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Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. (IT:TYA)
:TYA

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. (TYA) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:TYA

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A.

(TYA)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
€19.50
▲(4.84% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/23/26
The score is primarily supported by improved profitability and strong cash flow generation, alongside an attractive P/E and dividend yield. These positives are tempered by a weaker technical setup (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and the notable 2025 revenue decline, which adds uncertainty to earnings durability.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and free cash flow
Consistent positive operating cash flow and FCF (with a ~131% FCF step-up in 2025 and FCF ≈ 94% of net income in 2024) indicate durable cash conversion. This supports capex, debt servicing, and distributions, improving resilience to demand cycles and funding flexibility over months.
Improved profitability and expanding margins
Sharp margin expansion and sustained operating profit since 2022 reflect stronger pricing, cost control and operating leverage at airports. Higher margins improve cash flow sustainability, allowing the company to fund investments and weather seasonal tourism swings over the medium term.
Improving leverage and healthy ROE
Declining debt-to-equity and rising equity, alongside mid-teens ROE, indicate better capital structure and efficient use of equity. Improved leverage increases financial flexibility and lowers default risk, which supports longer-term investment capacity and balance-sheet resilience.
Negative Factors
2025 revenue decline
A nearly 10% revenue drop in 2025 signals demand normalization or structural traffic pressure. Persistent or recurring top-line declines can erode margins, reduce concession and aviation fee income, and limit the company's ability to sustain investments and debt reduction over coming quarters.
Absolute debt remains sizable
Material nominal debt levels increase interest and refinancing exposure for a regional airport operator. Even with improving ratios, sizable debt can constrain free cash allocation, elevate vulnerability to rate shifts, and reduce capacity to fund growth or absorb traffic shocks.
Inconsistent revenue trend and volatility
The swing from growth to flat to decline shows volatility in underlying demand and exposes sensitivity to seasonality and airline decisions. This variability complicates long-term planning for concessions, staffing and capex, raising execution and forecasting risk over the medium term.

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. (TYA) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionToscana Aeroporti S.p.A. operates and manages Florence and Pisa airports in Italy. The company operates through Aviation Business and Non-Aviation Business segments. It manages handling activities include passenger and aircraft ground handling, landing, aircraft departure and stopover, security and safety activities, passenger boarding and disembarkation, and cargo loading and unloading; and provides engineering services. The company also engages in the retail activities; and provides catering, car parking, car rental, advertising, air ticket office, VIP lounge, and cargo agency services. In addition, it engages in commercial and real estate activities; build airports, roads, railways; performs river and maritime works; and develops noise mitigation systems and prefabricate concrete elements for road, airport, and railway facilities. The company was formerly known as Società Aeroporto Toscano (S.A.T.) Galileo Galilei S.p.A. and changed its name to Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. in June 2015. Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Florence, Italy. Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. is a subsidiary of Corporacion America Italia S.p.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyToscana Aeroporti generates revenue through multiple streams primarily associated with airport operations. Key revenue sources include aeronautical revenues from landing and take-off fees charged to airlines, passenger service charges, and management of airport facilities. Additionally, TYA earns non-aeronautical revenue from commercial activities such as retail, duty-free shops, and food and beverage concessions located within the airports. The company may also benefit from partnerships with airlines and other stakeholders in the aviation industry, as well as government contracts for infrastructure development and maintenance projects, which contribute to its overall earnings.

