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Sesa S.p.A. (IT:SES)
:SES

Sesa S.p.A. (SES) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:SES

Sesa S.p.A.

(SES)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
€88.00
▲(11.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/16/26
The score is driven primarily by improving cash generation alongside steady top-line growth, supported by a constructive technical uptrend and a confident earnings outlook with reaffirmed guidance and stronger backlog. Offsetting the positives are thin/pressured margins and moderate leverage, while valuation is only moderate given a ~22.5 P/E and ~1.1% yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sesa's materially stronger free cash flow and ~81% FCF growth show durable cash conversion. Sustained FCF well above net income supports debt reduction, reinvestment, dividends and buybacks over the coming months, increasing financial flexibility despite modest operating cash vs debt.
Revenue growth & backlog
Consistent top-line expansion and a 25% backlog boost provide multi-quarter revenue visibility. This supports management's organic growth guidance and underpins steady demand across Digital Green and ICT VAS, making revenue momentum a durable tailwind for operating leverage and recovery.
Capital allocation & selective M&A
A clearer tilt toward organic growth, a 40% payout, active buybacks and disciplined acquisitions (targets cited at ~5x entry and >10% EBITDA) indicate prudent capital allocation. This governance and selective M&A approach supports long-term margin accretion and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Thin profitability
Margins remain structurally thin, with net margin near 1.9% and only mid-single-digit operating margins. Limited pricing power or cost pressure leaves earnings vulnerable to small revenue swings or cost increases, constraining free earnings growth even if top line stays positive.
Moderate leverage
A roughly 1.0x debt-to-equity profile reduces financial headroom. With thin margins, elevated leverage limits flexibility for additional M&A, cyclical downturns or rapid deleveraging and increases sensitivity to rising funding costs over the medium term.
Heavy investment & amortization burden
Sustained high investment and elevated amortization raise execution risk and depress reported EBIT. Large near-term capex/M&A spend combined with non‑cash amortization reduces headline profitability and increases the importance of successful integration to realize expected returns.

Sesa S.p.A. (SES) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Sesa S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeSa S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, distributes value-added information technology (IT) products and solutions in Italy and internationally. Its Software and System Integration sector provides software, technological innovation, and digital transformation solutions for end user companies in the SME and enterprise segments; IT infrastructure and IoT solutions; artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions; digital and business application services; and HR management solutions, as well as operates solutions on the Microsoft Dynamics platform. This sector also provides cloud services; digital security services; digital manufacturing, processing, and transformation solutions; management, maintenance, technical assistance, and repair services for computers and IT products; and strategic outsourcing services, as well as operates in the cloud computing and systems assistance sectors. In addition, this sector develops and markets ERP software and applications; offers solutions and integrated services on the SAP Business One platform; develops 3cad products for the furniture industry; produces and markets software products, as well as provides IT services for the retail sector; offers project management services; and provides product lifecycle management solutions for manufacturing sector. The company's Business Services sector offers business process outsourcing, security, and digital transformation services for the finance segment. Its Value-Added Distribution sector engages in the value-added distribution of technological, enterprise software and datacenter solutions; management of networking solutions; provision of design services for IT solutions, as well as digital media Adobe solutions; and market of Hitachi data systems solutions. The company's Corporate sector offers logistic services, and marketing and promotion services for the ICT channel. SeSa S.p.A. is headquartered in Empoli, Italy. SeSa S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of ITH SpA.
How the Company Makes MoneySesa S.p.A. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by offering IT services and solutions to businesses. The company earns money by charging clients for consulting services, software licenses, and ongoing maintenance and support contracts. Additionally, SES benefits from the distribution of third-party technology products, where it receives margins on sales. Significant partnerships with leading technology vendors enhance its offerings and drive sales growth. The company also sees revenue from training and educational services, helping clients optimize their IT investments. Overall, SES's diverse portfolio allows it to capture a wide range of market opportunities, contributing to its financial performance.

