Rio Tinto (RIO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £90.63B
• Dividend Yield: 5.33%
• Average Volume (3M): 2.97M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 10.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.17
• Revenue Growth: -3.50%
• EPS Growth: -7.04%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 60,000
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): 2.22
• Shares Outstanding: 1,254,156,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,191,880
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,969,863
• PEG Ratio: 0.54
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.74
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.79
• P/FCF Ratio: 16.04
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £5,553.18
• Price Target Upside: 4.01% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11

• Rating: 79 Outperform
• Price Target: 5,962.00p ▲(11.67% Upside)

Rio Tinto's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of its stock score. The technical analysis suggests bullish momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data means these factors do not influence the score.

Positive Factors

Production Growth

The increase in production across key minerals like bauxite, alumina, and copper indicates strong operational performance and potential revenue growth, reinforcing Rio Tinto's market position.

Strategic Investments

The investment in the West Angelas Sustaining Project reflects Rio Tinto's commitment to maintaining and expanding its iron ore production capabilities, ensuring long-term supply stability and market competitiveness.

Operational Efficiency

Improved operational efficiency and record production levels demonstrate Rio Tinto's ability to optimize its existing assets, which supports sustained profitability and shareholder value.

Negative Factors

Revenue Contraction

The recent revenue contraction poses a risk to future profitability if not addressed, potentially impacting Rio Tinto's ability to maintain its market position and financial health.

Fluctuating Return on Equity

Fluctuations in return on equity may signal underlying operational challenges, affecting investor confidence and potentially hindering Rio Tinto's ability to attract and retain investment.

Declining Revenue Trend

A declining revenue trend could undermine future growth prospects and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend and sustain long-term financial performance.

Rio Tinto Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rio Tinto is a global leader in the mining and metals sector, primarily engaged in the extraction and production of a diverse range of minerals including aluminum, copper, diamonds, gold, and iron ore. With operations spanning across multiple countries, Rio Tinto is committed to sustainable mining practices and innovation, providing essential materials for various industries, such as construction, automotive, and technology. The company operates through various segments, focusing on mining, processing, and marketing its products to customers worldwide.

How the Company Makes Money

Rio Tinto generates revenue primarily through the sale of its mined products, which include iron ore, copper, aluminum, diamonds, and other minerals. The company's largest revenue stream comes from iron ore, which is sold to steel manufacturers globally. Additionally, Rio Tinto benefits from its diverse portfolio, allowing it to tap into various markets and price fluctuations. The company engages in long-term contracts as well as spot market sales, which helps stabilize its income. Key partnerships with other companies and governments also play a role in enhancing operational efficiency and expanding market reach. Furthermore, Rio Tinto invests in technological innovations and sustainable mining practices, which contribute to cost savings and improved profitability.

Rio Tinto Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Rio Tinto presents a strong financial profile with robust profitability and cash flow generation. Despite revenue contraction and fluctuating return on equity, the company's stable balance sheet and effective cash flow management provide a solid foundation for future growth.

Income Statement

Rio Tinto's income statement reveals strong profitability with a consistent gross profit margin, though slightly decreasing revenue over recent years. Despite recent revenue contraction, net profit margins remain robust. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating efficient operations. However, the declining revenue trend is a concern that could impact future profitability if not addressed.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Rio Tinto showcases a solid equity base with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management. The equity ratio suggests a balanced asset structure. However, the company's return on equity has shown some fluctuations, which could affect investor confidence. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability but highlights the need to maintain strong equity performance.

