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Sesa S.p.A. (IT:SES)
:SES

Sesa S.p.A. (SES) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:SES

Sesa S.p.A.

(SES)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
€105.00
▲(16.80% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by improving cash generation alongside steady top-line growth, supported by a constructive technical uptrend and a confident earnings outlook with reaffirmed guidance and stronger backlog. Offsetting the positives are thin/pressured margins and moderate leverage, while valuation is only moderate given a ~22.5 P/E and ~1.1% yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sesa's robust free cash flow, well above net income and growing rapidly, provides durable financial flexibility. Strong cash conversion funds reinvestment, dividends, buybacks and selective deleveraging without depending on capital markets, supporting long‑term growth and financial resilience.
Steady revenue growth and backlog
Consistent top‑line expansion and a sizable backlog enhance revenue visibility across IT services cycles. Diversified streams (ICT VAS, Digital Green, Business Services) and backlog growth underpin recurring work and predictable near‑term cash flows, benefiting multi‑period planning and execution.
Selective, margin‑accretive M&A
A focused acquisition strategy targeting profitable assets at modest multiples can accelerate scale and mix improvement. Geographic and capability additions that are EBITDA‑accretive strengthen competitive position and long‑term margin potential if integration and discipline remain consistent.
Negative Factors
Thin and pressured profitability
Persistently low margins limit the company's ability to absorb cost shocks or funding cost increases and constrain retained earnings for reinvestment. Structural margin pressure reduces sensitivity of profits to revenue growth, making earnings vulnerable unless pricing power or efficiency improves.
Moderate leverage reduces flexibility
A roughly 1x debt‑to‑equity profile limits balance sheet optionality for large opportunistic moves and raises refinancing/interest‑rate sensitivity. If margins stay thin or cash conversion weakens, servicing debt could constrain capital allocation and heighten execution risk over the medium term.
High investment and execution risk
Sustained high CapEx and M&A activity consumes cash and increases integration and execution risk. Successful payback depends on operational delivery and margin recovery; misexecution could depress returns, elevate amortization/D&A, and strain cash available for dividends or deleveraging.

Sesa S.p.A. (SES) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Sesa S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeSa S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, distributes value-added information technology (IT) products and solutions in Italy and internationally. Its Software and System Integration sector provides software, technological innovation, and digital transformation solutions for end user companies in the SME and enterprise segments; IT infrastructure and IoT solutions; artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions; digital and business application services; and HR management solutions, as well as operates solutions on the Microsoft Dynamics platform. This sector also provides cloud services; digital security services; digital manufacturing, processing, and transformation solutions; management, maintenance, technical assistance, and repair services for computers and IT products; and strategic outsourcing services, as well as operates in the cloud computing and systems assistance sectors. In addition, this sector develops and markets ERP software and applications; offers solutions and integrated services on the SAP Business One platform; develops 3cad products for the furniture industry; produces and markets software products, as well as provides IT services for the retail sector; offers project management services; and provides product lifecycle management solutions for manufacturing sector. The company's Business Services sector offers business process outsourcing, security, and digital transformation services for the finance segment. Its Value-Added Distribution sector engages in the value-added distribution of technological, enterprise software and datacenter solutions; management of networking solutions; provision of design services for IT solutions, as well as digital media Adobe solutions; and market of Hitachi data systems solutions. The company's Corporate sector offers logistic services, and marketing and promotion services for the ICT channel. SeSa S.p.A. is headquartered in Empoli, Italy. SeSa S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of ITH SpA.
How the Company Makes MoneySesa S.p.A. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering IT services and solutions to businesses. The company earns money by charging clients for consulting services, software licenses, and ongoing maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, SES benefits from the distribution of third-party technology products, where it receives margins on sales. Significant partnerships with leading technology vendors enhance its offerings and drive sales growth. The company also sees revenue from training and educational services, helping clients optimize their IT investments. Overall, SES's diverse portfolio allows it to capture a wide range of market opportunities, contributing to its financial performance.

