China New City Commercial Development Ltd (HK:1321)
:1321
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China New City Commercial Development Ltd
(1321)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.76
▲(28.14% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp 2025 revenue contraction, losses, negative cash flow, and rising leverage). Technical indicators are moderately positive with price above key moving averages and a positive MACD, but valuation support is limited due to negative earnings and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Asset-backed business model
The company’s core business of developing, operating and managing large-scale commercial properties creates asset-backed operations and recurring property-related revenue streams. Long-term, ownership and operational control support value preservation, tenant optimization and cyclical recovery potential.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue and margin deterioration
A roughly 53% decline in revenue and the swing from profit to negative gross and operating margins in 2025 show structural sensitivity to demand and execution. Persistent top-line volatility and negative margins weaken the business’s ability to cover fixed costs and sustain long-term profitability without corrective action.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Asset-backed business model
The company’s core business of developing, operating and managing large-scale commercial properties creates asset-backed operations and recurring property-related revenue streams. Long-term, ownership and operational control support value preservation, tenant optimization and cyclical recovery potential.
Read all positive factors
China New City Commercial Development Ltd (1321) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$1.48B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)595.67K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-0.05
Revenue Growth-81.81%
EPS Growth-157.51%
CountryHK
Employees1,232
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.15
Shares Outstanding1,844,023,100
10 Day Avg. Volume1,130,000
30 Day Avg. Volume595,666
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.23
Price to Sales (P/S)1.40
P/FCF Ratio-0.70
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
China New City Commercial Development Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
China New City Commercial Development Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the commercial property development, leasing, and hotel operations in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Commerci...
How the Company Makes Money
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China New City Commercial Development Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 739.70M | 4.10B | 1.30B | 591.78M | 871.07M |
| Gross Profit | 91.07M | 2.06B | 368.10M | 117.37M | 216.50M |
| EBITDA | -29.91M | 1.37B | -225.16M | -138.56M | -103.22M |
| Net Income | -276.19M | 503.91M | -404.14M | -432.52M | -295.14M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 12.96B | 13.39B | 13.53B | 15.18B | 15.50B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 181.69M | 839.04M | 181.19M | 968.25M | 1.60B |
| Total Debt | 5.08B | 3.43B | 3.26B | 4.19B | 4.80B |
| Total Liabilities | 8.38B | 8.04B | 8.69B | 9.87B | 9.77B |
| Stockholders Equity | 4.52B | 5.27B | 4.75B | 5.10B | 5.50B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -1.49B | 1.05B | 613.04M | -333.21M | 694.08M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -1.42B | 1.09B | 683.94M | -214.66M | 813.02M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -986.61M | -410.66M | -120.79M | 261.90M | 447.90M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.64B | -23.41M | -1.33B | -706.57M | -651.25M |
China New City Commercial Development Ltd Technical Analysis
Positive
0.59
Price Trends
0.67
Positive
0.63
Positive
0.72
Positive
Market Momentum
0.03
Positive
59.35
Neutral
100.00
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1321, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, below the 50-day MA of 0.67, and below the 200-day MA of 0.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 100.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1321.
China New City Commercial Development Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
49 Neutral | HK$1.48B | -3.76 | 1.84% | ― | -81.81% | -157.51% | |
45 Neutral | HK$960.57M | -0.16 | -20.57% | ― | -12.18% | -2.23% | |
44 Neutral | HK$1.46B | -0.18 | -67.24% | ― | -49.30% | -54.16% | |
42 Neutral | HK$1.36B | -1.59 | -7.51% | ― | -70.52% | -190.33% | |
41 Neutral | HK$1.22B | -0.14 | ― | ― | ― | ― |
* Real Estate Sector Average
HK:1321
China New City Commercial Development Ltd
0.80
0.00
0.00%
HK:0095
LVGEM (China) Real Estate Investment Company Limited
0.23
-0.01
-5.35%
HK:1668
China South City Holdings Limited
0.11
>-0.01
-7.76%
HK:1238
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd.
0.23
-0.08
-26.35%
HK:0563
Shanghai Industrial Urban Development Group Ltd
0.29
>-0.01
-1.72%
China New City Commercial Development Ltd Corporate Events
China New City Group Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Results and Renew Share Issuance Mandate
Apr 27, 2026
China New City Group Limited has called its annual general meeting for 4 June 2026 in Hangzhou, where shareholders will review and approve the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, and consider the re-elect...
China New City Swings to 2025 Loss as Revenue and Asset Values Slide
Mar 26, 2026
China New City Group Limited reported a sharp deterioration in its 2025 financial performance, as revenue plunged 82% year-on-year to RMB739.7 million and gross profit dropped 95.6% to RMB91.1 million. The group swung from a profit of RMB485.8 mil...
China New City Deepens Profit Warning With Projected FY2025 Loss
Mar 23, 2026
China New City Group Limited has issued a supplemental profit warning, indicating it now expects to post a net loss attributable to owners of the parent of up to about RMB277 million for FY2025, versus a net profit of roughly RMB504 million a year...
China New City flags swing to 2025 loss on sharp drop in development revenue
Mar 20, 2026
China New City Group Limited has warned investors that it expects to swing to a net loss of up to RMB291 million for the year ended 31 December 2025, compared with a net profit of about RMB486 million a year earlier. The reversal is driven by an e...
China New City Group Sets March Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results
Mar 13, 2026
China New City Group Limited, a Hong Kong-listed commercial urban development company incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has a board that includes three executive directors, a non-executive chairperson and three independent non-executive director...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.