Manolete Partners Plc (MANO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £26.07M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 69.22K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.38
• Revenue Growth: -4.67%
• EPS Growth: 590.48%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 29
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Consulting Services
• EPS (TTM): -0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 43,810,966
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 39,286
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 69,223
• PEG Ratio: -0.47
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.39
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.14
• P/FCF Ratio: -40.48
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.02
• Revenue Forecast (FY): £28.30M

• Rating: 52 Neutral
• Price Target: 64.00p ▲(28.00% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/30/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/30/25

Score is held back primarily by uneven fundamentals (volatile profitability and weak cash conversion) and a bearish technical setup with the stock trading well below major moving averages. A high P/E further limits valuation support, while the latest earnings call provides a partial offset via improving cash balance and lower net debt despite weaker revenue/EBIT and portfolio write-downs.

Positive Factors

Market leadership and unique model

A clear market-leading position and a differentiated claim-purchase model provide durable structural advantages: preferential access to insolvency practitioners, deal flow, and established case-management expertise. Over 2–6 months this supports higher-quality origination and relative pricing power versus smaller competitors.

Strong case origination pipeline

Record referral volumes signal a deepening and diversifying pipeline of potential recoveries, which reduces idiosyncratic case concentration and supports steady future realizations. Sustained high referrals improve the odds of stable returns across cohorts and help smooth outcome-driven revenue over months.

Improving balance sheet leverage

Lower debt-to-equity and a relatively conservative balance sheet increase financial resilience and capacity to fund litigation portfolios. Improved leverage reduces refinancing risk and supports measured investment in cases, enabling the company to absorb timing lags in recoveries without immediate liquidity stress.

Negative Factors

Revenue decline and volatility

Manolete's outcome-based revenue model is inherently lumpy; the recent meaningful year-on-year decline highlights structural unpredictability. Persistent revenue swings impair forecasting, weaken margin sustainability, and complicate capital allocation decisions across the portfolio over a multi-month horizon.

Weak and inconsistent cash conversion

Low operating cash coverage versus reported profits shows cash conversion weakness: the firm may struggle to convert realized outcomes into free cash predictably. This forces reliance on external funding or slower reinvestment, limiting scalability and increasing vulnerability to timing mismatches in legal recoveries.

Portfolio credit and write-down risk

Material noncash write-downs and rising defaults indicate exposure to adverse legal outcomes and debtor credit risk. Recurring write-downs erode equity, reduce future realized upside, and signal that portfolio valuations are sensitive to case-specific rulings or settlements, a structural risk to durable earnings.

Manolete Partners Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Manolete Partners Plc operates as an insolvency litigation financing company in the United Kingdom. The company engages in the acquisition and funding of insolvency litigation cases. Manolete Partners Plc was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Manolete Partners Plc generates revenue primarily through the acquisition and funding of insolvency-related claims. The company purchases claims from insolvent estates or finances them, taking on the risk of litigation in exchange for a share of any successful recoveries. This business model allows Manolete to profit from the difference between the cost of acquiring or funding claims and the amounts recovered through litigation or settlement. Key factors contributing to its earnings include its ability to assess the value and viability of claims, the efficiency of its litigation processes, and its relationships with insolvency practitioners who provide a steady pipeline of potential cases.

Manolete Partners Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet is relatively conservative (moderate leverage, improving debt-to-equity), but earnings and cash flow remain uneven. Profitability has recovered to modest levels after a 2023 loss, yet margins and ROE are currently low, and cash conversion is weak and volatile.

Income Statement

Revenue has been volatile, with a sharp surge in 2023 followed by a slight dip in 2024 and a rebound in 2025. Profitability has also been choppy: strong margins in 2021–2022, a loss in 2023, then a return to modest profitability in 2024–2025 (net margin ~3% in 2025 vs ~24% in 2022). Gross margin has held in the mid-30% range recently, but operating profitability remains relatively thin versus prior peak years.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet looks reasonably conservative with moderate leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.28 in 2025, improved from ~0.34 in 2024). Equity has been fairly stable and supports the asset base well, limiting financial risk. That said, returns on equity are currently low (~2% in 2025), reflecting that profitability is not yet strong enough to generate attractive returns despite manageable leverage.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is inconsistent. Operating cash flow swung from negative in 2024 to positive in 2025, but cash conversion versus profits looks weak in 2025 (operating cash flow coverage is low at ~0.19). Prior years show meaningful volatility as well (strong inflow in 2023 but outflows in 2020 and 2024), which reduces confidence in the durability of free cash flow despite the recent improvement.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021	Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	28.42M	30.48M	26.30M	26.79M	15.24M	24.43M
Gross Profit	5.22M	10.43M	10.14M	9.61M	4.99M	9.85M
EBITDA	2.40M	1.50M	0.00	-3.02M	4.85M	7.42M
Net Income	635.00K	893.00K	933.00K	-3.12M	3.68M	5.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	71.93M	73.98M	71.87M	62.48M	68.44M	57.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	31.21M	30.80M	30.36M	23.71M	35.78M	31.52M
Total Debt	11.88M	11.76M	13.73M	10.38M	13.38M	7.98M
Total Liabilities	30.89M	32.54M	31.39M	23.32M	26.22M	18.48M
Stockholders Equity	41.04M	41.44M	40.47M	39.16M	42.22M	38.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	7.67M	2.53M	-1.39M	7.50M	2.88M	630.00K
Operating Cash Flow	7.67M	2.53M	-1.39M	7.50M	2.88M	630.00K
Investing Cash Flow	-6.51M	22.00K	16.00K	-5.81M	-6.47M	-5.89M
Financing Cash Flow	-730.00K	-3.31M	2.19M	-3.32M	4.70M	-1.97M

Manolete Partners Plc Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 50.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MANO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.61, below the 50-day MA of 55.48, and below the 200-day MA of 77.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:MANO.

Manolete Partners Plc Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KEYS	76 Outperform	£165.56M	9.55	56.75%	5.98%	16.29%	22.80%
RST	66 Neutral	£316.29M	27.81	4.01%	2.31%	6.90%	145.00%
CPI	64 Neutral	£434.04M	-12.59	9.00%	―	-4.87%	―
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
GTLY	56 Neutral	£102.95M	7.60	5.86%	8.80%	6.04%	-24.55%
MANO	52 Neutral	£26.07M	-20.02	1.56%	―	-4.67%	590.48%

Manolete Partners Plc Corporate Events

Manolete Awards Share Options to CEO and CFO Under Incentive Plan

Manolete Partners has granted nominal-cost share options to its senior leadership, including performance share awards of 200,000 shares each to Chief Executive Officer Philomena (Mena) Halton and Chief Financial Officer William Sawyer, and a 196,875-share restricted award to Halton recognising her recent promotion. The performance awards will vest after three years subject to earnings-per-share and share price hurdles, while most of Halton’s restricted shares are exercisable immediately with the balance vesting in 2026, underlining the company’s use of equity-based incentives to align management with shareholder value and support its leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MANO) stock is a Buy with a £130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Manolete Partners Plc stock, see the GB:MANO Stock Forecast page.