Ugro Capital Limited (UGROCAP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ₹20.47B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 20.96K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.4
• Beta (1Y): 1.32
• Revenue Growth: 33.99%
• EPS Growth: 11.65%
• Country: IN
• Employees: 1,678
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Financial - Credit Services
• EPS (TTM): 3.79
• Shares Outstanding: 139,857,830
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 15,127
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 20,963
• PEG Ratio: 0.67
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.81
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.72
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.66
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: ₹150.00 ▼(-9.31% Downside)

Ugro Capital Limited's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows strong gross margins but significant challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management. The technical analysis indicates a positive trend, but with potential bearish momentum. The valuation suggests the stock is reasonably priced. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these components do not impact the score.

Positive Factors

High gross margins

Sustained extremely high gross margins indicate strong interest spread and revenue retention from lending operations. Over 2-6 months this provides a durable profitability buffer to absorb higher credit costs and supports reinvestment, assuming underwriting quality and loan mix remain stable.

SME-focused lending niche

A focused SME lending model targets a large, structurally underbanked segment in India, enabling deep client relationships, product tailoring, and repeat business. This specialization supports long-term revenue visibility and scale advantages if distribution and risk segmentation are maintained.

Data-driven underwriting

Use of technology and analytics for credit decisions creates a durable competitive advantage by improving risk selection, enabling scalable origination, and lowering customer acquisition costs. Over months this can materially improve loss rates and underwriting efficiency if models remain robust.

Negative Factors

High leverage

A debt-to-equity ratio above 3x signals significant leverage that elevates refinancing and liquidity risk. Structurally, high leverage magnifies earnings volatility and limits balance sheet flexibility to absorb credit losses or fund growth without dilutive capital raises or higher funding costs.

Weak cash generation

Negative operating and free cash flows indicate the business is not generating internal funding to sustain lending growth or service obligations. Over a multi-month horizon this forces dependence on external funding, raising liquidity costs and constraining durable expansion or buffer against stress.

Sharp recent revenue decline

A nearly 50% fall in revenue in the latest year suggests structural demand or origination issues that impair scale economics. Persisting revenue contraction harms margin sustainability, loan book growth and returns, and requires material operational or strategic changes to restore durable growth.

Ugro Capital Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

UGRO Capital Limited, a non-banking financial company, engages in the lending business. It provides business loans to healthcare, education, chemicals, food processing/FMCG, hospitality, electrical equipment and components, auto components, and light engineering sectors. The company was formerly known as Chokhani Securities Limited and changed its name to Ugro Capital Limited in September 2018. UGRO Capital Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Mumbai, India.

How the Company Makes Money

Ugro Capital generates revenue primarily through interest income earned on the loans it disburses to SMEs. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of interest rates charged on loans, processing fees, and other service fees associated with its lending products. Key revenue streams include the issuance of term loans and working capital loans, where Ugro Capital typically charges a competitive interest rate that reflects the risk profile of the borrower. Additionally, the company may earn income from partnerships with fintech platforms and other financial institutions that facilitate loan origination and customer acquisition. Factors contributing to Ugro Capital's earnings include its data-driven approach to credit assessment, which allows for efficient risk management and competitive pricing, as well as a growing market demand for SME financing solutions in India.

Ugro Capital Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ugro Capital Limited's financial statements present a mixed picture. The income statement shows strong gross margins but declining revenue growth, which is a concern. The balance sheet indicates high leverage, which could pose financial risks, while profitability metrics are moderate. Cash flow analysis reveals significant challenges with negative cash flows, highlighting potential liquidity issues. Overall, the company faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management, with a leveraged balance sheet that requires careful monitoring.

Income Statement

Ugro Capital Limited's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has a high gross profit margin of 100% in the latest year, indicating strong revenue retention. However, the net profit margin is moderate at 22.45%, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are unusually high due to the nature of financial services, which may not accurately reflect operational efficiency. The revenue growth rate is concerning, with a significant decline of 48.36% in the latest year, indicating potential challenges in revenue generation.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.37, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is relatively low at 7.03%, indicating modest profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 22.32%, showing a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet indicates a leveraged position with moderate returns.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis highlights significant challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating deteriorating cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash flow issues relative to reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, indicating that free cash flow is just covering net income, but the overall cash flow position is weak.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.45B	9.64B	7.07B	4.88B	2.68B	1.33B
Gross Profit	1.34B	1.29B	995.24M	678.77M	624.11M	492.22M
EBITDA	2.46B	2.62B	2.19B	1.07B	348.23M	257.76M
Net Income	1.48B	1.44B	1.19B	397.76M	145.51M	287.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	0.00	91.68B	62.80B	43.06B	28.54B	17.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	5.53B	883.64M	2.12B	1.60B	3.53B
Total Debt	0.00	69.04B	46.53B	31.49B	18.31B	7.88B
Total Liabilities	-20.46B	71.22B	48.42B	33.22B	18.88B	7.98B
Stockholders Equity	20.46B	20.46B	14.38B	9.84B	9.67B	9.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	-25.00B	-15.38B	-12.61B	-11.46B	-3.59B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	-24.74B	-15.35B	-12.20B	-11.32B	-3.47B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-799.24M	-2.30B	-845.42M	413.80M	-459.17M
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	26.55B	18.14B	12.79B	10.23B	5.08B

