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Avation plc (GB:AVAP)
:AVAP

Avation (AVAP) AI Stock Analysis

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Avation

(LSE:AVAP)

74Outperform
Avation's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its current position. The company's strategic moves in fleet expansion and securing financing enhance its growth trajectory, despite concerns over revenue volatility and leverage. The technical indicators suggest a positive short-term trend, and valuation metrics point to potential undervaluation, making it an attractive proposition for investors seeking growth and value.

Avation (AVAP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Avation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvation PLC (AVAP) is a commercial passenger aircraft leasing company that operates globally. The company specializes in leasing aircraft to airlines and provides a wide range of services including aircraft leasing, financing, management, and remarketing. Avation's fleet primarily consists of narrow-body and regional jets, serving various airlines across different markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvation PLC generates revenue primarily through leasing aircraft to airlines around the world. The company enters into long-term lease agreements with airlines, which provide a steady stream of income from lease rentals. In addition to lease rentals, Avation may also earn income from the sale of aircraft, as well as from providing management and remarketing services for aircraft. Key partnerships with airlines and aircraft manufacturers, as well as the strategic acquisition and sale of aircraft, significantly contribute to the company's earnings.

Avation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
89.48M93.65M109.84M110.79M138.50M
Gross Profit
-3.83M-14.31M3.05M4.24M34.65M
EBIT
83.22M70.63M90.18M-62.71M70.36M
EBITDA
29.70M20.48M40.80M79.44M103.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
19.73M12.19M17.13M-84.89M9.71M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
34.31M128.14M122.89M122.47M114.58M
Total Assets
1.14B1.18B1.22B1.28B1.42B
Total Debt
675.50M755.98M828.13M947.64M1.07B
Net Debt
651.94M639.07M708.96M825.17M957.15M
Total Liabilities
885.92M937.96M989.93M1.13B1.19B
Stockholders Equity
256.39M241.63M227.09M156.94M220.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
81.56M48.38M54.46M62.18M29.77M
Operating Cash Flow
81.57M48.39M54.48M62.28M88.51M
Investing Cash Flow
13.21M38.52M65.62M20.08M-58.74M
Financing Cash Flow
-96.03M-97.36M-109.90M-92.59M-56.17M

Avation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price151.00
Price Trends
50DMA
144.79
Positive
100DMA
154.36
Negative
200DMA
144.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.28
Negative
RSI
52.41
Neutral
STOCH
71.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:AVAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 151 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.08, above the 50-day MA of 144.79, and above the 200-day MA of 144.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:AVAP.

Avation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
£2.99B5.6229.34%1.12%18.05%16.71%
74
Outperform
£97.82M4.4912.33%0.34%8.36%
GBIAG
71
Outperform
£13.98B6.5858.10%0.66%6.07%0.66%
GBAA4
66
Neutral
£160.98M-0.02%15.20%-5.22%-100.30%
62
Neutral
$8.16B12.850.64%3.04%3.83%-15.83%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AVAP
Avation
147.00
29.35
24.95%
GB:JET2
Jet2 PLC
1,393.00
3.54
0.25%
GB:AA4
Amedeo Air Four Plus
61.20
27.46
81.39%
GB:IAG
International Consolidated Airlines
291.50
139.14
91.32%

Avation Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Avation PLC Announces New Share Allotment and Directors’ Dealings
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

Avation PLC announced the allotment of 278,371 new ordinary shares following the exercise of staff and listed warrants, representing approximately 0.37% of the company’s enlarged capital. This exercise generated proceeds of £296,721.42, which will be used for general corporate purposes. The new shares are expected to be admitted to trading on the London Stock Exchange by 19 March 2025. Additionally, Robert Jeffries Chatfield, a director, increased his holdings to 18.53% of the voting rights through subscription and a trust transfer, reflecting significant insider engagement and potential confidence in the company’s future.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Avation PLC Repurchases Shares Affecting Voting Rights
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Avation PLC announced the repurchase of 30,000 ordinary shares at a price of 138 pence per share, which is significantly below the company’s net asset value per share as of December 2024. This transaction affects the total number of voting rights, which is now 66,541,886, and may impact shareholder calculations under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Stock Buyback
Avation PLC Repurchases Shares at Discount
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

Avation PLC announced the repurchase of 300,000 ordinary shares at 138 pence per share, a significant discount compared to the company’s net asset value per share as of December 2024. This transaction reduces the total number of voting rights to 66,571,886, impacting shareholder calculations under FCA’s rules.

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Avation PLC Reports Strong Financial Growth and Strategic Fleet Expansion
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Avation PLC reported strong financial results for the six months ending December 2024, with revenue and EBITDA showing significant growth. The company achieved full fleet utilization, reduced net indebtedness, and improved its credit risk profile by adding Etihad Airlines as a lessee. Avation’s strategic focus on modern, low-emission aircraft and revenue diversification is supported by a new $85 million financing facility, enhancing cash flow and reducing leverage. The company plans to grow its fleet with new aircraft deliveries and is considering a move to the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange to boost capital market visibility.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avation PLC Expands Fleet with Airbus A320 Acquisition
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Avation PLC has announced the acquisition of an Airbus A320, which is currently leased to Etihad Airlines. This transaction enhances Avation’s narrow-body aircraft fleet and adds a high credit quality airline to its customer list. The acquisition, expected to close in March 2025, is part of Avation’s strategy to improve revenue diversification and overall credit quality. Additionally, Avation reported an increase in the average remaining lease term of its fleet, marking the first rise in this metric since the end of the COVID pandemic.

