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Hawkins (HWKN)
NASDAQ:HWKN

Hawkins (HWKN) AI Stock Analysis

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HWKN

Hawkins

(NASDAQ:HWKN)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$152.00
▲(12.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is primarily supported by strong underlying financial performance (multi-year growth and improved profitability with generally healthy cash generation). It is held back by weak technical positioning (trading below major moving averages with low RSI) and a less attractive valuation (high P/E with a low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Multi-year revenue growth
Sustained top-line expansion across 2021–TTM demonstrates durable demand and scale in Hawkins’ industrial, water-treatment and food ingredient end markets. Larger revenue base supports operational investments, distribution density, and bargaining leverage with suppliers over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Improving profitability margins
Multi-year gross and EBIT margin improvement signals better pricing power, product mix, and operational efficiency. Higher structural margins increase cash generation potential and resilience to input-cost swings, supporting durable profitability and reinvestment capacity over the medium term.
Healthy operating cash generation
Operating cash consistently above net income and positive FCF indicate earnings quality and internal funding ability. Reliable cash flow supports working-capital needs, capex, and potential debt reduction or shareholder returns, giving the company durable financial flexibility in coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated TTM leverage
A material rise in TTM debt-to-equity reduces financial flexibility and raises interest-rate exposure. If the increase reflects working-capital or acquisition-related borrowing, leverage may normalize; if persistent, it could constrain investment, increase financing costs, and limit downside protection over the next several quarters.
Variable free cash flow conversion
Inconsistent FCF conversion implies earnings don't reliably become cash, likely due to working-capital swings or episodic investments. This variability can impair the company’s ability to consistently fund debt paydown, capex, or distributions, creating execution risk across the next 2–6 months.
Recent margin compression risk
A reversal from prior margin gains suggests rising input costs, pricing pressure, or a shift to lower-margin product mix. If persistent, this trend could erode the improved profitability base, reduce cash flow generation, and limit strategic flexibility over the medium term.

Hawkins (HWKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hawkins Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHawkins, Inc. blends, manufactures, and distributes chemicals and other specialty ingredients in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Industrial, Water Treatment, and Health and Nutrition. The Industrial segment offers industrial chemicals, products, and services to agriculture, chemical processing, electronics, energy, food, pharmaceutical, and plating industries. This segment primarily provides acids, alkalis, and food-grade and pharmaceutical salts and ingredients. It also receives, stores, and distributes various chemicals, such as liquid caustic soda, sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, urea, phosphoric acid, aqua ammonia, and potassium hydroxide. In addition, this segment manufactures sodium hypochlorite and agricultural products, as well as various food-grade and pharmaceutical products that include liquid phosphates, lactates, and other blended products; repackages water treatment chemicals and bulk industrial chemicals; and performs custom blending of chemicals, and contract and private label bleach packaging. The Water Treatment segment offers chemicals, equipment, and solutions for potable water, municipal and industrial wastewater, industrial process water, and non-residential swimming pool and agriculture water. The Health and Nutrition segment offers ingredient distribution, processing, and formulation solutions to manufacturers of nutraceutical, functional food and beverage, personal care, dietary supplement and other nutritional food, and health and wellness products. Its products portfolio includes minerals, botanicals and herbs, vitamins and amino acids, excipients, joint products, sweeteners, and enzymes. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Roseville, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyHawkins makes money primarily by selling chemicals and ingredients and by providing related value-added services. A core revenue stream comes from manufacturing and blending (producing and formulating chemical products and then selling them at a margin over raw material and processing costs) and from distribution (purchasing chemicals/ingredients from producers and reselling them to customers, earning a gross margin that reflects sourcing, logistics, storage, and service). The company also generates revenue through water treatment-related products and services, which typically include supplying treatment chemicals to municipalities and industrial facilities and supporting customers with application, delivery, and inventory/chemical management programs; these services help embed Hawkins in customer operations and can support recurring, replenishment-driven sales. In food-related markets, Hawkins sells food-grade ingredients to food manufacturers and processors, generally earning distributor/manufacturer margins based on volume and product mix. Across these activities, earnings are influenced by customer demand in its served industries, pricing and input-cost dynamics (including the company’s ability to pass through cost changes), and the scale/efficiency of its logistics network (warehouses, trucking, and packaging capabilities). Specific significant partnerships are null.

