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Heliogen (HLGN)
OTHER OTC:HLGN
US Market

Heliogen (HLGN) AI Stock Analysis

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Heliogen

(OTC:HLGN)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(12.78%Upside)
Heliogen's stock score is driven by a mix of promising financial recovery and strategic growth opportunities, such as the merger with Zeo Energy. However, technical analysis reflects bearish trends, and cash flow challenges remain a significant concern. The valuation suggests potential undervaluation, but historical volatility requires cautious optimism.

Heliogen (HLGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heliogen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHeliogen (HLGN) is a renewable energy technology company focused on developing and deploying solar energy systems. The company leverages advanced computer vision software and artificial intelligence to enhance solar thermal energy generation. Heliogen's core product is its proprietary concentrated solar power (CSP) systems, designed to generate carbon-free energy for industrial processes, electricity generation, and hydrogen production. The company operates within the renewable energy and technology sectors, aiming to provide sustainable and cost-effective energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyHeliogen makes money primarily through the sale and deployment of its concentrated solar power systems. Revenue streams include project development fees, sales of solar energy systems, and long-term service agreements for system maintenance and operation. The company may also generate income through strategic partnerships and collaborations with industrial entities seeking sustainable energy solutions. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include technological advancements, government incentives for renewable energy, and the growing demand for carbon-neutral industrial processes.

Heliogen Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: -36.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant advancements in joint agreements, project progress, and technology validation, while facing challenges with increased costs and negative revenue impacts from the Capella project. Despite these challenges, the company is focused on strategic growth and cost management.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Joint Development Agreement in Mexico
Signed a joint development agreement to deploy Heliogen's technology in Mexico, which is expected to have over 30 gigawatts of energy demand growth in the next decade. This agreement marks the first of its kind for the company.
Brenda Hydrogen Project Contract
Executed a contract with Woodside Energy for the Brenda Hydrogen Project in Arizona, intended to produce up to 20,000 metric tons per year of green hydrogen.
Progress on First Commercial Scale Project
Significant progress on the first commercial scale project in West Texas, expected to be completed by the end of 2024.
Advancements in CSP Technology
Validated closed-loop software at Sandia CSP test facility, significantly improving solar beam accuracy. This software is confirmed to work with third-party hardware, opening additional licensing opportunities.
Capella Project Milestones
Completed key milestones in the Capella project, which is poised to be the first commercial scale deployment of next-generation storage technology.
Growth in Commercial Pipeline
Commercial pipeline leads grew to over 2 gigawatts, with significant advancements in proposal and pre-FID activity stages.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs in Capella Project
Capella project cost estimate increased by $53 million due to commodity and labor inflation and additional nonrecurring development costs.
Negative Revenue for Q4
Reported negative revenue of $1.2 million for Q4 due to revised cost estimates in the Capella project.
Reduced Revenue Backlog
Revenue backlog is relatively low, with a new contract adding only $1.6 million to the backlog.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for Q4 2023, Heliogen Inc. provided guidance on several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company emphasized its focus on scaling its concentrated solar thermal technology and advancing its PV hybrid product. A notable achievement was the signing of a joint development agreement in Mexico, aiming to capitalize on the country's forecasted 30 gigawatts of energy demand growth over the next decade. Heliogen reported a backlog of 7 megawatts across four projects, representing $76 million in revenue, although the Capella project's cost estimate increased by $53 million due to inflation and development costs. The company highlighted a contracted revenue backlog of $1.6 million for the Brenda Hydrogen Project in Arizona. Financially, Heliogen reduced its SG&A expenses by 12% and decreased total headcount by over 40% from its peak in Q4 2022. With a strategic review underway, the company aims to extend its liquidity into March 2025 and focus on generating meaningful revenue in 2024.

Heliogen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Heliogen shows promising financial recovery in 2024, with significant revenue and profit improvements, and a stronger equity position. However, historical instability, cash flow challenges, and previous losses underscore the need for cautious optimism moving forward. Continued focus on cash management and sustainable growth is essential for future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Heliogen's income statement shows significant improvement in 2024 with Total Revenue increasing to $23.22 million from $0.88 million in 2023, resulting in a remarkable revenue growth rate of over 2500%. The Gross Profit Margin has dramatically improved to 384.4% in 2024 from negative margins in previous years. Net Profit Margin has turned positive at 140.2%, suggesting a turnaround in profitability. However, volatility in earnings and a history of losses indicate potential risks.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stronger equity position with Stockholders' Equity improving to $29.02 million in 2024 from a negative position in 2023. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low at 0.08, indicating low leverage. However, the Equity Ratio is 65.5%, showing moderate reliance on equity financing. Past years of negative equity and high liabilities pose stability concerns despite recent improvements.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow statements reveal challenges with negative Free Cash Flow of $39.11 million in 2024, although improved from prior years. Operating Cash Flow remains negative at -$38.85 million. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, highlighting cash generation issues despite reported profits. Overall, cash flow management requires attention to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.32M19.84M888.00K13.75M8.80M200.00K
Gross Profit85.88M85.93M-59.16M-33.78M-4.88M-217.11K
EBITDA47.02M37.62M-126.66M-150.70M-42.26M-7.37M
Net Income41.41M32.55M-129.60M-142.00M-142.19M-7.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.68M44.29M107.03M191.62M257.45M19.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.06M36.95M75.10M143.22M222.41M18.33M
Total Debt730.00K4.86M14.67M15.49M16.46M1.02M
Total Liabilities9.65M15.27M115.05M66.30M48.17M47.62M
Stockholders Equity23.03M29.02M-8.02M125.32M209.28M-27.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-35.06M-39.11M-72.90M-78.87M-34.89M-7.30M
Operating Cash Flow-35.25M-38.85M-71.64M-69.84M-31.05M-7.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.17M13.14M86.65M-73.76M-38.65M-294.53K
Financing Cash Flow-51.00K-59.00K1.33M-107.00K242.95M10.69M

Heliogen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.33
Price Trends
50DMA
1.90
Negative
100DMA
1.39
Positive
200DMA
1.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
42.51
Neutral
STOCH
29.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.59, below the 50-day MA of 1.90, and below the 200-day MA of 1.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HLGN.

Heliogen Risk Analysis

Heliogen disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heliogen reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heliogen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$16.55B16.994.47%3.56%4.76%6.17%
57
Neutral
$8.60M0.217475.27%437.56%
54
Neutral
$39.29M-27.32%-46.17%-18.67%
ADADN
40
Underperform
$5.53M-771.66%-88.80%58.27%
38
Underperform
$4.42M-1134.77%
32
Underperform
$5.83M-335.00%
31
Underperform
$5.91M-1.94%-91.89%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HLGN
Heliogen
1.33
-1.53
-53.50%
CREG
Smart Powerr Corp
0.25
-0.77
-75.49%
HTOO
Fusion Fuel Green
0.16
-0.79
-83.16%
ADN
Advent Technologies Holdings
2.06
-1.78
-46.35%
WAVE
Eco Wave Power Global
6.64
3.97
148.69%
BNRG
Brenmiller
2.10
-2.42
-53.54%

Heliogen Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Heliogen Announces Merger Agreement with Zeo Energy
Positive
May 29, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Heliogen, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with Zeo Energy Corp., with the transaction expected to close in the third quarter of 2025. The merger aims to combine Zeo’s solar energy platform with Heliogen’s advanced clean storage solutions, creating a robust clean energy platform for residential, commercial, and utility markets. This strategic move is anticipated to enhance market reach, operational synergies, and financial capabilities, while positioning Zeo to capitalize on the growing demand for low-carbon energy infrastructure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025