Frontier Developments (FDEV) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £86.07M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 45.44K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.2
• Beta (1Y): 1.11
• Revenue Growth: -6.57%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: UK
• Employees: 700
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 83
• Industry: Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
• EPS (TTM): 0.41
• Shares Outstanding: 39,478,535
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 54,063
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 45,441
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.89
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): 7.90
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: 300.00p
• Price Target Upside: 38.57% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

Frontier Developments is facing significant profitability challenges due to declining revenues and negative net income, which weigh heavily on its overall financial health. While the balance sheet shows stability and low leverage, cash flow concerns from high capital expenditures are notable. Despite the bearish technical indicators, the low P/E ratio suggests potential undervaluation, providing some support to the overall score.

Frontier Developments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Frontier Developments plc (FDEV) is a British video game developer and publisher known for creating engaging and innovative games. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Cambridge, UK, the company operates primarily in the entertainment and gaming industry. Frontier is renowned for its high-quality games that span multiple platforms, including PC, consoles, and mobile devices. Some of its popular titles include 'Elite Dangerous,' 'Planet Coaster,' and 'Jurassic World Evolution,' which demonstrate its expertise in simulation and strategy games.

How the Company Makes Money

Frontier Developments makes money primarily through the sales of its video games across various platforms. The company generates revenue by selling copies of its games directly to consumers through digital distribution platforms like Steam, Epic Games Store, and console marketplaces such as PlayStation Store and Xbox Store. Additionally, Frontier earns revenue through downloadable content (DLC) and expansion packs for its games, which enhance the gaming experience and provide ongoing engagement for players. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and licensing agreements, such as those with major intellectual properties like 'Jurassic World,' which allow it to reach broader audiences and capitalize on established fan bases. Frontier's ability to create and maintain a loyal player community further boosts revenue through microtransactions and in-game purchases, which are increasingly significant in the gaming industry's business model.

Frontier Developments Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Frontier Developments faces substantial challenges in profitability, with declining revenues and negative net income impacting overall financial health. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, but cash flow issues from high capital expenditures raise concerns. A focus on cost management and revenue growth is crucial for future improvement.

Income Statement

The company has experienced a negative revenue growth rate of approximately -14.7% from 2023 to 2024, alongside a consistent decline in EBIT and Net Income, leading to negative margins. Despite a reasonable Gross Profit Margin of around 68.7% in 2024, the company struggles with high operating expenses, resulting in negative EBIT and Net Profit Margins, which indicates challenges in cost management and profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with an equity ratio of approximately 65.4% in 2024, although the Return on Equity is negative due to negative net income. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable at around 0.28, indicating low leverage. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability in equity but highlights profitability challenges.

Cash Flow

There is a significant decrease in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, dropping by around 72.3%. The operating cash flow remains positive, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating strong cash generation from operations. However, the negative free cash flow growth signifies increased challenges in sustaining capital expenditures.

Breakdown
Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021	Jun 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
89.27M	104.58M	114.03M	90.69M	76.09M
	Gross Profit
61.32M	67.34M	73.61M	63.15M	51.56M
	EBIT
-27.01M	-26.58M	1.54M	19.92M	16.62M
	EBITDA
9.88M	14.86M	33.73M	38.08M	31.49M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-21.47M	-20.91M	9.63M	21.56M	15.89M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
29.52M	28.31M	38.70M	42.42M	45.75M
	Total Assets
117.39M	141.01M	169.58M	161.52M	147.91M
	Total Debt
21.28M	19.28M	20.74M	22.16M	23.54M
	Net Debt
-8.24M	-9.03M	-17.96M	-20.27M	-22.22M
	Total Liabilities
40.56M	45.04M	51.21M	48.37M	51.18M
	Stockholders Equity
76.82M	95.97M	118.37M	113.15M	96.73M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
1.25M	4.49M	2.41M	6.08M	10.71M
	Operating Cash Flow
32.46M	47.88M	41.16M	38.95M	32.41M
	Investing Cash Flow
-28.70M	-52.31M	-38.69M	-32.83M	-21.38M
	Financing Cash Flow
-2.51M	-6.02M	-6.17M	-9.47M	-640.00K

Frontier Developments Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 216.50
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:FDEV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 216.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 200.16, above the 50-day MA of 209.23, and below the 200-day MA of 233.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:FDEV.

Frontier Developments Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CRE	78 Outperform	£586.60M	5.68	12.25%	7.95%	27.08%	-34.38%
Sector *	59 Neutral	$29.98B	0.96	-18.77%	4.02%	2.13%	-47.15%
FDEV	55 Neutral	£86.07M	5.22	21.85%	―	-6.57%	―

Frontier Developments Corporate Events

Frontier Developments Awards Executive Share Options to Drive Long-Term Growth

Frontier Developments plc has granted a total of 538,000 options over Ordinary Shares to its four Executive Directors under the Long Term Incentive Plan. These options, which have a nominal exercise price of 0.5p per share, are set to vest in 2028, contingent on meeting specific revenue, profit, and shareholder return targets. This move is part of the company’s strategy to align executive incentives with long-term performance goals, potentially impacting its operational focus and shareholder value.

Frontier Developments Sees Strong Turnaround in H1 FY25

Frontier Developments plc reported a strong financial turnaround for the first half of FY25, with a return to profitability and improved cash position. The company’s revenue was in line with expectations, driven by the successful launch of Planet Coaster 2, which quickly topped charts and contributed significantly to revenue. Frontier’s strategic focus on creative management simulation games and its existing portfolio of popular titles like Planet Zoo and Jurassic World Evolution 2 continued to perform well. The company anticipates further growth with upcoming releases, including a new Jurassic World game, and remains confident in meeting its FY25 revenue and profitability targets.

Frontier Developments to Release H1 FY25 Financial Results

Frontier Developments plc has announced that it will release its interim financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2025 on January 15, 2025. The announcement could impact stakeholders’ expectations regarding the company’s financial performance, as it will provide insights into the company’s operations and market positioning.