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ESR Group Limited (HK:1821)
:1821
Hong Kong Market

ESR Group Limited (1821) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

ESR Group Limited

(1821)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
ESR Group Limited's overall stock performance reflects its financial challenges, particularly in profitability, despite having a balanced leverage and significant cash reserves. Technical indicators are neutral, showing no strong market momentum in either direction. The valuation is weak due to negative earnings, although the dividend yield offers a minor compensatory benefit. The company needs to address its earnings challenges to improve its stock performance.
Positive Factors
Privatisation Progress
Progress on privatisation is expected to be a key catalyst for the share price, offering potential benefits to the company's financials.
Unlocking Value
The ongoing privatisation attempt suggests a potential for unlocking value in ESR Group Limited, with notable investors joining the consortium.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
Earnings will likely have come in considerably below expectations, signifying tougher than expected operational headwinds.
Investor Sentiment
Investor sentiment remains subdued given an uncertain interest rate roadmap and rental uncertainties.
Operational Headwinds
Operational headwinds persist and will likely weigh on ESR’s near-term earnings outlook.

ESR Group Limited (1821) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

ESR Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionESR Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the logistics real estate development, leasing, and management activities in the Public's Republic of China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Australia, and India. It operates through three segments: Investment, Fund Management, and Development. The company develops, constructs, invests in, and sells logistics real estate properties, as well as data centers and commercial assets. It is also involved in the fund management business; and warehousing business. In addition, the company invests in properties, co-investments funds and investment vehicles, public REITs, and other investments. It serves e-commerce companies, 3PL providers, bricks-and-mortar retailers, manufacturers, cold-chain logistics providers, and other enterprises in various industries. The company was formerly known as ESR Cayman Limited and changed its name to ESR Group Limited in June 2022. ESR Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyESR Group Limited generates revenue primarily through leasing its logistics and industrial properties to tenants. The company earns rental income from its extensive portfolio of properties across the Asia-Pacific region. Additionally, ESR Group engages in property development, where it constructs and sells properties, contributing to its revenue. Another significant revenue stream comes from the management and operation of logistics parks, where it charges management fees. Strategic partnerships with global investors and capital partners also play a crucial role in funding its projects and expanding its asset base, further enhancing revenue generation.

ESR Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ESR Group Limited has demonstrated resilience in its revenue-generating capabilities but faces significant net income challenges recently. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, though declining equity is a concern. Cash flow stability is mixed, with periods of strong cash generation interspersed with shortfalls. Continued focus on improving profitability and maintaining liquidity will be crucial moving forward.
Income Statement
50
Neutral
The company has experienced significant revenue fluctuation with a sharp decline in the most recent year. Gross profit margins have been strong historically, but the latest year shows a concerning net income loss. The EBIT margin has decreased over time, indicating potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting balanced leverage, but the substantial drop in stockholders' equity could indicate financial distress. The equity ratio remains healthy, implying that a fair portion of the assets are financed by equity, though this has weakened recently.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has been volatile, with recent positive growth. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio shows inconsistency, suggesting cash flow challenges. The cash reserves are substantial, which provides some buffer against short-term financial volatility.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue601.40M871.33M1.05B572.48M493.42M
Gross Profit559.29M811.53M1.02B518.51M390.01M
EBITDA0.00757.48M208.33M178.92M194.13M
Net Income-699.81M230.85M574.14M349.44M286.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.82B16.19B16.20B9.34B7.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments846.96M957.49M1.81B1.64B1.52B
Total Debt6.19B6.01B5.53B4.26B3.31B
Total Liabilities7.37B7.46B7.06B4.92B3.88B
Stockholders Equity7.17B8.41B8.81B4.16B3.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow237.24M53.96M-77.79M61.46M83.24M
Operating Cash Flow288.05M142.79M79.20M75.15M85.81M
Investing Cash Flow-178.92M-758.17M-170.63M-1.16B-148.16M
Financing Cash Flow-113.17M-123.04M405.07M1.26B613.33M

ESR Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.94
Price Trends
50DMA
12.70
Positive
100DMA
12.46
Positive
200DMA
12.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
76.76
Negative
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1821, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.90, above the 50-day MA of 12.70, and above the 200-day MA of 12.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 76.76 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1821.

