China New City Commercial Development Ltd (1321) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$1.25B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 595.67K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.8
• Beta (1Y): -0.07
• Revenue Growth: -54.44%
• EPS Growth: 120.18%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 1,232
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Development
• EPS (TTM): -0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 1,844,023,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,130,000
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 595,666
• PEG Ratio: -0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.29
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.37
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.44
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 61 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$0.75 ▲(10.15% Upside)

The overall stock score of 61 reflects the company's recent financial improvements and moderate valuation. However, the bearish technical indicators and lack of dividend yield present challenges. The financial performance is the most significant factor, indicating a positive trajectory, but technical analysis and valuation suggest caution.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Significant revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term profitability.

Cash Flow Management

Improved cash flow management enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and debt management.

Balance Sheet Health

A strong equity base and manageable leverage improve financial resilience, supporting sustainable growth and reducing financial risk.

Negative Factors

Revenue Volatility

Revenue and margin volatility can lead to unpredictable earnings, complicating long-term planning and investor confidence.

Historical Cash Flow Challenges

Past cash flow issues suggest potential risks in financial management, which could impact future liquidity and investment capacity.

Asset and Liability Fluctuations

Fluctuations in assets and liabilities can indicate instability in financial structure, affecting long-term financial health and strategic planning.

China New City Commercial Development Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China New City Commercial Development Ltd (1321) is a leading property development firm based in China, specializing in urban commercial real estate. The company focuses on the development and management of large-scale retail and commercial properties, including shopping malls, office buildings, and mixed-use developments. With a strong emphasis on creating vibrant urban spaces, China New City aims to enhance consumer experiences and provide innovative retail solutions across various regions in China.

How the Company Makes Money

China New City Commercial Development Ltd generates revenue primarily through the leasing and sale of commercial properties. The company earns rental income from tenants occupying its developed retail spaces and offices, which is a significant revenue stream. Additionally, the company profits from property sales, either through direct sales of completed developments or through joint ventures with other real estate firms. The company may also engage in property management services, receiving fees for managing properties on behalf of third parties. Strategic partnerships with local governments and other businesses can enhance its project pipeline and contribute to its earnings by facilitating access to prime development sites and resources.

China New City Commercial Development Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

China New City Commercial Development Ltd exhibits significant recent financial improvements across income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics. The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth and profit recovery, coupled with enhanced cash flow management. While historical volatility remains a concern, the current trajectory is positive, reflecting a stabilizing and improving financial position.

Income Statement

The company demonstrated strong revenue growth with a remarkable jump in total revenue from 2023 to 2024, leading to significant improvements in both gross profit and net income. The gross profit margin improved substantially, reflecting effective cost management. However, historical volatility in EBIT and net income margins indicates potential stability concerns, though recent trends are positive.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a solid equity base with improving stockholders' equity levels. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable leverage. Though the company's equity ratio improved, historical fluctuations in total assets and liabilities highlight potential risks. The overall financial position has stabilized with recent improvements.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement indicates a strong recovery in free cash flow, supported by robust operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but previous periods showed negative free cash flow, highlighting past challenges. The company's recent cash flow management improvements provide a positive outlook.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.55B	4.10B	1.30B	591.78M	871.07M	700.37M
Gross Profit	556.70M	2.06B	368.10M	117.37M	216.50M	170.16M
EBITDA	-101.21M	1.37B	-225.16M	-138.56M	-103.22M	-94.74M
Net Income	90.60M	503.91M	-404.14M	-432.52M	-295.14M	44.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	13.28B	13.39B	13.53B	15.18B	15.50B	15.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	208.68M	839.04M	181.19M	968.25M	1.60B	994.23M
Total Debt	4.52B	3.43B	3.26B	4.19B	4.80B	5.82B
Total Liabilities	8.02B	8.04B	8.69B	9.87B	9.77B	9.10B
Stockholders Equity	5.19B	5.27B	4.75B	5.10B	5.50B	5.83B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.29M	1.05B	613.04M	-333.21M	694.08M	-863.17M
Operating Cash Flow	59.46M	1.09B	683.94M	-214.66M	813.02M	-800.86M
Investing Cash Flow	-1.13B	-410.66M	-120.79M	261.90M	447.90M	507.44M
Financing Cash Flow	1.15B	-23.41M	-1.33B	-706.57M	-651.25M	880.29M

China New City Commercial Development Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 0.68
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1321, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.72, below the 50-day MA of 0.75, and below the 200-day MA of 0.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1321.

China New City Commercial Development Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
1321	61 Neutral	HK$1.25B	13.85	1.84%	―	-54.44%	120.18%
0563	52 Neutral	HK$1.53B	-2.58	-4.51%	―	23.54%	-204.92%
0095	48 Neutral	HK$1.91B	-0.29	-28.76%	―	-58.04%	-65.03%
0230	46 Neutral	HK$3.25B	-1.06	-114.48%	―	-26.58%	-40.96%
1668	38 Underperform	HK$1.22B	-0.14	―	―	―	―
1238	38 Underperform	HK$1.02B	-0.16	-17.55%	―	-11.33%	-7.70%

China New City Commercial Development Ltd Corporate Events

China New City Group Partners with EXIO for Real Estate Tokenization

China New City Group Limited has entered into a service agreement with EXIO Group Limited to provide tokenization services for commercial real estate. This collaboration aims to leverage Hong Kong’s status as a financial hub to explore digital assets, potentially enhancing the value of existing assets and strengthening the company’s position in the digital asset sector.