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Wynnstay Group PLC (GB:WYN)
LSE:WYN

Wynnstay (WYN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:WYN

Wynnstay

(LSE:WYN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
416.00 p
▲(5.32% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/10/26
The score is primarily driven by solid balance-sheet quality but weaker recent earnings and a sharp 2025 cash flow step-down. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is a headwind due to a high P/E despite a strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and stable equity provide durable financial flexibility for a cyclical agricultural business. This reduces refinancing risk during weak commodity cycles, supports investment in working capital and inventory through seasons, and preserves capacity for strategic M&A or capex without stressing liquidity.
Strong historical cash conversion
Consistent conversion of earnings into free cash flow historically indicates earnings quality and reliable internal funding. Over the medium term this underpins dividend payments, funds agronomy and retail investments, and cushions the business through seasonal and commodity-driven revenue swings.
Diversified ag-focused business model
A two-pronged model across wholesale agriculture and retail creates diversified revenue streams and cross-sell opportunities. Agronomy services and supplier partnerships strengthen customer stickiness, smoothing revenue across seasons and creating enduring commercial relationships with farmers and rural consumers.
Negative Factors
Material earnings decline
A sharp multi-year drop in net income signals structural pressure on margins or volume. Persistently lower profitability restricts reinvestment, reduces retained earnings for growth initiatives, and raises the bar for management to restore operating efficiency and long-term margin improvement.
2025 cash flow step-down
A marked reduction in operating and free cash flow compresses the company’s liquidity cushion and operational flexibility. Over months this can force tighter working-capital management, deferment of capex, or external financing, increasing vulnerability to volatile seasonal demand in agriculture.
Sharply lower returns on equity
A collapsing ROE reflects deteriorating capital efficiency and weak profitability. If sustained, low ROE limits the company’s ability to generate shareholder value from invested capital and may require strategic shifts—pricing, cost structure or portfolio changes—to restore acceptable returns.

Wynnstay (WYN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Wynnstay Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWynnstay Group Plc manufactures and supplies agricultural products in the United Kingdom. It operates through Agriculture and Specialist Agricultural Merchanting segments. The Agriculture segment offers animal nutrition products to the agricultural market; and seeds, fertilizers, and agro-chemicals to arable and grassland farmers, as well as markets grains. The Specialist Agricultural Merchanting segment provides specialist products to farmers, smallholders, and pet owners. This segment offers its products through 54 depots; and specialist catalogues, sales trading desk, and digital sales platform. It also manufactures and acts as a distributor of equine and small animal feeds through wholesalers and retailers. Wynnstay Group Plc was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Llansantffraid-ym-Mechain, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyWynnstay generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Agriculture division is the largest contributor, earning money from the sale of animal feeds, seeds, fertilizers, and crop protection products to farmers and agricultural businesses. Additionally, Wynnstay offers agronomy services, which include advice and support for crop management, further enhancing its value proposition to customers. The Retail division generates revenue through the sale of gardening, pet care, and equestrian products both in-store and online. Significant partnerships with agricultural suppliers and manufacturers allow Wynnstay to offer competitive pricing and a diverse product range, while its established reputation in the market contributes to customer loyalty and repeat business. Seasonal demand fluctuations and agricultural trends play a crucial role in shaping the company's earnings, as do the overall economic conditions impacting the farming sector.

Wynnstay Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength and low leverage support the score, but operating results have weakened materially since 2022 with revenue contraction and much lower net income in 2024–2025. Cash flow has been solid historically, though 2025 showed a sharp drop in operating and free cash flow, raising near-term volatility concerns.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue has been volatile—strong growth in 2021–2022, followed by contraction in 2024 and a modest decline again in 2025 (annual). Profitability also weakened materially versus the 2022 peak: net income fell from 17.1m (2022) to 2.8m (2024) and 2.3m (2025), with operating profit running at relatively thin levels in recent years. Offsetting this, gross profit has held up reasonably well in absolute terms, but the overall earnings trajectory is soft and more cyclical than stable.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet appears conservative, with low leverage: debt is modest relative to equity (about 0.10–0.16 in 2020–2024), and equity is broadly stable around 131–135m in recent years. Total assets have been steady (roughly 220–257m over the period), suggesting limited balance-sheet stress. The main weakness is returns on equity trending down sharply from 2022 highs (13.1% in 2022 to ~2.1% in 2024), reflecting weaker profitability rather than financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash generation is uneven. Operating cash flow was strong in 2023–2024 (17.2m and 19.1m), supporting healthy free cash flow (11.5m and 17.0m), but 2025 saw a sharp drop in operating cash flow to 8.5m and free cash flow to 2.7m. Over time, free cash flow has generally converted well versus reported earnings (e.g., ~0.67–0.94 in 2020–2024), which is a positive signal on earnings quality, but the latest year indicates higher volatility and reduced cash cushion.
BreakdownOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue583.44M613.05M735.88M713.03M500.39M
Gross Profit80.32M79.21M78.84M90.65M67.85M
EBITDA10.70M12.00M16.03M27.63M16.98M
Net Income2.29M2.79M6.93M17.14M8.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets220.45M220.61M234.16M256.57M194.50M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.46M38.29M31.05M31.18M19.64M
Total Debt29.78M21.12M20.31M17.03M10.40M
Total Liabilities87.69M85.76M98.93M125.86M88.76M
Stockholders Equity132.75M134.85M135.23M130.70M105.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.67M16.96M11.45M6.71M8.28M
Operating Cash Flow8.49M19.13M17.21M10.27M9.84M
Investing Cash Flow-5.21M-454.00K-7.61M-11.27M-2.14M
Financing Cash Flow-15.08M-11.51M-9.78M12.48M-7.29M

Wynnstay Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price395.00
Price Trends
50DMA
380.50
Positive
100DMA
359.48
Positive
200DMA
358.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.84
Positive
RSI
59.97
Neutral
STOCH
58.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:WYN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 395 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 388.40, above the 50-day MA of 380.50, and above the 200-day MA of 358.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:WYN.

