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Happy Forging Limited (IN:HAPPYFORGE)
:HAPPYFORGE
India Market

Happy Forging Limited (HAPPYFORGE) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:HAPPYFORGE

Happy Forging Limited

(HAPPYFORGE)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
₹1,279.00
▲(9.29% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/14/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and improving cash generation). Technicals are positive but overbought, which tempers the outlook. Valuation is the main drag due to a high P/E and minimal dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High Profitability / Margins
Sustained high gross (58%) and net (19%) margins indicate durable cost control and pricing power in the metal fabrication business. These margins create a persistent earnings buffer, fund reinvestment and support returns across business cycles over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Low Free Cash Flow Conversion
Free cash flow to net income at 0.08 signals limited free cash relative to reported earnings even after improvement. That constrains sustainable dividend policy, buybacks and organic investment without increasing leverage or seeking external capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High Profitability / Margins
Sustained high gross (58%) and net (19%) margins indicate durable cost control and pricing power in the metal fabrication business. These margins create a persistent earnings buffer, fund reinvestment and support returns across business cycles over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Happy Forging Limited (HAPPYFORGE) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Happy Forging Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Happy Forgings Limited engages in the manufacture of forgings and related components in India. It offers heavy forged and machined products, including bicycle pedals, brake flanges, bushes, bull gears, camshafts, crankshafts, connecting rods, crow...
How the Company Makes Money
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Happy Forging Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and margins (FY2025 gross margin 58%, net margin 19%) with steady revenue growth (~3.7%). Balance sheet is conservative (debt-to-equity 0.12; equity ratio 83.5%; ROE 14.5%). Cash flow is improving sharply (FCF up 515.9% and turned positive; OCF/NI 1.09), though FCF/NI remains low (0.08), limiting the score.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.25B12.96B12.43B10.74B7.94B5.49B
Gross Profit5.84B6.12B5.65B4.56B3.54B2.59B
EBITDA4.54B4.44B4.00B3.46B2.36B1.64B
Net Income2.71B2.67B2.43B2.09B1.42B864.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.01B22.15B18.86B13.26B11.30B8.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.85B2.16B1.22B3.41M14.60M277.83M
Total Debt1.93B2.28B1.43B2.19B2.40B1.53B
Total Liabilities3.41B3.66B2.73B3.38B3.42B2.31B
Stockholders Equity19.59B18.50B16.12B9.88B7.88B6.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.53M212.01M-50.96M348.70M-1.11B-418.11M
Operating Cash Flow2.17B2.92B1.89B2.09B802.94M498.53M
Investing Cash Flow-1.49B-3.20B-4.69B-1.72B-1.66B-586.85M
Financing Cash Flow-666.78M401.73M2.81B-370.10M825.20M96.72M

Happy Forging Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1170.30
Price Trends
50DMA
1224.24
Positive
100DMA
1147.62
Positive
200DMA
1050.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.32
Negative
RSI
57.88
Neutral
STOCH
79.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:HAPPYFORGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1170.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1237.07, below the 50-day MA of 1224.24, and above the 200-day MA of 1050.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:HAPPYFORGE.

Happy Forging Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
₹35.91B1.84-7.82%5.33%
72
Outperform
₹20.92B24.911.07%-4.47%-17.62%
71
Outperform
₹121.93B34.320.28%3.57%4.74%
70
Outperform
₹145.66B37.940.19%4.56%14.68%
63
Neutral
₹5.41B52.14-0.94%-48.46%
56
Neutral
₹1.13B13.7427.13%63.22%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:HAPPYFORGE
Happy Forging Limited
1,292.35
503.80
63.89%
IN:HILTON
Hilton Metal Forging Limited
21.88
-33.65
-60.60%
IN:MMFL
MM Forgings Limited
433.25
83.23
23.78%
IN:ROLEXRINGS
Rolex Rings Limited
131.85
-2.87
-2.13%
IN:SANSERA
Sansera Engineering Limited
2,336.90
1,212.63
107.86%
IN:TIRUPATIFL
Tirupati Forge Ltd.
43.13
12.76
42.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026