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Icon Energy Corp. (ICON)
NASDAQ:ICON
US Market

Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) AI Stock Analysis

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ICON

Icon Energy Corp.

(NASDAQ:ICON)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(4.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/21/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (loss-making year, higher leverage, and sharply negative free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is difficult to assess without a P/E; the very high dividend yield slightly offsets the score but is tempered by profitability and cash-flow risks.
Positive Factors
Index-linked time charters
Index-linked time charters materially reduce spot-rate exposure and increase revenue visibility across the fleet. By tying hires to Baltic indices and extending M/V Alfa on an evergreen basis, management secures cash flow and mitigates short-term market swings, supporting durable earnings over months.
Fleet and asset growth
Significant asset growth reflects fleet expansion and higher earning capacity. More vessels increase scale, improve commercial flexibility and collateral for financing, and support sustained revenue generation and market position in the dry bulk segment over the medium term.
Access to flexible capital (SEPA)
The active use of a Standby Equity Purchase Agreement provides on-demand financing capacity to fund operations and growth initiatives. This structural access to capital reduces immediate liquidity risk and enables strategic moves without relying solely on volatile operating cash flow.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
Despite revenue growth, margins compressed sharply and the firm moved to a net loss, signaling weaker pricing power or higher voyage costs. Persistent margin pressure undermines internal funding capacity and the ability to deliver consistent returns over the coming months.
Free cash flow collapse
A large negative free cash flow indicates heavy capex, acquisition spending or working-capital strain not covered by operations. Continued negative FCF forces reliance on external funding, elevating liquidity and refinancing risk and limiting reinvestment ability over the near term.
Higher leverage and historical balance-sheet instability
Rising debt and a 1.36x debt/equity ratio mark a material shift from prior debt-free years and revive a history of balance-sheet volatility. Higher leverage reduces financial flexibility, increases interest and refinancing exposure, and magnifies downside in weaker shipping cycles.

Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Icon Energy Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIcon Energy Corp., a shipping company, provides seaborne transportation services for dry bulk cargoes through its fleet of oceangoing vessels worldwide. Its fleet consists of one Panamax dry bulk vessel with a carrying capacity of approximately 77,326 deadweight tons (dwt); and one Kamsarmax dry bulk vessel with a carrying capacity of approximately 81,448 dwt. The company serves dry bulk operators, commodity traders, and end users. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Athens, Greece. Icon Energy Corp. is a subsidiary of Atlantis Holding Corp.
How the Company Makes Money

Icon Energy Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite sharp revenue growth in 2024, profitability deteriorated to a net loss and margins compressed significantly. Leverage increased (debt-to-equity 1.36x), and free cash flow swung to a large deficit (-$17.2M), raising funding/liquidity risk and highlighting volatile results.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue accelerated sharply in 2024 ($5.3M, +153.9% YoY), but profitability deteriorated meaningfully: net income swung to a loss (-$0.2M) from a $1.2M profit in 2023, and net margin fell to -4.0%. Gross margin also compressed substantially (27.6% vs. 73.2% in 2023), signaling weaker pricing and/or higher voyage costs. Longer-term results are volatile (strong profits in 2021–2023, deep losses in 2019–2020), limiting confidence in earnings durability.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage increased in 2024 with total debt rising to $15.9M and debt-to-equity at 1.36x, a notable shift from debt-free balance sheets in 2021–2023. Equity remains positive ($11.7M), but returns turned negative in 2024, reflecting the earnings decline. Earlier periods show extreme balance-sheet instability (negative equity in 2019–2020), which, while improved today, underscores a higher-risk capital structure profile for the company’s history.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Operating cash flow stayed positive in 2024 ($0.9M), but cash generation weakened materially versus 2023 ($2.5M) and looks light relative to the business needs. Free cash flow collapsed to a large deficit (-$17.2M) versus a positive $2.5M in 2023, indicating heavy spending and/or working-capital strain that is not being funded by internal cash generation. Overall cash flow quality is inconsistent year-to-year, increasing funding and liquidity risk when conditions soften.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.45M5.31M4.48M7.24M5.96M0.00
Gross Profit1.94M1.47M3.28M5.93M5.11M0.00
EBITDA1.69M1.88M2.19M5.29M3.86M-24.94M
Net Income-4.39M-210.00K1.16M4.24M3.32M-101.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.01M28.80M12.88M14.60M14.57M372.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.97M946.00K2.70M3.55M2.42M65.54M
Total Debt35.23M15.93M0.000.000.0056.87M
Total Liabilities37.37M17.05M3.71M276.00K1.85M637.00M
Stockholders Equity20.64M11.75M9.17M14.32M12.72M-224.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.40M-17.16M2.48M3.76M3.59M19.82M
Operating Cash Flow1.45M864.00K2.50M3.99M4.08M20.42M
Investing Cash Flow-5.84M-18.02M-22.00K-225.00K-491.00K77.14M
Financing Cash Flow7.24M15.90M-3.33M-2.64M-1.17M-110.34M

Icon Energy Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.44
Price Trends
50DMA
2.55
Negative
100DMA
4.93
Negative
200DMA
7.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.33
Negative
RSI
32.21
Neutral
STOCH
27.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.73, below the 50-day MA of 2.55, and below the 200-day MA of 7.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICON.

