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Agile Group Holdings Limited (HK:3383)
:3383

Agile Group Holdings (3383) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:3383

Agile Group Holdings

(3383)

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Underperform 37 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:
HK$0.25
▼(-11.43% Downside)
Agile Group Holdings faces significant financial and technical challenges. The financial performance is weak, with declining revenues, high leverage, and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a strong bearish trend, with the stock trading below key moving averages and oversold conditions. Valuation metrics are unfavorable, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield, making the stock unattractive to investors.
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue model
Multiple revenue streams—property sales, leasing income and recurring property-management fees—reduce reliance on a single cash cycle. Over months this diversification supports steadier operating cash inflows and buffers cyclical volatility in new project sales.
Substantial asset base
A sizable asset base provides tangible collateral and potential liquidity options (asset sales, pledging, or joint-venture monetization). This underpins the company’s ability to restructure financing or fund projects over the medium term despite operational stress.
Land access via local partnerships
Established relationships with local governments and developers are a structural advantage in land-constrained markets. They support a multi-quarter project pipeline, reduce land-acquisition friction, and improve visibility into future development opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining revenues and negative margins
Sustained revenue declines and negative gross/net margins indicate structural profitability issues. Over the medium term this erodes retained earnings, limits reinvestment into projects and product quality, and makes it harder to return to consistent positive operating profitability.
High leverage and shrinking equity
Elevated leverage and falling equity reduce financial flexibility and raise refinancing risk. In a capital-intensive development cycle, high debt servicing needs constrain new project funding and increase vulnerability to higher interest rates or tighter credit conditions.
Severe free cash-flow shortfall
Inability to generate positive free cash flow constrains working capital and project funding, forcing reliance on new borrowing or asset disposals. Persisting cash-flow shortfalls undermine operational continuity and investment capacity over the coming quarters.

Agile Group Holdings (3383) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Agile Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgile Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development, property management, hotel operation, property investment, environmental protection, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a land bank with a total gross floor area of 47.37 million square meters in 84 cities located in Southern China region, Eastern China region, Western China region, Central China region, Hainan and Yunnan region, Northeast China region, Northern China region, Hong Kong, and internationally. It also provides property management services, as well as residential property management, asset management, public property management, civil services, and community business. In addition, the company provides operation of ecological industrial park, hazardous waste treatment, and daily waste treatment to commercial food waste treatment; and sludge treatment, soil treatment, and water restoration to sewage treatment, and water affairs. The company was formerly known as Agile Property Holdings Limited and changed its name to Agile Group Holdings Limited in July 2016. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Agile Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Top Coast Investment Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgile Group Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential and commercial properties developed under its brand. The company also earns income from leasing its investment properties, which include shopping malls and office buildings. Additionally, Agile Group engages in property management services, which provide a steady stream of recurring revenue. Significant partnerships with local governments and other developers enable Agile to secure land for development, further enhancing its revenue potential. The company's diversified portfolio and ongoing projects contribute to its financial stability and growth.

Agile Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Agile Group Holdings is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenues and increasing losses, with negative profit margins. The balance sheet indicates high leverage and declining equity, while cash flow analysis reveals severe issues in generating free cash flow, impacting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
38
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges for Agile Group Holdings. Although the company demonstrated a positive revenue trend in the past, recent years show a decline. The gross profit margin has turned negative, indicating cost inefficiencies or pricing pressures. Net profit margins have also been negative, with losses growing over the past two years. This indicates a severe profitability issue. Additionally, EBIT and EBITDA margins have deteriorated significantly, reflecting operational struggles.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet suggests a weakening financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio remains high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk in a volatile market environment. Return on Equity (ROE) has been negative due to sustained losses, highlighting a lack of return for equity holders. The equity ratio has decreased, showing increased dependency on debt financing. However, the company retains a substantial asset base.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates severe issues in generating free cash flow, with recent periods showing zero free cash flow generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that the company struggles to convert its accounting profit into actual cash flow. The absence of positive free cash flow growth is concerning, potentially impacting future operations and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.78B43.35B43.31B54.03B73.03B80.25B
Gross Profit430.32M-521.19M-524.42M1.00B19.02B24.10B
EBITDA-1.08B-3.41B-4.33B-3.80B12.67B17.75B
Net Income-14.52B-16.16B-12.76B-13.99B7.70B10.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets182.39B195.50B241.81B273.38B316.56B313.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.55B6.65B11.44B11.31B25.61B43.17B
Total Debt47.50B49.00B54.85B59.82B84.44B98.45B
Total Liabilities149.56B155.22B179.45B197.66B227.13B236.80B
Stockholders Equity17.80B25.66B41.71B53.67B67.25B64.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.38B-229.56M9.22B9.45B-1.01B-301.93M
Operating Cash Flow2.78B1.37B10.66B12.41B929.86M3.31B
Investing Cash Flow-1.01B-546.41M-822.98M3.66B-16.28B776.14M
Financing Cash Flow-1.70B-5.23B-9.67B-30.30B-3.75B4.44B

Agile Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.28
Price Trends
50DMA
0.32
Negative
100DMA
0.38
Negative
200DMA
0.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
37.19
Neutral
STOCH
34.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3383, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.28, below the 50-day MA of 0.32, and below the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:3383.

