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Eastman Chemical (EMN)
NYSE:EMN

Eastman Chemical (EMN) AI Stock Analysis

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Eastman Chemical

(NYSE:EMN)

75Outperform
Eastman Chemical's strong financial health, driven by solid profitability and efficient cash flow management, underpins its stock strength. While technical indicators suggest caution, the attractive valuation and balanced earnings call outlook, with growth initiatives and operational improvements, contribute positively to the stock's appeal. Challenges in specific segments and market conditions present moderate risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
Strong 2024 provides positive growth set up for 2025: EMN delivered solid 23% Y/Y EPS growth in 2024, driven by growth in higher sales volumes/mix from the end of customer destocking and innovation growth.
EBITDA Growth
Kingsport poised to reach $100MM incremental EBITDA run rate by the end of 2025, with demand remaining solid in both the durable and consumer packaging side.
Innovation
Eastman expects that their innovation with interlayers will continue to support market outgrowth.
Negative Factors
Consumer Confidence
Weaker consumer confidence could still trigger adjustments downstream.
Foreign Exchange
Headwinds from foreign exchange fluctuations are expected to challenge the company's financial performance.
Trade Policies
Protectionist trade policies likely cause another step-down in demand.

Eastman Chemical (EMN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Eastman Chemical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEastman Chemical Company operates as a specialty materials company in the United States and internationally. The company's Additives & Functional Products segment offers hydrocarbon and rosin resins; organic acid-based solutions; amine derivative-based building blocks; metam-based soil fumigants, thiram and ziram based fungicides, and plant growth regulators; specialty coalescent, specialty and commodity solvents, paint additives, and specialty polymers; heat transfer and aviation fluids; insoluble sulfur and anti-degradant rubber additives; and performance resins. It serves transportation, personal care, wellness, food, feed, agriculture, building and construction, water treatment, energy, consumables, durables, and electronics markets. Its Advanced Materials segment provides copolyesters, cellulosic biopolymers, cellulose esters, polyvinyl butyral (PVB) sheets, and window and protective films, and aftermarket applied film products for value-added end uses in the transportation, durables, electronics, building and construction, medical and pharma, and consumables markets. The company's Chemical Intermediates segment offers methylamines and salts higher amines and solvents; Olefin and acetyl derivatives, ethylene, and commodity solvents; and primary non-phthalate and phthalate plasticizers, and niche non- phthalate plasticizers to the industrial chemicals and processing, building and construction, health and wellness, and agrochemicals. Its Fibers segment provides cellulose acetate tow, triacetin, cellulose acetate flake, acetic acid, and acetic anhydride for use in filtration media primarily cigarette filters; natural and solution dyed acetate yarns for use in consumables, and health and wellness markets; and wet-laid nonwoven media, specialty and engineered papers, and cellulose acetate fibers for transportation, industrial, agriculture and mining, and aerospace markets. Eastman Chemical Company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Kingsport, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyEastman Chemical makes money primarily through the manufacture and sale of specialty chemicals and advanced materials. The company operates through several business segments, including Additives & Functional Products, Advanced Materials, Chemical Intermediates, and Fibers. Revenue is generated from selling products like coatings, adhesives, specialty plastics, and fibers to various industries, including automotive, consumer goods, electronics, and textiles. Significant earnings are derived from long-term supply agreements, research and development partnerships, and a focus on innovation in sustainable and high-performance materials. The company leverages its global production and distribution network to serve a diverse customer base, contributing to consistent revenue streams.

Eastman Chemical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Eastman Chemical demonstrates a strong financial position with robust profitability and efficient operational controls. The company has a solid balance sheet with reduced debt, enhancing financial stability. While revenue growth is modest, cash flow generation is strong, indicating good liquidity and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Eastman Chemical shows a robust performance with a strong gross profit margin of 24.4% for 2024, attributed to efficient cost management. The net profit margin remains healthy at 9.6%, indicating solid profitability. Revenue growth is moderate at 1.9% compared to the previous year, suggesting stability but limited top-line expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 13.9%, reflecting effective operational control. However, revenue has not returned to 2022 levels, indicating potential growth challenges.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Eastman Chemical is solid, with a substantial equity base. The equity ratio is 38%, indicating a strong reliance on equity for financing. The company has significantly reduced its debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, showcasing financial prudence. Return on equity is commendable at 15.7%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' funds. The reduction in total debt improves financial stability and reduces leverage risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 27.2% in 2024, highlighting improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.42, indicating strong cash earnings support. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.76 suggests effective capital expenditure management and healthy free cash flow generation. Overall, cash flow metrics demonstrate the company's solid liquidity position and operational efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.38B9.21B10.58B10.48B8.47B
Gross Profit
2.29B2.06B2.14B2.50B1.98B
EBIT
1.30B1.09B1.25B1.88B968.00M
EBITDA
1.80B1.81B1.73B2.42B1.54B
Net Income Common Stockholders
905.00M894.00M793.00M857.00M478.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
837.00M548.00M493.00M459.00M564.00M
Total Assets
15.21B14.63B14.67B15.52B16.08B
Total Debt
5.02B4.97B5.15B5.16B5.62B
Net Debt
4.18B4.42B4.66B4.70B5.05B
Total Liabilities
9.36B9.10B9.43B9.73B9.97B
Stockholders Equity
5.78B5.46B5.15B5.70B6.02B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
688.00M541.00M351.00M1.04B1.07B
Operating Cash Flow
1.29B1.37B975.00M1.62B1.46B
Investing Cash Flow
-534.00M-432.00M392.00M-29.00M-394.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-454.00M-888.00M-1.32B-1.69B-704.00M

