Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. (1515) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥290.28B
• Dividend Yield: 2.3%
• Average Volume (3M): 298.66K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.00
• Revenue Growth: 8.19%
• EPS Growth: 34.88%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 2,155
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): 42.28
• Shares Outstanding: 80,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 289,690
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 298,660
• PEG Ratio: 0.32
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.77
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.55
• P/FCF Ratio: 48.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥3,797.00 ▲(70.19% Upside)

The score is primarily driven by solid financial performance (strong revenue growth, stable balance sheet, and positive cash generation), tempered by margin pressure and weaker recent FCF conversion. Technicals remain bullish but look overbought, while valuation is less attractive with a higher P/E and modest dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Multi-year Revenue Growth

Sustained revenue growth nearly doubled over five years, indicating the company has expanded scale and market penetration in its industrial materials markets. This growth supports long-term capacity utilization, bargaining power with customers, and the ability to fund strategic investments over the next 2–6 months.

Solid Balance Sheet

Rising equity and a high equity ratio signal lower leverage and greater financial resilience for capital-intensive mining operations. Improved balance-sheet flexibility reduces refinancing risk, supports capex and working capital needs, and cushions earnings volatility across commodity cycles.

Improved Net Profitability

An improving net margin reflects better cost control or pricing execution versus peers and helps convert revenue gains into shareholder returns. Sustained margin improvement enhances free cash generation potential and funds reinvestment, dividends, or debt reduction over multiple quarters.

Negative Factors

Compression in Gross and Operating Margins

Material margin compression reduces operating leverage and profitability headroom. For a resource player, narrower gross and EBITDA margins signal rising input or processing costs or tougher competitive pricing, which can persistently pressure cash flows and returns if not addressed.

Volatile Free Cash Flow Conversion

Fluctuating and declining FCF-to-income undermines the reliability of internally generated funds for capex, debt reduction, or distributions. In capital-intensive mining, weaker FCF conversion increases reliance on external financing and raises execution risk for multi-quarter investment plans.

Commodity Price Exposure

Earnings and cash flow remain structurally exposed to commodity price swings and volume cycles. This inherent cyclicality can produce extended periods of margin and revenue pressure, complicating long-term planning and making sustained capital allocation outcomes more uncertain.

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. engages in mining activities in Japan. It operates through Non-Metallic Minerals, Metallic Minerals, Machinery & Environmental Engineering, Real Estate, and Renewable Energy segments. The company mines for non-metallic minerals, including limestone, crushed stone, calcium carbonate, gypsum, chips for pulp, silica rock, quicklime/hydrated lime, and dolomite; fuel-related products, such as petroleum products, coal, and LPG; and fine chemicals comprising specialty papers (fire-retardant, calcium carbonate), Asheet paper shoe insoles, and white limestone. It also offers metallic minerals, such as electrolytic copper, gold, and silver; and mineral resources, such as materials for steel manufacturing, copper ore, and other materials. In addition, the company supplies environmental products, such as wastewater treatment chemicals, etc., as well as primarily deals in environmental products consisting of dust collectors, etc.; produces environment, and powder and fluid-related machines; leases and sells office buildings, condominiums, stores, factories and warehouses, and real estate; engages in the survey and development of geothermal energy, and supply and sale of geothermal steam; and generates power using solar and hydroelectric plants, as well as supplies and sells electricity. Further, it provides consulting services for geological surveys, geophysical exploration, test boring, and construction; buys and sells limestone, crushed stone, and calcium carbonate; manufactures and sells crushing and grinding equipment, as well as electric machinery; and mines and sells copper and other minerals. Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1939 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of minerals, with a significant focus on iron ore production. The company's revenue model is driven by the global demand for raw materials, particularly from industries such as steel manufacturing. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of mined minerals to domestic and international clients, long-term supply contracts with major industrial players, and potentially joint ventures or partnerships with other mining firms. Additionally, Nittetsu Mining may benefit from fluctuations in commodity prices, government contracts, and investments in technology for more efficient mining processes, which can enhance profitability.

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth (JPY 117.5B in 2020 to JPY 196.8B in 2025) and improved net profit margin (3.8% to 4.6%). Balance sheet is stable with rising equity and improving leverage, but some margin contraction (gross/EBIT/EBITDA) and fluctuating free cash flow conversion temper the score.

