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Intevac (IVAC)
NASDAQ:IVAC

Intevac (IVAC) AI Stock Analysis

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Intevac

(NASDAQ:IVAC)

51Neutral
Intevac's overall score reflects significant challenges with profitability and cash flow, weighing heavily on the stock's performance. While technical indicators suggest some positive momentum, the negative P/E ratio and liquidity concerns underscore the need for operational improvements. The modest dividend yield offers limited support to the valuation.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
Seagate's acquisition of Intevac in an all-cash transaction valued at $119 million represents a significant strategic investment.
Financial Performance
Intevac posted a smaller than expected loss for the September quarter, with sales surpassing investor expectations by $17 million.
Negative Factors
Product Development
The qualification of a TRIO tool was unsuccessful, leading Intevac to scale down its TRIO efforts.
Profit Margins
GAAP gross margins for Intevac fell to 24.8%, a significant decline from 38.2% reported in the June quarter.

Intevac (IVAC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Intevac Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntevac, Inc. (IVAC) is a technology company primarily engaged in the design and manufacture of advanced thin-film processing systems and high-productivity process equipment. The company's core sectors include the hard disk drive (HDD) industry and the emerging market for protective coatings and materials. Intevac also provides high-performance imaging sensors and cameras for the defense industry, leveraging its expertise in sensor design and manufacturing.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntevac generates revenue through the sale of its thin-film processing systems and equipment to manufacturers in the hard disk drive industry, which require high-precision technology for coating magnetic disks. Additionally, the company earns income from its imaging systems division by selling high-performance sensors and cameras primarily for military applications. Intevac's revenue streams are supplemented by service agreements, maintenance contracts, and spare parts sales, which provide ongoing support and operational longevity for its installed systems. Strategic partnerships and collaborations in both its core sectors and emerging markets also contribute to its financial performance.

Intevac Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intevac's financial position highlights a company in transition, grappling with profitability and cash flow issues despite maintaining a reasonable equity base and manageable debt levels. The firm needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and stabilizing revenue growth to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Intevac's revenue has been volatile, decreasing from 2019 to 2021 before a slight recovery in 2023 and 2024. The company has consistently reported negative net income and EBIT, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. Despite a recent increase in revenue, the net profit margin remains negative due to high operating losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Intevac maintains a solid equity base with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating lower leverage. However, continuous losses have eroded stockholders' equity over time. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting asset stability, but the company's declining net income affects return on equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The company faces challenges with cash flow generation, evidenced by inconsistent free cash flow and operating cash flow to net income ratios. Although free cash flow turned positive in 2024, historical negative cash flows indicate operational inefficiencies and potential liquidity concerns.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
63.98M52.66M35.76M38.52M97.82M
Gross Profit
2.53M20.23M15.09M7.07M40.55M
EBIT
-40.89M-13.24M-16.51M-22.48M-925.00K
EBITDA
-28.51M-11.71M-13.94M-19.03M-5.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-39.80M-12.19M-16.75M-23.06M1.06M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
67.21M68.85M94.44M112.95M44.18M
Total Assets
109.72M156.51M173.06M157.77M127.24M
Total Debt
6.80M7.98M4.82M6.79M9.66M
Net Debt
-38.31M-43.46M-89.62M-106.16M-34.52M
Total Liabilities
31.65M40.99M49.61M23.75M25.68M
Stockholders Equity
78.07M115.52M123.45M134.01M101.56M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.62M-40.50M-9.35M-920.00K6.24M
Operating Cash Flow
7.92M-35.07M-7.43M278.00K8.85M
Investing Cash Flow
-14.65M18.28M-28.42M71.20M-599.00K
Financing Cash Flow
432.00K-624.00K2.36M1.90M1.10M

Intevac Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3.78
Positive
100DMA
3.40
Positive
200DMA
3.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
70.35
Negative
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IVAC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.99, above the 50-day MA of 3.78, and above the 200-day MA of 3.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 70.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IVAC.

Intevac Risk Analysis

Intevac disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intevac reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Intevac Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.12B7.5013.70%-3.85%5.95%
73
Outperform
$5.62B28.3211.01%21.01%65.27%
72
Outperform
$4.30B22.677.93%1.38%-0.99%
70
Neutral
$1.04B14.6010.43%7.63%
62
Neutral
$4.17B11.265.46%215.76%4.12%-8.54%
57
Neutral
$51.15M43.031.46%-13.71%
51
Neutral
$108.54M-42.25%1.25%21.48%-217.54%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IVAC
Intevac
4.00
0.45
12.68%
ASYS
Amtech Systems
3.35
-1.30
-27.96%
MKSI
MKS Instruments
60.33
-48.56
-44.60%
ONTO
Onto Innovation
112.15
-58.62
-34.33%
PLAB
Photronics
17.69
-7.99
-31.11%
VECO
Veeco
17.61
-15.13
-46.21%

Intevac Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: 1.52% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call conveyed a mixed sentiment with strong performance and outlook in the HDD business offset by the discontinuation of the TRIO platform and the resulting restructuring. The company's future focus on its core HDD business and positive financial projections provide a hopeful outlook, yet the recent challenges and restructuring present concerns.
Highlights
Strong HDD Business Performance
The company reported strong demand for HDD technology upgrades, which exceeded the high end of their forecast. This demand is driven by cloud data center needs and the growing AI industry, resulting in a positive outlook for HDD business with significant additional revenue potential between 2026 and 2028.
Resolution of Customer Inventory Obligation
Approximately $15 million of the $28.5 million of revenue reported for Q3 was related to resolving a customer's inventory obligation, positively impacting earnings per share by $0.04.
Improved Financial Forecast
For fiscal 2025, the company expects a revenue baseline of $50 million, supported by HDD business growth and restructuring efforts. This is projected to result in cash flow neutral to cash flow positive results.
Board Appointment
Ryan Vardeman, a principal and co-founder of Palogic Value Fund, has joined the Board, bringing extensive corporate strategy, operating, and financial experience.
Lowlights
TRIO Platform Discontinued
The TRIO qualification process concluded without the expected period, leading to the decision to cease further development of the TRIO platform. This resulted in a missed market opportunity for the next consumer device product cycle.
Restructuring and Headcount Reduction
The company announced a restructuring and a 19% worldwide headcount reduction to align resources with growth areas, impacting employees globally.
Q4 Revenue and Loss Projection
For Q4, the company projects revenues to be in the range of $9 million to $10.5 million, with a net loss in the range of $0.19 to $0.21 per share, indicating a challenging quarter ahead.
Company Guidance
Intevac's guidance for the fourth quarter of 2024 suggests a projected revenue range of $9 million to $10.5 million, with anticipated gross margins between 30% and 32%. Operating expenses are expected to be between $8.4 million and $8.6 million, including $900,000 in restructuring costs. Interest income is projected at approximately $700,000, with a GAAP tax expense of $400,000, mainly noncash. The net loss is forecasted to range from $0.19 to $0.21 per share based on 27 million shares outstanding. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2025, Intevac anticipates a revenue baseline of $50 million for its HDD business, supported by strong upgrade demand, and expects to achieve cash flow neutrality or positivity, aided by gross margins of at least 40% and a reduced operating expense run rate of $7 million to $7.2 million.

Intevac Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Intevac Completes Merger and Plans Nasdaq Delisting
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

On March 31, 2025, Intevac completed a merger, becoming an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of its Parent company, without requiring a stockholder vote. Following the merger, Intevac requested the Nasdaq to halt trading, suspend, and delist its common stock, and plans to terminate its registration and reporting obligations with the SEC.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.