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Omikenshi Co., Ltd. (JP:3111)
:3111
Japanese Market

Omikenshi Co., Ltd. (3111) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3111

Omikenshi Co., Ltd.

(3111)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
¥242.00
▼(-0.82% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:12/13/25
Omikenshi Co., Ltd. has a challenging financial situation with high leverage and negative cash flows, which significantly impacts its overall stock score. The technical analysis suggests potential overbought conditions, but the stock remains in a bearish trend. Poor valuation metrics further weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Return to Profitability
Recovering to positive net income in 2025 indicates the company has begun re-establishing operational viability after losses. This durable improvement can restore stakeholder confidence, help retain suppliers/partners, and provide a base for reinvestment or deleveraging if sustained across periods.
Positive Revenue Trend
A positive revenue growth metric signals expanding top-line activity versus prior periods. Sustained revenue expansion provides scope to scale fixed-cost absorption, supports margin recovery over time, and underpins longer-term profitability if the company stabilizes operations and controls costs.
Slight Equity Ratio Improvement
A modest improvement in the equity ratio suggests incremental strengthening of the capital base relative to liabilities. Over months, even gradual equity gains can improve creditor confidence, lower refinancing strain, and create limited room to execute restructuring or strategic investments.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio above 3.9 indicates material leverage that increases interest burden and refinancing risk. Persistently high leverage constrains strategic flexibility, amplifies sensitivity to revenue shocks, and raises the probability that earnings volatility will impair solvency over a multi-month horizon.
Negative Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows undermine the firm's ability to fund operations internally. Over time this forces reliance on external financing or asset sales, increases liquidity risk, and limits capital expenditure and working-capital resilience essential for durable business recovery.
Volatile Growth & Weak Margins
Volatile top-line performance combined with low EBIT/EBITDA margins signals structural operational inefficiencies. This reduces predictability for planning, weakens the company's capacity to build reserves, and makes sustainable profitability harder to achieve without material changes to cost structure or business mix.

Omikenshi Co., Ltd. (3111) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Omikenshi Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmikenshi Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture, processing, and sale of rayon steple fiber and spinning yarn in Japan. The company also offers knitted, woven, and nonwoven fabric products; various towels and sleeping products; and various foods and beverages. In addition, it is involved in the software development, as well as in the sale of basic cosmetics. The company was incorporated in 1917 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmikenshi Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its paper products to various industries, including printing, packaging, and specialty applications. The company's revenue model is built on a combination of direct sales to businesses, long-term contracts with major clients, and partnerships with distributors that facilitate wider market reach. Key revenue streams include sales of specialty papers, packaging materials, and eco-friendly paper products, which are increasingly in demand due to rising environmental awareness. Additionally, Omikenshi benefits from strategic collaborations with other companies that enhance its product offerings and market penetration, contributing to its overall earnings.

Omikenshi Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Omikenshi Co., Ltd. faces significant financial challenges, with high leverage and negative cash flows. Despite a positive net income in 2025, revenue growth is volatile, and margins are low, indicating operational inefficiencies and financial risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Omikenshi Co., Ltd. has shown some signs of recovery with a positive net income in 2025 after consecutive losses, indicating potential for future profitability. However, the revenue growth rate has been volatile and negative in recent years, and margins remain pressured, with low EBIT and EBITDA margins reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio above 3.9, indicative of significant financial risk. While the equity ratio has improved slightly, the low return on equity highlights ongoing profitability issues. The company's financial stability is a concern, given the substantial liabilities relative to equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Omikenshi Co., Ltd. continues to face cash flow challenges, with consistently negative free cash flow and operating cash flow over recent years. The negative free cash flow growth rate and unfavorable cash flow ratios reflect struggles in converting profits into cash, posing a risk to liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.23B3.41B3.03B3.12B3.98B6.79B
Gross Profit1.28B1.39B1.24B1.21B1.41B1.56B
EBITDA674.00M657.00M-3.36B-1.29B222.00M1.57B
Net Income316.00M300.00M-2.42B-1.11B-375.00M1.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.32B15.82B18.23B19.72B22.38B23.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments564.00M937.00M739.00M1.54B3.10B2.97B
Total Debt7.16B7.44B10.10B9.79B10.45B11.16B
Total Liabilities13.50B13.90B16.61B17.16B18.58B19.14B
Stockholders Equity1.82B1.92B1.61B2.56B3.80B4.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-1.45B-1.92B-1.53B-1.41B-1.94B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-517.00M-1.40B-1.42B-1.24B-1.60B
Investing Cash Flow0.003.39B287.00M466.00M2.07B4.54B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.68B295.00M-719.00M-707.00M-792.00M

Omikenshi Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price244.00
Price Trends
50DMA
249.74
Positive
100DMA
256.70
Negative
200DMA
273.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Positive
RSI
48.87
Neutral
STOCH
9.13
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3111, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 244 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 251.90, below the 50-day MA of 249.74, and below the 200-day MA of 273.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.13 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3111.

Omikenshi Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥120.03B24.351.79%10.76%54.82%
72
Outperform
¥14.22B9.974.80%4.49%26.84%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥2.46B-21.673.12%-1.83%16.87%
57
Neutral
¥4.27B53.382.63%-3.01%-65.96%
48
Neutral
¥3.43B-39.1116.33%75.48%
43
Neutral
¥1.66B-2.76-3.03%46.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3111
Omikenshi Co., Ltd.
251.00
-53.00
-17.43%
JP:3600
FUJIX
1,784.00
273.87
18.14%
JP:3104
Fujibo Holdings, Inc.
10,820.00
5,883.57
119.19%
JP:3109
Shikibo Ltd.
1,147.00
165.97
16.92%
JP:3202
Daitobo Co.,Ltd.
141.00
39.81
39.34%
JP:3409
Kitanihon Spinning Co., Ltd.
120.00
6.00
5.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 13, 2025