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Intrusion (INTZ)
NASDAQ:INTZ
US Market

Intrusion (INTZ) AI Stock Analysis

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Intrusion

(NASDAQ:INTZ)

39Underperform
Intrusion, Inc. faces significant financial and operational challenges, reflected in its low financial performance and valuation scores. While recent earnings call data show improved financial stability and positive developments, technical indicators suggest bearish sentiment. Despite some promising future outlooks, the company's stock remains under pressure due to profitability concerns and valuation challenges.
Positive Factors
Contracts and Partnerships
Intrusion announced significant contracts including a $5 million contract with a large telecommunications provider and its first major Shield contract with the U.S. government.
Product Offering
Intrusion offers products leveraging a threat intelligence database with data on over 8.5 billion IP addresses, providing a Zero Trust security solution ideal for protecting against advanced cyber threats.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
Investors will continue to question the longer-term revenue opportunity as Shield sales continue to sputter.

Intrusion (INTZ) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Intrusion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntrusion, Inc. engages in the provision of network security solutions. It specializes in the development, and marketing of entity identification, high speed data mining cybercrime and advanced persistent threat detection products. The company supports a range of customers including United States federal government entities, local government, banks, airlines, credit unions, and other financial institutions as well as hospitals, and other healthcare providers by providing products such as TraceCop for identity discovery and disclosure, and Savant for network data mining and advanced persistent threat detection. Intrusion was founded by T. Joe Head and G. Ward Paxton in September 1983 and is headquartered in Richardson, TX.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntrusion makes money primarily through the sale of its cybersecurity products and services to businesses and government organizations. The company generates revenue by offering its software solutions on a subscription basis, providing ongoing support and updates to its clients. Additionally, Intrusion may engage in partnerships with other technology firms to enhance its product offerings and expand its customer base. Consulting services related to cybersecurity strategies and implementation may also contribute to the company's earnings, although specific details on consulting revenue are not available.

Intrusion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Intrusion's financial performance indicates significant operational and profitability challenges, with consistent losses on the income statement and strained cash flows. While the balance sheet shows improved equity and asset growth, the company still faces high leverage risks. Revenue growth remains weak and inconsistent, necessitating strategic initiatives to enhance profitability and stabilize financial health.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Intrusion's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative EBIT and net income indicating persistent operational losses. The gross profit margin is strong at 76.7%, but net profit margin remains deeply negative. Revenue has declined over the years, with a slight recovery in the most recent year, showing a modest growth rate of 2.85% in 2024. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are both negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Intrusion's balance sheet shows improvement with positive stockholders' equity in 2024, compared to negative equity in previous years. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.44, indicating a lower reliance on debt, but the equity ratio is only 54.3%, suggesting moderate financial stability. The company's total assets have grown, enhancing its asset base, but past high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement reflects struggles with negative operating and free cash flow, despite an improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting earnings to cash. While financing activities have bolstered cash reserves, the reliance on external funding raises sustainability concerns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.36M5.77M5.61M7.53M7.28M6.62M
Gross Profit
4.77M4.43M4.35M4.17M4.65M3.91M
EBIT
-17.89M-8.45M-12.05M-16.28M-19.50M-5.43M
EBITDA
-16.08M-5.81M-10.34M-12.26M-17.76M-5.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-17.72M-7.79M-13.89M-14.54M-18.04M-6.29M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.85M4.85M139.00K3.02M4.10M16.70M
Total Assets
11.51M11.51M6.25M9.28M9.23M19.88M
Total Debt
2.73M2.73M12.93M11.32M3.50M3.01M
Net Debt
-2.12M-2.12M12.79M8.30M-598.00K-13.70M
Total Liabilities
5.26M5.26M15.80M13.49M5.31M4.22M
Stockholders Equity
6.25M6.25M-9.55M-4.21M3.92M15.66M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-17.84M-6.83M-9.21M-14.67M-17.71M-5.50M
Operating Cash Flow
-17.11M-6.29M-7.77M-13.19M-16.56M-5.18M
Investing Cash Flow
-733.00K-1.81M-1.45M-1.48M-1.15M-320.00K
Financing Cash Flow
15.52M12.81M6.34M13.58M5.10M18.87M

Intrusion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.98
Price Trends
50DMA
1.89
Negative
100DMA
1.26
Negative
200DMA
1.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Negative
RSI
40.45
Neutral
STOCH
51.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, below the 50-day MA of 1.89, and below the 200-day MA of 1.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INTZ.

