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Litigation Capital Management Limited (GB:LIT)
LSE:LIT
UK Market
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Litigation Capital Management (LIT) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:LIT

Litigation Capital Management

(LSE:LIT)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
4.00 p
▼(-58.03% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, negative profitability, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals also detract due to a strong downtrend with negative momentum despite oversold readings. Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E is driven by losses and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
Diversified Revenue Model
LIT earns returns both from contingent recoveries on funded matters and from managing third‑party capital via management/performance fees. This dual income mix creates recurring fee revenue when assets under management grow while preserving upside from case outcomes, supporting revenue durability over months.
Negative Factors
Severe Revenue Decline
A near 60% revenue collapse and negative gross profit point to major underwriting and deployment challenges. For a firm dependent on case outcomes and timing, such large revenue swings indicate persistent volatility, undermining predictability of returns and stressing long‑term earnings sustainability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Revenue Model
LIT earns returns both from contingent recoveries on funded matters and from managing third‑party capital via management/performance fees. This dual income mix creates recurring fee revenue when assets under management grow while preserving upside from case outcomes, supporting revenue durability over months.
Read all positive factors

Litigation Capital Management (LIT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Litigation Capital Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Litigation Capital Management (LIT) is a leading global provider of litigation financing solutions, specializing in funding legal proceedings across various sectors, including commercial litigation, arbitration, and class actions. The company focu...
How the Company Makes Money
Litigation Capital Management makes money primarily by financing legal claims and earning a return that is contingent on successful case outcomes. Its core revenue stream is proceeds from funded matters: when a case resolves (via settlement or cou...

Litigation Capital Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals overall: income statement shows a 59.55% revenue decline and negative gross profit with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins; cash flow is pressured with negative operating and free cash flow; balance sheet is only slightly better but leverage has risen and ROE has fallen.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue-214.42M-163.12M12.44M184.74M103.85M37.06M
Gross Profit-256.05M-180.65M-47.69M65.44M59.84M26.62M
EBITDA-165.38M-47.21M25.21M168.03M89.97M15.76M
Net Income-170.89M-36.50M12.71M31.48M34.61M8.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets336.94M445.56M591.80M548.90M407.06M199.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.59M8.82M533.33M495.87M346.94M49.74M
Total Debt93.76M37.18M61.92M68.98M211.59M113.29M
Total Liabilities331.33M331.19M402.86M365.44M258.13M110.72M
Stockholders Equity5.61M54.70M188.94M183.47M148.93M88.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-96.30M-80.46M19.16M84.50M-55.26M-56.56M
Operating Cash Flow-96.29M-43.51M19.20M84.59M-55.22M-56.54M
Investing Cash Flow5.75K-103.63K-31.00K-198.00K-335.00K-70.00K
Financing Cash Flow72.93M18.17M-55.58M-32.61M51.86M74.14M

Litigation Capital Management Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price9.53
Price Trends
50DMA
7.32
Negative
100DMA
8.56
Negative
200DMA
16.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.97
Negative
RSI
34.26
Neutral
STOCH
44.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:LIT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.29, above the 50-day MA of 7.32, and below the 200-day MA of 16.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:LIT.

Litigation Capital Management Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£39.32M3.468.28%5.19%14.53%
68
Neutral
£215.00M4.4833.54%4.74%34.56%89.25%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
£97.63M2.4512.38%18.38%13.20%
55
Neutral
£428.93M8.6421.54%37.60%2766.67%
46
Neutral
-15.210.93%8.48%-134.33%-170.66%
43
Neutral
£5.14M-0.04-58.13%-134.31%-5555.17%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:LIT
Litigation Capital Management
4.50
-44.60
-90.84%
GB:TIME
Time Finance plc
42.50
-14.50
-25.44%
GB:FCH
Funding Circle Holdings
150.20
36.60
32.22%
GB:DFCH
Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc
59.50
23.50
65.28%
GB:BFSP
Blackfinch Spring VCT Plc
84.00
-7.15
-7.84%
GB:ASAI
ASA International Group PLC
215.00
113.38
111.57%

Litigation Capital Management Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LCM Secures Extension of Debt Covenant Waiver During Ongoing Strategic Review
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
Litigation Capital Management has secured an extension of its debt covenant waiver from lender Northleaf, moving the expiry from 15 April 2026 to 30 May 2026. During this extended period, the loan interest will remain 2 percentage points higher pe...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
LCM plunges to heavy loss as case setbacks trigger strategic review
Negative
Mar 31, 2026
Litigation Capital Management reported its most challenging half year to 31 December 2025, as a series of large case losses produced a statutory post-tax loss of $107.8m and an operating loss before tax of $111.7m, sharply worse than the prior per...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Litigation Capital Management Sets Date for Half-Year Results and Investor Presentation
Neutral
Mar 25, 2026
Litigation Capital Management Limited will release its half-year results for the six months ended 31 December 2025 on 31 March 2026. The announcement will outline the company’s interim financial performance and may offer insight into the hea...
Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Litigation Capital Management Faces Adverse Court Ruling on Funded Australian Case
Negative
Mar 17, 2026
Litigation Capital Management has disclosed that an Australian court has ruled against the claimant in a commercial case that the firm funded, reversing expectations after it had flagged an imminent judgment on this small investment earlier in Mar...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
LCM Secures Key High Court Win in Funded Trademark Dispute
Positive
Mar 11, 2026
Litigation Capital Management has reported a significant legal victory for a trademark case it funded on behalf of Sydney designer Katie Perry against singer Katy Perry and related entities, after the High Court of Australia upheld the designer&#8...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
LCM Wins Extension of Debt Covenant Waiver as Strategic Review Continues
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
Litigation Capital Management has secured an extension of its debt covenant waiver from lender Northleaf, pushing the expiry from the end of February 2026 to 15 April 2026. During this extended waiver period, the interest rate on the loan remains ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026