Sesa S.p.A. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented solid financial progress: double‑digit reported revenue and EBITDA growth, strong Q2 acceleration, sectoral strengths (Digital Green, ICT VAS recovery), improved financial efficiency and active capital returns. Remaining weaknesses are concentrated in system integration margin pressure and near‑term margin timing in Business Services, plus conditional disposals and continued sizable investment levels. Management reaffirmed FY26 guidance and expects to reach or approach the upper end of targets, signaling confidence in organic momentum.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth (Reported)
Consolidated revenues and other income of EUR 1.6 billion, up 12.0% year‑on‑year (reported).
Profitability Improvements (Reported)
EBITDA of EUR 114.4 million, up 11.4% year‑on‑year (EBITDA margin 7.1% broadly stable); consolidated EAT adjusted of ~EUR 50 million, up 17.1% year‑on‑year; group net profit adjusted EUR 45 million, up 13% year‑on‑year.
Strong Second Quarter Acceleration
Q2 revenues EUR 755 million, up 16% reported and 9.4% like‑for‑like; Q2 operating EBITDA up 16.6% reported and 8.4% pro forma; Q2 group EAT adjusted up ~30% reported and 17% pro forma — management highlights Q2 as major driver of H1 outperformance.
Digital Green VAS Outperformance
Digital Green VAS revenues EUR 210 million, up 26% vs H1 2025 pro forma; EBITDA EUR 14 million, up 30% pro forma (EBITDA margin 6.7%). Management cites strong demand tied to energy needs from digitalization and AI adoption.
ICT VAS Recovery and Backlog Improvement
ICT VAS revenues EUR 939 million, up 2.1% fully organic with a recovery vs prior declines; Q2 ICT VAS revenue growth +8.1% and November backlog +25%, supporting near‑term revenue visibility.
Business Services Momentum
Business Services revenues EUR 74 million, up ~7% year‑on‑year; EBITDA EUR 11.6 million, up 6.6% with a healthy 15.8% margin; Q2 revenue acceleration +11% driven by multiyear contracts.
Improved Financial Efficiency and Net Debt
Net financial expenses decreased ~11% vs H1 2025 (15.5% reduction in Q2 vs Q2 2025) due to lower interest rates and better financial management; net debt improved to EUR 119 million (including EUR 208 million IFRS debt), down from pro forma EUR 122 million.
Capital Allocation Discipline and Shareholder Returns
New industrial plan shifts toward organic growth and lower M&A; FY26 payout ratio raised to 40% with EUR 1/share dividend (EUR 15.5m) and an expanded EUR 25m buyback program (phase 1 EUR 15m completed); additional share cancellations executed (157,522 shares).
Selective M&A and Integration
Four strategic acquisitions in H1 (Germany, Spain, Italy, Switzerland) consolidated or to be consolidated with entry valuations ~5x EBITDA; targets generally deliver >10% EBITDA margins, confirming selective, value‑oriented M&A strategy.
ESG Recognition and HR Progress
Retained EcoVadis Platinum rating (highest level); headcount increased 1.7% vs April 30, 2025 and continued focus on training, inclusion and welfare programs.
Negative Updates
System Integration Margin Pressure
System integration revenues EUR 420 million (up 4% yoy) but EBITDA down 1.9% to EUR 43.4 million and EBITDA margin at 10.3%, reflecting reengineering in some business units and a guidance to stabilize margins at FY'25 levels.
Business Services Short‑term Margin Impact
Although Business Services revenues accelerated (+11% in Q2), management noted a decrease in marginality in Q2 due to the start of several multiyear contracts that have not yet translated into profitability.
Software/System Integration Slight Underperformance
Management acknowledged being slightly below guidance in the first half for software system integration, requiring recovery in H2 despite Q2 improvement and positive backlog.
Significant Amortization and D&A Increase
Depreciation and amortization rose ~14% year‑on‑year to EUR 26 million; amortization of customer lists/know‑how of EUR 17.5 million reduced consolidated EBIT (reported EBIT EUR 65 million after intangibles).
Pending Disposal and Conditional Transaction
Binding agreement to sell a 6.6% stake in DV Holding is subject to Golden Power and antitrust approvals; transaction expected to generate ~EUR 7 million positive impact on consolidated net profit but remains conditional.
Heavy Near‑term Investment Level and Execution Risk
Last 12 months investments totaled ~EUR 140 million (EUR 37 million in H1), with substantial M&A and buyback/dividend payouts (~EUR 35 million); full‑year investment guidance (~EUR 80 million including M&A and CapEx) implies continued capital deployment and execution risk versus the new focus on reduced annual M&A.
Company Guidance
Management confirmed FY26 guidance of organic revenue growth of 5–7.5%, organic EBITDA growth of 5–10% and roughly a 10% organic increase in net consolidated profit (vs. an earlier 10–12% range), saying the upper end is achievable given strong H1 and Q2 momentum: H1 revenues EUR 1.6bn (+12% y/y), H1 EBITDA EUR 114.4m (+11.4%), adjusted EAT EUR 50m (+17.1%) and group net profit adjusted EUR 45m (+13%); Q2 revenues EUR 755m (+16% reported / +9.4% pro‑forma), Q2 EBITDA +16.6% reported / +8.4% pro‑forma and Q2 adjusted EAT +30% reported / +17% pro‑forma, together with a November backlog up 25%. They reiterated investment guidance of ~EUR 80m for the year (including ~EUR 35m M&A and EUR 52–55m CapEx), longer‑term annual M&A ~EUR 30m and CapEx ~EUR 50m, a 40% payout policy with a EUR 25m buyback and EUR 1/share dividend (EUR 15.5m paid), noted net debt of ~EUR 119m and a reduction in net financial expenses (~11–15.5%).

