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BOC Aviation Limited (HK:2588)
:2588
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BOC Aviation (2588) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2588

BOC Aviation

(2588)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
HK$77.00
▲(9.92% Upside)
BOC Aviation's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's robust cash flow management and profitability are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest caution in the short term, with the stock trading below key moving averages. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
BOC Aviation's steady revenue growth reflects its strong market position and effective business model, ensuring long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Management
Improved cash flow management enhances financial flexibility, enabling BOC Aviation to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt efficiently.
Profitability Margins
Enhanced profitability margins indicate BOC Aviation's operational efficiency and ability to convert revenue into profit, supporting sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Substantial leverage poses a risk to financial stability, potentially limiting BOC Aviation's ability to weather economic downturns or invest in expansion.
Earnings Per Share Decline
A decline in earnings per share suggests challenges in maintaining profitability per share, which could affect investor confidence and share value over time.
Equity Financing
While moderate equity financing is positive, reliance on debt over equity can increase financial risk, impacting long-term financial health.

BOC Aviation (2588) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

BOC Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBOC Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an aircraft operating leasing company worldwide. It offers a range of services to airlines and aircraft owners, including direct operating leases, sale and leaseback facilities, and third-party asset management. The company also provides aircraft remarketing and technical management services to airlines, banks, and other investors; arranges debt financing and other financial services for airlines and aircraft investors; and sells aircrafts. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 521 owned, managed, and on order aircraft. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Singapore. BOC Aviation Limited is a subsidiary of Sky Splendor Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyBOC Aviation generates revenue primarily through its core business of leasing aircraft to airlines, which involves entering into long-term operating and finance lease agreements. The company earns lease income from these agreements, which provide a steady and predictable cash flow. Additionally, BOC Aviation engages in sale and leaseback transactions, where it purchases aircraft from airlines and leases them back, allowing airlines to unlock capital while maintaining access to the aircraft. The company also benefits from its strategic partnerships with aircraft manufacturers and its well-managed fleet, which enhances its competitiveness in the market. Furthermore, BOC Aviation's strong relationship with Bank of China provides it with favorable financing options, which can reduce its cost of capital and improve profitability.

BOC Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BOC Aviation has shown strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The company demonstrates resilience with better cash flow management, despite high leverage. Continued focus on maintaining operational efficiency and managing debt levels will be vital for sustaining its positive trajectory.
Income Statement
78
Positive
BOC Aviation has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from $2.07 billion in 2023 to $2.20 billion in 2024, reflecting a revenue growth rate of 6.11%. The gross profit margin is stable at approximately 26.95% in 2024, although the EBIT margin is not calculable due to the EBIT being zero. EBITDA margin remains strong at 62.42%, indicating robust operational efficiency. Net profit margin improved to 42.05% from 36.92% in the previous year, highlighting enhanced profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.61, which suggests substantial leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) improved to 14.52% in 2024, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 25.39% suggests a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets, which is a positive indicator of financial stability despite the high leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BOC Aviation shows a significant turnaround in free cash flow, increasing from a negative $1.36 billion in 2023 to a positive $94 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.78, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the significant improvement in free cash flow to net income ratio from negative to 0.10 indicates better cash management and reduced capital expenditure burden.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.27B2.20B2.07B1.92B2.04B1.96B
Gross Profit664.39M591.94M548.89M1.92B696.06M1.96B
EBITDA1.39B1.37B1.35B1.11B1.16B1.19B
Net Income805.09M923.59M763.90M20.06M561.32M509.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.57B25.05B24.17B22.07B23.88B23.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments533.23M671.33M391.82M391.91M487.61M408.25M
Total Debt16.89B16.59B16.53B15.14B16.72B16.71B
Total Liabilities19.07B18.69B18.42B16.87B18.61B18.79B
Stockholders Equity6.50B6.36B5.75B5.20B5.27B4.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-934.73M94.42M-1.36B800.56M-319.98M-2.81B
Operating Cash Flow2.67B2.57B2.28B2.01B1.80B1.83B
Investing Cash Flow-2.23B-1.29B-2.80B193.04M-1.06B-4.25B
Financing Cash Flow-437.71M-1.00B518.72M-2.29B-671.68M2.58B

BOC Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price70.05
Price Trends
50DMA
69.42
Positive
100DMA
69.55
Positive
200DMA
63.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Negative
RSI
54.19
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2588, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.26, above the 50-day MA of 69.42, and above the 200-day MA of 63.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2588.

