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Gefran SPA (IT:GE)
:GE
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Gefran SPA (GE) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:GE

Gefran SPA

(LSE:GE)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
€11.50
▲(9.52% Upside)
Gefran SPA's solid financial performance is the most significant factor, with strong revenue growth and efficient cost management. The company's valuation is appealing, supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and a healthy dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest caution, as short-term trends appear bearish.
Positive Factors
Geographic Trends
Positive trends in the US and Asia should outweigh prolonged softness for European customers.
Growth Performance
The management remains confident over a continuation of the growth performance despite the challenging macro context, anticipating an inversion in intake momentum.
Valuation
Gefran's shares trade at a double-digit discount to Italian Small Caps, which does not reflect the company's long-term growth potential.
Negative Factors
Cost Pressures
EBITDA margin is experiencing pressure due to higher personnel costs.
Estimates
Estimates have been trimmed to reflect a temporary profitability dilution.
Profitability
While the profitability performance has been somewhat disappointing, this should improve along with volumes recovery.

Gefran SPA (GE) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Gefran SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGefran SPA (GE) is an Italian company specializing in the design, manufacture, and distribution of automation and control solutions for industrial applications. Operating primarily in sectors such as automation, industrial sensors, and power transmission, Gefran offers a diverse range of products including sensors, drives, control systems, and software solutions. The company serves various industries including plastics, metals, food, and energy, focusing on enhancing process efficiency and safety through innovative technology.
How the Company Makes MoneyGefran generates revenue through multiple key streams including the sale of its automation and control products, ongoing service contracts, and software licensing. The company primarily earns from selling high-precision sensors, industrial automation systems, and control units to a diverse clientele across different sectors. Additionally, Gefran benefits from long-term partnerships with major industrial players, which not only provide steady demand for its products but also foster collaborative development of new technologies. The combination of direct sales and service agreements, along with the expansion into emerging markets and continued investment in R&D, contributes significantly to its financial performance.

Gefran SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gefran SPA demonstrates a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth, efficient cost management, and solid profitability. The balance sheet is healthy, characterized by low leverage and strong equity backing. Cash flow generation is good, though a slight decline in free cash flow growth should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Gefran SPA has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth over the years. The TTM gross profit margin stands at 76.4%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved slightly to 8.4%, reflecting healthy profitability. The TTM EBIT margin at 11.8% and EBITDA margin at 17.3% are robust, showcasing strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is 11.1%, which is commendable and reflects effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio at 61.8% suggests a strong capital structure with ample equity backing. Overall, the company maintains a healthy balance sheet with minimal financial risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive trends, with a free cash flow growth rate of -6.5% compared to the previous year, which is slightly concerning. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is a strong 2.20, indicating good cash generation relative to net profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.66 further confirms efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue135.40M132.61M132.78M132.52M116.22M128.37M
Gross Profit103.47M95.43M71.86M70.58M62.32M63.35M
EBITDA23.40M23.06M24.14M24.99M22.83M16.25M
Net Income11.42M11.14M11.65M9.99M13.69M4.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets166.24M158.53M165.18M154.26M178.68M162.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.68M59.63M57.61M44.11M35.50M41.94M
Total Debt24.04M25.30M34.79M20.41M34.30M45.45M
Total Liabilities63.57M59.20M71.24M63.54M93.14M84.78M
Stockholders Equity102.67M99.34M93.94M90.72M85.54M78.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.97M20.29M9.54M13.59M19.94M10.95M
Operating Cash Flow25.17M26.66M20.10M19.90M27.38M16.95M
Investing Cash Flow-10.15M-6.33M-8.11M15.74M-8.81M-4.94M
Financing Cash Flow-17.45M-17.90M636.00K-25.88M-25.14M5.47M

Gefran SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.50
Price Trends
50DMA
10.34
Positive
100DMA
9.78
Positive
200DMA
9.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
59.48
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:GE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.34, above the 50-day MA of 10.34, and above the 200-day MA of 9.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:GE.

Gefran SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (70)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€2.84B46.1514.83%0.66%-2.99%1.31%
72
Outperform
€150.91M14.0711.00%4.08%4.98%-6.71%
70
Outperform
€4.02B9.3212.70%1.72%6.92%2.65%
69
Neutral
€150.13M13.064.04%2.73%7.80%-0.57%
55
Neutral
€206.62M52.34-2.86%0.54%-10.59%-132.80%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:GE
Gefran SPA
10.55
2.64
33.39%
IT:EM
EMAK SPA
0.91
-0.03
-3.19%
IT:BSS
Biesse SPA
7.52
-1.45
-16.15%
IT:CRL
Carel Industries SpA
24.95
7.97
46.95%

Gefran SPA Corporate Events

Gefran S.p.A. Releases Half-Yearly Financial Report for 2025
Aug 6, 2025

Gefran S.p.A. has announced the approval of its half-yearly financial report as of June 30, 2025, by the Board of Directors. The report is now accessible at the company’s registered office, on its website, and through an authorized storage system, reflecting Gefran’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:GE) stock is a Buy with a EUR12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gefran SPA stock, see the IT:GE Stock Forecast page.

Gefran S.p.A. Reports Revenue Growth Amid Market Challenges
Aug 5, 2025

Gefran S.p.A. reported a 5.3% increase in revenues for the first half of 2025, reaching 72.2 million Euros, despite challenges such as unfavorable exchange rates and a slowdown in European orders. The company successfully offset these challenges with growth in other international markets and continued investment in product innovation and workforce expansion. The acquisition of CZ Elettronica S.r.l. and Mecatronica S.r.l. contributed to revenue growth, while the company maintained positive financial metrics, including a net profit of 6.6 million Euros. Gefran’s strategic moves and solid performance position it confidently for the remainder of the year, despite ongoing market uncertainties.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:GE) stock is a Buy with a EUR12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gefran SPA stock, see the IT:GE Stock Forecast page.

Gefran S.p.A. Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid Strategic Growth
May 13, 2025

Gefran S.p.A. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with revenues increasing by 6.7% compared to the previous year, driven by growth in all geographical areas and particularly in Europe. The company’s strategic acquisitions and investments in product innovation have strengthened its position in the industrial automation industry, allowing it to absorb increased costs and maintain a positive financial outlook despite a challenging macroeconomic environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (IT:GE) stock is a Buy with a EUR12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gefran SPA stock, see the IT:GE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025