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BT Group plc (GB:BT.A)
LSE:BT.A

BT Group plc (BT.A) AI Stock Analysis

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BT Group plc

(LSE:BT.A)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
2.00p
▼(-98.98%Downside)
BT Group plc's overall stock score is driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, despite challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, but overbought signals may pose risks. Valuation metrics suggest fair value with moderate income potential.

BT Group plc (BT.A) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

BT Group plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBT Group plc provides communications products and services in the United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Consumer, Enterprise, Global, and Openreach segments. The Consumer segment offers landline, mobile, broadband, and TV services under the BT, EE, and Plusnet brands. The Enterprise segment provides network solutions to communications providers; and sells communications and IT services to businesses and public sector organizations. Its services include fixed voice, mobile, fixed connectivity, and IT services. The Global segment secures and manages network and cloud infrastructure and services for multinational corporations. It also offers voice and data network services, such as managed, security and network, and IT infrastructure services. The Openreach segment provides fixed connectivity access network that connects homes, mobile phone masts, schools, shops, banks, hospitals, libraries, broadcasters, governments, and big and small businesses. This segment also offers last mile, a service over the local access network; and installs and maintains fiber and copper communications networks from exchanges to homes and businesses. BT Group has strategic partnership with Microsoft. The company was formerly known as Newgate Telecommunications Limited and changed its name to BT Group plc in September 2001. BT Group plc was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyBT Group makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily driven by its consumer, enterprise, and global services divisions. The company generates revenue from providing fixed-line and mobile telecommunication services, including broadband internet and landline phone services to residential and business customers. BT's enterprise division offers managed network and IT solutions, while its global services segment provides international connectivity and IT services to multinational corporations. Additionally, BT earns income from its BT Sport and BT TV offerings, which include subscription-based television services. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach.

BT Group plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 15.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
BT Group showed strong operational efficiency and financial performance with record full fiber build and exceeded cash flow expectations. However, challenges in maintaining growth in the Business segment, Consumer revenue decline, and flat expectations for U.K. service revenue pose concerns.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Full Fiber Build
BT Group achieved a record full fiber build, reaching over 18 million premises, and built 4.3 million premises for the same budgeted cost as originally planned for 4 million.
Normalized Free Cash Flow Exceeds Expectations
BT Group delivered GBP 1.6 billion of normalized free cash flow, exceeding expectations even as they invested at peak levels.
Openreach Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Openreach achieved revenue growth of 1% and EBITDA growth of 5%, driven by CPI-linked price increases, increased FTTP mix, and Ethernet volume growth.
Dividend Increase
Reflecting strong performance and confidence in cash flow expansion, BT Group increased its total dividend to 8.16p per share.
Customer Satisfaction Improvement
NPS jumped in all customer-facing divisions, demonstrating improved customer experience.
Negative Updates
Flat to Declining U.K. Service Revenue
BT Group expects fiscal year 2026 U.K. service revenue to be between GBP 15.3 billion and GBP 15.6 billion, which is flat to down on fiscal year '25, due to a GBP 200 million drag from traditional voice services.
Challenges in Business Segment
BT Group's Business segment saw a revenue decline of 4%, driven by international trading and an adverse impact from FX.
Consumer Revenue Decline
Consumer revenue decreased by 1% due to lower handset sales volumes and lower average customer bases, only partially offset by higher broadband ARPU.
Line Losses in Openreach
Openreach faced higher-than-expected line losses, partially attributed to competition from altnets and a challenged CP not investing to maintain their base.
Company Guidance
During BT Group's results presentation for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, CEO Allison Kirkby highlighted several key metrics and strategic goals. The company achieved a GBP 1.6 billion in normalized free cash flow, surpassing expectations, and expects to reach GBP 2 billion by fiscal year '27 and GBP 3 billion by the end of the decade. BT's full fiber footprint reached over 18 million premises, with a record 4.3 million built in the year, and customer demand resulted in a take-up rate increase from 34% to 37%. Broadband ARPU grew by 6%, driving a 3% rise in overall broadband revenue. Despite challenges such as fixed broadband market shrinkage, BT increased its total dividend to 8.16p per share and plans to accelerate its fiber build to pass up to 5 million homes in the coming year, aiming to reach 23 million homes and businesses by the next fiscal year.

BT Group plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BT Group plc demonstrates solid operational efficiency with strong EBITDA margins, but faces challenges with declining revenue and high leverage. The balance sheet shows stability in equity ratios, while cash flow metrics highlight strong operational cash generation. Overall, the company maintains resilience despite industry pressures.
Income Statement
65
Positive
BT Group plc has seen a decline in total revenue over the past years. The gross profit margin improved recently, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains modest due to increased operational expenses, and revenue growth has been negative. The EBITDA margin is strong, reflecting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, suggesting significant leverage. However, the equity ratio is stable, showing resilience in equity financing. Return on equity has fluctuated but remains positive, indicating profitability relative to shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
BT Group's operating cash flow is consistently strong, supporting its capital expenditures. Free cash flow improved significantly in the latest year, enhancing financial flexibility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, demonstrating effective cash generation.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.36B20.80B20.68B20.85B21.33B
Gross Profit14.99B9.71B15.17B13.78B13.80B
EBITDA7.27B6.46B7.47B7.23B6.88B
Net Income1.05B855.00M1.91B1.27B1.47B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.98B51.74B52.75B49.77B50.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.81B2.31B3.94B3.46B4.65B
Total Debt23.33B23.48B23.88B21.95B22.84B
Total Liabilities38.07B39.22B38.24B34.48B39.20B
Stockholders Equity12.91B12.52B14.51B15.30B11.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.05B984.00M1.42B1.30B1.06B
Operating Cash Flow6.99B5.95B6.72B5.91B5.96B
Investing Cash Flow-5.01B-3.54B-6.40B-3.56B-3.24B
Financing Cash Flow-2.11B-2.43B-636.00M-2.56B-3.22B