Ugro Capital Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 165.40
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:UGROCAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 165.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 155.88, below the 50-day MA of 166.29, and below the 200-day MA of 173.46, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:UGROCAP.

Ugro Capital Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
TFCILTD	66 Neutral	₹30.21B	24.83	―	0.92%	5.73%	12.29%
BFINVEST	62 Neutral	₹14.35B	17.49	―	―	―	―
ARMANFIN	60 Neutral	₹16.97B	-1,538.01	―	―	-6.03%	-100.77%
UGROCAP	53 Neutral	₹20.47B	9.45	―	―	33.99%	11.65%
MUTHOOTMF	51 Neutral	₹30.30B	-8.40	―	―	-10.17%	-181.71%
SPANDANA	48 Neutral	₹22.27B	-1.67	―	―	-45.13%	-1646.01%

Ugro Capital Limited Corporate Events

UGRO Capital Re-opens ₹100-Crore Non-Convertible Debenture Issue

UGRO Capital has announced that it will re-open the issuance of its Series 2 Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) aggregating to INR 100 crore, after having previously withdrawn the proposed issue on 22 December 2025. The decision to revive this debt issuance indicates the company’s intent to tap the bond market for funding, which could support its lending operations and balance sheet growth, and is relevant for investors tracking its capital-raising plans and overall funding strategy.

UGRO Capital Increases Equity through CCD Conversion, Enhances Transparency

UGRO Capital Limited has announced the conversion of Compulsorily Convertible Debentures (CCDs) issued in June 2024 into equity shares, resulting in an increase in its equity share capital to Rs. 1,54,70,67,530. This move reflects the completion of capital-raising efforts designed to strengthen the company’s financial position, although the company also highlighted the lapse of certain warrants due to non-conversion, emphasizing transparency and compliance in its financial reporting process.

UGRO Capital Allots EUR 10 Million in Bonds to Boost Financial Flexibility

UGRO Capital Limited has announced the allotment of senior, unsecured, EUR-denominated non-convertible redeemable bonds through a private placement. The issuance, totaling EUR 10 million, is set to mature in December 2030 and will carry an annual interest rate of 6%. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strengthen its position in the capital markets.

Ugro Capital Expands Equity Base Through CCD Conversion

Ugro Capital Limited has announced the allotment of 15,89,170 equity shares following the conversion of Compulsorily Convertible Debentures (CCDs), as part of a capital raise amounting to INR 534.64 crores. This conversion increases the company’s equity share capital, reflecting a strategic move to bolster its financial position and enhance shareholder value.

Ugro Capital to Raise Funds via Non-Convertible Debentures

Ugro Capital Limited has announced its intention to raise funds by issuing Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) through a private placement. This strategic move, pending approval from the Investment and Borrowing Committee, is aimed at enhancing the company’s financial capabilities and strengthening its market position, potentially impacting stakeholders by increasing the company’s investment capacity.

Ugro Capital Converts Debentures to Equity Shares, Expands Capital Base

Ugro Capital Limited has announced the conversion of its compulsorily convertible debentures (CCDs) into equity shares, following the expiration of the 18-month tenure of the CCDs issued in June 2024. This conversion has resulted in the issuance of 7,342,732 new equity shares, increasing the company’s total equity share capital. The conversion aligns with the company’s strategic capital raise plan, while the unexercised warrants from the same issuance have lapsed, impacting the company’s financial structuring and market positioning.

UGRO Capital Converts Debentures to Equity Shares, Boosting Capital

UGRO Capital Limited has announced the conversion of its Compulsorily Convertible Debentures (CCDs) into equity shares, following the expiration of their 18-month tenure. This conversion increases the company’s equity share capital, reflecting a strategic move to strengthen its financial structure and market position. The conversion of 7,342,732 equity shares will align with existing shares, while unexercised warrants will lapse, impacting the company’s capital dynamics.

UGRO Capital Releases Q3 2025 Monitoring Report on Capital Utilization

UGRO Capital Limited has released a Monitoring Agency Report for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, detailing the utilization of proceeds from its preferential and rights issues. The report, prepared by India Ratings & Research Private Limited, complies with SEBI regulations and highlights the company’s adherence to capital utilization guidelines, potentially impacting its financial transparency and stakeholder confidence.