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Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd.
(3038)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥3,076.00
▼(-20.29% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (healthy profitability, low leverage, and strong cash conversion). Technicals are mixed, with constructive short-term positioning but a weaker longer-term trend versus the 100- and 200-day averages. Valuation is reasonable with a modest dividend yield, providing some support but not a major catalyst.
Positive Factors
Franchise + multi-channel model
Kobe Bussan's core franchise model aligns wholesale supply, franchise support, company stores and private-brand manufacturing, creating recurring volume and stable demand. Scale across franchised stores supports purchasing power, distribution efficiency and predictable wholesale revenue streams over time.
Negative Factors
Modest recent revenue growth
Reported recent revenue growth is limited, indicating slower top-line momentum versus peers or new-market opportunities. Sustained modest growth constrains operating leverage and makes long-term EPS expansion reliant on margin improvement, store rollouts or higher sales per store rather than organic volume growth alone.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise + multi-channel model
Kobe Bussan's core franchise model aligns wholesale supply, franchise support, company stores and private-brand manufacturing, creating recurring volume and stable demand. Scale across franchised stores supports purchasing power, distribution efficiency and predictable wholesale revenue streams over time.
Read all positive factors
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)
Market Cap
¥607.61B
Dividend Yield1.09%
Average Volume (3M)1.75M
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.9
Beta (1Y)-0.38
Revenue Growth6.30%
EPS Growth45.70%
CountryJP
Employees1,674
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryGrocery Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)153.91
Shares Outstanding273,600,000
10 Day Avg. Volume2,817,840
30 Day Avg. Volume1,748,816
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.51
Price to Book (P/B)4.91
Price to Sales (P/S)1.44
P/FCF Ratio23.97
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)142.52
Revenue Forecast (FY)¥582.95B
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail food products, and franchise supermarket chain in Japan. The company offers a range of food products through its Gyomu superstores. It also operates a chain of buffe...
How the Company Makes Money
Kobe Bussan primarily makes money through a multi-layered model centered on the "Gyomu Super" franchise system. (1) Franchise-related earnings: The company supplies products to franchise stores and earns revenue from selling merchandise to these s...
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Oct 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 565.57B | 551.70B | 507.88B | 461.55B | 406.81B | 362.06B |
| Gross Profit | 69.69B | 65.14B | 57.22B | 51.95B | 45.92B | 42.63B |
| EBITDA | 50.04B | 53.28B | 37.92B | 35.21B | 36.01B | 33.08B |
| Net Income | 34.11B | 31.88B | 21.44B | 20.56B | 20.83B | 19.59B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 269.42B | 260.19B | 233.39B | 211.89B | 180.28B | 156.74B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 138.94B | 131.01B | 107.31B | 92.63B | 69.07B | 57.83B |
| Total Debt | 28.58B | 30.13B | 37.00B | 38.32B | 34.54B | 34.69B |
| Total Liabilities | 97.09B | 98.79B | 100.61B | 97.44B | 83.05B | 78.51B |
| Stockholders Equity | 172.33B | 161.40B | 132.77B | 114.45B | 97.22B | 78.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 0.00 | 33.03B | 20.66B | 21.66B | 10.48B | 3.27B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 0.00 | 42.11B | 30.77B | 30.34B | 21.58B | 21.26B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -8.92B | -10.18B | -6.82B | -12.48B | -17.41B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 0.00 | -11.10B | -5.59B | 80.00M | -3.75B | -16.53B |
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
3859.00
Price Trends
2674.23
Positive
2877.69
Negative
3320.96
Negative
Market Momentum
38.06
Negative
57.75
Neutral
51.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3038, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3859 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2732.70, above the 50-day MA of 2674.23, and above the 200-day MA of 3320.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 38.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3038.
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | ¥607.61B | 17.87 | 20.99% | 0.78% | 6.30% | 45.70% | |
71 Outperform | ¥104.22B | 10.58 | ― | 2.59% | 0.95% | 3.40% | |
70 Outperform | ¥81.95B | 9.24 | ― | 1.47% | 6.78% | -1.61% | |
68 Neutral | ¥31.95B | 24.53 | ― | 2.22% | 19.03% | -8.79% | |
67 Neutral | ¥223.56B | 17.43 | ― | 2.62% | 3.25% | 1.50% | |
65 Neutral | ¥138.97B | 11.33 | ― | 1.90% | 7.40% | -1.99% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
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Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Corporate Events
Kobe Bussan Posts Strong June Sales as Gyomu Super Network Grows
Jul 22, 2026
Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated monthly figures for June 2026 showing net sales of ¥47.5 billion, up 5.4% year on year, while gross profit and operating profit margins were under pressure, with operating profit down 12% year on year. Or...
Kobe Bussan Elevates MEAL HUB to Specified Subsidiary with ¥58 Billion Capital Boost
Jun 24, 2026
Kobe Bussan has approved a major capital increase for its joint venture MEAL HUB Co., Ltd., established with Gourmet Kineya, to fund acquisitions in the airline catering sector. Following the transaction, MEAL HUB’s stated capital will rise ...
Kobe Bussan Posts Higher May Sales Amid Softer Profits and Steady Gyomu Super Expansion
Jun 23, 2026
Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated results for May 2026 showing net sales of ¥49.86 billion, up 3.0% year-on-year, while gross profit and operating profit growth moderated, with operating profit down to ¥2.89 billion and 83.5% of the ...
Kobe Bussan Maps Integrated Food Strategy in FY2026 Q2 Update
Jun 12, 2026
Kobe Bussan released its FY2026 second-quarter financial presentation, highlighting consolidated financial results and performance trends in its core Gyomu Super franchise business, including store expansion and product shipment dynamics. The comp...
Kobe Bussan Posts Double-Digit Profit Growth and Raises Dividend Outlook
Jun 12, 2026
Kobe Bussan reported consolidated net sales of ¥286.2 billion for the six months to April 30, 2026, up 5.1% year on year, with operating profit rising 10.2% to ¥21.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent climbing 15.7% to &...
Kobe Bussan to Take 19.8% Stake in Makiya in Strategic Food Retail Alliance
May 26, 2026
Kobe Bussan has approved a capital and business alliance with long-standing franchise partner Makiya Co., Ltd., a Shizuoka-based retailer, to deepen cooperation beyond their existing franchise relationship. The move underlines Kobe Bussan’s ...
Kobe Bussan Posts April Sales Growth and Expands Gyomu Super Network
May 22, 2026
Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated net sales of ¥52.4 billion for April 2026, up 2.3% year on year, with gross profit of ¥5.50 billion, up 3.0%, indicating continued top-line growth despite a slower pace than prior months. Operating p...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.