Financial Disclosures
Avation PLC Announces Interim Results and Investor Call
Neutral
Feb 19, 2025

Avation PLC, a global commercial passenger aircraft leasing company, plans to release its Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2024. The company has organized an investor update call on 25 February 2025 to discuss these results and engage with stakeholders, showcasing its commitment to transparency and investor relations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Avation PLC Secures $85 Million Financing Facility to Enhance Fleet
Positive
Feb 14, 2025

Avation PLC has secured an $85 million expandable portfolio financing facility with a major international bank to refinance select aircraft in its fleet and potentially add new ones. This move is expected to significantly enhance Avation’s cash flow and financial position, demonstrating strategic growth and financial prudence within the competitive aircraft leasing industry.

Business Operations and Strategy
Avation PLC Sees Change in Major Shareholder Holdings
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

Avation PLC, a UK-based company, announced a change in its major holdings as HSBC Holdings plc has adjusted its voting rights in the company. The transaction, which occurred on February 10, 2025, saw HSBC’s voting rights in Avation PLC decrease from 5.894% to 4.974%. This development indicates a shift in shareholder dynamics, possibly affecting Avation’s governance and strategic decision-making moving forward.

Business Operations and Strategy
Avation PLC Sees Increase in Voting Rights Held by Rangeley
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

Avation PLC has announced a change in the holding of its voting rights, with Rangeley Capital LLC and Jeremy Michael Kersten Raper acting in concert to hold 15.94% of the voting rights. This increase from a previous position of 14.90% signifies a strategic move by these stakeholders, potentially impacting Avation’s decision-making and governance as they consolidate their influence.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Avation PLC Announces Changes in Major Shareholder Voting Rights
Neutral
Jan 22, 2025

Avation PLC has announced a change in the voting rights held by IG Markets Limited, a subsidiary of IG Group Holdings. The acquisition or disposal of voting rights has resulted in IG Markets Limited holding a 5.534582% stake in Avation, which reflects a decrease from its previous position. This adjustment in holdings could influence Avation’s corporate governance and decision-making processes, considering the impact of its major stakeholders on company operations.

Business Operations and Strategy
Avation Secures Lease Continuity with Philippine Airlines
Positive
Jan 20, 2025

Avation PLC has announced that the early termination option for the lease of a Boeing 777-300ER with Philippine Airlines has not been exercised, ensuring the lease will continue until December 2029. This development provides the company with certainty regarding lease economics and allows Avation to focus on expanding its narrow body aircraft portfolio, with its current fleet fully placed and utilized.

Avation PLC Announces Change in Major Shareholding
Dec 23, 2024

Avation PLC has announced a change in its major holdings, with Rangeley Capital LLC and Jeremy Michael Kersten Raper acting in concert, now holding 14.90% of voting rights in the company. This adjustment reflects a slight decrease from a previous position of 15.11%, indicating a strategic shift that stakeholders should monitor, as it might influence the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

Avation PLC Sees Significant Change in Major Shareholdings
Dec 20, 2024

Avation PLC announced a change in major shareholdings, as Rangeley Capital LLC, along with Christopher C. DeMuth Jr. and Jeremy Michael Kersten Raper, now hold 15.11095% of the voting rights in the company. This marks a significant decrease from a previous position of 25.78184%, indicating a substantial disposal of shares. The notification highlights Rangeley Capital LLC and Kersten Raper’s coordinated approach towards Avation’s management, which could impact the company’s strategic decisions and investor relations.

Avation PLC Successfully Passes All Resolutions at AGM
Dec 19, 2024

Avation PLC announced that all resolutions proposed at its nineteenth annual general meeting in Singapore have been approved. This successful meeting underscores the company’s stable governance and potential for continued growth in the aircraft leasing sector, reinforcing its solid relationships with stakeholders.

Avation PLC Strengthens Position Amid Booming Aviation Market
Dec 19, 2024

Avation PLC, a key player in the aircraft leasing industry, reports strong market conditions fueled by robust air travel demand and supply chain constraints impacting new aircraft deliveries. The company has made strategic moves to enhance its financial standing, including aircraft sales and lease extensions, and plans to expand its fleet. Avation’s financial health is bolstered by a reduction in Covid-era arrears, a successful share repurchase program, and increased cash reserves, positioning it well for future growth and shareholder value enhancement.

Avation PLC Announces Strategic Share Buyback to Boost Shareholder Value
Dec 18, 2024

Avation PLC has completed a significant share buyback, repurchasing 7,800,000 shares at 150p each, representing 10.45% of its total ordinary shares. This move, aimed at enhancing shareholder value, reflects Avation’s confidence in its share value given the strong aircraft market conditions, and is part of its broader strategy to manage capital structure and pursue growth in its aircraft portfolio.

Avation PLC Announces Details for 2024 Annual General Meeting
Dec 16, 2024

Avation PLC has announced the details for its 2024 Annual General Meeting (AGM) to be held on December 19, 2024, in Singapore, with a simultaneous video conference for UK-based shareholders in London. Shareholders can follow the AGM online but must submit their votes via proxy, as online voting is not available. The company encourages shareholders to register in advance and submit questions either ahead of or during the AGM.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.