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UltraTech Cement Limited (IN:ULTRACEMCO)
:ULTRACEMCO
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UltraTech Cement Limited (ULTRACEMCO) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:ULTRACEMCO

UltraTech Cement Limited

(ULTRACEMCO)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
₹13,976.00
▲(17.49% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (growth, profitability and operating cash generation) and a supportive technical trend. The biggest offset is expensive valuation (high P/E and low yield), while earnings-call commentary is net positive but acknowledges near-term pricing and cost risks.
Positive Factors
Market leadership & distribution
UltraTech’s scale and broad product portfolio create durable competitive advantages. Pan‑India manufacturing, deep distribution and an expanding RMC footprint support stable volume capture, procurement leverage and resilience across infrastructure, housing and institutional segments over the medium term.
Strong cash generation
Robust operating cash flow and a positive free-cash-flow-to-net-income ratio underpin UltraTech’s ability to self-fund aggressive capex and deleveraging. Persistent cash conversion reduces refinancing risk, supports phased expansion and asset monetizations, and bolsters balance sheet flexibility over coming quarters.
Scale expansion & operational efficiencies
A multi-year 22Mt capacity program combined with measurable operational gains (clinker ratio, lead distance, renewable mix) should lower per-ton costs and raise market share. Executed at scale, these structural improvements can sustainably improve margins and long‑term unit economics.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Higher leverage increases interest and liquidity risk, reducing the firm’s buffer during demand slowdowns. Even with deleveraging targets, elevated debt can limit strategic flexibility, constrain return of capital and amplify downside if capex execution or asset monetizations are delayed.
Industry capacity additions risk
Significant industry and company-led capacity growth can outpace demand in regions, exerting downward pressure on realizations. Persistent oversupply risks compress EBITDA per tonne and could blunt the benefits of cost efficiencies unless demand growth or market consolidation absorbs incremental volume.
Input cost inflation exposure
Volatile fuel and raw material costs, plus labor and currency pressures, pose a structural margin risk. Even with efficiency programs, sustained commodity inflation can erode per-ton economics and force difficult price pass-through decisions in competitive regional markets, impacting long-term profitability.

UltraTech Cement Limited (ULTRACEMCO) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

UltraTech Cement Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUltraTech Cement Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cement and cement related products in India. It offers ordinary Portland cement, Portland blast furnace slag cement, Portland Pozzolana cement, white cement, and white cement-based products; and ready-mix concrete. The company also provides Tile Adhesive polymer under TILEFIXO, FLEX, HIFLEX,MYKROFILL, Seal & Dry water proofing products for kitchen balconies, chajjas, slope roofs, bathrooms, canal linings, swimming pools, and water tanks; Power Grout, an industrial grout for machine foundation, precast elements, and safety vaults; Readi Plast and Super Stucco, a plastering agent for internal and external walls; as well as liquid system for mortar and concrete modifier, repair mortars and concrete under the name of Basekrete and Microkrete. In addition, the company offers bed jointing material for AAC block, Fly Ash Bricks, and concrete blocks, and light weight block for masonry construction, and flooring screeds. Further, the company offers construction products for home builders; and value-added services that include technical advice during concreting, vaastu consultancy, various training programs, and other related services. UltraTech Cement Limited exports its products to the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Sri Lanka. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Mumbai, India. UltraTech Cement Limited operates as a subsidiary of Grasim Industries Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyUltraTech Cement generates revenue primarily through the sale of cement and related products. The company operates numerous manufacturing plants across India and has a significant presence in the ready mix concrete segment, which further diversifies its offerings. Key revenue streams include direct sales to construction companies, retail sales through distributors, and exports to international markets. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with construction firms and government projects that ensure a steady demand for its products. Additionally, UltraTech Cement leverages its strong brand reputation and extensive distribution network to maintain competitive pricing, which contributes to its overall earnings.

