Geox SpA (GEO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €118.27M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 676.81K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.70
• Revenue Growth: -7.76%
• EPS Growth: -366.10%
• Country: IT
• Employees: 2,454
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
• EPS (TTM): -0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 366,904,540
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,164,120
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 676,808
• PEG Ratio: 0.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.43
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: €0.50 ▲(61.29%Upside)

Geox SpA's overall stock score is primarily impacted by poor financial performance and a negative valuation. The technical analysis also indicates bearish momentum. The combination of these factors points to significant risks for investors, necessitating strategic improvements in financial stability and market performance.

Geox SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Geox SpA (GEO) is a renowned Italian company that specializes in the design, production, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Founded in 1995, the company is best known for its innovative use of breathable technology in its products, which enhances comfort and functionality. Geox operates across various sectors, including casual, formal, and sportswear, offering a wide range of products that appeal to diverse consumer preferences. With a strong presence in international markets, Geox has established itself as a leader in the footwear industry, recognized for its commitment to quality and innovation.

How the Company Makes Money

Geox SpA generates revenue primarily through the sale of its footwear and apparel products. The company's revenue streams are mainly derived from wholesale and retail operations. Wholesale operations involve selling products to third-party retailers and distributors, while retail operations include sales through Geox-owned stores and e-commerce platforms. Geox's innovative breathable technology, which is a key differentiator in its product offerings, allows the company to command premium pricing and maintain a competitive edge. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with other brands and designers also contribute to its revenue generation. The company's global supply chain and distribution network further support its ability to reach a wide customer base and drive sales across different regions.

Geox SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Geox SpA's financial performance indicates significant challenges, characterized by declining revenues and persistent profitability issues. High leverage and negative return on equity suggest financial instability. While cash flows from operations remain positive, the company's ability to generate consistent free cash flow is in question, highlighting the need for strategic improvements in revenue growth and cost management.

Income Statement

Geox SpA has faced declining revenue over recent years, with a drop from €805.9 million in 2019 to €663.8 million in 2024. The gross profit margin has also decreased, indicating challenges in cost management. The net profit margin remains negative, pointing to ongoing profitability issues. Despite some years of positive EBITDA, the EBIT has been negative in multiple years, underscoring operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio consistently above 4.0, raising concerns about financial stability. Stockholders' equity has declined over recent years. However, the equity ratio remains positive, indicating a moderate level of asset financing through equity. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing net losses.

Cash Flow

Geox SpA's cash flow analysis reveals positive operating cash flows in recent years, but free cash flow growth is inconsistent, with a decrease in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting good cash generation relative to accounting profits. However, free cash flow to net income ratio reflects ongoing challenges in converting profits into free cash flow.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
663.76M	719.57M	735.52M	608.91M	534.90M
	Gross Profit
335.20M	295.42M	349.23M	284.26M	232.37M
	EBIT
-7.88M	9.04M	1.26M	-71.28M	-137.17M
	EBITDA
57.44M	83.61M	70.47M	32.10M	-12.75M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-30.34M	-6.45M	-13.02M	-59.69M	-127.55M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
30.36M	70.15M	24.30M	45.66M	83.13M
	Total Assets
685.97M	777.98M	790.38M	718.24M	857.13M
	Total Debt
332.60M	389.44M	336.28M	344.06M	444.22M
	Net Debt
305.95M	319.29M	311.98M	298.40M	361.09M
	Total Liabilities
618.07M	687.39M	682.17M	593.65M	689.92M
	Stockholders Equity
67.90M	90.59M	108.21M	124.58M	167.21M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
39.99M	45.46M	68.69M	68.43M	-37.57M
	Operating Cash Flow
56.48M	64.17M	83.94M	79.80M	-26.60M
	Investing Cash Flow
-14.68M	-20.33M	-26.25M	-12.10M	-20.26M
	Financing Cash Flow
-85.14M	2.35M	-79.30M	-106.03M	82.94M

Geox SpA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.31
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:GEO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.34, below the 50-day MA of 0.34, and below the 200-day MA of 0.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:GEO.

Geox SpA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MONC	73 Outperform	€14.88B	22.55	18.81%	2.37%	4.18%	4.35%
PRY	71 Outperform	€16.87B	23.83	15.32%	1.36%	20.34%	25.32%
SAF	70 Outperform	€110.65B	62.44	-6.13%	1.09%	17.19%	-119.44%
BC	64 Neutral	€7.22B	58.82	25.65%	0.89%	12.21%	4.24%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.94B	11.29	2.95%	3.87%	2.70%	-24.49%
GEO	44 Neutral	€118.27M	―	-38.29%	―	-7.76%	-366.10%