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a solid post-2021 recovery with sustained profitability and strong cash generation (positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2022–2025, with a major free cash flow step-up in 2025). Balance sheet leverage is improving, but debt remains sizable relative to scale, and the key risk is the 2025 revenue decline (-9.5%) after the rebound period.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability has improved meaningfully versus 2020–2021, with solid positive operating profit and net income in 2022–2025. Margins expanded sharply from 2022 to 2024 (net margin rising from ~5% to ~14% and operating profitability strengthening), indicating better cost control and operating leverage. The key weakness is growth consistency: revenue was strong in 2022–2023, essentially flat in 2024, and then declined in 2025 (-9.5%), suggesting demand normalization or pricing/traffic pressure despite remaining profitable.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is moderate and improving: debt-to-equity moved down from elevated levels in 2020–2022 (~1.4x) toward ~0.8–1.0x in 2023–2024, while equity increased over time. Returns on equity are healthy in 2023–2024 (~12%–15%), consistent with the earnings recovery. The main caution is absolute debt remains sizable (roughly €91–€101M in 2024–2025) relative to the business scale, which can limit flexibility if traffic softens or rates remain high.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a strength: operating cash flow is solidly positive in 2022–2025, and free cash flow is positive across those years, with a particularly strong step-up in 2025 (free cash flow up ~131%). Cash flow quality also looks good in 2024, with free cash flow roughly matching net income (about 94%), indicating earnings are translating into cash. Weaknesses include the very weak cash performance in 2020–2021 (negative operating and free cash flow) and some year-to-year volatility (notably free cash flow contraction in 2023).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue142.40M124.14M123.26M90.41M46.89M
Gross Profit29.60M63.70M38.91M19.22M-1.28M
EBITDA43.05M42.03M36.27M17.34M667.00K
Net Income16.10M17.10M12.63M4.67M-5.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets325.01M296.15M303.86M322.94M332.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.61M22.80M26.54M56.07M54.15M
Total Debt101.09M91.04M104.69M139.04M149.47M
Total Liabilities201.09M182.32M197.36M222.19M229.41M
Stockholders Equity123.19M112.89M105.17M99.59M101.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.93M23.45M12.56M21.33M-16.01M
Operating Cash Flow30.61M25.05M26.38M30.43M-938.00K
Investing Cash Flow-25.25M-6.75M-13.92M-10.42M-15.67M
Financing Cash Flow1.70M-21.89M-42.10M-18.39M-5.59M

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.60
Price Trends
50DMA
18.92
Negative
100DMA
18.79
Negative
200DMA
17.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
45.03
Neutral
STOCH
77.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:TYA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.55, below the 50-day MA of 18.92, and above the 200-day MA of 17.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:TYA.

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
€340.60M9.441.96%14.30%23.70%
65
Neutral
€2.75B9.859.96%5.70%-0.32%-6.45%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:TYA
Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A.
18.30
2.26
14.08%
IT:ENAV
Enav SpA
5.08
1.72
51.37%
IT:AUTME
Autostrade Meridionali S.p.A.
2.82
-0.03
-1.05%
IT:RWY
Reway Group SpA
11.10
4.38
65.18%
IT:SBC
Sicily By Car S.P.A.
3.15
-0.29
-8.43%

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. Corporate Events

Toscana Aeroporti Publishes Documentation and Sets Proxy-Only Format for April Shareholders’ Meeting
Mar 20, 2026

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A., operator of the Florence and Pisa airports, was created from the merger of the local airport management companies and leverages the complementary roles of the two hubs. Florence specializes in business and leisure connections through full-service airlines to major European gateways, while Pisa targets tourism, low-cost and cargo traffic as well as intercontinental flights, underpinning Tuscany’s status as a major travel destination.

The company has released documentation for its 29 April 2026 ordinary shareholders’ meeting, making the notice of call, directors’ explanatory reports, share capital information and proxy forms available via its registered office, a storage mechanism and its website. In line with its articles of association, participation and voting at the meeting will occur exclusively through an appointed representative, excluding physical attendance by individual shareholders and reinforcing a controlled, proxy-based governance process for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:TYA) stock is a Buy with a EUR22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. stock, see the IT:TYA Stock Forecast page.

Toscana Aeroporti Convenes 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting with Proxy-Only Participation
Mar 20, 2026

Toscana Aeroporti has called an ordinary shareholders’ meeting for 29 April 2026 at Florence Airport to approve the 2025 separate financial statements, review the consolidated results, and decide on the allocation of the annual profit. Shareholders will also vote on the remuneration report and renew the Board of Statutory Auditors, including appointments and fees, with attendance restricted to proxy voting via a designated representative, underscoring continued reliance on mediated participation mechanisms.

