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Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. (JP:2692)
:2692
Japanese Market

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. (2692) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2692

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd.

(2692)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥14,345.00
▲(27.62% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/15/25
The overall stock score of 69 reflects a strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and a stable balance sheet, though cash flow management requires improvement. Technical analysis indicates a positive short-term trend but with caution due to potential bearish momentum and overbought RSI levels. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly valued with a reasonable P/E ratio and dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Stable revenue growth
Consistent top-line growth demonstrates durable demand for Itochu-Shokuhin's wholesale and distribution services. Recurring orders from retailers and foodservice channels support predictable turnover, enabling steady gross profit contribution and better capacity planning over 2–6 months.
Low leverage and healthy balance sheet
A conservative capital structure with minimal financial leverage provides resilience to supply-chain disruptions and pricing pressure. Low debt reduces fixed financing costs and preserves capacity to fund logistics investments or working capital needs without stressing liquidity.
Broad distribution network and logistics capabilities
A diversified customer base and integrated logistics create structural advantages: stable volume across channels, multi-item delivery efficiencies, and stickier customer relationships. These capabilities support durable revenue streams and competitive positioning in food distribution.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating cash flow
Negative operating and free cash flow signals weaker internal cash generation and potential working-capital strain. Persistent cash deficits limit ability to self-fund capex, dividends, or buffer margin shocks, raising reliance on external funding if unresolved.
Thin operating margins
Low operating margins are inherent to distribution but reduce resilience to input cost inflation or supplier price swings. With limited margin buffer, profitability depends on volume and procurement efficiency, constraining earnings leverage absent structural margin improvement.
Modest return on equity
A relatively low ROE implies the company generates modest profits on shareholder capital. Without higher margins, improved asset turnover, or strategic investments, returns to equity holders may remain limited, affecting long-term shareholder value creation.

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. (2692) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Co., Ltd. engages in the wholesale of food and liquor products in Japan. The company sells its products to supermarkets, department stores, convenience stores, and other retailers, as well as restaurants, online retailers, wholesalers, and manufactures. It is also involved in the logistics management, storage, transportation, and distribution merchandising businesses; and provision of goods information services. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan. ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of ITOCHU Corporation.
How the Company Makes MoneyItochu-Shokuhin generates revenue through various streams, including the import and distribution of food products to domestic and international markets. The company profits from the markup on goods purchased from suppliers and sold to its clients. Key revenue streams include the sales of seafood, meat, and processed foods, which are sourced from reliable suppliers worldwide. Additionally, partnerships with manufacturers and retailers enhance its supply chain capabilities, allowing the company to leverage economies of scale and negotiate favorable terms. The company's focus on quality assurance and customer service further contributes to customer retention and repeat business, thereby boosting overall profitability.

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. demonstrates solid revenue growth and stable profit margins, indicative of a strong market position in the food distribution industry. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, although cash flow management needs attention due to recent negative trends. Strategic measures to improve cash generation and efficiency could enhance overall financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company shows a strong revenue growth trend with a 4% increase in the latest year. Net Profit Margin improved to 1.17% from 0.98% in the previous year, indicating enhanced profitability. Gross Profit Margin remained stable at around 5.9%. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins show room for improvement at 1.22% and 1.87%, respectively, suggesting potential efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy equity position with an Equity Ratio of 42.57%, indicating a stable capital structure. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low at 0.03, showcasing low leverage and financial stability. However, the Return on Equity is modest at 7.10%, suggesting opportunities for better utilization of equity capital.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a concerning decline in Operating Cash Flow from a positive flow to a negative in the latest year. Free Cash Flow also turned negative, indicating cash management challenges. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio reflects this strain at -0.52.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue704.84B699.37B672.45B642.95B612.66B656.74B
Gross Profit41.68B41.16B39.55B37.93B35.05B35.34B
EBITDA13.16B13.09B11.37B9.57B8.04B7.25B
Net Income8.75B8.21B6.60B4.84B4.32B4.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets283.83B271.55B274.50B246.62B236.67B231.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B1.45B1.61B1.56B1.27B1.11B
Total Debt3.50B3.61B4.11B4.69B5.78B5.97B
Total Liabilities165.21B155.96B165.23B146.84B141.42B137.85B
Stockholders Equity118.60B115.57B109.25B99.76B95.22B93.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.24B8.71B5.39B2.89B7.57B
Operating Cash Flow0.00-3.73B10.53B7.68B5.24B8.01B
Investing Cash Flow0.00503.00M-1.66B-2.42B1.63B-14.53B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.04B-1.72B-2.16B-1.78B-1.68B

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11240.00
Price Trends
50DMA
11774.00
Positive
100DMA
10946.30
Positive
200DMA
10495.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
377.77
Negative
RSI
70.27
Negative
STOCH
92.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2692, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11240 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12228.00, below the 50-day MA of 11774.00, and above the 200-day MA of 10495.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 377.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.27 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2692.

