracted (recent 3M -2.18% and TTM ~-0.71%), suggesting demand softness or competitive pressure. Continued revenue stagnation hampers scale benefits and makes it harder to absorb fixed costs while investing in higher-margin growth areas like composites.
Low return on equity
ROE near 3.95% indicates limited returns on shareholder capital and potential inefficiencies in asset utilization or capital allocation. Over months this can restrict the company’s ability to generate shareholder value and may pressure management to improve operational productivity.

Toray Industries (3402) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Toray Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToray Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and sells fibers and textiles, performance chemicals, carbon fiber composite materials, environment and engineering products, and life science products in Japan, China, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers filament yarns, staple fibers, and spun yarns, as well as woven and knitted fabrics of nylon, polyester, acrylics, and others; non-woven fabrics; ultra-fine fibers; and apparel products. It also provides nylon, ABS, PBT, PPS, and other resins and molded products; polyolefin foam products; polyester, polyethylene, polypropylene, and other films; processed film products; raw materials for synthetic fibers and other plastics; fine chemicals; electronic and information materials; and graphic materials. In addition, the company offers carbon fibers, carbon fiber composite materials, and molded products; analysis, physical evaluation, research, and other services; and pharmaceuticals, medical devices, etc. Further, it provides engineering services; condominiums; industrial equipment and machinery; IT-related equipment; water treatment membranes and related equipment; and materials for housing, building, and civil engineering applications. The company was formerly known as Toyo Rayon Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Toray Industries, Inc. in 1970. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyToray Industries generates revenue through a diversified model that encompasses several key streams. The primary source of income comes from the sale of fibers and textiles, including synthetic fibers used in apparel and industrial applications. Additionally, the company earns significant revenue from its plastics and chemicals segment, which produces engineering plastics and chemical products for various industries. The carbon fiber composite materials division is also a crucial revenue driver, particularly in aerospace and automotive sectors, where demand for lightweight and high-strength materials is increasing. Toray has formed strategic partnerships and collaborations with leading companies, enhancing its market reach and technological capabilities. Furthermore, investments in R&D enable Toray to innovate and maintain a competitive edge, contributing to its overall earnings. The company's comprehensive approach to sustainability and eco-friendly products also resonates with consumers, further solidifying its revenue base.

Toray Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2024
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance with record high core operating income and significant revenue increases across key segments like Performance Chemicals and Carbon Fiber Composite Materials. However, challenges remain in asset management and specific segments like Life Science and Fibers & Textiles in Korea.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Core Operating Income
Core operating income for the first 6 months reached JPY 79.1 billion, marking a 62.6% increase compared to the previous year and setting a record high.
Increased Revenue and Profit
Consolidated revenue for the 6 months increased by 7.9% to JPY 1,294.1 billion, and profit increased by 92.3% to JPY 55.5 billion compared to the same period last year.
Strong Performance in Performance Chemicals
Revenue in the Performance Chemicals segment increased by 10.3% to JPY 477.5 billion, with core operating income surging by 134.2% to JPY 34 billion.
Carbon Fiber Composite Materials Growth
The Carbon Fiber Composite Materials segment saw an 8.3% rise in revenue to JPY 152.8 billion, with core operating income increasing by 54.4% to JPY 11.7 billion.
Strategic Pricing Initiatives
Strategic pricing initiatives are expected to improve core operating income by more than JPY 10 billion, with effects already being seen ahead of schedule.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Total Assets
Total assets decreased by JPY 100.7 billion from the end of the previous fiscal year due to decreases in trade and other receivables.
Decline in Life Science Segment Profit
In the Life Science segment, core operating income decreased by JPY 0.1 billion to negative JPY 0.6 billion, impacted by generic drug competition and stagnant overseas sales.
Challenges in the Fibers & Textiles Business in Korea
In Korea, the supply and demand balance of nonwoven fabric worsened, although sales of filament and staple fibers improved.
Company Guidance
In the Q2 2025 earnings call for Toray Group, Masahiko Okamoto reported robust financial performance with consolidated revenue rising 7.9% to JPY 1,294.1 billion and core operating income soaring 62.6% to JPY 79.1 billion compared to the previous year. The company achieved a profit increase of 92.3% to JPY 55.5 billion. Notably, Toray has revised its fiscal year forecast upwards, now expecting revenue of JPY 2,590 billion, core operating income of JPY 145 billion, and profit of JPY 88 billion, based on an exchange rate assumption of JPY 140 to the U.S. dollar. Core segments such as Performance Chemicals saw significant gains, with core operating income in this segment surging 134.2% year-on-year. Toray also announced strategic initiatives including a share repurchase plan and a focus on capital efficiency, aiming to reduce cross-shareholdings by half from FY 2024 to 2026, utilizing proceeds for further buybacks.

