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Nelco Limited (IN:NELCO)
:NELCO
India Market
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Nelco Limited (NELCO) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:NELCO

Nelco Limited

(NELCO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
₹712.00
▼(-2.41% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/22/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening fundamentals—sharp margin compression and a FY2026 setback in cash flows with negative free cash flow—despite a reasonably de-risked balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with strong recent momentum, but valuation is a major headwind given the extremely high P/E and very low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring service-led revenue
Nelco's primary revenue model is recurring fees for VSAT and managed network services, producing predictable, sticky cash flows and high customer retention. Over the medium term this supports stable revenue visibility, easier capacity planning and lower churn sensitivity than one-off project models.
Negative Factors
Severe margin compression
A steep decline in net margins over two years indicates persistent pricing pressure or rising operating costs that erode profitability. Sustained low margins constrain reinvestment, reduce returns to shareholders, and limit the firm's ability to absorb revenue shocks given the fixed-cost nature of network operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring service-led revenue
Nelco's primary revenue model is recurring fees for VSAT and managed network services, producing predictable, sticky cash flows and high customer retention. Over the medium term this supports stable revenue visibility, easier capacity planning and lower churn sensitivity than one-off project models.
Read all positive factors

Nelco Limited (NELCO) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Nelco Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nelco Limited provides systems and solutions in the areas of very small aperture terminals (VSAT) connectivity, and integrated security and surveillance in India. It offers VSAT satellite communication services for renewable energy, enterprise, ma...
How the Company Makes Money
NELCO makes money primarily by providing satellite-based connectivity and managed communication/network services to business and institutional customers. Its revenue model is largely service-led and typically includes (1) recurring service fees fo...

Nelco Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has been largely flat, while profitability deteriorated sharply with net margin falling to ~1.1% in FY2026 (from ~3.1% in FY2025). Cash generation is the biggest concern: operating cash flow fell materially and free cash flow turned negative in FY2026, despite the balance sheet showing moderate, improving leverage over time.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.97B3.07B3.05B3.20B3.13B2.60B
Gross Profit2.27B575.00M2.21B2.32B2.63B1.56B
EBITDA402.20M285.60M477.70M621.30M672.00M553.20M
Net Income42.90M33.20M95.30M236.70M198.50M160.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.09B3.47B2.87B2.82B2.62B2.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments303.10M202.50M180.20M217.90M161.60M156.50M
Total Debt719.20M728.40M525.10M568.70M631.00M814.80M
Total Liabilities1.81B2.19B1.60B1.58B1.58B1.74B
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.29B1.28B1.24B1.05B890.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.60M-113.10M30.90M256.60M329.90M314.50M
Operating Cash Flow111.30M119.70M196.60M419.70M580.80M494.30M
Investing Cash Flow-85.80M-210.40M-165.40M-192.20M-249.30M-160.80M
Financing Cash Flow130.30M146.10M-110.60M-200.40M-326.40M-196.00M

Nelco Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price729.55
Price Trends
50DMA
615.93
Positive
100DMA
679.14
Positive
200DMA
777.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
15.44
Negative
RSI
66.65
Neutral
STOCH
96.04
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:NELCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 729.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 596.89, above the 50-day MA of 615.93, and below the 200-day MA of 777.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 15.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.04 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:NELCO.

Nelco Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
₹21.80B84.78123.77%946.70%
65
Neutral
₹19.26B74.371.83%81.12%-32.94%
64
Neutral
₹18.89B1.7129.92%39.48%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
₹9.35B78.581.07%8.99%-48.45%
53
Neutral
₹15.67B163.0718.25%
49
Neutral
₹15.20B263.590.13%0.57%-65.09%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:NELCO
Nelco Limited
706.60
-102.86
-12.71%
IN:BCG
Brightcom Group Limited
9.67
-0.61
-5.93%
IN:KERNEX
Kernex Microsystems India Ltd.
1,336.95
581.75
77.03%
IN:NIITLTD
NIIT Limited
72.15
-59.34
-45.13%
IN:RAMCOSYS
Ramco Systems Limited
429.80
35.30
8.95%
IN:SASKEN
Sasken Technologies Ltd
1,293.00
-242.08
-15.77%

Nelco Limited Corporate Events

Nelco Faces Rs. 14.14 Crore GST Demand, Plans to Appeal Tax Order
Mar 11, 2026
Nelco Limited has disclosed that it received an order on 10 March 2026 from the Commissioner of CGST and Central Excise confirming a demand of Rs. 1,414 lakhs, including penalty, for GST liability under the reverse charge mechanism for the period ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 22, 2026