ESR Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
kr18.82B23.121.54%6.78%-0.56%372.59%
50
Neutral
HK$54.97B-10.33%1.93%-23.86%-472.97%
$2.79B11.174.96%0.31%
$4.77B16.781.63%10.30%
$8.59B75.660.47%0.69%
73
Outperform
HK$86.73B22.0422.39%19.86%13.34%21.64%
71
Outperform
HK$24.66B19.826.76%4.95%7.13%-42.14%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1821
ESR Group Limited
12.94
1.74
15.54%
CTRGF
Country Garden Services Holdings Co
0.83
0.25
43.10%
HLPPF
Hang Lung Properties
0.99
0.22
28.57%
WRFRF
Wharf Real Estate Investment Co
2.84
0.35
14.06%
HK:1209
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Ltd.
37.70
14.46
62.22%
HK:2602
Onewo, Inc. Class H
21.20
0.70
3.41%

ESR Group Limited Corporate Events

ESR Group Limited Announces Amendments to Equity Transfer Agreements
Apr 11, 2025

ESR Group Limited, a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced amendments to its equity transfer agreements involving the disposal of properties to the China Renminbi Income Fund. On April 11, 2025, the company entered into supplemental agreements to adjust the longstop dates and considerations for the transfers of equity interests in Target Companies 1 and 3. These changes are part of the company’s ongoing strategic adjustments to optimize its asset portfolio and align with market conditions.

ESR Group Updates on Share Issuance and Securities Structure
Apr 11, 2025

ESR Group Limited announced the issuance of 412,449 shares following the exercise of 1,058,761 KM Options, updating the total number of relevant securities. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing activities related to the proposed privatization and restructuring efforts under the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers, impacting its securities structure and requiring disclosure from associates and stakeholders.

ESR Group Limited Updates on Securities and Compliance Obligations
Apr 10, 2025

ESR Group Limited announced an update on its relevant securities following the issuance of 85 shares due to the exercise of 16,478 KM Options. The company now has over 4.2 billion shares in issue and various outstanding share options and performance units under its incentive schemes. Stakeholders and associates are reminded of their disclosure obligations under the Takeovers Code, highlighting the company’s ongoing compliance with regulatory requirements.

ESR Group Updates Securities Amid Privatization Efforts
Apr 8, 2025

ESR Group Limited announced an update on its securities following the exercise of KM Options, resulting in the issuance of 846,973 shares. This update is part of the company’s ongoing privatization process and impacts the total number of relevant securities, which now include over 4.2 billion shares and various outstanding options and units. Stakeholders are reminded of their disclosure obligations under the Takeovers Code, emphasizing transparency in dealings with the company’s securities.

ESR Group Limited Updates on Privatization Proposal Progress
Apr 7, 2025

ESR Group Limited, incorporated in the Cayman Islands, is currently undergoing a pre-conditional proposal to privatize the company through a scheme of arrangement. The announcement provides an update on the status of pre-conditions necessary for the proposal, noting that approvals from the New Zealand Overseas Investment Office and the SFC have been obtained. However, approvals from the Treasurer of the Commonwealth of Australia and the Shanghai Municipal Financial Regulatory Bureau are still pending. The company and the offeror are actively working to fulfill these outstanding pre-conditions and will keep stakeholders informed of any significant developments.

ESR Group Reports Significant Financial Decline in 2024
Mar 25, 2025

ESR Group Limited reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2024, with revenue dropping by 26.7% to US$638,987,000 and a loss of US$726,310,000 compared to a profit in the previous year. The company’s operations were notably impacted across various regions, with South Korea experiencing the largest revenue decline of 75.6%, while Europe saw a revenue increase of 25.7%. The results reflect challenges in the market and operational adjustments that may affect stakeholders and the company’s industry positioning.

ESR Group Limited Projects Significant Net Loss for 2024
Mar 19, 2025

ESR Group Limited has issued a profit warning, projecting a net loss of approximately US$730 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2024, compared to a net profit of US$268 million the previous year. The loss is attributed to non-cash marked-to-market losses from asset and project revaluations, as well as a decline in promote and transaction-based fees, driven by macroeconomic headwinds and strategic corporate actions. Despite these challenges, the company’s core business remains resilient, supported by growth in recurring fee incomes.

ESR Group Limited Schedules Board Meeting for Annual Results Review
Mar 12, 2025

ESR Group Limited has announced that its board of directors will meet on March 25, 2025, to review and approve the company’s annual results for the year ending December 31, 2024. The meeting will also consider the recommendation for a final dividend payment. This announcement is significant as it outlines the company’s financial performance review process and potential dividend decisions, which are crucial for stakeholders and investors.

ESR Group Appoints Adviser for Privatization Proposal
Feb 7, 2025

ESR Group Limited, incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced the appointment of Anglo Chinese Corporate Finance, Limited as the Independent Financial Adviser concerning a pre-conditional proposal to privatize the company via a scheme of arrangement. This move is part of a broader strategy that includes the proposed withdrawal of the company’s listing. The appointment aims to provide advisory assistance to the Independent Board Committee on the privatization proposal and related matters. The company is actively working towards fulfilling pre-conditions necessary for the proposal’s execution, with some conditions already satisfied. This announcement reflects ongoing steps in the company’s strategic repositioning efforts, which could have significant implications for its stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 20, 2025