Wynnstay Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£620.62M2.4516.51%4.89%16.42%33.07%
68
Neutral
£371.98M38.432.91%4.18%1.31%10.19%
63
Neutral
£92.28M35.662.74%5.40%-10.03%-41.77%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
£209.85M5.508.10%3.62%4.03%-13.76%
56
Neutral
£148.45M-34.00-21.28%1.45%
44
Neutral
£164.59M-914.67-0.58%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:WYN
Wynnstay
400.00
104.05
35.16%
GB:AXS
Accsys Technologies
61.10
18.60
43.76%
GB:AEP
Anglo Eastern Plantations
1,610.00
987.21
158.51%
GB:LTHM
James Latham
1,055.00
57.15
5.73%
GB:MSLH
Marshalls
147.80
-87.43
-37.17%
GB:KP2
Kore Potash PLC
3.18
0.88
38.26%

Wynnstay Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Wynnstay Sets Timetable for 12.1p Final Dividend
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

Wynnstay Group has announced the timetable for its proposed final dividend of 12.1p per ordinary share for the financial year ended 31 October 2025. Subject to shareholder approval at the annual general meeting on 24 March 2026, the dividend will be paid on 30 April 2026 to investors on the register as of 27 March 2026.

The move underscores Wynnstay’s continued commitment to returning cash to shareholders following the release of its full-year results. The scheduled payment provides income visibility for investors in the agricultural supplier and reflects the board’s confidence in the company’s recent trading performance and financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WYN) stock is a Hold with a £385.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynnstay stock, see the GB:WYN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Wynnstay Lifts Profits and Dividend as Transformation Drives New Five-Year Growth Plan
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

Wynnstay reported a stronger underlying performance for the year to 31 October 2025, with adjusted profit before tax up 21.1% to £9.2m despite a 4.8% fall in revenue to £583.4m. Margin gains, tighter cost control and benefits from its Project Genesis transformation offset lower feed and grain activity driven by weak UK harvest conditions.

Gross profit edged higher to £80.5m, net cash remained healthy at £25.7m, and the dividend was raised for the 22nd consecutive year, underlining a robust balance sheet and shareholder focus. Operationally, profits improved across Feed & Grain, Arable and Stores, while the group completed the design phase of Project Genesis and launched a new five-year growth blueprint, Wynnstay Strategy Genesis.

The new plan targets capacity investment, better customer propositions and higher returns, aiming to strengthen Wynnstay’s market position as it builds on a more efficient operating platform. Governance will also evolve, with Chairman Steve Ellwood stepping down at the March 2026 AGM to be succeeded by Senior Independent Director Steven Esom, providing leadership continuity as the group pursues its next phase of growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WYN) stock is a Hold with a £385.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynnstay stock, see the GB:WYN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wynnstay Sets Date for Full-Year Results and Investor Presentation
Neutral
Jan 26, 2026

Wynnstay Group plc, the agricultural supplies group, has announced that it will publish its full-year results for the year ended 31 October 2025 on 9 February 2026, accompanied by an analyst presentation on the same day. Management will also host a live online presentation for existing and prospective shareholders via the Investor Meet Company platform at 09:00am on 12 February 2026, enabling investors to submit questions in advance or during the event, underlining the company’s efforts to maintain active engagement and transparency with the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WYN) stock is a Hold with a £385.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynnstay stock, see the GB:WYN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Wynnstay Directors Show Confidence with Share Purchases
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Wynnstay Group plc announced that three of its directors, including the CEO, CFO, and a Senior Independent Non-Executive Director, have purchased shares in the company. This move could signal confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively impact stakeholder perceptions, reinforcing the company’s market position in the agricultural supplies industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WYN) stock is a Hold with a £385.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynnstay stock, see the GB:WYN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wynnstay Group Exceeds Expectations with Strong Year-End Performance
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

Wynnstay Group plc reported a strong trading update for the year ended 31 October 2025, driven by the successful implementation of Project Genesis. The project has enhanced commercial focus, improved pricing discipline, and strengthened margins, leading to adjusted profit before tax exceeding market expectations at approximately £9.0m. The Feed & Grain segment saw increased profitability despite lower volumes, while the Arable segment benefited from higher fertiliser and seed sales. The company also managed to maintain stable retail sales and improved net margins through effective cost control. The completion of integration activities and asset reviews, including the consolidation of trading operations and closure of certain facilities, has streamlined operations and reduced costs. Despite non-recurring costs related to these changes, the company is well-positioned for future growth, with a strong cash position supporting further investment. The ongoing HSE investigation following a fatality in January 2025 remains unresolved.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:WYN) stock is a Hold with a 385p price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynnstay stock, see the GB:WYN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 10, 2026