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Athelney Trust PLC (GB:ATY)
LSE:ATY
UK Market

Athelney (ATY) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ATY

Athelney

(LSE:ATY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
150.00 p
▼(-9.09% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is held back primarily by volatile and currently loss-making financial performance, despite a notably low-risk balance sheet (no debt). Technical signals are also soft (negative MACD and price below longer-term averages). A high dividend yield supports the score, but losses (negative P/E) reduce valuation clarity.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
A zero-debt capital structure and substantial equity base materially lower financial risk and provide durable resilience. This gives the trust flexibility to hold through market drawdowns, avoid refinancing stress, and preserve NAV for long-term capital growth and distributions.
Recent operating cash generation
Three consecutive years of positive operating cash flow indicate the trust can generate liquidity from its investment operations despite market volatility. Sustainable cash inflows support dividend payments, fee coverage and reduce the need for forced asset sales in normal market cycles.
Specialist small-cap investment mandate
A focused mandate on smaller UK quoted companies leverages market inefficiencies where active management can add durable value. The closed-end trust structure allows patient capital to capture long-term growth and dividends from less-covered securities without redemption pressure.
Negative Factors
Volatile, loss-making results
Earnings have swung widely (strong profit in 2021, large loss in 2022, near-breakeven 2023, larger losses 2024–2025), reducing predictability of returns. Persistent volatility undermines confidence in sustainable NAV growth and makes long-term income planning for investors harder.
Inconsistent free cash flow
Material swings in free cash flow limit the trust's ability to reliably fund dividends, cover ongoing charges, or selectively add to positions without selling assets. Irregular cash conversion increases reliance on market realizations and raises execution risk over a multi‑month horizon.
Market-return dependence
As an investment trust, long-term performance depends on market returns and manager skill rather than operating cashflows. Exposure to small-cap UK equities amplifies cycle sensitivity; structural reliance on market performance creates sustained uncertainty in dividends and NAV outcomes.

Athelney (ATY) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Athelney Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAthelney Trust plc is a close ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Chelverton Asset Management Limited. It invests in the public equity markets of United Kingdom. The fund seeks to invest in companies across diversified sectors. It invests in the stocks of the small-cap companies with a market capitalization of less than £300m with either a full listing on the London Stock Exchange or a trading facility on AIM or ISDX. The assets of the Trust have been allocated in two main ways: first, to the shares of those companies which have grown steadily over the years in terms of profits and dividends but, despite this progress, the market rating has remained low or very low; second, to those companies whose shares are standing at a low level compared with the value of land, buildings or cash in the balance sheet. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against FTSE Small Cap Index. Athelney Trust plc was formed on August 1994 and is domiciled in the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAthelney Trust makes money primarily through investment returns generated by its portfolio rather than by selling operating products or services. The main economic sources of return are: (1) capital gains and losses as the market value of its equity investments rises or falls; (2) dividend income received from portfolio holdings; and (3) any interest income from cash balances or fixed-income-like instruments held from time to time (if applicable). These returns accrue to the trust and, after deducting operating costs, can be reflected in net asset value (NAV) growth and may support dividends paid to shareholders. The trust’s ongoing charges—such as the investment management fee, administrative expenses, custodian/depositary and audit fees—are paid out of the trust’s assets and reduce the net return available to shareholders. Specific information on named partnerships or special revenue-sharing arrangements: null.