Cash Flow

Rio Tinto's cash flow analysis is impressive, with consistent operating cash flow and a strong free cash flow to net income ratio. The company demonstrates effective cash management despite fluctuations in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio illustrates robust cash generation capabilities, supporting financial flexibility and shareholder returns.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	53.73B	53.66B	54.04B	55.55B	63.49B	44.61B
Gross Profit	29.00B	30.28B	32.40B	34.27B	44.93B	29.13B
EBITDA	22.31B	23.16B	21.08B	25.54B	36.13B	21.68B
Net Income	10.27B	11.55B	10.06B	12.39B	21.11B	9.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	120.81B	102.79B	103.55B	96.74B	102.90B	97.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	9.33B	7.20B	9.78B	8.94B	15.35B	13.23B
Total Debt	23.64B	13.86B	14.35B	12.27B	13.53B	14.02B
Total Liabilities	58.84B	44.82B	47.21B	44.47B	46.31B	45.49B
Stockholders Equity	58.20B	55.25B	54.59B	50.17B	51.43B	47.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.13B	5.98B	8.07B	9.38B	17.96B	9.69B
Operating Cash Flow	15.47B	15.60B	15.16B	16.13B	25.34B	15.88B
Investing Cash Flow	-17.27B	-9.59B	-6.96B	-6.71B	-7.16B	-6.56B
Financing Cash Flow	1.53B	-7.09B	-5.28B	-15.47B	-15.86B	-7.13B

Rio Tinto Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 5339.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RIO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5339 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5074.95, above the 50-day MA of 4810.08, and above the 200-day MA of 4549.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 140.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:RIO.

Rio Tinto Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
RIO	―	£90.63B	10.89	18.43%	5.33%	-3.50%	-7.04%
GLEN	―	£40.75B	-26.38	-5.26%	2.15%	-1.06%	-285.88%
Sector *	―	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
AAL	―	$30.90B	-8.83	-9.21%	0.85%	-27.65%	-160.77%

Rio Tinto Corporate Events

Rio Tinto Announces Share Vesting and Acquisition for Key Personnel

Rio Tinto has announced the vesting and acquisition of shares under its Global Employee Share Plan (myShare) and UK Share Plan (UKSP) for key management personnel. The vesting involves the allocation of matching shares to employees, which are subject to a three-year holding period. This initiative reflects Rio Tinto’s commitment to aligning employee interests with company performance, potentially enhancing employee engagement and retention.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £5200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Announces Key Management Share Transactions

Rio Tinto has announced a series of transactions involving key management personnel under its Global Employee Share Plan. These transactions, which include the vesting and acquisition of shares, were conducted by Peter Cunningham, Katie Jackson, and Jérôme Pécresse, who hold significant roles within the company. The transactions reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £5200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Achieves Record Production in Q3 2025 Amid Strategic Shifts

Rio Tinto reported strong production results for the third quarter of 2025, with record outputs in its bauxite business and significant progress in copper production at Oyu Tolgoi. The company has upgraded its bauxite production guidance and remains on track to meet its overall production targets for the year. Despite challenges such as a tragic incident at the SimFer mine and external economic pressures, Rio Tinto continues to focus on safety and operational efficiency, aiming for a robust year-end performance. The company’s strategic initiatives, including a new operating model and executive team, are expected to simplify operations and unlock additional shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £53.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Announces Key Management Transaction in ADRs

Rio Tinto has announced a transaction involving the acquisition of American Depository Receipts (ADRs) under a dividend reinvestment plan by Jennifer Nason, a Non-Executive Director. This transaction, conducted on the NYSE, reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to engage key management personnel in its financial strategies, potentially influencing investor confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Management Acquires Shares Through Dividend Reinvestment Plan

Rio Tinto has announced that its key management personnel have acquired shares in the company through its Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This plan allows shareholders to reinvest their cash dividends to purchase additional Rio Tinto shares, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial health and growth prospects. The acquisition of shares by management is a positive signal to the market, potentially enhancing investor confidence and supporting the company’s stock value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto’s Key Management Acquires Shares via Dividend Reinvestment

Rio Tinto has announced the acquisition of shares by its key management personnel through dividend reinvestment plans across its Share Plan Account, UK Share Plan, and Global Employee Share Plan. This move reflects the company’s commitment to aligning management interests with shareholder value, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Executives Acquire Shares Under Dividend Reinvestment Plan

Rio Tinto announced the acquisition of shares by key management personnel under a dividend reinvestment plan. This move involves several executives, including the Chief Financial Officer and various Chief Executives of different segments, acquiring ordinary shares at a price of £48.69941 per share. This transaction highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to align management interests with shareholder value, potentially strengthening its market position and signaling confidence in its financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Announces Total Voting Rights and Issued Capital

