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Nelco Limited (IN:NELCO)
:NELCO
India Market

Nelco Limited (NELCO) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:NELCO

Nelco Limited

(NELCO)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
₹513.00
▼(-29.68% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/24/26
The score is held back mainly by very weak technicals (price below all key moving averages, negative MACD, very low RSI/Stochastic). Financial performance is mixed—strong gross margins but weaker net margins, higher leverage, and declining operating cash flow. Valuation is also a drawback due to a negative P/E and minimal dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring service-led revenue model
A service-led, recurring-fee model provides predictable, contractable revenue and stronger customer stickiness given installed VSATs and managed services. That steadier revenue base supports durable cash flows, planning for network upkeep and long-term customer relationships.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage / higher debt-to-equity
A rising debt-to-equity trend reduces financial flexibility and raises fixed interest costs. With leverage increasing, the company faces greater refinancing and solvency risk if revenues weaken, constraining capital allocation for network investments or strategic initiatives over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring service-led revenue model
A service-led, recurring-fee model provides predictable, contractable revenue and stronger customer stickiness given installed VSATs and managed services. That steadier revenue base supports durable cash flows, planning for network upkeep and long-term customer relationships.
Read all positive factors

Nelco Limited (NELCO) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Nelco Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Nelco Limited provides systems and solutions in the areas of very small aperture terminals (VSAT) connectivity, and integrated security and surveillance in India. It offers VSAT satellite communication services for renewable energy, enterprise, ma...
How the Company Makes Money
NELCO makes money primarily by providing satellite-based connectivity and managed communication/network services to business and institutional customers. Its revenue model is largely service-led and typically includes (1) recurring service fees fo...

Nelco Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are stable but pressured: strong gross margins are offset by a sharp decline in net margin, rising leverage (debt-to-equity), declining ROE, and weakening operating cash flow with inconsistent free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.97B3.05B3.20B3.13B2.60B2.26B
Gross Profit2.27B2.21B2.32B2.63B1.56B1.41B
EBITDA402.20M477.70M621.30M672.00M553.20M477.10M
Net Income42.90M95.30M236.70M198.50M160.80M123.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.09B2.87B2.82B2.62B2.63B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments303.10M180.20M217.90M161.60M156.50M91.60M
Total Debt719.20M525.10M568.70M631.00M814.80M896.20M
Total Liabilities1.81B1.60B1.58B1.58B1.74B1.70B
Stockholders Equity1.29B1.28B1.24B1.05B890.50M757.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow20.60M30.90M256.60M329.90M314.50M446.60M
Operating Cash Flow111.30M196.60M419.70M580.80M494.30M539.60M
Investing Cash Flow-85.80M-165.40M-192.20M-249.30M-160.80M-75.60M
Financing Cash Flow130.30M-110.60M-200.40M-326.40M-196.00M-470.30M

Nelco Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price729.55
Price Trends
50DMA
614.84
Negative
100DMA
698.82
Negative
200DMA
797.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-23.05
Positive
RSI
44.45
Neutral
STOCH
36.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:NELCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 729.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 576.42, above the 50-day MA of 614.84, and below the 200-day MA of 797.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -23.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:NELCO.

Nelco Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
₹18.06B1.71
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
54
Neutral
₹16.01B84.78155.87%
54
Neutral
₹17.98B74.371.83%77.13%-39.91%
53
Neutral
₹12.81B-349.690.13%-7.50%-79.50%
53
Neutral
₹13.79B163.0720.41%
51
Neutral
₹7.86B78.581.07%12.25%-28.69%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:NELCO
Nelco Limited
561.35
-267.53
-32.28%
IN:BCG
Brightcom Group Limited
8.95
-1.33
-12.94%
IN:KERNEX
Kernex Microsystems India Ltd.
952.75
218.00
29.67%
IN:NIITLTD
NIIT Limited
57.64
-49.62
-46.26%
IN:RAMCOSYS
Ramco Systems Limited
368.20
25.55
7.46%
IN:SASKEN
Sasken Technologies Ltd
1,183.75
-125.75
-9.60%

Nelco Limited Corporate Events

Nelco Faces Rs. 14.14 Crore GST Demand, Plans to Appeal Tax Order
Mar 11, 2026
Nelco Limited has disclosed that it received an order on 10 March 2026 from the Commissioner of CGST and Central Excise confirming a demand of Rs. 1,414 lakhs, including penalty, for GST liability under the reverse charge mechanism for the period ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026