BT Group plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price195.50
Price Trends
50DMA
180.30
Positive
100DMA
170.15
Positive
200DMA
157.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.65
Positive
RSI
64.27
Neutral
STOCH
73.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BT.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 195.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 192.51, above the 50-day MA of 180.30, and above the 200-day MA of 157.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BT.A.

BT Group plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBAAF
73
Outperform
£6.72B39.469.48%315.89%-1.99%
71
Outperform
£19.02B18.128.29%2.44%-2.23%22.78%
70
Outperform
£1.02B14.8919.42%2.35%11.06%31.61%
GBVOD
70
Neutral
£19.63B8.78-7.22%4.02%-0.59%-489.50%
62
Neutral
$40.76B-1.15-12.05%3.90%2.03%-69.70%
GBZEG
£5.62B-10.35%
$1.71B52.36
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BT.A
BT Group plc
195.50
62.46
46.95%
GB:GAMA
Gamma Communications
1,096.00
-326.84
-22.97%
GB:VOD
Vodafone
80.84
13.90
20.76%
GB:ZEG
Zegona Communications
752.00
490.00
187.02%
GB:AAF
Airtel Africa Plc
185.00
70.79
61.98%
HTWSF
Helios Towers
1.66
-0.03
-1.78%

BT Group plc Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
BT Group Announces Total Voting Rights for June 2025
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

BT Group plc has disclosed its total voting rights as of 30 June 2025, with the capital consisting of 9,968,127,681 ordinary shares, of which 1,281,273 are held as treasury shares. This results in a total of 9,966,846,408 voting rights available for shareholders, which is crucial for determining notification requirements under the FCA’s rules, potentially impacting shareholder engagement and transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on ($GB:BT.A) stock is a Sell with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Group plc stock, see the GB:BT.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BT Group Executives Conduct Share Transactions to Cover Tax Obligations
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

BT Group plc announced the vesting and sale of shares by several key executives, including the Chief Financial Officer, Group General Counsel, Chief Security and Networks Officer, and Chief People & Culture Officer. These transactions primarily aim to cover tax obligations related to the vesting of shares under the company’s Deferred Bonus and Restricted Share Plans. The transactions were conducted in London on June 24, 2025, and involve a significant volume of shares, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to transparent financial practices.

The most recent analyst rating on ($GB:BT.A) stock is a Sell with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Group plc stock, see the GB:BT.A Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
BT Group Aligns Executive Incentives with Deferred Bonus Plan Awards
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

BT Group plc has announced the grant of awards under its Deferred Bonus Plan to several key executives, including the Chief Executive and Chief Financial Officer. This move is part of the company’s strategy to align the interests of its leadership with long-term shareholder value, potentially impacting its market positioning by reinforcing executive commitment and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on ($GB:BT.A) stock is a Sell with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Group plc stock, see the GB:BT.A Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BT Group Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Announces Hybrid AGM
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

BT Group plc has released its Annual Report for 2025, which is now accessible on their website. The report includes important regulatory information such as principal risks, uncertainties, and related party transactions. The upcoming Annual General Meeting will be conducted as a hybrid event, allowing shareholders to participate either online or in person, reflecting BT’s commitment to accessibility and transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on ($GB:BT.A) stock is a Sell with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Group plc stock, see the GB:BT.A Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
BT Group Announces Total Voting Rights for May 2025
Neutral
May 30, 2025

BT Group plc announced that as of 30 May 2025, its capital consisted of 9,968,127,681 ordinary shares with voting rights, with 11,290,418 held as treasury shares. This results in a total of 9,956,837,263 voting rights, which shareholders can use to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules.

The most recent analyst rating on ($GB:BT.A) stock is a Sell with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Group plc stock, see the GB:BT.A Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
BT Group Enhances Employee Engagement with Share Purchase
Positive
May 19, 2025

BT Group plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 1,101 ordinary shares by Equiniti Share Plan Trustees Limited as part of the BT Group Employee Share Investment Plan. This transaction, conducted on May 15, 2025, reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to engage employees through share investment, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence and employee involvement in the company’s growth.

The most recent analyst rating on ($GB:BT.A) stock is a Sell with a £140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Group plc stock, see the GB:BT.A Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
BT Group Announces Total Voting Rights for April 2025
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

BT Group plc announced that as of 30 April 2025, it had a total of 9,968,127,681 ordinary shares, with 9,956,837,263 shares holding voting rights. This disclosure is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s rules, impacting how they manage their investments in the company.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BT Group plc Sees Change in Major Holdings as Morgan Stanley’s Stake Falls Below 5%
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

BT Group plc has announced a change in its major holdings, as Morgan Stanley’s total applicable holding in the company has dropped below the 5% threshold. This change was triggered by Morgan Stanley’s application of the trading book exemption, resulting in a remaining applicable holding of 4.997849% as of April 11, 2025. This adjustment in holdings could have implications for BT Group’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025