Intrusion Risk Analysis

Intrusion disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intrusion reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Intrusion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$24.46B29.2330.15%6.22%6.15%
79
Outperform
$75.57B43.49338.74%12.27%54.69%
73
Outperform
$4.52B26.4541.09%10.40%14.78%
63
Neutral
$4.42B-9.73%12.68%54.80%
58
Neutral
$21.35B9.96-19.72%2.38%5.03%-22.83%
56
Neutral
$4.47B-20.26%10.38%6.88%
39
Underperform
$19.14M-336.97%2.85%83.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INTZ
Intrusion
1.14
-2.78
-70.92%
CHKP
Check Point
217.99
51.71
31.10%
FTNT
Fortinet
93.42
25.38
37.30%
QLYS
Qualys
121.57
-45.79
-27.36%
VRNS
Varonis Systems
39.16
-9.91
-20.20%
TENB
Tenable Holdings
35.25
-10.91
-23.64%

Intrusion Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.26% | Next Earnings Date: May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant financial improvements, such as debt elimination and revenue growth, alongside new product developments and regained NASDAQ compliance. However, challenges in Shield revenue and the need to accelerate sales growth were noted. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, indicating a promising future outlook.
Highlights
Sequential Growth and Revenue Improvement
Intrusion, Inc. reported its third consecutive quarter of revenue improvement and a total revenue of $1.7 million for Q4 2024, representing an 11% increase sequentially and a 23% increase year-over-year.
Financial Stability and Debt Elimination
The company is virtually debt-free, has eliminated the Series A preferred stock, and has enough cash to fund operations through fiscal year 2025 and beyond, eliminating the need for further capital raises.
New Product Launches
Intrusion launched the Intrusion Shield Command Hub and Shield Sentinel, expanding their product portfolio with AI-driven insights and high-performance capabilities for large enterprises.
Regained NASDAQ Compliance
Intrusion has regained compliance with NASDAQ's $1 minimum bid price requirement due to recent share price improvements.
Improved Net Loss
The net loss for the full year 2024 was $7.8 million, a $6.1 million or 44% improvement from the prior year, driven by reduced operating expenses and lower interest expenses.
Lowlights
Shield Revenue Decline
Shield revenue in Q4 was $0.4 million, a decrease of $0.1 million both sequentially and year-over-year, due to the loss of a large early customer.
Gross Profit Margin Decrease
Gross profit margin decreased to 75% in Q4 2024 from 79% in the same period of 2023, mainly due to product mix.
Challenges in Sales Growth
The company is not satisfied with the current rate of sales growth and is taking measures to accelerate growth, including increased digital marketing and revamping the channel program.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of 2024 earnings call for Intrusion, Inc., CEO Tony Scott highlighted several key metrics indicating the company's positive financial trajectory. The company achieved a third consecutive quarter of revenue growth, with total revenues for Q4 hitting $1.7 million, marking an 11% sequential increase and a 23% year-over-year rise. For the entire fiscal year 2024, revenues reached $5.8 million, representing a 3% increase compared to 2023. Operating expenses decreased by 21% year-over-year, contributing to a net operating loss improvement to $1.9 million for the fourth quarter, a $0.5 million or 20% betterment from a year earlier. The company also improved its cash position significantly, ending the year with $4.9 million in cash, following financial maneuvers that raised $14.5 million in proceeds and eliminated $10.1 million of Series A preferred stock. This financial strengthening positions Intrusion to fund operations through 2025 without needing to raise capital, barring any compelling acquisition opportunities.

Intrusion Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Intrusion Strengthens Financial Position with Restructuring
Positive
Jan 15, 2025

On January 15, 2025, Intrusion Inc. announced an update regarding its financial position, highlighting actions that resulted in $14.5 million in proceeds and the elimination of $10.1 million of Series A Preferred Stock. This financial restructuring ensures the company has sufficient capital to operate through 2025 without raising additional funds. The improved balance sheet allows Intrusion to focus on expanding its customer base and pursuing sustainable growth, as stated by CEO Tony Scott.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intrusion Secures $7.5M to Bolster Cybersecurity Position
Positive
Jan 7, 2025

Intrusion Inc. has announced a $7.5 million registered direct offering through an agreement with a single institutional investor, involving the sale of common stock and prefunded warrants. The proceeds from this offering, along with recent financial strategies, are expected to provide sufficient capital for the company to operate through fiscal year 2025, eliminating the need for additional fundraising in 2025 and strengthening its market position in cybersecurity.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Intrusion Boosts Liquidity with Stock Exchange Deal
Positive
Jan 3, 2025

Intrusion, Inc. has entered into several privately-negotiated agreements with Streeterville Capital, LLC to exchange a total of 9,275 shares of its Series A Preferred Stock for common stock. These exchanges, which have a combined fair value of approximately $9,753,700, are executed under the exemption from registration requirements pursuant to Section 3(a)(9) of the Securities Act of 1933. This strategic move increases the company’s common shares outstanding to 16,885,394, potentially enhancing liquidity and market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.