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Geox SpA (IT:GEO)
:GEO
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Geox SpA (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:GEO

Geox SpA

(GEO)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
€0.28
▲(0.71% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is mainly constrained by weak financial fundamentals: the company remains loss-making and carries elevated leverage versus a thin equity base, despite improved 2025 revenue growth and narrowing losses. Technical indicators are mildly supportive but not strong enough to offset balance-sheet risk, and valuation is pressured by negative earnings with no dividend data to provide support.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
Sustained gross margins near 50% indicate durable product-level profitability and pricing power from Geox’s technology-oriented footwear. High gross margins provide structural buffer to absorb operating costs and support path to profitability as sales scale across channels.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
High absolute debt relative to a thin equity base constrains strategic options and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. Elevated leverage limits capacity for M&A, marketing investment or larger inventory builds, and leaves the company vulnerable to macro shocks despite improving operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margins
Sustained gross margins near 50% indicate durable product-level profitability and pricing power from Geox’s technology-oriented footwear. High gross margins provide structural buffer to absorb operating costs and support path to profitability as sales scale across channels.
Read all positive factors

Geox SpA (GEO) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Geox SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Geox S.p.A. is an Italian company primarily involved in the design, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of footwear and apparel. It supplies its products to both retailers and end consumers across Italy, Europe, North America, and other int...
How the Company Makes Money
Geox makes money primarily by selling branded footwear and, to a lesser extent, apparel (outerwear and related clothing) under the Geox name. Revenue is generated through multiple channels: (1) Wholesale: selling products in bulk to department sto...

Geox SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating trends improved in 2025 with strong revenue growth (+22.7% YoY) and a much narrower net loss (net margin ~-2.7% vs. -4.6% in 2024), supported by solid gross margins (~50%). However, the company is still loss-making and balance-sheet risk is significant: high debt (~€318m) versus modest equity (~€75m) keeps solvency flexibility constrained despite some debt reduction. Cash flow is a relative positive with positive operating and free cash flow in 2025, but free cash flow fell sharply (~-44.8% YoY), tempering the improvement.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue608.65M663.76M719.57M735.52M608.91M
Gross Profit310.34M335.20M295.42M349.23M284.26M
EBITDA59.60M57.44M83.61M78.00M32.10M
Net Income-16.21M-30.34M-6.45M-13.02M-62.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets617.64M685.97M777.98M790.38M718.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.94M30.36M77.34M28.35M48.49M
Total Debt318.30M332.60M389.44M336.28M339.06M
Total Liabilities542.54M618.07M687.39M682.17M593.65M
Stockholders Equity75.09M67.90M90.59M108.21M124.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.65M46.09M45.46M68.69M68.43M
Operating Cash Flow38.11M56.48M64.17M83.94M79.80M
Investing Cash Flow-14.04M-14.68M-20.33M-26.25M-12.10M
Financing Cash Flow-32.57M-85.14M2.35M-79.30M-106.03M

Geox SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.28
Price Trends
50DMA
0.28
Positive
100DMA
0.28
Positive
200DMA
0.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
58.45
Neutral
STOCH
94.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:GEO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.28, below the 50-day MA of 0.28, and below the 200-day MA of 0.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:GEO.

Geox SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€13.71B21.9317.62%2.92%2.96%3.85%
65
Neutral
€930.45M17.6912.37%-4.12%10.95%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
€1.67B-34.83-8.32%-1.57%
48
Neutral
€106.01M-7.93-17.82%-11.56%42.38%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:GEO
Geox SpA
0.29
>-0.01
-1.37%
IT:BAN
BasicNet SPA
6.50
0.02
0.32%
IT:MONC
Moncler S.p.A.
50.66
5.98
13.40%
IT:PQ
Piquadro SpA
2.69
0.44
19.77%
IT:SFL
Safilo Group SpA
2.23
0.98
77.87%
IT:SFER
Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A.
10.10
5.66
127.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026