BOC Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
€12.96B6.8613.91%7.37%0.17%-12.66%
73
Outperform
$48.62B7.7512.82%4.63%1.58%-16.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
HK$3.34B12.476.30%6.59%-7.56%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2588
BOC Aviation
70.05
12.40
21.50%
HK:1848
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings
4.66
1.62
53.29%
HK:3877
CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Company Limited
2.05
0.52
34.25%

BOC Aviation Corporate Events

BOC Aviation Announces Board Restructuring
Oct 28, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced changes to its Board of Directors and committee memberships effective 30 October 2025. The new board structure includes a mix of executive, non-executive, and independent non-executive directors, with Mr. Zhuo Chengwen as Chairman and Mr. Steven Matthew Townend as CEO and Managing Director. These changes are likely to impact the company’s strategic direction and governance, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Leadership Change with New Chairman Appointment
Oct 28, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced a significant leadership change with the resignation of Ms. Zhang Xiaolu and the appointment of Mr. Zhuo Chengwen as the new Chairman of the Board, effective October 30, 2025. This transition is expected to influence the company’s strategic direction, given Mr. Zhuo’s extensive experience in financial management and risk assessment within the Bank of China Group. Stakeholders may anticipate potential shifts in company policies and strategies under Mr. Zhuo’s leadership, which could impact BOC Aviation’s market positioning and operational focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 9, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited reported its operational data for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, highlighting a total portfolio of 812 aircraft and engines. The company executed 34 transactions, including commitments to purchase three aircraft, delivery of 11 aircraft, and sales of 10 owned aircraft. Additionally, BOC Aviation raised US$500 million through a bond issuance with its tightest bond spread in history, indicating strong financial positioning. The company’s owned aircraft utilization was maintained at 100%, reflecting operational efficiency and robust demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Interim Dividend Exchange Rate
Oct 2, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced the exchange rate for the payment of its interim dividend for the first half of 2025. The dividend, initially declared in US dollars, will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at a rate of HK$1.1483 per share, based on the exchange rate as of 26 September 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s financial strategy and commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Declares Interim Cash Dividend for 2025
Oct 2, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced an interim cash dividend of USD 0.1476 per share for the six months ending June 30, 2025, with the payment to be made in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of USD 1 to HKD 7.7795. This dividend reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders and may impact its financial performance and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces New Board of Directors
Sep 9, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced changes to its Board of Directors, effective from September 10, 2025. The new board structure includes Ms. Zhang Xiaolu as Chairman and Non-executive Director, with Mr. Steven Matthew Townend serving as the CEO and Managing Director. The announcement reflects a strategic alignment in leadership roles, potentially impacting the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Resignation of Non-Executive Director
Sep 9, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced the resignation of Ms. Li Ke from her roles as Non-executive Director, and member of both the remuneration and nomination committees, effective 10 September 2025. The resignation is due to work arrangements, and Ms. Li Ke has confirmed no disagreements with the Board. The company expressed gratitude for her contributions, and this change may impact the company’s governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$78.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Reports Revenue Growth Amid Profit Decline
Aug 22, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited is a leading global aircraft leasing company headquartered in Asia, specializing in long-term US dollar-denominated leases with a diverse portfolio of airlines worldwide. In its latest earnings report for the first half of 2025, BOC Aviation reported total revenues of $1.242 billion, marking a 6% increase from the previous year. However, net profit after tax saw a decline of 26% to $342 million, attributed to non-recurring write-backs in the previous year. The company declared an interim dividend of $0.1476 per share, a decrease from the prior year’s $0.1988 per share. Key highlights from the report include a record operating cash flow of $1 billion, a strong liquidity position with $533 million in cash, and $5.5 billion in undrawn credit facilities. The company also placed its largest aircraft order in history, adding 120 new aircraft to its order book. Looking ahead, BOC Aviation remains optimistic about future growth, supported by strong demand for aircraft and a robust order book that extends through 2032.

BOC Aviation Declares Interim Dividend for 2025
Aug 21, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced an interim cash dividend of USD 0.1476 per share for the six months ending 30 June 2025. The dividend will be paid on 13 October 2025, with the record date set for 26 September 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing financial health and commitment to delivering shareholder value, reinforcing its stable position in the aviation leasing industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Reports Mixed Interim Results with Revenue Growth but Profit Decline
Aug 21, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited reported its interim financial results for the first half of 2025, showing a 6% increase in total revenues to US$1,242 million compared to the previous year. However, net profit after tax fell by 26% to US$342 million, primarily due to the absence of non-recurring write-backs related to aircraft in Russia, which had boosted profits in 2024. The company declared a reduced interim dividend of US$0.1476 per share, reflecting the profit decline. Despite this, BOC Aviation maintained strong liquidity with US$533 million in cash and significant undrawn credit facilities, alongside a record operating cash flow of US$1.0 billion.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation to Review Financials and Consider Interim Dividend
Aug 8, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced that its board of directors will meet on August 21, 2025, to review and approve the company’s unaudited consolidated financial statements for the first half of 2025. The board will also consider declaring an interim dividend and address other business matters, which could impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Board and Committee Restructuring
Aug 7, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced changes to its Board of Directors and committee memberships effective from August 7, 2025. These changes reflect a strategic realignment within the company, potentially impacting its governance and operational oversight, which could influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Leadership Change in Strategy Committee
Aug 7, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced a leadership change within its Strategy and Budget Committee, effective August 7, 2025. Ms. Zhang Xiaolu, the current Chairman of the Board and a Non-executive Director, will assume the role of chairman of the committee, succeeding Mr. Jin Hongju, who will continue as a committee member. This strategic leadership shift is poised to influence the company’s future planning and budgetary strategies, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025