Athelney Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (zero debt and solid equity base) supports financial resilience, but this is offset by highly volatile, currently loss-making earnings and inconsistent cash generation (recently positive operating cash flow, but uneven free cash flow including zero in 2025).
Income Statement
34
Negative
Results are volatile and currently loss-making. 2025 revenue rebounded sharply (annual revenue growth of 331%), but the company still reported negative EBIT and net income. Profitability has swung widely over time (strong profit in 2021, very large loss in 2022, near-breakeven loss in 2023, larger losses again in 2024–2025), which reduces confidence in earnings quality and stability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet appears conservatively positioned with zero debt across all reported years, which materially lowers financial risk. Equity remains substantial versus assets (equity roughly tracks total assets), providing a solid capital base. The key weakness is uneven shareholder returns (positive in 2021 but negative in most other years), driven by inconsistent profitability rather than leverage.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed. Operating cash flow was positive in 2023–2025 (including 2025), but it was negative in 2021 and 2022, highlighting variability. Free cash flow improved strongly in 2023, fell in 2024, and is shown as zero in 2025, suggesting less consistent cash conversion and/or reinvestment impacts versus prior years.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue377.15K-108.05K270.22K565.98K541.24K
Gross Profit374.65K-108.05K161.64K-1.60M1.55M
EBITDA-142.63K0.000.000.000.00
Net Income-142.86K-283.14K-13.28K-1.75M1.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.70M4.06M4.55M4.75M6.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments118.19K43.67K40.35K27.36K30.68K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities46.23K47.12K40.39K17.09K17.13K
Stockholders Equity3.66M4.02M4.51M4.73M6.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0080.72K473.34K-264.70K-65.67K
Operating Cash Flow193.47K80.72K473.34K-264.70K-65.67K
Investing Cash Flow96.84K136.23K-251.04K468.54K233.06K
Financing Cash Flow-215.79K-213.63K-209.31K-207.16K-209.31K

Athelney Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price165.00
Price Trends
50DMA
140.29
Positive
100DMA
152.54
Negative
200DMA
162.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Negative
RSI
81.34
Negative
STOCH
77.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ATY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.98, above the 50-day MA of 140.29, and above the 200-day MA of 162.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ATY.

Athelney Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
£17.49M4.0216.48%-79.36%78.16%
54
Neutral
-24.92-3.71%6.06%870.14%64.42%
48
Neutral
£1.45M-2.93-37.63%-100.66%84.15%
48
Neutral
£4.50M-1.85-12.33%
42
Neutral
£6.44M-15.13-11.98%6.25%
40
Underperform
$1.02M-0.04-96.59%93.69%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ATY
Athelney
135.00
-29.20
-17.78%
GB:JADE
Jade Road Investments
0.43
-2.10
-83.18%
GB:TRUE
Braveheart Investment
1.85
-3.15
-63.00%
GB:MILA
Mila Resources
0.95
0.70
280.00%
GB:MAFL
Mineral & Financial Investments
45.00
24.50
119.51%
GB:PRIM
Primorus Investments
3.60
0.00
0.00%

Athelney Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Athelney Trust Delivers Higher Income but Suffers Capital Losses in Tough Year for UK Small Caps
Negative
Mar 3, 2026

Athelney Trust reported a disappointing 2025, with a net asset value total return of minus 8.4% and a 5.7% fall in its share price, significantly lagging the broader UK smaller companies investment trust sector and large-cap indices. Net asset value per share dropped 8.9% to 169.5p and shareholders’ funds declined to £3.66m, although the discount to NAV narrowed and UK small caps remain, in the board’s view, materially undervalued relative to both their own history and U.S. peers.

Despite weak capital performance, portfolio income rose sharply, with total revenue up 36% to £275,506 and earnings per share climbing to 11.4p, enabling the board to recommend a 1% increase in the total dividend to 10.0p, marking a 23rd consecutive year of dividend growth and restoring Athelney to the AIC’s “Dividend Heroes” list. The trust also highlighted the challenging UK macro and policy backdrop, ongoing outflows from UK equities and poor sentiment towards small caps, but pointed to potential tailwinds from prospective Bank of England rate cuts and an improved M&A environment, while noting that the shift to external management under EC Pohl & Co has lowered ongoing charges and eliminated performance fees in a year of underperformance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ATY) stock is a Hold with a £127.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Athelney stock, see the GB:ATY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026