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Target Healthcare REIT Limited (GB:THRL)
LSE:THRL
UK Market

Target Healthcare REIT (THRL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:THRL

Target Healthcare REIT

(LSE:THRL)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
116.00 p
▲(18.49% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/11/25
The overall stock score is driven by a solid valuation with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, despite concerns over declining cash flow growth and weak technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Long-term contracted rents
Long-term leases create stable, recurring rental cash flows that reduce revenue volatility versus operating care businesses. Inflation-linked or upward-only reviews (where present) can preserve income power, supporting distributions and financing capacity over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining free cash flow growth
A decline in free cash flow growth reduces the cushion for capital expenditure, acquisitions, and shareholder distributions. Over several quarters this can force higher leverage, asset disposals, or reduced payouts, weakening long-term financial flexibility for a REIT dependent on cash yields.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Long-term contracted rents
Long-term leases create stable, recurring rental cash flows that reduce revenue volatility versus operating care businesses. Inflation-linked or upward-only reviews (where present) can preserve income power, supporting distributions and financing capacity over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Target Healthcare REIT (THRL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Target Healthcare REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Target Healthcare REIT provide a range of tailored funding solutions to support operators to increase the provision of modern, purpose-built care homes across the UK....
How the Company Makes Money
THRL makes money primarily by owning care home properties and generating rental income from leasing those properties to care home operators. Its core revenue stream is contracted rent under long-term lease agreements, which are typically structure...

Target Healthcare REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Target Healthcare REIT shows stable revenue growth and profitability with a balanced financial structure. However, declining cash flow growth and operational efficiency are concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
65
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue74.61M72.93M78.48M67.75M63.86M49.98M
Gross Profit66.40M64.84M78.48M60.14M56.55M44.18M
EBITDA82.27M59.59M58.00M0.000.000.00
Net Income77.93M60.84M73.02M-6.57M49.10M43.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets976.51M986.19M967.37M908.26M963.66M718.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments67.17M39.64M38.88M15.37M34.48M21.11M
Total Debt200.94M240.29M240.67M227.05M231.38M127.90M
Total Liabilities236.22M273.73M278.08M253.45M264.89M153.21M
Stockholders Equity740.28M712.46M689.29M654.81M698.77M565.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.49M41.10M42.34M29.66M30.39M24.96M
Operating Cash Flow43.49M41.10M42.34M29.66M30.39M24.96M
Investing Cash Flow68.08M-3.23M3.42M-3.55M-202.63M-43.58M
Financing Cash Flow-82.31M-37.11M-22.24M-45.23M185.62M3.29M

Target Healthcare REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price97.90
Price Trends
50DMA
103.37
Positive
100DMA
100.05
Positive
200DMA
96.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
58.77
Neutral
STOCH
77.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:THRL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 97.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 101.59, below the 50-day MA of 103.37, and above the 200-day MA of 96.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:THRL.

Target Healthcare REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
3.228.61%6.15%4.86%-16.65%
63
Neutral
£2.44B14.756.03%7.30%0.96%
60
Neutral
£290.38M90.710.80%8.16%-4.24%-273.62%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
£101.77M-11.68-6.64%6.96%
48
Neutral
£141.75M-1.34-12.37%4.55%23.43%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:THRL
Target Healthcare REIT
106.80
16.38
18.12%
GB:PHP
Primary Health Properties plc R.E.I.T
95.50
4.04
4.42%
GB:RESI
Residential Secure Income
54.80
2.69
5.17%
GB:HOME
Home REIT PLC
9.10
0.10
1.11%
GB:SOHO
Triple Point Social Housing REIT PLC
74.30
13.68
22.57%
GB:LABS
Life Science Reit Plc
42.40
-2.00
-4.50%

Target Healthcare REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Target Healthcare REIT posts record half-year return as it recycles capital and strengthens balance sheet
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
Target Healthcare REIT, a specialist investor in modern UK care homes, owns 86 properties valued at £894.6 million and leases them to 32 tenants on long, inflation-linked contracts. Its portfolio is positioned at the premium end of the care h...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Target Healthcare REIT to Host Online Interim Results Presentation for Investors
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
Target Healthcare REIT has announced that senior representatives from its investment manager, Target Fund Managers, will host a live online presentation to discuss the company’s interim results. The event, scheduled for 23 March 2026 via the...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Target Healthcare REIT sets date for half-year results as care home portfolio hits £894.6m
Positive
Mar 12, 2026
Target Healthcare REIT, a UK-listed FTSE 250 real estate investment trust, specialises in modern, purpose-built care homes and is externally managed to deliver income and capital growth to shareholders. Its portfolio stood at 86 properties let to ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Target Healthcare REIT Boosts NAV and Prunes Portfolio as It Recycles Capital into Higher-Yield Care Homes
Positive
Feb 5, 2026
Target Healthcare REIT reported a 1.4% rise in EPRA Net Tangible Assets per share to 119.4p as at 31 December 2025, with a twelfth consecutive quarter of positive total returns driven by active portfolio recycling and inflation-linked rent reviews...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025