CAICA Inc. (2315) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥15.73B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 6.31M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 85.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.30
• Revenue Growth: -7.33%
• EPS Growth: 441.81%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 349
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Infrastructure
• EPS (TTM): -3.10
• Shares Outstanding: 151,406,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,632,420
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 6,306,876
• PEG Ratio: -0.55
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.56
• P/FCF Ratio: 257.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 62 Neutral
• Price Target: ¥135.00 ▲(32.35% Upside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by positive technical indicators, suggesting bullish momentum. However, financial performance challenges, including consistent losses and negative profit margins, weigh down the score. The valuation is moderate, but the lack of a dividend yield limits appeal for some investors.

Positive Factors

Strategic Partnerships

Strategic partnerships enhance service offerings and expand market reach, leading to joint ventures and bundled services that attract more clients.

Revenue Model

A diversified revenue model with recurring income from subscriptions and service contracts provides stability and predictability in cash flows.

Cash Flow Improvement

Positive operating cash flow indicates improved operational efficiency, which is crucial for long-term sustainability and reducing reliance on external financing.

Negative Factors

Consistent Losses

Persistent unprofitability and negative margins suggest challenges in cost management and operational efficiency, impacting long-term viability.

Negative Profit Margins

Negative profit margins highlight inefficiencies in operations, which could hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.

Asset Management Issues

Declining assets may indicate poor asset management or strategic missteps, potentially limiting the company's ability to leverage resources for growth.

CAICA Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CAICA DIGITAL Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides information services in Japan and internationally. The company offers systems development services, including development and distribution of various business package software's for information service providers, such as financial strategy support systems for Internet banking for financial institutions; purchasing procurement systems using the Internet for manufacturers and distributors; and information processing systems and network monitoring systems for traders. It also provides finance industry solutions comprising accounts, information, legacy, financing, foreign exchange, sales branch terminals, Internet banking, and payment systems for banks; and in-house information management systems, asset management, consulting tools, etc. for various securities companies and securities system companies, as well as life and non-insurance SE solutions. In addition, the company offers ordering, MD, inventory warehouse management, logistics, B to C, B to B, customer management systems, etc. for the distribution industry that includes department stores, convenience stores, apparel industries, etc.; and customer management, mileage, ticket sale, accommodation reservation, content service, transportation/service industry, and other systems. Further, it provides manufacturing and public systems; and Web systems, which comprise construction, application design, and development system solutions. The company was formerly known as CAICA Inc. and changed its name to CAICA DIGITAL Inc. in November 2021. CAICA DIGITAL Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

CAICA Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams, including software licensing fees, subscription-based cloud services, and consulting fees for IT services. The company's primary revenue model is based on a combination of one-time sales for software licenses and recurring revenue from ongoing service contracts and subscriptions. Additionally, CAICA has established strategic partnerships with key technology providers, which enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. These collaborations often lead to joint ventures or bundled services that attract more clients and create additional revenue opportunities. The company's focus on delivering high-quality, tailored solutions has also fostered long-term relationships with clients, contributing to a steady stream of repeat business and referrals.

CAICA Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CAICA Inc. faces significant financial challenges with consistent losses and negative profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but the negative return on equity and asset management issues are concerning. Positive trends in gross profit margin and operating cash flow are encouraging but insufficient for sustainable growth.

Income Statement

CAICA Inc.'s income statement shows significant challenges. The company has been consistently unprofitable, with negative net income and EBIT margins. Despite a slight revenue growth from the previous year, the company struggles with negative profit margins, indicating poor cost management or high operating expenses. The gross profit margin has improved slightly, which is a positive sign, but the overall financial health in terms of profitability remains weak.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a relatively stable financial position, with a strong equity base compared to total assets, reflected in a high equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating prudent leverage management. However, the company’s return on equity is negative due to consistent losses, which is concerning. The assets have decreased over time, signaling potential asset management issues or divestitures.

Cash Flow

CAICA Inc.'s cash flow statement indicates some improvement in operating cash flow, turning positive in the latest year, which is a positive development. However, the historical trend of negative free cash flow and reliance on external financing is concerning. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not ideal due to persistent net losses, suggesting that the company needs to improve its operational efficiency and cost management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.22B	5.20B	5.61B	5.68B	6.44B	5.95B
Gross Profit	824.08M	888.06M	609.82M	245.00M	2.22B	1.69B
EBITDA	646.39M	185.13M	-355.17M	-4.09B	-5.88B	-680.68M
Net Income	631.48M	166.79M	-359.86M	-3.89B	-6.24B	-799.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.19B	4.29B	2.43B	2.97B	59.03B	107.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	678.80M	639.57M	698.98M	1.38B	4.26B	4.75B
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	170.00M	70.00M	812.39M	995.59M
Total Liabilities	528.08M	676.17M	765.79M	773.22M	53.88B	95.82B
Stockholders Equity	2.67B	3.61B	1.66B	2.18B	4.89B	11.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	51.71M	282.85M	-1.77B	-1.44B	-2.23B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	51.92M	282.85M	-1.75B	-1.14B	-2.07B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	24.51M	-386.87M	-572.75M	-212.31M	-187.48M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-170.96M	-246.49M	701.46M	-229.68M	1.54B

CAICA Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 102.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2315, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 102 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.30, above the 50-day MA of 98.68, and above the 200-day MA of 83.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2315.

CAICA Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
4667	77 Outperform	¥11.44B	26.80	―	1.28%	18.58%	32.94%
3633	76 Outperform	¥11.72B	14.42	―	2.16%	2.75%	25.24%
4374	71 Outperform	¥10.73B	21.54	―	0.47%	19.35%	71.74%
4430	71 Outperform	¥9.30B	10.13	―	3.06%	27.08%	18.85%
4496	70 Outperform	¥5.71B	33.07	―	2.50%	4.29%	-42.71%
2315	62 Neutral	¥15.73B	85.46	30.04%	―	-7.33%	441.81%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%