Eastman Chemical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price72.70
Price Trends
50DMA
93.24
Negative
100DMA
94.12
Negative
200DMA
96.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.04
Positive
RSI
37.55
Neutral
STOCH
28.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EMN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.80, below the 50-day MA of 93.24, and below the 200-day MA of 96.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EMN.

Eastman Chemical Risk Analysis

Eastman Chemical disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Eastman Chemical reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Eastman Chemical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EMEMN
75
Outperform
$8.72B9.8416.11%4.45%1.91%2.94%
66
Neutral
$10.38B13.7012.69%-2.64%120.05%
PPPPG
65
Neutral
$22.00B16.2519.13%2.77%-4.59%11.09%
WLWLK
59
Neutral
$11.37B19.065.76%2.41%-3.24%24.29%
SQSQM
48
Neutral
$10.11B-7.56%3.93%-39.35%-120.09%
47
Neutral
$2.32B-2.83-21.67%3.65%4.83%-28.82%
ALALB
43
Neutral
$6.88B-12.18%2.78%-44.08%-183.44%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EMN
Eastman Chemical
72.70
-25.87
-26.25%
ALB
Albemarle
50.76
-76.12
-59.99%
PPG
PPG Industries
91.66
-47.47
-34.12%
SQM
Sociedad Quimica Y Minera SA
31.61
-19.81
-38.53%
WLK
Westlake Chemical
83.08
-76.47
-47.93%
AVTR
Avantor
14.28
-11.58
-44.78%

Eastman Chemical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 30, 2025 | % Change Since: -20.82% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced performance with significant achievements in Advanced Materials and AFP segments, operational improvements in the methanolysis plant, and stability in the fibers business. However, challenges such as headwinds in Advanced Materials, fourth-quarter underperformance, and competitive pressures in Chemical Intermediates balance out these positives.
Highlights
Advanced Materials Growth
The Advanced Materials segment showed impressive recovery with strong performance despite a challenging macroeconomic environment, driven by innovation and strategic growth initiatives, including a $50 million contribution from the circular platform.
Successful Methanolysis Plant Operations
The Kingsport methanolysis plant demonstrated operational improvement, achieving 85% DMT yield since its last turnaround, leading to expectations of strong operational leverage in 2025.
AFP Segment Strong Performance
AFP segment delivered high single-digit growth, outperforming expectations due to strong volume and mix growth, price discipline, and cost management.
Fibers Business Stability
The fibers business is expected to maintain attractive pricing and margins due to stable end-market demand and strategic multi-year contracting with customers.
Lowlights
Advanced Materials Headwinds
Advanced Materials faces headwinds from increasing natural gas prices and currency fluctuations, which are expected to offset some volume and mix growth.
Fourth Quarter Challenges
Eastman experienced modest underperformance in the fourth quarter, missing the low-end of guidance due to higher costs associated with reduced uptime earlier in the year.
Fibers Destocking and Product Discontinuation
The fibers segment is facing destocking and the discontinuation of a profitable product, which are expected to impact performance in 2025.
Chemical Intermediates Competitive Pressure
The Chemical Intermediates segment is experiencing competitive pressure and a challenging environment, impacting spreads and margins.
Company Guidance
During the Eastman Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating strong performance expectations for 2025, despite facing some headwinds. The Advanced Materials segment is projected to deliver significant growth, driven by the circular platform with an expected contribution of $50 million in earnings, while the overall circular economy growth is guided to be between $75 million to $100 million. The company anticipates cost management efforts to yield $50 million in savings, offsetting some impacts from higher natural gas prices and currency fluctuations, which are expected to be $50 million and $30 million, respectively. In the Fibers segment, despite some destocking, the company maintains stable long-term contracts covering over 80% of 2026 volumes. Additionally, Eastman expects to maintain its $1.3 billion operating cash flow for 2025, with a focus on EBITDA growth and higher cash taxes, and plans to execute $200 million in share buybacks.

Eastman Chemical Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Eastman Chemical Announces Severance Agreement with Executive
Neutral
Mar 14, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Eastman Chemical Company entered into a severance agreement with Brad A. Lich, outlining severance benefits in the event of certain employment terminations. The agreement includes a $2 million cash severance payment and up to four months of healthcare coverage, contingent on compliance with restrictive covenants and a release of claims.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.