Genius Group Limited (GNS)
XASE:GNS
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Genius Group Limited
(NYSE MKT:GNS)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.39
▼(-48.40% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance: collapsing gross margin, very large/worsening losses, and ongoing cash burn despite improved leverage and a 2025 revenue rebound. Technicals also remain bearish with the stock trading below major moving averages and a negative MACD; valuation contributes little support given negative earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
2025 revenue rebound
A 45.9% revenue rebound in 2025 indicates renewed demand and validates the company’s product-market fit. Sustained top-line recovery provides more runway to scale unit economics, invest in AI-enabled curricula and pursue profitable growth over the next several quarters if cost structure is controlled.
Negative Factors
Sharp gross margin decline
A collapse in gross margin to 13.4% erodes the company’s ability to generate operating leverage from higher sales. Persistent weak unit economics require structural cost redesign or price improvements; without margin recovery, revenue growth may not translate into durable profitability over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
2025 revenue rebound
A 45.9% revenue rebound in 2025 indicates renewed demand and validates the company’s product-market fit. Sustained top-line recovery provides more runway to scale unit economics, invest in AI-enabled curricula and pursue profitable growth over the next several quarters if cost structure is controlled.
Read all positive factors
Genius Group Limited (GNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$30.69M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)978.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)2.53
Revenue Growth-64.39%
EPS Growth-305.82%
CountryUS
Employees133
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryEducation & Training Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares Outstanding81,808,820
10 Day Avg. Volume1,023,814
30 Day Avg. Volume978,603
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.65
Price to Sales (P/S)6.95
P/FCF Ratio-3.83
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.84
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.81
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit35.23
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-2.52
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.08
Revenue Forecast (FY)$26.62M
Genius Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Genius Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides entrepreneur education system business development tools and management consultancy services to entrepreneurs and entrepreneur resorts. Its courses, products, and services form a full entrep...
How the Company Makes Money
null...
Genius Group Limited Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Genius Group Limited Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a mix of strong operational progress and material legacy issues. Positives include rapid pro forma revenue growth (80% YoY), a 1,053% increase in revenue per paying student, Q4 operational profitability across the three business units, improved cash flow (cash used in operations down 76%), asset growth (~37%), accretive acquisitions, and affirmative 2026 guidance to $20M–$22M revenue with positive EBITDA. Negatives are significant: a $56M reported net loss driven by $42.9M of noncash impairments and restructuring, an adjusted EBITDA loss of $13.1M for 2025, ongoing material litigation (including arbitration and a $1B RICO/class action exposure), and execution/timing risks related to scaling Genius City and converting a large free user base to sustained premium revenue. Overall the company is showing operational turnaround signs and credible growth targets, but financial results remain impacted by legacy charges and legal uncertainty.Positive Updates
Strong Pro Forma Revenue Growth
Pro forma revenue for 2025 was $13.6M, an 80% increase year‑over‑year versus 2024 (pro forma basis). Audited revenue was $8.4M (up from $7.6M in 2024). 2026 guidance targets $20M–$22M (≈48% growth vs 2025 pro forma).
Negative Updates
Large Reported Net Loss and Adjusted EBITDA Loss
Reported net loss for 2025 was $56M, which includes $42.9M of noncash items (asset impairments, restructuring, provisions, share‑based compensation). Adjusted EBITDA loss was approximately $13.1M for the year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Pro Forma Revenue Growth