Icon Energy Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$25.73M1.2317.90%-11.07%-13.39%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$368.94K-0.027.12%-27.96%-98.99%
52
Neutral
$21.84M-0.75-5.54%-1.35%-118.25%
47
Neutral
$17.24M-3.93-7.09%6.20%-8.96%-88.67%
45
Neutral
12.60%499.57%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICON
Icon Energy Corp.
1.34
-41.01
-96.84%
PSHG
Performance Shipping
2.05
0.39
23.49%
CTRM
Castor Maritime
2.22
-0.29
-11.55%
USEA
United Maritime Corp.
1.89
0.22
13.17%
CISS
C3is Inc.
1.86
-102.60
-98.22%

Icon Energy Corp. Corporate Events

Icon Energy Launches $3.4 Million At-the-Market Share Offering Agreement with Maxim Group
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Icon Energy Corp. entered into an at-the-market equity offering agreement with Maxim Group LLC that allows the company to sell up to $3.4 million of its common shares from time to time through Maxim as sales agent. The shares will be issued under Icon Energy’s effective shelf registration statement on Form F-3, and the company plans to deploy any proceeds for general corporate purposes, including working capital, debt repayment and potential fleet renewal or expansion, underscoring its ongoing reliance on flexible equity issuance to support balance sheet needs and possible growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICON) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icon Energy Corp. stock, see the ICON Stock Forecast page.

Icon Energy Sets February 16, 2026 Shareholder Meeting to Vote on Governance Changes and Auditor
Jan 29, 2026

Icon Energy Corp., a Marshall Islands corporation headquartered in Athens, Greece, has called its 2026 annual meeting of shareholders for February 16, 2026, at its Athens offices. Holders of common shares and Series B perpetual preferred shares of the company, which had roughly 2.5 million common shares and 1.5 million preferred shares outstanding as of the January 26, 2026 record date, are entitled to vote, with each preferred share carrying 1,000 votes and held entirely by the company’s chairwoman and chief executive officer, Ismini Panagiotidi.

At the meeting, shareholders will vote on electing Evangelos Macris as a Class II director through the 2029 annual meeting, ratifying Ernst & Young (Hellas) as independent auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, and approving amendments to Icon Energy’s articles of incorporation and bylaws that would modernize its capital structure documentation, permit uncertificated share representation, and allow shareholder action by written consent where legally permitted. The proposals, which require varying voting thresholds and a quorum of at least one-third of the total voting power, signal an effort to streamline corporate governance and administrative flexibility, with the concentration of preferred voting power in the CEO’s hands potentially giving management significant influence over the outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICON) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icon Energy Corp. stock, see the ICON Stock Forecast page.

Icon Energy Raises $3.5 Million via SEPA Share Sales, Lifts Outstanding Stock to 2.5 Million Shares
Jan 22, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Icon Energy Corp. reported that it has raised approximately $3.5 million by selling an aggregate of 1,136,470 common shares at an average price of $3.11 per share under its Standby Equity Purchase Agreement with an investor, originally entered into on August 27, 2025. The company highlighted that the shares were sold at prices exceeding the volume-weighted average market price over the relevant period, and said the proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes and to pursue potential growth opportunities and strategic initiatives; following these issuances, Icon’s share count stands at 2,508,470 common shares outstanding, reflecting the company’s ongoing use of the SEPA as a flexible capital-raising tool.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICON) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icon Energy Corp. stock, see the ICON Stock Forecast page.

Icon Energy Corp. Enacts 1-for-5 Reverse Stock Split to Support Nasdaq Compliance
Jan 8, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Icon Energy Corp. announced that its board of directors approved a 1-for-5 reverse stock split of its common shares, which became effective at the opening of trading on January 8, 2026 on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the existing ticker “ICON.” The move consolidates every five issued and outstanding common shares into one, reducing the outstanding share count from 3,460,000 to approximately 692,000 shares, without changing the par value or authorized share capital, and leaving proportional ownership, voting rights and overall market capitalization essentially intact aside from minor adjustments related to the cash settlement of fractional shares. The board stated that the reverse split is intended to support compliance with Nasdaq listing standards and potentially broaden the company’s appeal to investors by boosting the share price, a step that could influence liquidity and market perception for existing and prospective shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICON) stock is a Hold with a $0.68 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icon Energy Corp. stock, see the ICON Stock Forecast page.

Icon Energy Extends Key Charter and Launches $1 Million Share Buyback as Earnings Surge
Dec 18, 2025

In December 2025, Icon Energy Corp. reported a strengthened commercial position in the dry bulk market, highlighting that all three vessels in its fleet are employed on index-linked time charters tied to the Baltic Panamax and Supramax indices and that the time charter for M/V Alfa was extended in December 2025 on an evergreen basis, with earliest expiry in July 2026. The company said this chartering strategy enabled it to capture higher market rates during 2025, with average gross hire per vessel rising to about $15,450 per day in the third quarter of 2025—up 41% from the previous quarter and 21% year-on-year—driving quarterly revenues to $4.2 million, more than double the prior quarter and nearly five times the third quarter of 2024, while early fourth-quarter averages of roughly $15,750 per day and healthy dry bulk fundamentals are supporting stronger cash generation from its expanded fleet, including the additions of M/V Charlie in June 2025 and M/V Bravo in August 2024. Separately, on December 18, 2025, the board authorized a share repurchase program of up to $1.0 million of outstanding common shares through December 31, 2026, signaling management’s confidence in the company’s financial trajectory and offering potential value support for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICON) stock is a Buy with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icon Energy Corp. stock, see the ICON Stock Forecast page.

Icon Energy Corp. Reports Strong Asset Growth in 2025 Financial Update
Nov 26, 2025

Icon Energy Corp. has released its unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025. The report highlights a significant increase in total assets from $28.8 million at the end of 2024 to $58 million by September 2025, indicating substantial growth in the company’s financial position. This growth is primarily driven by an increase in the value of vessels and cash reserves. The company’s liabilities have also increased, reflecting expanded operations and financial commitments. This financial update suggests a robust expansion phase for Icon Energy, which may enhance its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (ICON) stock is a Buy with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Icon Energy Corp. stock, see the ICON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026