Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥806.62B
• Dividend Yield: 0.78%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.75M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 25.4
• Beta (1Y): -0.26
• Revenue Growth: 8.63%
• EPS Growth: 48.30%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 1,629
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Grocery Stores
• EPS (TTM): 25.61
• Shares Outstanding: 273,600,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,817,840
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,748,816
• PEG Ratio: 0.00
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥4,226.00 ▲(9.51% Upside)

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. receives a solid overall score driven by strong financial performance, which is the most significant factor. Technical analysis indicates moderate strength, while valuation suggests the stock is fairly priced. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events does not impact the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Kobe Bussan's products and services, supporting long-term business expansion and market presence.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation enhances Kobe Bussan's ability to fund operations and invest in growth, ensuring financial stability and strategic flexibility.

Balance Sheet Health

Low leverage and a strong equity base provide Kobe Bussan with financial stability, reducing risk and enhancing its capacity to withstand economic fluctuations.

Negative Factors

Profit Margin Pressure

While profitability is healthy, maintaining margins amidst rising costs and competitive pressures could challenge long-term earnings sustainability.

Market Competition

Intense competition in the food distribution industry may pressure Kobe Bussan's market share and pricing power, impacting long-term growth prospects.

Dividend Yield

A low dividend yield may deter income-focused investors, potentially limiting Kobe Bussan's attractiveness compared to peers with higher yields.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. (3038) is a prominent player in the food distribution industry, primarily based in Japan. The company specializes in the wholesale distribution of food products, including processed foods, fresh produce, and various grocery items. Kobe Bussan serves a diverse clientele, including supermarkets, convenience stores, and restaurants, ensuring a wide reach in the food supply chain. Its operations are centered around providing high-quality products and efficient logistics services to meet the demands of the retail and food service sectors.

How the Company Makes Money

Kobe Bussan generates revenue through its wholesale distribution model, where it purchases food products in bulk from manufacturers and suppliers and then sells them to retailers and food service businesses at a markup. Key revenue streams include the sale of processed foods, fresh produce, and grocery items, which are sourced both domestically and internationally. The company benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to negotiate favorable pricing with suppliers and maintain competitive pricing for its customers. Additionally, strategic partnerships with food manufacturers and brands enhance its product offerings and market presence. Factors contributing to its earnings include strong demand for food products, an expanding customer base, and efficient logistics that reduce operational costs.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, healthy profit margins, and a solid balance sheet. The company maintains prudent leverage and robust cash flow generation, positioning it well in the retail staples industry.

Income Statement

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. showcases strong income statement metrics with consistent revenue growth. The revenue grew by 10% from the prior year, indicating robust sales performance. The company maintains healthy profit margins with a gross profit margin of approximately 11.5%, a net profit margin of 4.2%, and an EBIT margin of 6.8%. These metrics suggest strong operational efficiency and profitability in the retail staples market.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a solid financial standing with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.28, indicating prudent leverage use. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 16.1%, highlighting effective management of shareholder capital. The equity ratio is 56.9%, showcasing a stable capital structure with a healthy proportion of equity to total assets.

Cash Flow

Kobe Bussan demonstrates a strong cash flow position with a free cash flow growth rate of -2.5%, which is stable considering the company's capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.44, indicating robust cash generation relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.95, suggesting effective conversion of earnings into cash.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	542.15B	551.70B	507.88B	461.55B	406.81B	362.06B
Gross Profit	63.85B	65.14B	58.41B	52.72B	46.60B	43.12B
EBITDA	48.71B	53.28B	37.92B	35.21B	36.01B	33.07B
Net Income	32.80B	31.88B	21.44B	20.56B	20.83B	19.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	247.64B	260.19B	233.39B	211.89B	180.28B	156.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	120.24B	130.99B	107.27B	92.59B	69.04B	57.80B
Total Debt	30.91B	30.13B	37.00B	38.32B	34.54B	34.69B
Total Liabilities	92.61B	98.79B	100.62B	97.44B	83.06B	78.52B
Stockholders Equity	155.03B	161.40B	132.77B	114.45B	97.22B	78.22B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	33.03B	20.44B	20.97B	10.19B	2.83B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	42.11B	30.77B	30.34B	21.58B	21.26B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-8.92B	-10.18B	-6.82B	-12.48B	-17.41B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-11.10B	-5.59B	80.00M	-3.75B	-16.53B