Pro forma revenue for 2025 was $13.6M, an 80% increase year‑over‑year versus 2024 (pro forma basis). Audited revenue was $8.4M (up from $7.6M in 2024). 2026 guidance targets $20M–$22M (≈48% growth vs 2025 pro forma).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue of $20–22 million and positive operational EBITDA of $1.5–2.0 million, with all three business units forecast to be profitable (Genius School > $6M, Genius Academy > $6M, Genius Resorts > $8M). That outlook builds on 2025 pro forma revenue of $13.6M (up 80% YoY) and audited revenue $8.4M, pro forma gross profit $4.9M, a Q4 2025 shift to operational profitability, 6.1M students (from 5.8M), revenue per paying student $1,856 (up 1,053% from $161), total assets ~$137M and shareholders’ equity ~$96–97M. Additional disclosed metrics included an adjusted EBITDA loss of $13.1M and reported net loss of $56M (including $42.9M non‑cash), cash used in operations down to $10.6M from $46.3M (a 76% reduction), Genius Resorts revenue of $2.2M in five months (targeting >$8M in 2026), Genius City project cost $28.3M with target $19.8M annual revenue and $5.8M operating profit, sale of 102.6 BTC for ~$7.3M (reducing a BTC loan to $3.3M), ongoing legal actions seeking over $1B, ASX dual‑listing in process, and a $0.10/share Bitcoin loyalty program covering 17.3M Vstock‑held shares.Genius Group Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.75M | 8.39M | 7.91M | 23.06M | 18.19M | 12.78M |
| Gross Profit | 1.60M | 1.12M | 2.58M | 11.54M | 8.64M | 2.76M |
| EBITDA | -22.35M | -24.78M | -23.98M | 220.76K | -53.38M | -2.67M |
| Net Income | -34.63M | -55.27M | -24.88M | -5.66M | -55.25M | -4.49M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 85.03M | 136.94M | 101.06M | 43.21M | 91.26M | 17.60M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.69M | 2.42M | 1.61M | 625.02K | 5.72M | 1.78M |
| Total Debt | 4.89M | 10.90M | 14.31M | 7.75M | 25.19M | 3.18M |
| Total Liabilities | 17.19M | 40.32M | 21.64M | 23.50M | 77.30M | 9.61M |
| Stockholders Equity | 62.23M | 89.25M | 73.78M | 14.03M | 7.16M | 3.64M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -51.50M | -15.23M | -46.85M | -12.98M | -9.48M | -3.96M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -44.94M | -13.31M | -46.35M | -12.41M | -8.24M | -3.08M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -7.58M | -2.21M | -8.09M | -2.84M | -10.09M | -882.11K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 54.36M | 16.60M | 55.36M | 9.85M | 21.94M | 3.10M |
Genius Group Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
0.75
Price Trends
0.40
Negative
0.53
Negative
0.76
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Negative
50.37
Neutral
72.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.36, above the 50-day MA of 0.40, and below the 200-day MA of 0.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GNS.
Genius Group Limited Risk Analysis
Genius Group Limited disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genius Group Limited reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Genius Group Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $47.01M | 1.57 | 51.85% | ― | -0.84% | -11.01% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
44 Neutral | $30.69M | -1.05 | -37.31% | ― | -64.39% | -305.82% | |
43 Neutral | $15.82M | -1.67 | -45.82% | ― | -48.17% | 35.62% | |
42 Neutral | $31.01M | -1.87 | -13.01% | ― | 11.62% | 80.22% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GNS
Genius Group Limited
0.38
0.11
44.23%
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
0.98
0.06
7.14%
STG
Sunlands Online Education Group
3.51
-1.28
-26.72%
EDTK
Skillful Craftsman Education Technology
1.00
0.00
0.00%
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group
1.78
0.14
8.54%
Genius Group Limited Corporate Events
Genius Group Advances ASX Dual-Listing Bid and Awaits ICC Arbitration Award
Apr 6, 2026
Genius Group Limited has advanced its planned dual listing on the Australian Securities Exchange, with advisor DLA Piper filing an In Principle Advice Application following the company’s timely Form 20-F submission on March 9, 2026, and it e...
Genius Group Swings to Q1 Profit on 171% Revenue Surge and Debt Repayment
Apr 1, 2026
Genius Group Limited, a Singapore-headquartered AI-powered, Bitcoin-first education company listed on NYSE American, operates the Genius City lifelong learning model and an online marketplace spanning Genius School, Genius Academy and Genius Resor...
Genius Group Files Form 6-K After March Earnings Call
Mar 9, 2026
Genius Group Limited, a Singapore-based foreign private issuer in the education and training sector, maintains a U.S. listing and reports under Form 20-F. The company focuses on technology-enabled education services and regularly engages with inve...
Genius Group Unveils AI Education Strategy and Projects 48% Revenue Surge for 2026
Feb 19, 2026
Genius Group Limited, a Singapore-based AI-powered, Bitcoin-first education provider, operates three main units—Genius School, Genius Academy and Genius Resorts—offering programs from preschool to adult reskilling, alongside destinatio...
Genius Group Trims Bitcoin Holdings to Cut Debt and Rebalance Treasury
Feb 6, 2026
Between December 29, 2025, and February 6, 2026, Genius Group Limited sold 96 bitcoin at an average price of about US$73,238 per coin, raising roughly US$7.0 million in gross proceeds that were used primarily to pay down its Bitcoin-backed loan. A...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.