Hawkins Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Hawkins Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth with improved gross and EBIT margins versus earlier years, plus solid ROE. Offsetting factors include modest margin softening in the TTM period, a higher TTM debt-to-equity versus recent annual levels, and somewhat variable free-cash-flow conversion.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has expanded materially over the last several years (from ~$597M in 2021 to ~$974M in FY2025, and ~$1.06B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), showing strong multi-year growth despite a slower recent annual growth pace (FY2025 ~6% and TTM growth shown as elevated). Profitability has also improved versus earlier years, with gross margin rising from ~17.7% (FY2023) to ~23.0% (TTM) and EBIT margin moving from ~9–10% (FY2022–FY2023) to ~11.7% (TTM). The main watch-out is modest recent margin compression versus FY2025 (net margin ~8.7% in FY2025 vs ~8.0% TTM; EBITDA margin ~16.4% FY2025 vs ~15.1% TTM), suggesting incremental cost pressure or mix shift.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet looks solid with a steadily growing equity base (from ~$265M in FY2021 to ~$519M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and consistently strong returns on equity (~15–19% across periods). Leverage appears manageable overall, but the debt picture is mixed: debt-to-equity is reasonable in recent annual periods (~0.27–0.35 in FY2024–FY2025) yet is higher in the TTM snapshot (~0.58), which could indicate a temporary working-capital build, acquisition-related borrowings, or timing effects. Total assets have grown meaningfully, supporting scale, but the higher TTM leverage warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is generally healthy: operating cash flow is strong in absolute dollars (TTM ~$137M; FY2024 ~$159M) and currently exceeds net income (TTM coverage ~1.25x; FY2025 ~1.04x), a positive sign for earnings quality. Free cash flow is positive and improving in TTM (about ~$88M) with strong TTM growth, but it has been more volatile year to year (notably negative free-cash-flow growth in FY2025 and weaker conversion in earlier years). Free cash flow runs at roughly two-thirds of net income in recent periods (TTM ~0.64), indicating some ongoing reinvestment or working-capital needs that can pressure near-term cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B974.43M919.16M935.10M774.54M596.87M
Gross Profit243.06M225.54M193.64M165.12M146.52M123.76M
EBITDA173.44M159.76M137.23M117.23M95.51M78.55M
Net Income82.41M84.34M75.36M60.04M51.54M40.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets976.53M769.87M673.16M602.36M567.33M481.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.21M5.10M7.15M7.57M3.50M3.00M
Total Debt278.29M159.74M108.26M120.33M136.36M110.57M
Total Liabilities457.62M309.57M267.13M252.34M264.73M216.20M
Stockholders Equity518.91M460.29M406.03M350.02M302.60M265.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow87.69M70.00M119.35M29.08M14.32M23.00M
Operating Cash Flow137.44M111.10M159.50M77.40M42.84M43.79M
Investing Cash Flow-259.74M-127.95M-122.50M-41.23M-49.76M-71.43M
Financing Cash Flow122.21M14.81M-37.41M-32.10M7.42M26.36M

Hawkins Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price134.98
Price Trends
50DMA
145.92
Negative
100DMA
142.28
Negative
200DMA
152.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.45
Positive
RSI
37.47
Neutral
STOCH
22.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HWKN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 134.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 146.06, below the 50-day MA of 145.92, and below the 200-day MA of 152.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HWKN.

Hawkins Risk Analysis

Hawkins disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hawkins reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hawkins Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$3.58B11.9620.42%2.72%-7.04%-11.28%
63
Neutral
$2.74B20.947.98%1.54%-1.30%-36.69%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$2.82B53.3516.73%0.50%11.86%1.99%
59
Neutral
$2.94B34.903.48%3.48%1.03%-24.57%
52
Neutral
$2.91B-55.77-2.18%3.91%4.68%-62.80%
50
Neutral
$3.17B-7.30-17.79%19.12%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HWKN
Hawkins
134.98
29.77
28.29%
CBT
Cabot
68.59
-11.63
-14.49%
FUL
H.B. Fuller Company
50.31
-2.41
-4.57%
OLN
Olin
25.60
1.48
6.13%
AVNT
Avient
32.04
-5.14
-13.83%
PRM
Perimeter Solutions
21.22
12.18
134.73%

Hawkins Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Hawkins announces retirement of longtime general counsel Erstad
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

On December 17, 2025, Hawkins, Inc. announced that Richard G. Erstad, who has served as Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary for 17 years, plans to retire. As part of a planned leadership transition, Erstad is expected to step down from his role as an executive officer on December 28, 2025, at the end of the company’s third fiscal quarter, but will remain employed with Hawkins until May 2026 to help ensure continuity and a smooth handover of his responsibilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HWKN) stock is a Hold with a $136.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawkins stock, see the HWKN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026