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BOC Aviation Limited (HK:2588)
:2588

BOC Aviation (2588) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

BOC Aviation

(OTC:2588)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
HK$73.00
▲(12.14%Upside)
BOC Aviation's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are significant strengths. The technical analysis indicates positive momentum, though caution is advised due to the potential overbought condition. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data does not detract from the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Cost of Funding
BOC Aviation's key strength lies in its lower cost of funding, which is currently 40-60bps below its industry peers.
Orderbook and Transactions
BOC Aviation has a robust orderbook and pipeline of purchase and leaseback transactions, strengthening lease rates and more lucrative aircraft sales.
Negative Factors
Earnings Impact
BOC Aviation's earnings will be negatively impacted in the near term if its cost of funding outpaces its lease rate factor.

BOC Aviation (2588) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

BOC Aviation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBOC Aviation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an aircraft operating leasing company worldwide. It offers a range of services to airlines and aircraft owners, including direct operating leases, sale and leaseback facilities, and third-party asset management. The company also provides aircraft remarketing and technical management services to airlines, banks, and other investors; arranges debt financing and other financial services for airlines and aircraft investors; and sells aircrafts. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 521 owned, managed, and on order aircraft. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Singapore. BOC Aviation Limited is a subsidiary of Sky Splendor Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyBOC Aviation makes money primarily through leasing aircraft to airlines. Its revenue model includes operating leases, where airlines pay regular lease rentals for the use of aircraft over a specified period. The company also engages in sale-and-leaseback transactions, where it purchases aircraft from airlines and leases them back, providing immediate liquidity to airlines while securing long-term lease revenue for itself. Additionally, BOC Aviation may occasionally sell aircraft from its fleet, generating one-time sales revenue. The company's financial performance is supported by its relationships with major aircraft manufacturers, favorable financing conditions due to its parent company's backing, and a diverse global customer base that mitigates risks associated with regional market fluctuations.

BOC Aviation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BOC Aviation demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability margins. The company has shown resilience through better cash flow management, despite high leverage. Continued focus on maintaining operational efficiency and managing debt levels is vital for sustaining its positive trajectory.
Income Statement
78
Positive
BOC Aviation has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a notable increase from $2.07 billion in 2023 to $2.20 billion in 2024, reflecting a revenue growth rate of 6.11%. The gross profit margin is stable at approximately 26.95% in 2024, although the EBIT margin is not calculable due to the EBIT being zero. EBITDA margin remains strong at 62.42%, indicating robust operational efficiency. Net profit margin improved to 42.05% from 36.92% in the previous year, highlighting enhanced profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.61, which suggests substantial leverage. However, the return on equity (ROE) improved to 14.52% in 2024, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 25.39% suggests a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets, which is a positive indicator of financial stability despite the high leverage.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BOC Aviation shows a significant turnaround in free cash flow, increasing from a negative $1.36 billion in 2023 to a positive $94 million in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.78, highlighting strong cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the significant improvement in free cash flow to net income ratio from negative to 0.10 indicates better cash management and reduced capital expenditure burden.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.20B2.07B1.92B2.04B1.96B
Gross Profit591.94M548.89M570.42M696.06M1.96B
EBITDA1.37B1.35B1.11B1.16B1.19B
Net Income923.59M763.90M20.06M561.32M509.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.05B24.17B22.07B23.88B23.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments671.33M391.82M408.29M487.61M408.25M
Total Debt16.59B16.53B15.14B16.72B16.71B
Total Liabilities18.69B18.42B16.87B18.61B18.79B
Stockholders Equity6.36B5.75B5.20B5.27B4.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow94.42M-1.36B800.56M-319.98M-2.81B
Operating Cash Flow2.57B2.28B2.01B1.80B1.83B
Investing Cash Flow-1.29B-2.80B193.04M-1.06B-4.25B
Financing Cash Flow-1.00B518.72M-2.29B-671.68M2.58B

BOC Aviation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.10
Price Trends
50DMA
60.68
Positive
100DMA
59.35
Positive
200DMA
59.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.15
Positive
RSI
59.42
Neutral
STOCH
42.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2588, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.06, above the 50-day MA of 60.68, and above the 200-day MA of 59.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2588.

BOC Aviation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$45.04B6.2015.25%6.46%2.02%20.55%
66
Neutral
HK$2.90B11.256.02%9.25%3.58%810.26%
58
Neutral
$1.34B4.08-2.93%10.79%3.41%-51.76%
DE3LL
€1.44B5.4715.41%5.63%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2588
BOC Aviation
65.10
12.57
23.94%
HK:1848
China Aircraft Leasing Group Holdings
3.90
1.39
55.38%
DE:3LL
CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Company Limited
0.22
0.05
29.41%