UltraTech Cement Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 24, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive outlook driven by strong Q3 volumes and margin outperformance, a healthy and diversified infrastructure-driven demand pipeline across India, meaningful operational efficiency gains (lead distance, clinker ratio), active capacity expansion funded via internal accruals, and ongoing integration of acquisitions. Key risks highlighted include earlier quarter price softness, input-cost inflation (pet coke/coal and labor), near-term industry capacity additions that could pressure pricing, and some asset/legal uncertainties related to India Cements. On balance the positive operational and demand developments outweigh the headwinds.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Robust Volume and Margin Outperformance
Management and analysts repeatedly noted a 'great set of numbers' with volumes and EBITDA margin beating expectations in Q3 FY26. Company indicated it will do 'much better' in Q4 versus Q3, and cited operating leverage and tight cost management as drivers of higher EBITDA per tonne going forward.
Strong Industry Demand Pipeline Across India
Management outlined extensive infrastructure projects across regions (roads, metros, ports, railways, affordable housing) supporting sustained cement demand. Company estimates all-India demand growth in Q3 around 9%–10% and 9-month demand ~6.5%–7%, expecting continued robust demand into Q4.
Significant Capacity Expansion Plans
UltraTech expects ~8–9 million tonnes capacity to come online in the ongoing quarter (Q4), ~12 million tonnes in FY27 and the balance in FY28 as part of its multi-year expansion. Company reiterated phased 22 million tonne expansion strategy and provided willingness to commission on accelerated timelines.
Deleveraging and Prudent Funding
Consolidated net debt/EBITDA at 1.08x at quarter end. Management reiterated confidence to reach ~1.0x and then 0.8–0.9x net debt/EBITDA by fiscal year-end through internal accrual funding of CapEx and asset monetization.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Key operational metrics improved: lead distance reduced to 363 km (from a 375 km target baseline) and clinker-to-cement ratio improved to 1.49 (better than earlier target of 1.54). Management expects these initiatives to deliver measurable per-tonne savings and indicated full-year efficiency gains likely to exceed INR 100/tonne vs prior-year INR 86/tonne.
Progress on Acquisitions and Integration
Brand conversions progressing: Kesoram brand conversion reached ~69% in Dec'25 (company expects higher now) and India Cements ~58% in Dec'25. Integration and cost-improvement CapEx programs are underway: Kesoram spend ~INR 263 crore of ~INR 382 crore commitment; India Cements committed INR 601 crore and spent INR 144 crore to date.
Retail & RMC Footprint and New Market Opportunities
UltraTech highlighted a pan-India presence and rapid RMC network expansion covering ~163 cities, and demand emerging from data centers, renewables, and GCC projects which are cement-intensive and expected to support higher-margin institutional volumes and RMC growth (RMC ~3% of volumes and growing).
Price Recovery and Realization Improvement
Management reported sequential improvement in realizations since Q3: naked cement realization up ~INR 3–4/tonne and 'price' up INR 6–8/tonne across regions as demand strengthened in Jan, with expectation to pass on input cost increases to customers where needed.
Negative Updates
Earlier Price Softness and Channel Volatility
Cement prices remained subdued earlier (post-GST change) with softening observed in late Sep–Nov. Company reported ~3% sequential price decline in Q3 and noted on-trade prices softened more sharply than non-trade in that quarter, indicating channel-level volatility.
Input Cost Inflation Risks
Management acknowledged cost pressures from pet coke/coal price increases (spot pet coke cited ~$117–$118/tonne), potential impact of new labor code, and rupee depreciation, which could compress margins if not fully passed through to prices.
Industry Capacity Additions Could Pressure Pricing
Large industry capacity additions were discussed (company itself adding ~8–9 MT in current quarter and 12 MT in FY27), raising the risk of near-term supply-side pressure on pricing if demand growth underperforms expectations.
India Cements / Kesoram Short-Term Performance and Legal/asset Constraints
India Cements EBITDA per tonne in Q3 was noted at ~INR 400 earlier in discussion with a target of INR 1,000 exit by Q4 FY27 (implying significant improvement needed). Kesoram EBITDA/tonne fell to ~INR 600 in Q3 (from ~INR 755 earlier). Management also flagged legal attachment (ED case) on some India Cements assets which complicates disposal timelines.
Elevated Employee and Some Other Costs
Employee cost rose year-on-year in Q3 due to annual increases and new plants; raw material cost trends are 'matured' but some items (renewable mix adjustments, maintenance spikes) could exert pressure seasonally. Captive power cost averaged INR 1.8/kcal this quarter.
Uncertainties Around CapEx and Asset Monetization Figures
CapEx and 9-month spend figures were discussed with some inconsistency during the call (multiple numbers cited). Company expects full-year CapEx ~INR 9,500–10,000 crore, 9M spend cited around INR 7,000–7,200 crore, and potential land monetization proceeds of ~INR 200–250 crore realized with an additional ~INR 500 crore possible — timelines uncertain.
Company Guidance
UltraTech reiterated aggressive near‑term expansion and balance‑sheet improvement: consolidated net debt/EBITDA was 1.08x at quarter end with a target to reach ~1.0x and then 0.8–0.9x by year‑end; FY26 capex is ~INR 9,500–10,000 crore (c. INR 7,200 crore spent in 9M) and capacity additions of ~8–9 Mt in the current quarter, ~12 Mt in FY27 and the balance in FY28 (two clinker lines ~7 Mt added); operational gains include lead distance down to 363 km, clinker:cment ratio improved to 1.49 (vs target ~1.54), renewable energy ~41% (aiming ~60%), expected efficiency savings >INR100/ton this year (vs INR86/ton last year) on the way to a longer‑term INR300–350/ton target, and management expects to operate at >90% of installed capacity in Jan–Mar; other metrics called out were petcoke ~$117–119/ton, fuel cost ~INR1.8/kcal, premium product share ~36%, India Cements EBITDA/t ~INR400 today (INR1,000/t exit target by Q4 FY27), Kesoram brand conversion ~69% (c.70%) and India Cements ~58%, cable & wires orders ~INR500 crore (INR197 crore spent, launch Oct–Dec 2026), and planned non‑core monetizations of ~INR500 crore (c. INR200–250 crore realized) while funding growth from internal accruals.

