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US Solar Fund (GB:USF)
LSE:USF
UK Market

US Solar Fund (USF) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:USF

US Solar Fund

(LSE:USF)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$0.34
▼(-8.38% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance (losses and shrinking equity) and weak technical momentum. A conservative, debt-free balance sheet and ongoing positive cash generation provide support, while the high dividend yield helps, but recent below-forecast portfolio performance adds operational risk.
Positive Factors
Strategic Stake Increase
The increased stake by Weiss Asset Management signifies strong investor confidence and could enhance strategic decision-making, supporting long-term growth.
Debt Refinancing
The refinancing strengthens the balance sheet, providing financial flexibility and positioning the company for future growth opportunities.
Dividend Increase
The dividend increase reflects the company's commitment to shareholder returns, enhancing investor appeal and supporting long-term investment stability.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue indicates challenges in market competitiveness and demand, potentially impacting long-term profitability and strategic positioning.
Negative Profit Margins
Negative profit margins suggest operational inefficiencies, which could hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable returns over time.
Free Cash Flow Decline
Declining free cash flow may limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, affecting long-term financial health and operational capacity.

US Solar Fund (USF) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

US Solar Fund Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUS Solar Fund (USF) is a renewable energy investment firm focused on owning and operating solar power assets in the United States. The company primarily invests in solar photovoltaic (PV) projects, providing clean and sustainable energy solutions to a diverse range of customers. US Solar Fund aims to generate stable, long-term cash flows for its investors by leveraging its expertise in the solar energy sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyUS Solar Fund makes money by investing in and acquiring solar power assets that generate electricity, which is then sold to utilities, corporations, or other energy consumers under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs). These agreements provide a predictable and stable revenue stream over the life of the contracts, typically ranging from 10 to 25 years. The company benefits from government incentives and tax credits aimed at promoting renewable energy. Additionally, US Solar Fund may engage in strategic partnerships with developers and operators to optimize the performance and efficiency of its solar assets, thereby enhancing its earnings potential.

US Solar Fund Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured by a sharp deterioration in operating results (negative revenue and sizable losses in 2023–2024). Positives include a very conservative balance sheet with no reported debt and still-positive operating/free cash flow, but equity/assets have declined and cash flow weakened versus 2023.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Profitability and growth profile has weakened materially. The company swung from positive revenue and net income in 2020–2022 to negative revenue and sizable losses in 2023–2024, with net income falling from +14.5M (2022) to -43.1M (2023) and remaining deeply negative at -34.9M (2024). While 2024 revenue improved versus 2023 (growth rate +16.9%), the base remains negative and margins are not meaningful given negative revenue, pointing to elevated earnings volatility and limited near-term earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Balance sheet leverage appears very conservative with zero reported debt across all periods and a large equity base. However, shareholder equity and total assets have declined sharply from 2021–2022 levels (equity down from ~320.0M in 2022 to ~194.2M in 2024), and returns on equity turned strongly negative in 2023–2024 (about -16.7% and -18.0%), reflecting erosion of capital and weaker underlying profitability despite low leverage.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation remains positive, with operating cash flow of 9.5M in 2024 and free cash flow also positive. That said, cash flow has deteriorated versus 2023 (operating cash flow down from 18.0M), and free cash flow growth in 2024 was notably negative (-47.1%), indicating reduced cash earnings power. A strength is that cash flow stayed positive despite accounting losses in 2023–2024, but the downward trajectory is a key watch item.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-33.40M-40.20M15.73M15.97M4.59M
Gross Profit-33.40M-40.20M15.73M15.97M4.59M
EBITDA-34.88M-43.02M14.86M14.85M3.65M
Net Income-34.88M-43.06M14.49M14.95M3.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets194.99M259.37M326.18M330.85M195.89M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments890.00K1.55M7.33M16.16M523.17K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities835.00K1.14M6.15M6.85M1.73M
Stockholders Equity194.15M258.23M320.02M324.00M194.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.54M18.05M17.14M6.67M614.78K
Operating Cash Flow9.54M18.05M17.14M6.67M614.78K
Investing Cash Flow19.00M0.00-7.20M-110.00M-72.55M
Financing Cash Flow-29.20M-23.79M-18.40M118.86M-4.00M

US Solar Fund Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.37
Price Trends
50DMA
0.33
Negative
100DMA
0.34
Negative
200DMA
0.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
33.08
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:USF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.33, above the 50-day MA of 0.33, and above the 200-day MA of 0.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:USF.

US Solar Fund Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£466.00M14.235.73%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
£264.17M-8.24-6.66%8.18%-9.72%-25.25%
51
Neutral
7.48%
45
Neutral
£9.40M-7.56-22.43%
44
Neutral
-0.86-47.36%3.45%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:USF
US Solar Fund
0.32
-0.04
-11.67%
GB:GV1O
Gresham House Renewable Energy VCT 1 PLC
33.00
-2.00
-5.71%
GB:GSF
Gore Street Energy Storage
52.30
7.02
15.50%
GB:FSG
Foresight Group Holdings Ltd.
411.00
54.21
15.19%
GB:RNEW
Ecofin U.S. Renewables Infrastructure Trust Plc
0.21
-0.08
-27.34%
GB:EGT
European Green Transition Plc
6.50
-2.50
-27.78%

US Solar Fund Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
US Solar Fund Reports Below-Forecast Portfolio Performance
Negative
Dec 16, 2025

US Solar Fund plc reported that its portfolio generation for the nine-month period ending 30 September 2025 was 11.5% below forecast, mainly due to technical factors and lower solar irradiance. The Heelstone and Granite portfolios were significantly impacted by project downtime, utility grid outages, theft, and supply constraints. The company plans to provide more detailed asset performance information quarterly, aiming to enhance transparency for stakeholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
US Solar Fund Reports Third Quarter Underperformance
Negative
Dec 16, 2025

US Solar Fund plc reported that its portfolio generation for the nine-month period ending September 30, 2025, was 11.5% below forecast due to technical factors and lower solar irradiance. The third-quarter performance was particularly impacted by issues in the Heelstone and Granite portfolios, including downtime for capital initiatives, grid outages, and supply constraints. This underperformance highlights operational challenges that could affect the company’s ability to meet its investment objectives.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
US Solar Fund Reports Q3 2025 Performance and Operational Updates
Negative
Nov 26, 2025

US Solar Fund plc reported a slight decrease in its net asset value for the third quarter of 2025, alongside a dividend update in line with its revised target. The company’s portfolio performance was below forecast due to technical issues and external factors like utility grid outages and theft, but efforts to mitigate these issues are ongoing. Two capital investment initiatives have been completed post-period, indicating progress in addressing operational challenges.

Dividends
US Solar Fund Declares Q3 2025 Dividend
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

US Solar Fund PLC has announced a Q3 2025 dividend of 0.875 cents per Ordinary Share, aligning with its revised annual dividend target of 3.50 cents per share. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to delivering consistent returns to its investors, reinforcing its position in the renewable energy market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025