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Q P Group Holdings Limited (HK:1412)
:1412
Hong Kong Market

Q P Group Holdings Limited (1412) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1412

Q P Group Holdings Limited

(1412)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
HK$1.50
▼(-5.06% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/20/26
The score is primarily supported by solid financial performance and a very strong balance sheet, plus attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weak technical signals (below major moving averages and negative momentum) and cash flow reporting/visibility concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue & margin improvement
Sustained 16.5% revenue growth alongside rising gross and net margins signals growing demand and better pricing or cost control. Over a 2-6 month horizon this underpins more predictable earnings, stronger internal funding for capex/dividends, and improved competitive positioning if execution continues.
Negative Factors
Cash flow visibility concerns
Absence of reported latest free cash flow and missing operating cash flow create uncertainty about the company's true cash-generating capacity. Over the medium term this complicates assessments of dividend sustainability, debt servicing and capital allocation, increasing execution risk despite accounting profits.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & margin improvement
Sustained 16.5% revenue growth alongside rising gross and net margins signals growing demand and better pricing or cost control. Over a 2-6 month horizon this underpins more predictable earnings, stronger internal funding for capex/dividends, and improved competitive positioning if execution continues.
Read all positive factors

Q P Group Holdings Limited (1412) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Q P Group Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Q P Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in paper products in the People's Republic of China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Web Sales and Original Equipm...
How the Company Makes Money
Q P Group Holdings Limited generates revenue through the manufacturing and distribution of its health and wellness products. The company earns money by selling its products directly to consumers, as well as through partnerships with retailers and ...

Q P Group Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and growth (revenue +16.5% YoY; net margin up to 10.7%) and a very healthy balance sheet (debt-to-equity 0.06; equity ratio 75%). However, cash flow quality/visibility is a key weakness given missing latest free cash flow and no operating cash flow reported.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B1.21B1.04B1.28B1.39B1.23B
Gross Profit438.73M436.18M356.09M416.76M430.11M436.87M
EBITDA194.52M215.12M156.93M205.94M191.09M216.13M
Net Income113.77M129.12M80.10M126.84M119.04M129.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.25B1.17B1.09B1.18B1.22B1.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments252.22M254.21M164.26M306.42M158.78M236.67M
Total Debt154.30M54.13M50.83M119.18M88.92M92.94M
Total Liabilities369.06M288.65M255.94M336.39M373.70M396.30M
Stockholders Equity882.61M882.99M833.65M842.84M846.31M784.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.32M129.18M-9.09M201.10M-5.98M148.43M
Operating Cash Flow157.25M204.95M112.14M268.99M116.23M193.63M
Investing Cash Flow4.62M0.00-194.99M-82.00M-112.58M-47.72M
Financing Cash Flow28.87M0.00-143.60M-47.86M-82.93M-17.94M

Q P Group Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.58
Price Trends
50DMA
1.22
Negative
100DMA
1.42
Negative
200DMA
1.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
40.12
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1412, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.18, above the 50-day MA of 1.22, and above the 200-day MA of 1.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1412.

Q P Group Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
HK$622.44M14.2412.89%8.07%7.84%15.69%
62
Neutral
HK$146.06M-3.84-39.58%-17.96%-95.06%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
59
Neutral
HK$162.07M5.3012.59%3.98%54.49%
48
Neutral
HK$427.31M21.52-116.56%-35.61%89.32%
46
Neutral
HK$165.00M19.622.11%6.11%0.80%81.27%
45
Neutral
HK$367.80M-4.13-37.51%-9.44%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1412
Q P Group Holdings Limited
1.17
0.07
6.36%
HK:1580
Da Sen Holdings Group Ltd
0.39
0.24
161.74%
HK:1822
China Wood International Holding Co., Limited
0.15
0.02
14.73%
HK:3363
Zhengye International Holdings Co., Ltd.
0.33
-0.05
-13.16%
HK:0731
C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited
0.26
0.06
30.00%
HK:8481
Shenglong Splendecor International Limited
0.40
0.10
33.33%

Q P Group Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Q P Group Warns of Profit Halving on Weaker OEM Demand and Vietnam Transition Costs
Jan 16, 2026
Q P Group Holdings Limited has issued a profit warning, indicating that consolidated profit attributable to shareholders for the year ended 31 December 2025 is expected to fall to between HK$55 million and HK$65 million, down sharply from HK$129.1...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 20, 2026