UltraTech Cement Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong and steady revenue growth with healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins and solid operating cash generation. Key offsets are slightly weaker net margin, rising leverage (higher debt-to-equity), and lower free cash flow due to elevated capex.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
UltraTech Cement Limited has demonstrated robust growth in its income statement with steady increases in total revenue over the past several years, culminating in a 7.12% growth from 2024 to 2025. The gross profit margin is strong, reflecting efficient cost management, although the net profit margin has declined slightly due to increased expenses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, supporting the company's operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of UltraTech Cement shows a solid equity base, with an improving equity ratio indicating financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased due to rising debt levels, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. The return on equity is satisfactory, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects a strong operating cash flow, indicating effective cash generation from core operations. There has been a decline in free cash flow, primarily due to increased capital expenditures. Nonetheless, the company maintains a positive free cash flow to net income ratio, ensuring liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, highlighting the company's ability to convert profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue791.61B759.55B709.08B632.40B525.99B447.26B
Gross Profit460.75B438.32B407.22B350.34B324.97B293.09B
EBITDA132.05B123.86B127.77B104.45B114.28B114.26B
Net Income65.68B60.39B70.05B50.64B73.44B54.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.001.34T1.01T913.87B838.28B861.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.13B58.31B64.03B84.20B56.21B131.75B
Total Debt0.00241.02B114.03B110.58B112.99B217.19B
Total Liabilities-738.93B598.04B405.19B371.18B333.96B420.03B
Stockholders Equity738.93B707.07B602.27B543.25B504.35B441.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0015.44B18.92B28.68B36.70B105.78B
Operating Cash Flow0.00106.73B108.98B90.69B92.83B125.03B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-165.04B-87.88B-71.87B22.57B-88.59B
Financing Cash Flow0.0050.76B-19.26B-16.31B-124.98B-43.56B

UltraTech Cement Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11895.45
Price Trends
50DMA
11812.30
Positive
100DMA
12021.37
Positive
200DMA
11964.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
146.64
Negative
RSI
62.05
Neutral
STOCH
84.70
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:ULTRACEMCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11895.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12093.01, above the 50-day MA of 11812.30, and below the 200-day MA of 11964.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 146.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.70 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:ULTRACEMCO.

