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Agi Infra Ltd. (IN:AGIIL)
:AGIIL
India Market

Agi Infra Ltd. (AGIIL) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:AGIIL

Agi Infra Ltd.

(AGIIL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
₹327.00
▲(22.77% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong income-statement profitability and solid balance-sheet leverage/returns, but it is meaningfully held back by negative operating and free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with the stock above major moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation remains a headwind due to the high P/E despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High operating margins
Sustained high gross and EBITDA margins indicate structural pricing power and project profitability in civil engineering. These margins support reinvestment, buffer against input-cost volatility, and reflect competitive execution capabilities that benefit long-term cash generation and return on projects.
Strong return on equity with moderate leverage
A high ROE signals effective use of shareholder capital while a sub-0.5 debt-to-equity ratio implies moderate leverage. This combination gives durable financial flexibility to fund project pipelines, pursue selective growth, and withstand cyclical downturns without excessively stretching the balance sheet.
Diversified project revenue and strategic partnerships
A mix of construction, consultancy and maintenance plus partnerships and joint ventures provides multiple revenue streams and recurring work. Structural exposure to public infrastructure spending and maintenance creates a dependable long-term backlog and reduces reliance on any single project or client.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Material negative OCF and FCF despite profits signal a chronic cash-generation gap, raising funding and liquidity risk. For a project-driven business this can force reliance on external financing or advances, constrain bidding capacity, and limit ability to self-fund capex or buffer through slow cycles.
Weak cash conversion of earnings
Earnings not translating into cash suggests persistent working-capital or timing issues (receivables, retention, mobilization). This structural conversion weakness undermines sustainability of reported margins, increases capital costs, and creates recurring refinancing or liquidity needs over multiple reporting cycles.
Concentration and timing risk from government contract exposure
Heavy reliance on public-sector projects and competitive bidding exposes revenue to procurement cycles, payment delays and policy shifts. Those structural timing and concentration risks can compress cash flow visibility, delay realizations, and make backlog-dependent revenue streams more volatile over months.

Agi Infra Ltd. (AGIIL) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Agi Infra Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgi Infra Limited, together with its subsidiary, engages in the real estate and construction businesses in India. It primarily constructs and develops commercial building and residential housing projects in Punjab. The company also operates cold storage facilities that provide storing, trading, dealing, and distribution of vegetables, fruits, dry fruits, etc., as well as leases or rents the cold chain facilities. The company was formerly known as G. I. Builders Private Limited and changed its name to AGI Infra Limited in June 2012. Agi Infra Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Jalandhar, India.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgi Infra Ltd. generates revenue primarily through its construction and engineering services, which include the execution of large-scale public and private sector projects. Key revenue streams include contract payments for completed projects, consultancy fees for engineering services, and maintenance contracts for ongoing infrastructure. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with government agencies and private firms, which often lead to joint ventures for significant infrastructure developments. Additionally, AGIIL may engage in bidding for government contracts, providing a reliable source of income as infrastructure spending increases. Factors such as market demand for infrastructure, government investments in public works, and the company's ability to secure contracts are critical to its financial performance.

Agi Infra Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.25B2.92B2.41B1.97B
Gross Profit1.52B1.26B998.17M869.03M
EBITDA1.05B845.99M641.83M524.95M
Net Income666.64M520.95M481.14M364.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.96B10.80B7.59B6.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments272.10M992.74M443.35M309.65M
Total Debt1.37B1.38B489.66M418.98M
Total Liabilities9.02B8.55B5.87B4.84B
Stockholders Equity2.95B2.25B1.72B1.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-678.27M275.76M676.49M676.49M
Operating Cash Flow-199.15M614.60M1.06B1.06B
Investing Cash Flow-386.70M-880.77M-762.58M-762.58M
Financing Cash Flow-141.47M814.34M-157.15M-157.15M

Agi Infra Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price266.35
Price Trends
50DMA
267.78
Positive
100DMA
258.22
Positive
200DMA
221.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.08
Negative
RSI
61.09
Neutral
STOCH
65.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:AGIIL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 266.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 268.83, below the 50-day MA of 267.78, and above the 200-day MA of 221.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:AGIIL.

Agi Infra Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
₹35.51B45.760.04%16.12%36.94%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
63
Neutral
₹26.59B28.280.98%13.62%34.30%
61
Neutral
₹13.13B14.781.80%15.97%28.83%
52
Neutral
₹13.73B29.830.48%16.36%28.21%
39
Underperform
₹13.27B-2.30-22.30%-8.72%
39
Underperform
₹14.04B-0.66-10.36%46.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:AGIIL
Agi Infra Ltd.
285.05
118.83
71.49%
IN:ARIHANTSUP
Arihant Superstructures Limited
307.85
-187.40
-37.84%
IN:ARVSMART
Arvind SmartSpaces Ltd.
575.75
-196.51
-25.45%
IN:GPTINFRA
GPT Infraprojects Limited
107.25
-24.70
-18.72%
IN:OMAXE
Omaxe Limited
77.69
-12.56
-13.92%
IN:UNITECH
Unitech Limited
5.26
-3.68
-41.16%

Agi Infra Ltd. Corporate Events

Agi Infra Launches Urbana Square Commercial Project in Jalandhar
Jan 4, 2026

Agi Infra Limited has launched a new commercial real estate project named Urbana Square in Village Pholriwal, Jalandhar, Punjab, expanding its portfolio in the region. The project, registered with the Punjab Real Estate Regulatory Authority, comprises 142 commercial shops and 218 office spaces, with bookings having commenced on January 3, 2026, signaling the company’s continued push into mixed-use commercial development to attract both domestic and international clientele in India.

Agi Infra Ltd. Secures Shareholder Approval for Strategic Resolutions
Nov 30, 2025

Agi Infra Ltd. announced the successful conclusion of its postal ballot process, where shareholders approved key resolutions. These include increasing the company’s authorized share capital, raising funds through equity shares or other securities, and increasing investment limits for non-resident Indians and overseas citizens. The approval of these resolutions is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and attract more international investors, potentially strengthening its market position.

Agi Infra Limited Increases Authorized Share Capital to Boost Growth
Nov 30, 2025

Agi Infra Limited has announced an amendment to its Memorandum of Association, increasing its authorized share capital from Rs. 15 crore to Rs. 20 crore. This strategic move, approved by a resolution passed through a postal ballot, is aimed at enhancing the company’s financial capacity, potentially allowing for expanded operations and improved market positioning.

AGI Infra Limited Releases Investor Presentation for September 2025
Nov 15, 2025

AGI Infra Limited has released its Investor Presentation for the quarter and half-year ending September 30, 2025, in compliance with regulatory requirements. This presentation provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering valuable information for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026