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Geox SpA (IT:GEO)
:GEO

Geox SpA (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:GEO

Geox SpA

(GEO)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
€0.28
▼(-11.29% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/09/26
The score is primarily constrained by financial risk and incomplete profitability: losses persist and leverage is high versus equity despite improving revenue and narrowing losses. Technicals are mixed with only modest near-term strength and weak longer-term trend, while valuation is not supportive due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Improving revenue and solid gross margins
2025 revenue rose ~22.7% while gross margins remained near ~50%, indicating healthy demand and pricing power for core products. Sustained margin levels with top-line recovery enable operating leverage, helping compress losses and support a path toward durable profitability if trends continue.
Negative Factors
High leverage versus equity
Elevated total debt (~€318m) against a thin equity base (~€75m) constrains financial flexibility. High leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate vulnerability, limits capacity for opportunistic investments or acquisitions, and magnifies downside risk if revenue or margins weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving revenue and solid gross margins
2025 revenue rose ~22.7% while gross margins remained near ~50%, indicating healthy demand and pricing power for core products. Sustained margin levels with top-line recovery enable operating leverage, helping compress losses and support a path toward durable profitability if trends continue.
Read all positive factors

Geox SpA (GEO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Geox SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Geox S.p.A. creates, produces, promotes, and distributes footwear and apparel to retailers and end consumers in Italy, Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Footwear and Apparel. The company offers shoes and appa...
How the Company Makes Money
Geox makes money primarily by selling branded footwear and apparel to consumers and retail partners. Its revenue model is typically split between (1) direct-to-consumer sales through directly operated Geox retail stores and its online channels, wh...

Geox SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating trends improved in 2025 with strong revenue growth (+22.7%) and a materially narrower net loss (net margin ~-2.7%), supported by solid gross margins (~50%). However, the company remains loss-making, balance-sheet risk is elevated (high debt ~€318m vs. modest equity ~€75m), and free cash flow—while still positive—fell sharply year over year (~-44.8%).
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue608.65M663.76M719.57M735.52M608.91M
Gross Profit310.34M335.20M295.42M349.23M284.26M
EBITDA63.44M57.44M83.61M78.00M32.10M
Net Income-16.21M-30.34M-6.45M-13.02M-62.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets617.64M685.97M777.98M790.38M718.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.94M30.36M77.34M28.35M48.49M
Total Debt318.30M332.60M389.44M336.28M339.06M
Total Liabilities542.54M618.07M687.39M682.17M593.65M
Stockholders Equity75.09M67.90M90.59M108.21M124.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.65M39.99M45.46M68.69M68.43M
Operating Cash Flow38.11M56.48M64.17M83.94M79.80M
Investing Cash Flow-14.04M-14.68M-20.33M-26.25M-12.10M
Financing Cash Flow-32.57M-85.14M2.35M-79.30M-106.03M

Geox SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.31
Price Trends
50DMA
0.28
Negative
100DMA
0.29
Negative
200DMA
0.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
57.40
Neutral
STOCH
85.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:GEO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, above the 50-day MA of 0.28, and above the 200-day MA of 0.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IT:GEO.

Geox SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€539.05M10.2717.19%6.34%0.29%-4.85%
62
Neutral
€750.39M16.5011.48%-0.76%2341.30%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
48
Neutral
€101.25M-3.03-18.69%-5.49%-62.25%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:GEO
Geox SpA
0.28
-0.05
-14.29%
IT:MN
Arnoldo Mondadori Editore SPA
2.07
0.13
6.92%
IT:PQ
Piquadro SpA
2.58
0.73
39.53%
IT:SFL
Safilo Group SpA
1.81
1.10
156.76%
IT:PTR
Pattern S.P.A
2.70
-2.70
-50.00%
IT:RAT
Ratti S.p.A.
1.18
-0.74
-38.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 09, 2026