BOC Aviation Corporate Events

BOC Aviation Announces Exchange Rate for Final Dividend Payment
Jun 12, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced the exchange rate for the payment of its final dividend for the financial year ending 31 December 2024. The dividend, declared at USD 0.267 per share, will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of USD 1 to HKD 7.8475, resulting in a payment of HKD 2.0953 per share. The payment date is set for 20 June 2025, following the record date of 6 June 2025. This announcement provides clarity on the financial returns for shareholders and reflects the company’s commitment to delivering value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Final Dividend Exchange Rate
Jun 12, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced the exchange rate for the payment of its final dividend for the year ended 31 December 2024. The dividend, initially declared in US dollars, will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at a conversion rate of 1 USD to 7.8475 HKD, resulting in a dividend of HK$2.0953 per share. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and may impact its financial operations and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Expands Fleet with Airbus A320NEO Acquisition
Jun 5, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced a significant transaction involving the purchase of nine Airbus A320NEO aircraft from Airbus S.A.S., with long-term leases to Aerovías del Continente Americano S.A. Avianca. This transaction, scheduled for delivery in 2027, enhances BOC Aviation’s portfolio and strengthens its position in the aircraft leasing industry, providing strategic growth opportunities and reinforcing its role as a Qualified Aircraft Lessor.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation’s AGM Resolutions Passed with Strong Shareholder Support
May 29, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited held its Annual General Meeting on May 29, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were passed by shareholders. Key resolutions included the adoption of financial statements for 2024, declaration of a final dividend, re-election of directors, and granting mandates for share repurchase and issuance. The approval of these resolutions reflects shareholder confidence in the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Secures Shareholder Approval for Loan Agreement Renewals
May 29, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited held an Extraordinary General Meeting on May 29, 2025, where shareholders approved several resolutions related to the renewal of loan framework agreements with BOC and BOCHK for the next two years. The resolutions, which received overwhelming support, are expected to facilitate continued financial transactions under these agreements, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Expands Fleet with New Airbus Aircraft Acquisition and Lease Agreement
May 29, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced a significant transaction involving the purchase of six Airbus A320NEO and three Airbus A321NEO aircraft from Airbus S.A.S., with long-term leases arranged with Gulf Air B.S.C. (C). This move, scheduled for delivery between 2025 and 2027, reinforces BOC Aviation’s position as a Qualified Aircraft Lessor and highlights its ongoing commitment to expanding its fleet and enhancing its market presence in the aircraft leasing industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Grants RSUs to Key Personnel Under Long-Term Incentive Plan
May 20, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited announced the grant of restricted share units (RSUs) under its long-term incentive plan, covering the years 2022 to 2025. A total of 2,465,872 shares were allocated to key personnel, including the Chairman, Executive Director, subsidiary directors, and other employees. This move represents approximately 0.36% of the company’s issued share capital, with a market value of HK$152.4 million. The grants are part of the remuneration packages for senior management and are exempt from certain reporting and approval requirements, highlighting the company’s commitment to rewarding its leadership and aligning their interests with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2588) stock is a Buy with a HK$82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BOC Aviation stock, see the HK:2588 Stock Forecast page.

BOC Aviation Announces Extraordinary General Meeting for Loan Agreement Renewals
May 2, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced an extraordinary general meeting scheduled for May 29, 2025, to consider the renewal of loan framework agreements with BOC and BOCHK for the next two years. These renewals, which include proposed annual caps for transactions, are significant for the company’s financial operations and strategic positioning in the aviation leasing market.

BOC Aviation Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting and Share Buy-Back Proposal
May 2, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced its annual general meeting scheduled for May 29, 2025, in Hong Kong. The meeting will address several key business items, including the adoption of financial statements, declaration of a final dividend, re-election of directors, and the appointment of auditors. Additionally, the company seeks shareholder approval for a share buy-back program, allowing the purchase of up to 10% of its shares, which could impact its market positioning and shareholder value.

BOC Aviation Renews Key Financial Agreements with BOC
Apr 30, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced the renewal of its Continuing Connected Transactions under the BOC Loan Framework Agreement and the BOCHK Loan Framework Agreement. These agreements, which govern secured loans and banking services with BOC and its subsidiary BOCHK, will automatically renew for two years ending December 2027, pending approval from Independent Shareholders. This renewal underscores the company’s ongoing financial strategy and its reliance on connected transactions with BOC, highlighting the importance of shareholder approval in maintaining compliance with Hong Kong’s Listing Rules.

BOC Aviation Reports Strong Q1 2025 with Record Aircraft Commitments
Apr 11, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited reported a strong first quarter for 2025, with a record 346 aircraft commitments and a 100% aircraft utilization rate, indicating robust demand. The company executed 158 transactions, including commitments to purchase 125 aircraft, delivery of 11 aircraft, and raised $500 million through bonds, highlighting its strategic growth and financial stability.

BOC Aviation Expands Fleet with Major Airbus Order
Mar 31, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced a major transaction involving the purchase of 70 Airbus A320NEO family aircraft, scheduled for delivery through 2032. This transaction, which is part of the company’s regular leasing activities, is expected to enhance its fleet and strengthen its position in the global aircraft leasing market.

BOC Aviation Expands Fleet with Purchase of 50 Boeing 737-8 Aircraft
Mar 31, 2025

BOC Aviation Limited has announced a major transaction involving the purchase of 50 Boeing 737-8 aircraft, scheduled for delivery through 2031. This transaction is part of the company’s ordinary business operations and is considered a Qualified Aircraft Leasing Activity, exempting it from certain regulatory requirements. The acquisition is expected to enhance BOC Aviation’s market position and operational capacity in the global aircraft leasing industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 07, 2025