Income Statement

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, increasing from JPY 117.5 billion in 2020 to JPY 196.8 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, with a slight decrease from 24% in 2020 to 17.4% in 2025, reflecting some cost pressures. Net profit margin improved significantly from 3.8% in 2020 to 4.6% in 2025, indicating enhanced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown some contraction, highlighting potential operational inefficiencies or increased competition.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects strong equity growth, with stockholders' equity rising from JPY 100.1 billion in 2020 to JPY 141.5 billion in 2025. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased, indicating improved leverage management. The equity ratio is robust at 58.9% in 2025, up from 57.5% in 2020, showcasing financial stability. However, the return on equity has slightly decreased from 4.5% in 2020 to 6.4% in 2025, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns from equity.

Cash Flow

The company has maintained positive free cash flow, albeit with fluctuations. Free cash flow growth is evident, although it dipped in 2025 compared to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, illustrating effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, the declining free cash flow to net income ratio in recent years may warrant attention, as it suggests potential challenges in converting earnings into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	195.96B	196.77B	166.88B	164.02B	149.08B	119.16B
Gross Profit	33.52B	34.23B	33.40B	34.98B	34.87B	27.05B
EBITDA	18.03B	23.31B	18.09B	20.15B	21.99B	12.18B
Net Income	8.10B	9.02B	6.60B	9.78B	9.28B	3.75B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	239.46B	240.18B	229.58B	208.34B	197.73B	188.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	36.57B	38.06B	37.41B	40.00B	33.22B	35.51B
Total Debt	31.66B	24.37B	22.16B	22.86B	22.96B	23.15B
Total Liabilities	87.80B	88.20B	78.86B	68.93B	71.36B	72.33B
Stockholders Equity	141.66B	141.49B	140.75B	132.34B	120.07B	111.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	2.25B	2.53B	8.40B	532.00M	2.53B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	17.71B	8.95B	15.82B	8.54B	9.41B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-12.26B	-6.33B	-5.51B	-7.26B	-6.54B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-6.48B	-5.84B	-4.92B	-4.76B	-999.00M

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2231.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1515, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2231 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3014.25, below the 50-day MA of 2417.96, and above the 200-day MA of 1752.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 335.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1515.

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
5715	77 Outperform	¥167.86B	11.04	11.58%	1.62%	9.81%	30.20%
1515	74 Outperform	¥290.28B	29.11	6.77%	2.30%	8.19%	34.88%
5714	64 Neutral	¥548.26B	27.12	5.02%	2.12%	-7.98%	-42.51%
5711	63 Neutral	¥581.11B	39.03	2.14%	2.83%	-0.64%	-65.65%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
5541	59 Neutral	¥51.09B	-70.80	―	9.18%	-35.81%	-138.00%
5713	53 Neutral	¥2.57T	105.19	1.33%	1.98%	3.15%	-63.65%

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Nittetsu Mining to Cancel Over 3.5 Million Treasury Shares

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. announced the cancellation of 3,523,190 treasury shares, representing 4.22% of its total issued shares, as part of a strategic move to optimize its capital structure. This cancellation, set for November 28, 2025, will result in a total of 80 million shares remaining, potentially enhancing shareholder value and improving financial metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1515) stock is a Buy with a Yen1821.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1515 Stock Forecast page.

Nittetsu Mining Revises Financial Forecast and Increases Dividends Amid Strong Performance

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. has revised its financial forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to higher-than-expected copper prices and a weaker yen, leading to increased net sales and profits. The company also announced an increase in its interim dividend and revised its year-end dividend forecast, reflecting its strong financial performance and commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1515) stock is a Buy with a Yen1821.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1515 Stock Forecast page.

Nittetsu Mining Reports Improved Profits Amidst Declining Sales

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, showing a decrease in net sales by 2.3% compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced significant growth in operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, indicating improved operational efficiency. The company also announced a five-for-one share split effective October 1, 2025, which impacts earnings per share calculations. Despite a slight decline in the capital adequacy ratio, the company’s financial position remains robust, with total assets and net assets increasing. The forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, anticipates a slight decrease in net sales but continued growth in profits, reflecting a positive outlook for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1515) stock is a Buy with a Yen1821.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1515 Stock Forecast page.