Rio Tinto announced its total voting rights and issued capital as of September 30, 2025, with an issued share capital comprising over 1.25 billion ordinary shares. This disclosure is in line with the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules and is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations regarding their interests in the company. The announcement also highlights the company’s dual listed companies (DLC) structure with Rio Tinto Limited, which facilitates joint voting and positions shareholders as if they held shares in a single enterprise.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £67.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Announces 2025 Interim Dividend Currency Exchange Rates

Rio Tinto announced the currency exchange rates for its 2025 interim dividend, initially declared on 30 July 2025. Shareholders of Rio Tinto plc and Rio Tinto Limited, as well as ADR holders, will receive their dividends in US dollars, with the option to convert to pounds sterling, Australian dollars, or New Zealand dollars at specified rates. The dividend payment is scheduled for 25 September 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to shareholder returns and its stable financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Key Management Personnel Acquires Shares

Rio Tinto announced that Ben Wyatt, a person discharging managerial responsibility, acquired 200 shares of Rio Tinto Limited at a price of AUD 114.93 per share. This transaction is part of the company’s dual-listed structure, which requires notification of dealings in securities to both the Australian Securities Exchange and the London Stock Exchange. The acquisition by a key management personnel may indicate confidence in the company’s future prospects and could have implications for investor sentiment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Updates Total Voting Rights and Issued Capital

Rio Tinto has announced its total voting rights and issued capital as of August 29, 2025, in compliance with the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule. The company disclosed that its issued share capital consists of over 1.25 billion ordinary shares, with a small portion held in treasury. This update is significant for shareholders and stakeholders as it provides clarity on the company’s governance structure and voting rights, which are crucial for decision-making and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £5286.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Restructures to Enhance Shareholder Value

Rio Tinto has announced a new operating model and executive team to enhance shareholder value by simplifying its structure into three core product groups: Iron Ore, Aluminium & Lithium, and Copper. This reorganization aims to streamline operations, improve accountability, and focus on growth opportunities, with strategic leadership appointments to drive excellence and capitalize on the global energy transition. The changes also involve a strategic review of its Borates and Iron & Titanium businesses, and the conclusion of the Chief Executive Australia role, reflecting a broader effort to align operations with long-term strategic goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Hold with a £48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Announces Key Management Share Acquisition

Rio Tinto has announced that Ben Wyatt, a key management personnel, has acquired 200 shares of Rio Tinto Limited at a price of AUD 111.1228 per share. This transaction is part of the company’s dual-listed structure, which requires reporting of securities dealings by key management to both the Australian Securities Exchange and the London Stock Exchange. This acquisition reflects ongoing confidence in the company’s market position and may influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £62.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Discloses Total Voting Rights and Issued Capital

Rio Tinto has announced its total voting rights and issued capital as of July 31, 2025, in compliance with the Financial Conduct Authority’s rules. The company reported an issued share capital of 1,255,993,992 ordinary shares, with 1,837,902 held in treasury, resulting in 1,254,156,090 total voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders and stakeholders to determine their notification obligations under the FCA’s guidelines. The announcement also highlights the structure of Rio Tinto’s dual-listed companies merger, which aims to align shareholders of both Rio Tinto plc and Rio Tinto Limited.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £53.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto Reports Strong Financial Performance Amid Diversification Efforts

Rio Tinto reported resilient financial results for the first half of 2025, with a 6% increase in copper equivalent production year-over-year. Despite a 13% decline in iron ore prices, the company’s diversified portfolio, particularly its aluminum and copper businesses, contributed to an underlying EBITDA of $11.5 billion and operating cash flow of $6.9 billion. The company declared a $2.4 billion interim dividend and highlighted successful project deliveries, including the accelerated shipment from Simandou and the opening of the Western Range iron ore project. Rio Tinto continues to focus on safety, decarbonization, and strengthening relationships with Indigenous communities, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and positioning itself for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.

Rio Tinto to Present 2025 Half-Year Results

Rio Tinto announced that its 2025 half-year results presentation will be held on July 30, 2025, led by the Chief Executive and Chief Financial Officer. The presentation will be accessible via a live webcast, with a recording available afterward. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with its stakeholders and provide insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RIO) stock is a Buy with a £61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Rio Tinto stock, see the GB:RIO Stock Forecast page.