Sesa S.p.A. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented solid financial progress: double‑digit reported revenue and EBITDA growth, strong Q2 acceleration, sectoral strengths (Digital Green, ICT VAS recovery), improved financial efficiency and active capital returns. Remaining weaknesses are concentrated in system integration margin pressure and near‑term margin timing in Business Services, plus conditional disposals and continued sizable investment levels. Management reaffirmed FY26 guidance and expects to reach or approach the upper end of targets, signaling confidence in organic momentum.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth (Reported)
Consolidated revenues and other income of EUR 1.6 billion, up 12.0% year‑on‑year (reported).
Profitability Improvements (Reported)
EBITDA of EUR 114.4 million, up 11.4% year‑on‑year (EBITDA margin 7.1% broadly stable); consolidated EAT adjusted of ~EUR 50 million, up 17.1% year‑on‑year; group net profit adjusted EUR 45 million, up 13% year‑on‑year.
Strong Second Quarter Acceleration
Q2 revenues EUR 755 million, up 16% reported and 9.4% like‑for‑like; Q2 operating EBITDA up 16.6% reported and 8.4% pro forma; Q2 group EAT adjusted up ~30% reported and 17% pro forma — management highlights Q2 as major driver of H1 outperformance.
Digital Green VAS Outperformance
Digital Green VAS revenues EUR 210 million, up 26% vs H1 2025 pro forma; EBITDA EUR 14 million, up 30% pro forma (EBITDA margin 6.7%). Management cites strong demand tied to energy needs from digitalization and AI adoption.
ICT VAS Recovery and Backlog Improvement
ICT VAS revenues EUR 939 million, up 2.1% fully organic with a recovery vs prior declines; Q2 ICT VAS revenue growth +8.1% and November backlog +25%, supporting near‑term revenue visibility.
Business Services Momentum
Business Services revenues EUR 74 million, up ~7% year‑on‑year; EBITDA EUR 11.6 million, up 6.6% with a healthy 15.8% margin; Q2 revenue acceleration +11% driven by multiyear contracts.
Improved Financial Efficiency and Net Debt
Net financial expenses decreased ~11% vs H1 2025 (15.5% reduction in Q2 vs Q2 2025) due to lower interest rates and better financial management; net debt improved to EUR 119 million (including EUR 208 million IFRS debt), down from pro forma EUR 122 million.
Capital Allocation Discipline and Shareholder Returns
New industrial plan shifts toward organic growth and lower M&A; FY26 payout ratio raised to 40% with EUR 1/share dividend (EUR 15.5m) and an expanded EUR 25m buyback program (phase 1 EUR 15m completed); additional share cancellations executed (157,522 shares).
Selective M&A and Integration
Four strategic acquisitions in H1 (Germany, Spain, Italy, Switzerland) consolidated or to be consolidated with entry valuations ~5x EBITDA; targets generally deliver >10% EBITDA margins, confirming selective, value‑oriented M&A strategy.
ESG Recognition and HR Progress
Retained EcoVadis Platinum rating (highest level); headcount increased 1.7% vs April 30, 2025 and continued focus on training, inclusion and welfare programs.
Negative Updates
System Integration Margin Pressure
System integration revenues EUR 420 million (up 4% yoy) but EBITDA down 1.9% to EUR 43.4 million and EBITDA margin at 10.3%, reflecting reengineering in some business units and a guidance to stabilize margins at FY'25 levels.
Business Services Short‑term Margin Impact
Although Business Services revenues accelerated (+11% in Q2), management noted a decrease in marginality in Q2 due to the start of several multiyear contracts that have not yet translated into profitability.
Software/System Integration Slight Underperformance
Management acknowledged being slightly below guidance in the first half for software system integration, requiring recovery in H2 despite Q2 improvement and positive backlog.
Significant Amortization and D&A Increase
Depreciation and amortization rose ~14% year‑on‑year to EUR 26 million; amortization of customer lists/know‑how of EUR 17.5 million reduced consolidated EBIT (reported EBIT EUR 65 million after intangibles).
Pending Disposal and Conditional Transaction
Binding agreement to sell a 6.6% stake in DV Holding is subject to Golden Power and antitrust approvals; transaction expected to generate ~EUR 7 million positive impact on consolidated net profit but remains conditional.
Heavy Near‑term Investment Level and Execution Risk
Last 12 months investments totaled ~EUR 140 million (EUR 37 million in H1), with substantial M&A and buyback/dividend payouts (~EUR 35 million); full‑year investment guidance (~EUR 80 million including M&A and CapEx) implies continued capital deployment and execution risk versus the new focus on reduced annual M&A.
Company Guidance
Management confirmed FY26 guidance of organic revenue growth of 5–7.5%, organic EBITDA growth of 5–10% and roughly a 10% organic increase in net consolidated profit (vs. an earlier 10–12% range), saying the upper end is achievable given strong H1 and Q2 momentum: H1 revenues EUR 1.6bn (+12% y/y), H1 EBITDA EUR 114.4m (+11.4%), adjusted EAT EUR 50m (+17.1%) and group net profit adjusted EUR 45m (+13%); Q2 revenues EUR 755m (+16% reported / +9.4% pro‑forma), Q2 EBITDA +16.6% reported / +8.4% pro‑forma and Q2 adjusted EAT +30% reported / +17% pro‑forma, together with a November backlog up 25%. They reiterated investment guidance of ~EUR 80m for the year (including ~EUR 35m M&A and EUR 52–55m CapEx), longer‑term annual M&A ~EUR 30m and CapEx ~EUR 50m, a 40% payout policy with a EUR 25m buyback and EUR 1/share dividend (EUR 15.5m paid), noted net debt of ~EUR 119m and a reduction in net financial expenses (~11–15.5%).