Sesa S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth (TTM €3.40B vs FY2025 €3.21B) and strong cash generation (TTM FCF ~€145M, ~81% growth; FCF ~2.2x net income) support the score. Offsetting factors are thin and recently pressured profitability (TTM net margin ~1.9%; EBIT/EBITDA mid-single digits) and moderate leverage around ~1.0x debt-to-equity, with only modest operating cash flow relative to debt (~11%).
Income Statement
71
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is €3.40B, up from €3.21B in FY2025, showing continued top-line expansion. Profitability is positive but thin for the sector: TTM gross margin is ~6.6% and net margin is ~1.9%, and margins have generally compressed versus earlier years (e.g., FY2023–FY2024). EBIT/EBITDA margins remain in the mid-single digits (~4.2% / ~7.0% in TTM), indicating a resilient operating model, but limited pricing power and/or cost pressure keeps earnings growth constrained.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is moderate: TTM debt is ~€432M against ~€436M of equity, putting debt roughly in line with equity (debt-to-equity ~1.0). Total assets are sizable (~€2.18B TTM), supporting scale, and returns on equity are solid (about 14.7% TTM), though below the stronger levels seen in earlier periods (e.g., FY2023). The main weakness is the consistently elevated leverage profile around ~1x debt-to-equity across years, which reduces flexibility if margins stay tight or funding costs rise.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
Cash generation is a clear positive. TTM operating cash flow is ~€181M and free cash flow is ~€145M, with very strong TTM free cash flow growth (~81%) versus the prior period. Free cash flow comfortably exceeds net income in TTM (roughly 2.2x), suggesting healthy cash conversion and/or working-capital tailwinds. A key watch-out is that operating cash flow relative to debt is modest (~11% TTM), implying that while cash generation is improving, debt paydown capacity would still take time without continued strong cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.21B3.16B2.87B2.36B2.02B
Gross Profit389.57M226.10M205.88M167.83M126.78M
EBITDA235.04M233.45M201.26M159.32M119.64M
Net Income62.20M78.27M84.45M73.52M52.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.24B2.12B1.92B1.22B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments576.88M585.76M545.50M498.90M426.90M
Total Debt475.67M422.88M356.08M406.94M332.22M
Total Liabilities1.74B1.64B1.50B920.18M844.61M
Stockholders Equity445.92M429.58M374.93M315.44M278.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.14M98.57M78.96M120.89M78.64M
Operating Cash Flow117.23M137.62M115.45M147.89M95.24M
Investing Cash Flow-114.91M-103.75M-85.19M-37.76M-21.10M
Financing Cash Flow-17.83M6.10M10.94M-51.93M-51.93M

Sesa S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.90
Price Trends
50DMA
87.53
Positive
100DMA
86.20
Positive
200DMA
80.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.90
Positive
RSI
48.88
Neutral
STOCH
21.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:SES, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.96, above the 50-day MA of 87.53, and above the 200-day MA of 80.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:SES.

Sesa S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€1.40B21.1915.29%1.15%9.50%0.52%
71
Outperform
€290.69M15.422.82%-24.28%-57.55%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
€691.59M-154.51-1.19%2.02%14.90%-123.79%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:SES
Sesa S.p.A.
89.90
23.07
34.51%
IT:TNXT
Tinexta SpA
15.08
7.32
94.28%
IT:DGV
Digital Value SpA
28.50
7.28
34.31%
IT:SPN
Spindox S.P.A
12.95
3.23
33.23%
IT:VNT
Vantea Smart S.p.A.
0.98
-0.18
-15.52%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026