Toray Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Toray Industries presents a mixed financial picture. The income statement shows stable profitability but lacks revenue growth, which could impact future performance. The balance sheet is strong with moderate leverage, but the low ROE suggests inefficiencies. The cash flow statement is concerning with declining free cash flow and moderate cash conversion efficiency. Overall, while the company maintains stability, it faces challenges in growth and cash generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Toray Industries shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth at -0.71%, reflecting potential market challenges. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of approximately 19.83% and a net profit margin of 2.70%, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, suggesting operational efficiency but room for improvement. Overall, while profitability is stable, the lack of revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Toray Industries reflects a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 3.95%, which is relatively low, suggesting limited returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 51.23%, showing a strong equity base. Overall, the balance sheet is stable, with manageable debt levels, but the low ROE indicates potential inefficiencies in generating returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Toray Industries' cash flow statement reveals challenges in cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -15.72% TTM, indicating declining cash reserves. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, suggesting moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.23, highlighting limited free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow position is concerning, with declining free cash flow and moderate cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.50T2.56T2.46T2.49T2.23T1.88T
Gross Profit498.18B505.89B443.52B420.83B435.97B377.50B
EBITDA243.86B267.64B197.91B242.65B227.59B176.45B
Net Income59.32B77.91B21.90B72.82B84.23B45.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.35T3.29T3.47T3.19T3.04T2.85T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments228.06B237.29B235.89B224.00B229.30B236.35B
Total Debt896.19B842.66B949.68B950.09B935.66B973.93B
Total Liabilities1.52T1.47T1.62T1.56T1.54T1.53T
Stockholders Equity1.72T1.71T1.74T1.54T1.41T1.24T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow48.76B75.78B51.55B43.00B46.09B89.11B
Operating Cash Flow232.44B255.03B185.68B145.21B138.29B211.59B
Investing Cash Flow-81.77B-63.20B-121.00B-102.72B-57.17B-97.87B
Financing Cash Flow-159.66B-188.52B-70.37B-57.38B-101.52B-69.40B

Toray Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1105.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1057.63
Positive
100DMA
1008.72
Positive
200DMA
987.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.50
Positive
RSI
61.14
Neutral
STOCH
50.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3402, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1105.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1122.63, above the 50-day MA of 1057.63, and above the 200-day MA of 987.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3402.

Toray Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥95.52B19.121.79%10.76%54.82%
74
Outperform
¥114.32B14.072.66%7.56%-17.12%
73
Outperform
¥539.94B37.7511.10%0.99%9.49%55.64%
72
Outperform
¥13.39B14.404.80%4.49%26.84%
66
Neutral
¥146.54B55.562.34%3.38%>-0.01%-49.83%
65
Neutral
¥1.68T29.713.37%1.85%-2.18%26.45%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3402
Toray Industries
1,136.00
107.13
10.41%
JP:3002
Gunze
4,490.00
2,111.63
88.78%
JP:3110
Nitto Boseki Co
14,330.00
8,725.15
155.67%
JP:3104
Fujibo Holdings, Inc.
8,740.00
3,745.04
74.98%
JP:3109
Shikibo Ltd.
1,070.00
119.45
12.57%
JP:3201
Japan Wool Textile Co., Ltd.
1,839.00
555.64
43.30%

Toray Industries Corporate Events

Toray Reports Progress on Share Buyback Program Through December 2025
Jan 6, 2026

Toray Industries has disclosed the status of its ongoing share repurchase program, confirming that it bought back 10,107,000 shares of common stock on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between December 1 and December 31, 2025, at a total cost of approximately ¥10.19 billion. These purchases form part of a broader buyback authorization approved by the board on November 14, 2025, which allows repurchases of up to 63 million shares, or 4.20% of outstanding shares excluding treasury stock, for a maximum of ¥50 billion through May 31, 2026; as of December 31, 2025, Toray had cumulatively repurchased 16,660,500 shares for about ¥16.76 billion, indicating an active capital return policy that may support shareholder value and optimize its capital structure over the remainder of the program.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3402) stock is a Buy with a Yen1500.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toray Industries stock, see the JP:3402 Stock Forecast page.

Toray Industries Announces Share Repurchase Program
Dec 2, 2025

Toray Industries has announced the repurchase of 6,553,500 shares of its common stock for a total price of 6,571,264,095 yen. This repurchase, conducted on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, is part of a broader plan authorized by the Board of Directors to buy back up to 63 million shares by May 2026, potentially impacting the company’s stock value and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3402) stock is a Hold with a Yen1036.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toray Industries stock, see the JP:3402 Stock Forecast page.

Toray Industries to Repurchase and Cancel Shares to Boost Capital Efficiency
Nov 14, 2025

Toray Industries, Inc. has announced a strategic move to repurchase and cancel a significant portion of its common stock, aligning with its policy to enhance capital efficiency by reducing cross-shareholdings. This initiative, set to take place between November 2025 and May 2026, involves repurchasing up to 63 million shares and cancelling 127 million shares, aiming to optimize shareholder value and streamline its capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3402) stock is a Hold with a Yen1036.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toray Industries stock, see the JP:3402 Stock Forecast page.

Toray Industries Reports Decline in Financial Results but Plans Share Repurchase
Nov 14, 2025

Toray Industries reported a decline in its consolidated financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2025, with revenue dropping by 4.6% and profit attributable to owners decreasing by 32.5% compared to the previous year. Despite the decline, the company announced a slight increase in its annual dividend forecast and plans for a share repurchase, indicating a strategic effort to enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3402) stock is a Hold with a Yen1036.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toray Industries stock, see the JP:3402 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025