Sesa S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Steady revenue growth (TTM €3.40B vs FY2025 €3.21B) and strong cash generation (TTM FCF ~€145M, ~81% growth; FCF ~2.2x net income) support the score. Offsetting factors are thin and recently pressured profitability (TTM net margin ~1.9%; EBIT/EBITDA mid-single digits) and moderate leverage around ~1.0x debt-to-equity, with only modest operating cash flow relative to debt (~11%).
Income Statement
71
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is €3.40B, up from €3.21B in FY2025, showing continued top-line expansion. Profitability is positive but thin for the sector: TTM gross margin is ~6.6% and net margin is ~1.9%, and margins have generally compressed versus earlier years (e.g., FY2023–FY2024). EBIT/EBITDA margins remain in the mid-single digits (~4.2% / ~7.0% in TTM), indicating a resilient operating model, but limited pricing power and/or cost pressure keeps earnings growth constrained.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Leverage is moderate: TTM debt is ~€432M against ~€436M of equity, putting debt roughly in line with equity (debt-to-equity ~1.0). Total assets are sizable (~€2.18B TTM), supporting scale, and returns on equity are solid (about 14.7% TTM), though below the stronger levels seen in earlier periods (e.g., FY2023). The main weakness is the consistently elevated leverage profile around ~1x debt-to-equity across years, which reduces flexibility if margins stay tight or funding costs rise.
Cash Flow
76
Positive
Cash generation is a clear positive. TTM operating cash flow is ~€181M and free cash flow is ~€145M, with very strong TTM free cash flow growth (~81%) versus the prior period. Free cash flow comfortably exceeds net income in TTM (roughly 2.2x), suggesting healthy cash conversion and/or working-capital tailwinds. A key watch-out is that operating cash flow relative to debt is modest (~11% TTM), implying that while cash generation is improving, debt paydown capacity would still take time without continued strong cash flow.
BreakdownTTMApr 2025Apr 2024Apr 2023Apr 2022Apr 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.40B3.21B3.16B2.87B2.36B2.02B
Gross Profit223.31M389.57M226.10M205.88M167.83M126.78M
EBITDA239.28M235.04M233.45M201.26M159.32M119.64M
Net Income65.86M62.20M78.27M84.45M73.52M52.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.18B2.24B2.12B1.92B1.22B1.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments464.10M576.88M585.76M545.50M498.90M426.90M
Total Debt432.20M475.67M422.88M356.08M406.94M332.22M
Total Liabilities1.68B1.74B1.64B1.50B920.18M844.61M
Stockholders Equity435.50M445.92M429.58M374.93M315.44M278.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow144.74M60.14M98.57M78.96M120.89M78.64M
Operating Cash Flow181.37M117.23M137.62M115.45M147.89M95.24M
Investing Cash Flow-98.42M-114.91M-103.75M-85.19M-37.76M-21.10M
Financing Cash Flow-72.08M-17.83M6.10M10.94M-51.93M-51.93M

Sesa S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.60
Price Trends
50DMA
87.28
Negative
100DMA
85.50
Negative
200DMA
81.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.15
Positive
RSI
38.93
Neutral
STOCH
19.19
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:SES, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.05, below the 50-day MA of 87.28, and below the 200-day MA of 81.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.19 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:SES.

Sesa S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€1.17B17.6215.29%1.15%9.50%0.52%
71
Outperform
€292.21M15.502.82%-24.28%-57.55%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
€696.18M-155.64-1.19%2.02%14.90%-123.79%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:SES
Sesa S.p.A.
78.60
5.98
8.23%
IT:TNXT
Tinexta SpA
15.20
7.56
98.93%
IT:DGV
Digital Value SpA
28.75
10.41
56.76%
IT:VNT
Vantea Smart S.p.A.
0.93
-0.19
-17.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026