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3859.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3038, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3859 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3784.85, above the 50-day MA of 3786.10, and below the 200-day MA of 4062.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -35.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3038.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
8198	78 Outperform	¥115.36B	10.49	―	1.92%	2.30%	26.52%
9974	76 Outperform	¥155.46B	12.54	―	1.64%	10.13%	23.77%
2742	72 Outperform	¥97.44B	10.40	―	1.47%	7.75%	-1.68%
8194	72 Outperform	¥212.58B	11.78	―	2.43%	4.48%	13.17%
3038	69 Neutral	¥806.62B	25.37	22.48%	0.78%	8.63%	48.30%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kobe Bussan Posts Strong November Profits as Gyomu Super Network Expands to 1,124 Stores

Kobe Bussan reported non-consolidated November 2025 figures showing net sales of ¥47.19 billion, up 6.9% year on year, operating profit of ¥3.10 billion, up 12.1%, and ordinary profit of ¥4.55 billion, surging 85.2%, with the company noting that these are unaudited flash numbers subject to revision and that monthly figures do not fully reflect the new revenue recognition standard for subsidiary transactions. Gyomu Super’s network continued to expand modestly, with one new store opened in a directly managed area and two in indirectly managed areas during November, bringing total stores to 1,124, while product shipments to existing stores in directly managed areas rose 5.4% and 7.2% across all stores nationwide, underscoring steady demand and incremental footprint growth in its core discount supermarket business.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen4226.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.

Kobe Bussan Proposes Director Re-elections to Strengthen Leadership

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. announced the proposed re-election of its directors at the upcoming 40th Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. The reappointments include Hirokazu Numata as President and Representative Director, Yasuhiro Tanaka as Executive Vice President, and Yasuharu Kido as Director, each recognized for their contributions to the company’s operational efficiency and business expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen3890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.

Kobe Bussan Revises Medium-term Plan Upward Amid Record Growth

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. has announced an upward revision to its medium-term management plan, reflecting significant growth in its Gyomu Super business. The company achieved record sales and profits for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, and expects continued strong performance due to cost reductions, enhanced logistics efficiency, and the popularity of its private-label products.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen3890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.

Kobe Bussan Announces Dividend of Surplus

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. announced a dividend of surplus, with a record date of October 31, 2025, amounting to 30.00 yen per share, which includes an ordinary dividend of 26.00 yen and a special dividend of 4.00 yen. This decision reflects the company’s policy of balancing shareholder returns with the need to secure funds for future growth, as evidenced by the planned increase in the dividend forecast for the next fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen3890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Reports Robust Financial Growth and Strategic Expansion

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. reported significant financial growth for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2025, with net sales increasing by 8.6% and profit attributable to owners of the parent rising by 48.7%. The company also announced an increase in annual dividends per share from ¥23.00 to ¥30.00, reflecting its strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder returns. The inclusion of three new subsidiaries indicates strategic expansion, potentially enhancing its market position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen3890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.

Kobe Bussan Revises Financial and Dividend Forecasts Upward

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. has revised its consolidated financial results forecast and dividend forecast for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, due to strong performance in new store openings and product shipments. The company expects net sales and profits to exceed previous forecasts, driven by customer preference for savings amid a weaker yen and inflation. Additionally, the company has increased its year-end dividend forecast from ¥26.00 to ¥30.00 per share, reflecting its commitment to returning profits to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen3890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. Reports Strong October Performance and Store Expansion

Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. reported its monthly performance for October 2025, highlighting an increase in net sales and operating profits compared to the previous year. The company continues to expand its store network, with several new openings in both directly and indirectly managed areas, indicating a strategic focus on growth and market penetration.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3038) stock is a Hold with a Yen3890.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:3038 Stock Forecast page.