UltraTech Cement Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
₹3.64T47.470.66%14.50%11.26%
71
Outperform
₹313.67B9.400.43%15.13%63.32%
64
Neutral
₹1.28T22.740.37%14.92%63.27%
62
Neutral
₹248.76B66.840.19%-2.61%34.66%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
₹974.55B56.700.73%1.58%-0.75%
55
Neutral
₹124.86B32.505.09%458.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:ULTRACEMCO
UltraTech Cement Limited
12,368.30
1,199.03
10.74%
IN:ACC
ACC Limited
1,670.35
-318.47
-16.01%
IN:AMBUJACEM
Ambuja Cements Limited
518.85
-13.85
-2.60%
IN:NUVOCO
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited
349.60
6.65
1.94%
IN:RAMCOCEM
Ramco Cements Limited
1,052.75
172.72
19.63%
IN:SHREECEM
Shree Cement Limited
27,010.20
2,112.01
8.48%

UltraTech Cement Limited Corporate Events

UltraTech Cement Publishes Q3 and Nine-Month FY2025 Results in Leading Dailies
Jan 26, 2026

UltraTech Cement Limited has announced that it has published the newspaper advertisements of its financial results for the quarter and nine months ended 31 December 2025, in compliance with Indian securities listing regulations. The results have been disseminated across multiple English-language business dailies with national and Mumbai editions, and are also available on the company’s website, underscoring its regulatory transparency and commitment to timely public disclosure for investors and other stakeholders across its various listings.

UltraTech Cement Posts Earnings Call Audio for December Quarter Results
Jan 24, 2026

UltraTech Cement Limited has announced that the audio recording of its earnings call discussing the financial results for the quarter ended 31 December 2025 is now available on the company’s investor relations website. By making this recording accessible, UltraTech is reinforcing its compliance with disclosure regulations and enhancing transparency for shareholders and global debt investors across Indian, Luxembourg, and Singapore exchanges.

UltraTech Cement Wins Major Relief as GST Authority Drops Large Tax Demand
Dec 28, 2025

UltraTech Cement Limited has disclosed that the Assistant Commissioner of State Goods and Services Tax in Trichy, Tamil Nadu, has issued an order dropping a substantial tax demand of Rs. 1,33,47,82,240 along with associated interest of Rs. 89,98,02,762 and penalty of Rs. 13,34,23,583 related to alleged delayed payment of tax and interest, while upholding only a minor penalty of Rs. 54,641, which the company will pay. The company stated that the order, received on 27 December 2025, does not have a material financial impact on its operations, signaling relief from a large potential liability and removing a regulatory overhang without affecting its ongoing business activities.

UltraTech Cement Sees Major GST Tax Demand Dropped, Minor Penalty Upheld
Dec 28, 2025

UltraTech Cement Limited has disclosed that it has received orders from the Assistant Commissioner, State Goods and Services Tax, Trichy, Tamil Nadu, relating to an alleged delayed payment of tax and interest. The authority has dropped a substantial tax demand of about Rs 1,334.8 crore, along with interest of roughly Rs 899.8 crore and a penalty of about Rs 13.34 crore, while upholding only a minor penalty of Rs 54,641, which the company will pay. UltraTech stated that the outcome of this GST proceeding has no material financial impact on its operations, easing a potential regulatory overhang for stakeholders.

UltraTech Cement Appoints New Compliance Officer to Enhance Regulatory Transparency
Dec 3, 2025

UltraTech Cement Limited has announced the appointment of Mr. Dhiraj Kapoor as the Company Secretary and Compliance Officer, effective December 1, 2025. Alongside Mr. K. C. Jhanwar, Managing Director, and Mr. Atul Daga, Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Kapoor is authorized to determine the materiality of events or information and disclose them to stock exchanges, in compliance with SEBI regulations. This move is significant for ensuring transparency and compliance in the company’s operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026