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥33.10B9.721.94%3.15%27.71%
69
Neutral
¥166.20B9.611.39%3.91%-0.28%
68
Neutral
¥16.82B2.443.17%5.19%11.04%
64
Neutral
¥69.01B21.731.48%8.41%-3.65%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
¥139.09B14.713.02%2.16%-24.33%
61
Neutral
¥50.54B3.770.52%20.97%-56.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2692
Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd.
13,110.00
5,458.93
71.35%
JP:2281
Prima Meat Packers,Ltd.
2,768.00
642.51
30.23%
JP:3182
Oisix ra daichi, Inc.
1,355.00
94.55
7.50%
JP:8006
Yuasa Funashoku Co., Ltd.
1,725.00
750.34
76.98%
JP:8030
Chuo Gyorui Co., Ltd.
4,225.00
859.15
25.53%
JP:8079
Shoei Foods Corporation
4,040.00
96.86
2.46%

Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Itochu-Shokuhin Backs Itochu-Led Tender Offer to Go Private at ¥13,000 a Share
Feb 26, 2026

Itochu-Shokuhin’s board has endorsed a tender offer by G.K. FMDI, a newly established wholly owned subsidiary of parent Itochu Corporation, to acquire all outstanding common shares at ¥13,000 per share, excluding Itochu’s existing stake and the company’s treasury stock. The board recommends that shareholders tender their shares, with the transaction structured to make Itochu and G.K. FMDI the sole owners, secure at least two-thirds of voting rights, and ultimately delist and privatize Itochu-Shokuhin, tightening group control and simplifying capital and governance arrangements.

The tender offer sets a minimum acceptance threshold of 1,801,900 shares, representing about 14.2% of shares excluding treasury stock, below which no shares will be purchased, while there is no upper limit on the number of shares to be bought. Governance measures include approval by disinterested directors and auditors, reflecting efforts to address conflicts of interest inherent in a parent-led buyout, and the move is expected to reshape Itochu-Shokuhin’s relationship with public markets and minority shareholders by concentrating ownership within the Itochu group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2692) stock is a Buy with a Yen13231.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2692 Stock Forecast page.

Itochu-Shokuhin Scraps Year-End Dividend and Shareholder Perks Ahead of Parent’s Take-Private Bid
Feb 25, 2026

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN has revised its dividend forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, deciding to cancel the planned year-end dividend, leaving only the already-paid interim dividend and reducing the total annual payout from the previous forecast. The board justified the move by noting that the tender offer price for the company’s shares, to be launched by G.K. FMDI, a wholly owned unit of parent ITOCHU Corporation, was calculated on the assumption that no year-end dividend would be paid in the year the company is taken private and subsequently delisted.

In a parallel step, the board approved the abolition of the company’s shareholder benefit plan starting with the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, making the benefits granted to holders as of March 31, 2025 the final distribution under the program. Management said ending the benefit scheme is intended to ensure equal treatment between shareholders who tender into the buyout offer and those who do not, as the company transitions toward a wholly owned structure under ITOCHU, altering the return profile for minority investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2692) stock is a Buy with a Yen13231.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2692 Stock Forecast page.

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Overhauls Management Structure with New Executive Lineup
Jan 30, 2026

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Co., Ltd. has announced a broad reshuffle of its directors and executive officers aimed at strengthening its management structure, with board-level changes to be finalized at the June 18, 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting. Effective March 31, 2026, several executive officers, including senior figures overseeing the administration, logistics and group operations, will step down from their executive positions to become advisory members, signaling a transition of experienced leaders into more strategic, non-executive roles. From April 1, 2026, the company will promote key managers such as the heads of the Retail and Sales Division No.5 to executive officer roles and reassign responsibilities across sales, logistics, information systems, and finance, including the creation of a Chief Logistics Officer position and expanded oversight of diversity and digital transformation. The realignment is designed to reinforce governance, clarify divisional accountability and support operational efficiency in core areas such as retail, drugstore channels, IT systems, and financial management, which is likely to influence how the company executes its growth and competitiveness strategy in Japan’s food wholesale market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2692) stock is a Hold with a Yen13009.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2692 Stock Forecast page.

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN Lifts Profits and Dividend as Nine-Month Sales Edge Higher
Jan 30, 2026

ITOCHU-SHOKUHIN reported consolidated net sales of ¥558.3 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 2.8% year on year, with operating profit rising 12.3% to ¥10.3 billion and profit attributable to owners of the parent increasing 4.2% to ¥8.9 billion. Basic earnings per share improved to ¥698.45, while total assets expanded to ¥348.7 billion, partly reducing the equity ratio to 36.1%. The company maintained its full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, targeting net sales of ¥720.0 billion, operating profit of ¥9.7 billion, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥8.3 billion, and plans a higher annual dividend of ¥160 per share, up from ¥140 in the previous year. The unchanged guidance and dividend hike signal management’s confidence in earnings stability, which should reassure shareholders despite a lower equity ratio reflecting balance sheet expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:2692) stock is a Buy with a Yen13187.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Itochu-Shokuhin Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:2692 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025