The company has mandated Computershare S.p.A. as the sole designated representative for all shareholders entitled to vote, who must issue proxies with voting instructions on the agenda items. This centralized proxy structure maintains corporate governance continuity while limiting physical participation, which may streamline decision-making but reduces direct shareholder presence in the meeting proceedings.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:TYA) stock is a Buy with a EUR22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. stock, see the IT:TYA Stock Forecast page.

Toscana Aeroporti Hits Record Traffic and Ramps Up Investment in 2025
Mar 10, 2026

Toscana Aeroporti reported a historic year in 2025, with the Tuscan Airport System handling 9.8 million passengers, up 8.4% and well above the Italian market average, driven by record volumes at both Pisa and Florence. Operating revenues rose 6.4% to €115.9 million, with aviation and non‑aviation activities both advancing, while EBITDA was broadly stable at €45.9 million and EBIT increased 6.4% to €32.7 million.

Net profit eased to €16.1 million, mainly due to the absence of a 2024 non‑recurring gain, but leverage remained controlled with net financial debt roughly flat at €73.3 million and an improved debt‑to‑equity ratio. The company sharply accelerated capital expenditure to €30.1 million, focusing on Pisa terminal expansion and the Florence Master Plan, and signalled confidence in sustained traffic growth and long‑term value creation by proposing a €7 million dividend and highlighting strong passenger trends in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:TYA) stock is a Buy with a EUR22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. stock, see the IT:TYA Stock Forecast page.

Toscana Aeroporti Sets Record February as International Traffic Powers Growth
Mar 6, 2026

Toscana Aeroporti reported its best-ever February, handling 543,000 passengers across Florence and Pisa, up 7.3% year-on-year, driven by a 10.5% rise in international traffic that offset weaker domestic demand. The system surpassed one million passengers in the first two months of 2025, an increase of 5.7%, underscoring continued growth in Tuscany’s air connectivity.

Florence Airport saw February traffic climb 5.4% to 215,000 passengers, with strong international routes such as Paris, London and Barcelona compensating for a double-digit drop in domestic travel. Pisa Airport posted an 8.6% February increase to 328,000 passengers, with both international and domestic traffic growing and routes led by Tirana and London, bringing its two-month total above 600,000 passengers for the first time and reinforcing its role as a regional tourism and logistics gateway.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:TYA) stock is a Buy with a EUR22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. stock, see the IT:TYA Stock Forecast page.

Toscana Aeroporti Sets Record January as International Traffic Powers Growth
Feb 6, 2026

Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A., which manages the complementary Florence and Pisa airports and plays a central role in Tuscany’s tourism and business connectivity, has built its network around full-service European hub connections from Florence and low-cost, cargo and intercontinental traffic through Pisa, positioning the Tuscan system as one of Italy’s leading regional aviation gateways. The company opened 2026 with its strongest January on record, surpassing 500,000 monthly passengers for the first time as traffic reached 505,000, up 4.0% year-on-year, driven by a 7.1% rise in international traffic that offset a 5.1% decline in domestic volumes; Florence posted a 6.6% gain to 215,000 passengers on robust international routes such as Paris, London and Barcelona, while Pisa grew 2.1% to 291,000 passengers with Tirana and London leading demand, underscoring the resilience and growing internationalisation of Tuscany’s air travel market despite weaker domestic flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:TYA) stock is a Buy with a EUR22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. stock, see the IT:TYA Stock Forecast page.

Toscana Aeroporti Brings Forward Board Meeting for 2025 Accounts to 10 March 2026
Feb 3, 2026

Toscana Aeroporti has brought forward the Board of Directors meeting to approve the 2025 draft financial statements and convene the related shareholders’ meeting, rescheduling it from 12 March to 10 March 2026 and updating its 2026 corporate events calendar accordingly on the investor relations section of its website. The minor calendar adjustment underscores the company’s effort to provide timely financial disclosure to investors and other stakeholders, supporting visibility over results and governance processes at a time when its dual‑hub Tuscan airport system plays a strategic role in regional connectivity and tourism flows.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:TYA) stock is a Buy with a EUR22.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Toscana Aeroporti S.p.A. stock, see the IT:TYA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 23, 2026