Agile Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
52
Neutral
HK$1.48B-2.54-4.51%23.54%-204.92%
41
Neutral
HK$1.91B-0.09-89.23%-71.42%-11.91%
40
Underperform
HK$10.12B-0.18-19.37%72.77%
39
Underperform
HK$215.48M-0.02-60.50%-103.48%
37
Underperform
HK$1.34B-0.08-158.53%-19.81%19.55%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:3383
Agile Group Holdings
0.27
-0.36
-57.26%
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.28
-0.16
-36.78%
HK:2777
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co
0.53
-0.69
-56.56%
HK:3301
Ronshine China Holdings Ltd.
0.13
-0.15
-53.09%
HK:0563
Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Ltd
0.32
-0.02
-5.97%

Agile Group Holdings Corporate Events

Agile Group Posts RMB8.57 Billion in Unaudited Pre-Sales for 2025
Jan 7, 2026

Agile Group Holdings reported unaudited contracted sales for December 2025 with an aggregated pre-sold value of approximately RMB0.49 billion, representing about 52,000 square metres of gross floor area at an average selling price of RMB9,401 per square metre. For the full year ended 31 December 2025, the group, together with its joint ventures, associates and managed Agile-branded projects, achieved total pre-sold value of roughly RMB8.57 billion on 939,000 square metres of floor area, at an average selling price of RMB9,129 per square metre, figures that provide investors with an early snapshot of the developer’s sales performance ahead of its formal financial statements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.29 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Advances Debt Restructuring, Cost Cuts to Tackle Auditor Disclaimer and Liquidity Strain
Dec 31, 2025

Agile Group Holdings has provided an update on its action plans to resolve a disclaimer of opinion on its financial statements and mitigate ongoing liquidity pressures. The company is in active discussions with key offshore creditors to refine a restructuring plan aimed at realigning its offshore debt structure, reducing leverage, and improving financial flexibility, although differences remain over specific terms. It has secured preliminary agreements with several financial institutions to extend loan maturities on borrowings totaling about RMB1.27 billion, easing near-term repayment pressure, while continuing negotiations on remaining facilities. The group reports improved recovery of high-risk receivables, collecting approximately RMB430 million since the previous update, and has directed these funds to operating expenses and escrow accounts to support project delivery. Aggressive cost-control efforts, including ongoing salary reductions, cut administrative costs by about 25% and staff costs by roughly 47.4% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025. Asset measures include postponement of commercial housing buy-back projects due to mortgage constraints, launching a new project involving transfer of properties under construction, resolving some debtor claims through non-cash asset transfers, and continuing to pursue debt recovery through litigation and enforcement, as the company works toward resolving the auditor’s disclaimer of opinion and stabilizing its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.29 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Faces Winding-Up Petition Amidst Financial Dispute
Dec 9, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited has announced that it received a winding-up petition filed by Melco (Zhongshan) Business Management Co., Ltd. at the High Court of Hong Kong due to alleged outstanding payments. The company is opposing the petition and believes it will not significantly impact its operations at this stage, though it warns shareholders and investors about potential complications regarding share transfers without a validation order from the High Court.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Updates Audit Committee Terms
Dec 5, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited has announced revisions to the terms of reference for its Audit Committee, which were initially adopted in 2005 and have undergone several updates, with the latest revision scheduled for December 2025. The changes emphasize the importance of having independent non-executive directors with financial expertise on the committee and outline the frequency and structure of meetings to ensure robust oversight of the company’s financial practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Updates Remuneration Committee Terms
Dec 5, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Remuneration Committee, which was initially established in 2005. The updated terms outline the committee’s composition, meeting frequency, and duties, emphasizing the importance of independent non-executive directors in decision-making. This update reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining a formal and transparent remuneration policy, aligning management’s remuneration with corporate goals and objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Updates Nomination Committee Terms
Dec 5, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Nomination Committee, which was initially established in 2006 and has undergone several updates, with the latest being in December 2025. The updated terms emphasize the importance of diversity in the board’s composition and outline the committee’s duties, including reviewing the board’s structure and making recommendations for changes to align with corporate strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Updates Risk Management Committee Terms
Dec 5, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited has revised the terms of reference for its Risk Management Committee, which was initially established in 2016. The revisions, made in December 2025, aim to enhance the committee’s governance and operational procedures, reflecting the company’s commitment to robust risk management practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Forms Executive Committee to Streamline Management
Dec 5, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited has established an Executive Committee to enhance its internal management structure. The committee, composed of at least two directors, will oversee organizational changes, including the establishment, dissolution, or alteration of company departments, which could impact the company’s operational efficiency and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Reports November 2025 Pre-Sold Property Figures
Dec 3, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited reported an aggregated pre-sold value of approximately RMB0.64 billion for November 2025, with a gross floor area of about 70,000 sq.m. and an average selling price of RMB9,083 per sq.m. For the first eleven months of 2025, the company’s pre-sold value reached approximately RMB8.08 billion, covering a gross floor area of 886,000 sq.m. with an average selling price of RMB9,113 per sq.m. These figures are preliminary and may vary from the audited financial statements, serving as a reference for investors who are advised to exercise caution.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Agile Group Holdings Reports October 2025 Pre-Sold Property Figures
Nov 4, 2025

Agile Group Holdings Limited announced that in October 2025, its aggregated pre-sold property value, including joint ventures and Agile-branded projects, reached approximately RMB0.71 billion with a gross floor area of 83,000 sq.m. For the first ten months of 2025, the total pre-sold value was approximately RMB7.44 billion with a gross floor area of 816,000 sq.m. These figures are preliminary and subject to change, and investors are advised to exercise caution.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3383) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agile Group Holdings stock, see the HK:3383 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 10, 2025